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XAU/USD Bullish Breakout from Flag PatternBullish Flag Formation: The price consolidated in a downward-sloping flag after a sharp bullish move. A breakout has occurred, signaling renewed buying pressure. Support Zone: The breakout aligns with the horizontal support area around 3,392, reinforcing the bullish bias. Upside Targets: Based on price structure and measured move projection: First target: 3,435 – 3,452 Final target zone: 3,500+ Momentum Confirmation: The Ichimoku cloud supports bullish continuation as price trades above it, showing strong upward momentum. Conclusion: Gold appears to be resuming its uptrend after a brief consolidation. As long as price holds above the breakout level (around 3,392), the bullish targets remain valid. Ideal scenario for continuation traders looking for entries on minor pullbacks
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZareeFxTradingAac
XAUUSD – Gold Wobbles, Breakdown Risk IntensifiesGold is currently testing the lower boundary of the ascending channel after pulling back from the 3,398 USD resistance zone. The recent breakdown from a triangle pattern signals growing bearish pressure. If the price fails to reclaim the 3,397 USD area, a continued move down toward 3,307 USD becomes likely — a level that coincides with key technical support. The latest FOMC minutes reaffirmed a “hawkish” stance, boosting the USD and adding downside pressure on gold. The bearish outlook will strengthen if gold fails to hold the current support zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
GBPUSD – Breakout Confirmed, Downtrend Targeting 1.33170GBPUSD continues to display a clear bearish structure on the 4H timeframe after breaking below a key horizontal support and the pink trendline. The pair is now attempting a retest of the resistance zone near 1.34600, which aligns with the previous support-turned-resistance and a nearby supply area. If price gets rejected here with weak bullish momentum, a strong downward continuation is likely, with the next target around 1.33170 – a zone marked by a long-term diagonal support and previous swing lows. On the news front, the British pound is under pressure after the Bank of England (BoE) disappointed markets by holding interest rates steady at 4.25%. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve maintains its “hawkish” stance, boosting USD strength and increasing downward pressure on GBPUSD.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD – Weakening Trend, Risk of Deeper CorrectionThe EURUSD pair is gradually losing its bullish momentum after failing to hold above the 1.1510 level, forming a series of lower highs. The recent decline is dragging the price back toward the long-term ascending trendline. If buyers fail to defend the support area around 1.1380 — a confluence of the trendline and the most recent swing low — the previous uptrend structure could be invalidated. On the news front, the euro is under pressure following cautious remarks from the ECB, while recent PMI and inflation data from the Eurozone suggest slowing economic growth. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve in the US maintains a hawkish stance, reinforcing USD strength and applying double pressure on EURUSD.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
Learn Institution Trading Part -6Introduction to Institutional Option Trading Institutional option trading refers to the sophisticated strategies used by hedge funds, mutual funds, insurance companies, proprietary trading firms, and foreign institutional investors (FIIs) to manage portfolios, hedge risks, and generate consistent alpha from the derivatives market. Unlike retail traders, institutions operate with large capital, access to advanced technology, and deep market insights, allowing them to structure complex trades. 2. Why Institutions Trade Options Institutions don’t usually trade options for quick profits. Their trades are designed to meet broader objectives: Hedging Equity Portfolios Volatility Trading Generating Yield on Holdings Market Making and Arbitrage Directional or Non-directional Speculation 3. Core Institutional Option Strategies Let’s explore the most popular strategies that institutions use with real-world logic behind them. A. Covered Call (Buy-Write) Use: Income generation from long-term stock holdings Structure: Buy stock + Sell Call Option (OTM or ATM) Institutional Use Case: A mutual fund holding Reliance shares might sell monthly call options against its holdings to generate monthly income (premium), enhancing total returns.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
7
Learn Institution Trading What is Institutional Option Trading? It refers to large-scale option strategies used by hedge funds, banks, and FIIs to manage risk, hedge portfolios, or create directional bets with high precision. 🔹 Key Institutional Strategies: Buy-Write (Covered Call): Holding stocks and selling calls to earn premium. Protective Put: Buying puts as insurance to hedge stock positions. Multi-leg Spreads (Iron Condor, Butterfly): Neutral strategies to profit from range-bound markets. Put-Call Ratio Analysis (PCR): Gauging market sentiment from institutional flow.
