Is Gold's Bullish Trend Here to Stay?On the chart, gold has broken through the previous small downtrend channel, opening up new opportunities for a rally. The $3,360 level has become a key support, while the nearest resistance targets are at $3,430 and $3,458. The current price structure shows a clear "break & retest" scenario, with buying momentum dominating as gold stays above key EMA levels.
Supporting News for Gold's Bullish Trend:
The weakening USD, declining U.S. bond yields, rising geopolitical tensions, and the potential for a Fed rate cut have created favorable conditions for gold's upward movement. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's comments at Jackson Hole signaled that the Fed could ease tightening if the labor market weakens, strongly supporting gold's bullish trend.
Trading Strategy:
Buy on dip around $3,360–$3,365.
Target at $3,430 and $3,458.
Stop-loss below $3,350 to manage risk.
If the Fed maintains its dovish tone and the USD remains weak, gold is likely to continue its upward momentum in the short term, opening the door for higher price levels in September.
M-forex
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 26, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 26, 2025:
Gold surged after Trump's move, initial short-term bullish technical conditions in the trend of accumulation status.
Basic news: Gold surged after Trump's move, US President Donald Trump decided to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook due to allegations that she falsified mortgage documents. This news affected the US Dollar index to fall sharply at the beginning of today's Asian trading session, while spot gold prices increased by nearly 35 USD.
Technical analysis: Gold prices returned to the support area of 3345 - 3350 after increasing sharply as previously predicted. The rising price channel on the H1 frame has been formed, currently the MA lines and liquidity zones are still supporting the increase in gold prices. In addition, the Fib frames are still effective trading areas. Gold prices may approach the area of 3410 - 3420 this week.
Important price zones today: 3353 - 3358 and 3340 - 3345.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3353 - 3355
SL 3350
TP 3358 - 3368 - 3388 - 3410.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3340 - 3342
SL 3338
TP 3345 - 3355 - 3375 - 3400.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3420 - 3422
SL 3425
TP 3417 - 3410 - 3400 - 3390 (small volume).
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
Gold Faces Resistance at 3.380–3.385, Correction LikelyLooking at the H2 XAU/USD chart, gold is struggling around 3.380–3.385 USD, where the supply FVG aligns with the upper Kumo edge. Recent candles indicate sellers are dominating: short bodies, long wicks, and lack of volume suggest buyers lack momentum. With a series of lower highs and a flat Ichimoku cloud ahead, a pullback appears likely. Immediate support is near 3.355 USD, with a further decline possible toward 3.345 USD.
XAU/USD: Rally Strengthened by News FlowGold remains in a positive stance after the “dovish” signals from the Fed at Jackson Hole, with expectations of a September rate cut gaining traction. As a result, the US Dollar has weakened, providing additional support to XAU/USD.
On the chart, price has rebounded from the 3,313 support zone and is now eyeing the key resistance around 3,405. A decisive break above this level could extend the rally towards 3,440 – an area that has previously attracted heavy selling pressure. On the other hand, any minor pullback would likely be seen as a “buy-the-dip” opportunity within the current uptrend.
With alignment between fundamentals and technicals, XAU/USD is flashing a clear bullish signal, making it favourable for traders to ride the upward momentum.
USD/JPY SD + OTE + PD Array AnalysisStandard Deviation Entry Model on FOREXCOM:USDJPY
1. Inducement on 15min TF
2. Targets + Mini reversal zones marked out
3. 1H PD Array (FVG) Equilibrium tapped
4. Entry Triggered
5. 1st Target HIT
6. Waiting for Standard Deviation ultimate target to hit
I'll like to know more your thoughts on this!
Share your analysis as well!
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 25, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 25, 2025:
The market revolved around the FED and Trump, gold rose at the end of last week and was limited by the 0.236% Fib level.
Fundamental news: Mr. Powell's unexpectedly dovish remarks reinforced the market's hopes for a rate cut in September. As a result, the US Dollar Index fell sharply on Friday, reversing the upward trend of the first 4 trading days of the week. Moreover, the strong increase on Friday also pushed the gold price to skyrocket nearly 36 USD during the week.
Technical analysis: After a strong increase when it had compressed enough force in the bullish pattern and broke the downtrend channel on the H1 frame, the gold price at the beginning of this week's trading session is having a correction phase. The uptrend of gold is still maintained. The liquidity zones combined with FIB support and MA lines will now be our trading area. The gold price is very likely to return to the old ATH zone of 3500 this week.
Important price zones today: 3345 - 3350 and 3330 - 3335.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3345 - 3347
SL 3342
TP 3350 - 3360 - 3370 - 3390.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3330 - 3332
SL 3327
TP 3335 - 3345 - 3355 - 3390.
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading week.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
Gold Surges After Fed Remarks: Next Target at $3,370Hello everyone, following Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium yesterday, the gold market experienced a sharp rally. Powell hinted at potential rate cuts, weakening the USD and opening a strong opportunity for gold. Currently, gold is trading around $3,345, and if it breaks through the Fair Value Gap between $3,340 – $3,350, the bullish trend will be confirmed, with the next target at $3,370.
Rising trading volumes in recent candles indicate buyers are in control. Meanwhile, Ichimoku cloud signals still confirm an upward momentum as gold prices remain above the cloud, reflecting sustained bullish strength.
With both Fed policy signals and strong technical indicators, gold is likely to extend its rally in the near term. If the price holds above $3,350, reaching $3,370 is just a matter of time.
What’s your view on the current gold trend? Share your thoughts below.
Breakout ReTest Strategy✅ Key Observations
Support Zone (Highlighted in Orange)
Price previously bounced multiple times at this zone.
Eventually, there was a breakout below the zone, but the price quickly reclaimed it (fakeout or liquidity grab).
Breakout & Retest
After reclaiming the zone, the price came back and retested it.
Entry seems to have been taken on this retest.
Entry, SL, TP
Entry: Near the retest of the highlighted zone (around 2.27030).
SL: Below the fakeout low (~2.26740).
TP: Around 2.28200 (2:1 RR).
Result
The trade hit TP with strong bullish momentum.
USDJPYIt looks like price completed its objective just before Friday’s news release, after which USD dropped sharply. From a technical perspective, structure has flipped from bullish to bearish. A clean correction to the upside into the 148.0 supply zone followed by a drop would make perfect sense. I’ll be watching to see if this develops into a swing move.
EURNZDPrice action has been strongly bullish, with an impulsive push to the upside that took out a weekly high. That may have completed the price objective, which is why I’m now expecting a potential drop. A structure shift has already occurred and an entry was available, though I didn’t take it.
For now, I’ll stay on the sidelines and watch price action. If price reaches the demand zone, I’ll look for confirmation to get into longs. There’s also a large inefficiency/price void that could be filled on the way down. Let’s see how this pair develops — just sharing a possible scenario.
AUDJPY SELLSCurrent price action is bearish, with downside momentum confirming bearish order flow. Before considering shorts, I reviewed where price previously pushed higher and identified a key daily demand zone — an unmitigated wick that sparked the last major bullish move. This is important context: even though the 4H structure is bearish, bulls could still step in with enough volume to break supply.
I unfortunately missed the long entry at that demand zone, which would have been an ideal trap for a win–win scenario. For now, I’ve marked the nearest supply zone. Price just missed tapping into it, so I’ll patiently wait for when it taps. And