BSE:SENSEXEducation
by SkyTradingZone
7
Advanced Divergence Trading What is Divergence? Divergence happens when the price moves in the opposite direction of an indicator (like RSI, MACD, or Momentum). It signals a possible trend reversal or trend weakening. 🔹 Types of Divergence: Regular Divergence (Trend Reversal): Bullish: Price makes lower lows, but indicator makes higher lows → Reversal up Bearish: Price makes higher highs, but indicator makes lower highs → Reversal down Hidden Divergence (Trend Continuation): Bullish: Price makes higher lows, indicator makes lower lows → Trend continuation up Bearish: Price makes lower highs, indicator makes higher highs → Trend continuation down 🔹 Advanced Tips: Use on higher timeframes for accuracy Confirm with volume, trendlines, or price action Combine with support/resistance or Fibonacci zones 🔹 Pro Tools to Use: RSI (Relative Strength Index) MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) Stochastic Oscillator OBV (On Balance Volume)
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
6
Support and Resistance ExplainedWhat is Support? Support is a price level where a stock tends to stop falling due to increased buying interest. Traders view it as a demand zone where bulls often enter the market. Example: If Reliance repeatedly bounces from ₹2,700, that level is acting as support. 🔹 What is Resistance? Resistance is a level where a stock tends to stop rising due to selling pressure. It's a supply zone where bears usually take control. Example: If Nifty keeps failing to cross 23,500, it's a resistance level. 🔹 Why They Matter: Help in identifying entry and exit points Show where trend reversals may occur Aid in setting stop-loss and targets 🔹 How to Spot Them: Look for price bounces or rejections Use tools: horizontal lines, moving averages, Fibonacci retracements Confirm with volume spikes 🔹 Key Strategy: Buy near support (low risk) Sell near resistance (high probability) Trade breakouts or reversals with confirmation
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
6
Support and Resistance Support Level: A price level where demand is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further. It's like a floor—buyers enter here expecting prices to rise. Example: If Nifty falls to 22,000 repeatedly and bounces back, 22,000 becomes a support level. 🔹 Resistance Level: A price level where selling pressure overcomes buying, preventing prices from rising. It's like a ceiling—sellers dominate at this level. Example: If Bank Nifty rises to 50,000 but fails to move above, 50,000 is resistance. 📊 How to Identify Them: Historical price charts Trendlines Moving averages Fibonacci levels Volume analysis 📈 Use in Trading: Buy near support Sell near resistance Use breakout strategy when price breaches either level
NSE:HDFCBANKEducation
by SkyTradingZone
4
GOLD GEARS UP FOR THE NEXT MOVE? All Eyes on Middle East & FedXAUUSD – GOLD GEARS UP FOR THE NEXT MOVE? All Eyes on Middle East & Fed 🌐 MACRO VIEW – WHAT'S MOVING GOLD? 🔺 Fed stays on hold, but Powell remains hawkish – His recent speech signals that inflation may persist due to ongoing geopolitical risks and rising commodity costs... 🔥 Middle East tensions could be the game-changer for gold prices: If the US steps in as a mediator to de-escalate tensions between Israel and Iran, gold could see a deeper correction toward the 3,357–3,345 support zone, possibly lower... On the other hand, Trump’s reported alignment with Israel and possible airstrikes on Iran would likely send gold soaring back to 3,417–3,440 levels, acting as a safe haven trigger. 📉 TECHNICAL SETUP (M30) Gold is moving inside a descending channel, compressing within key EMAs (13–34–89–200). A potential inverse head & shoulders pattern is forming at the bottom, signaling possible bullish breakout if confirmed. Support remains firm around 3,345–3,357, while price struggles to break above the upper trendline. ✅ TRADING PLAN 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3,345 – 3,357 Entry: Look for bullish rejection and confirmation SL: Below 3,342 TP: 3,373 → 3,384 → 3,403 → 3,417 → 3,440 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3,417 – 3,440 Entry: Wait for rejection and bearish confirmation near resistance SL: Above 3,445 TP: 3,403 → 3,384 → 3,373 → 3,357 💬 FINAL THOUGHTS FOR INDIAN TRADERS Even though the broader trend remains bullish, gold is not yet ready for a breakout – consolidation continues. Smart traders should stay patient, watch for clean setups, and manage risk well. Keep an eye on political developments, especially involving Iran, Israel, and the US, as they could trigger sharp moves in gold. Trade smart. Let the market come to you.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
Advanced Institutions Option Trading - Part 10Option Pricing Models Institutions rely on theoretical models to value options precisely. Models Used: Black-Scholes Model: Most common for European Options Binomial Model: For American options Monte Carlo Simulations: For complex path-dependent options Bachelier Model: For negative rate scenarios These models help forecast fair value, hedge ratios, and profit probabilities. 🔹 17. Algorithmic and Quant Option Trading Institutional desks often use automation for efficiency. Tools & Techniques: Python, R, C++ for strategy coding Machine Learning for volatility prediction Option Flow Analysis (Unusual Orders) Real-time Gamma Exposure Mapping Quant desks track Volga, Vanna, Charm, and other second-order Greeks for precise hedging.
MCX:GOLD1!Education
by SkyTradingZone
4
Advanced Institutions Option Trading - Part 8Institutional Option Trading Strategies Let’s dive deeper into how big players operate: 🔶 Volatility Arbitrage: Take advantage of IV mispricing across strikes/months. Long low IV, short high IV – Net neutral delta. 🔶 Dispersion Trading: Buy individual stock options, short index options. Profit from correlation divergence. 🔶 Box Spread (Synthetic Arbitrage): Arbitrage between synthetic long/short positions. Very low risk, used by HFT desks. Institutions use algorithms to run thousands of such strategies in real time.
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!Education
by SkyTradingZone
2
Advanced Institutions Option Trading - Part 6 Volatility Tools in Options Understanding volatility is central to success in option trading: 🌀 Types of Volatility: Historical Volatility (HV): Based on past prices Implied Volatility (IV): Market’s expectation of future movement 📊 Volatility-Based Strategies: High IV: Sell premium – strategies like Iron Condor, Credit Spreads Low IV: Buy premium – strategies like Long Straddle, Long Call/Put Tools like IV Rank and IV Percentile help traders choose the right strategy based on volatility regime.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
4
Advanced Institutions Option Trading - Part 5Institutional Tools & Platforms Bloomberg Terminal / Reuters Eikon: Institutional-grade data FIX Protocols: For high-frequency option order routing Quant Models: Statistical arbitrage using Python/R Option Analytics Engines: Measure IV Skew, Smile, Surface modeling Institutions don’t just trade options—they engineer risk-managed portfolios using AI and predictive analytics. Option Chain Analysis for Traders Option Chain provides a list of all available option contracts for a stock/index. Key Elements: Strike Prices Call & Put Prices Open Interest (OI) Volume Implied Volatility (IV) Change in OI Interpretation: High OI + Rising Price = Strong Trend IV Surge = High Volatility Expectation PCR (Put-Call Ratio) = Market Sentiment Indicator PCR > 1: Bearish sentiment PCR < 1: Bullish sentiment
NSE:HDFCBANKEducation
by SkyTradingZone
3
Advanced Institutions Option Trading - Part 4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis in Option Trading Fundamental Analysis: Evaluate company value, earnings, sector performance Technical Analysis: Price action, patterns, indicators like RSI, MACD IV & HV Tools: Helps in choosing optimal strike prices based on volatility Understanding market structure is essential for timing entries/exits in options. Advanced Institutional Options Trading Institutions like hedge funds, banks, and proprietary desks use options for complex strategies: Delta Hedging: Maintain a neutral position Portfolio Insurance: Using puts during economic downturns Volatility Arbitrage: Capitalizing on volatility mispricing Structured Products: Combine options with bonds or equities for customized payoff These strategies require deep understanding of volatility surfaces, risk models, and massive capital.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
Advanced Institutions Option Trading - Part 3Why Trade Options? Hedging against portfolio loss Leverage with limited capital Income generation through strategies like covered calls Directional trading using strategies like long calls or puts Investment Strategy using Options LEAPS (Long-Term Equity Anticipation Securities): Investing in long-term call options Covered Calls: Generate income while holding stocks Cash-Secured Puts: Earn premium while waiting to buy a stock at lower price These are often used by investors to add flexibility and income to portfolios.
BSE:SENSEXEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
Advanced Institutions Option TradingFinancial Market is a marketplace where assets such as stocks, bonds, commodities, and derivatives (like options) are bought and sold. Key components: Equity Markets – Shares of companies Debt Markets – Government or corporate bonds Derivatives Market – Futures, Options Currency and Commodity Markets Options are financial contracts giving the buyer the right (not obligation) to buy/sell an asset at a set price before a specific date. ✅ Types of Options: Call Option: Right to Buy Put Option: Right to Sell ✅ Key Terminologies: Strike Price: Agreed price to buy/sell Premium: Cost of the option Expiration Date: Validity of the contract ITM/ATM/OTM: In-the-money / At-the-money / Out-of-the-money
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
EUR/USD Potential Reversal from Resistance Zone –Bearish OutlookThe EUR/USD pair has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel for several weeks. Price recently tested a strong resistance zone near 1.15850 – 1.16000, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and a previously marked supply area. Key observations: The price action shows signs of rejection from the resistance zone with a potential double-top or fakeout pattern forming. A projected bearish trajectory is marked, suggesting a possible break below the channel support. Immediate bearish targets are set at key demand zones around 1.14500, 1.12500, and further down to 1.10500. A large red arrow indicates the strong downside bias if the price confirms the breakdown. Conclusion: If EUR/USD fails to sustain above the 1.15850 resistance zone and breaks below the ascending channel, a strong bearish correction is anticipated. Traders should watch for confirmation of the breakdown before entering short positions.
Short
by ZareeFxTradingAac
XAUUSD – Gold rebounds hard, a breakout rally may be brewing!After a perfect touch of the trendline at 3,367 USD, gold has sharply bounced back within a solid bullish structure. Notably, the latest low is significantly higher than previous pullbacks — a clear sign that buyers are still in control. The short-term target? None other than the 3,479 USD resistance — a key level that has rejected price twice before. If this barrier is broken, gold could quickly surge toward 3,520 USD. On the news front, expectations that the Fed may pause rate hikes due to weakening U.S. consumer data are cooling the dollar, giving gold room to rally. At the same time, simmering geopolitical tensions are fueling demand for safe-haven assets. With both technicals and sentiment aligning, this could be gold’s golden moment to catch the market off guard!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
Gold Consolidates Ahead of Fed: Buy Signal or Bull Trap?🟡 XAUUSD 18/06 – Gold Consolidates Ahead of Fed: Buy Signal or Bull Trap? 🌐 MACRO & SENTIMENT OVERVIEW The US Dollar Index (DXY) gained 0.7% to start the week, as markets anticipate the Fed may keep rates higher for longer due to rising oil prices and global geopolitical uncertainty. However, with the upcoming FOMC meeting and US retail sales data, there is a strong potential for a shift in tone if growth shows signs of weakness. Geopolitical tensions – particularly in the Middle East (Israel–Iran conflict) – continue to support gold’s defensive appeal, even as short-term profit-taking creates volatility. 📊 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – M30 Chart Gold is currently trading inside a descending channel, but price structure remains above EMA 13–34–89, keeping the potential for a bullish reversal alive. Liquidity has been absorbed multiple times near 3,345, aligning with dynamic support from trendline and horizontal structure → a key decision zone for bulls. On the upside, resistance between 3,440 – 3,445 remains a critical distribution zone, likely to trigger sell reactions if price fails to break convincingly. 🎯 TRADE SETUPS 🔵 BUY ZONE: 3345 – 3343 SL: 3339 TP: 3350 – 3354 – 3358 – 3362 – 3366 – 3370 – 3380 – 3400 – ??? 📌 This zone overlaps with trendline and recent demand areas. Watch for bullish price action confirmation (e.g., engulfing, pin bar) before entering. If confirmed, we expect a strong bounce targeting the upper channel and beyond. 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3442 – 3444 SL: 3448 TP: 3438 – 3434 – 3430 – 3425 – 3420 – 3410 – 3400 📌 This is a strong supply area that has rejected price multiple times. Look for reversal signals like bearish divergence or rejection wicks to consider short entries. ✅ SUMMARY Gold is caught in a critical reaccumulation zone ahead of the FOMC statement. Patience is key: allow the market to react at liquidity zones and follow price behavior instead of chasing moves. Stick to your zones – protect your capital – and let the setups come to you.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
XAUUSD – Strong bullish momentum, but key resistance remainsGold on the H4 chart is maintaining a steady uptrend, consistently forming higher lows while respecting the ascending trendline and both key EMAs (EMA34 & EMA89). After a brief pullback, price is now approaching a major resistance zone around 3,441 USD — a level that previously rejected bullish attempts. The market structure suggests two possible scenarios: If price breaks above 3,441 USD with strong buying pressure, the uptrend will be confirmed and could extend toward higher levels. Conversely, if rejected again, price may retreat toward the support zone at 3,347–3,356 USD for accumulation before resuming the upward move. On the fundamental side, expectations of a Fed rate cut—driven by significantly weaker U.S. retail sales—are pressuring the USD, which in turn supports gold prices in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
GOLD AT CRITICAL SUPPORT: FOMC Minutes Could Trigger Next moveCurrent Market Situation: Gold opened with a significant gap up on Monday but failed to claim above the 3450 level. Since then, the price has been in pullback mode and is now sitting at a critical major support zone. Key Support Zone: Upper Level of support zone: 3,385 Lower Levelof support zone: 3,360 This support zone represents a crucial decision point for gold next directional move. Today's Catalyst: The FOMC minutes release today will likely be the key driver that determines gold's next move. This fundamental event could provide the momentum needed to break the current consolidation. Two Potential Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If gold successfully holds above the support zone (particularly above 3,360:lower level of this zone) and manages to reclaim Monday's high around 3,450, we could see a strong buying rally develop that can push price to 3500 or higher levels. This would indicate that the pullback was merely a healthy correction before the next leg higher. Bearish Scenario: If gold breaks below the lower support level of 3,360, it would signal further weakness and we could see the price targeting lower levels. This break would invalidate the current support structure and open the door for extended selling.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheGoldenCircle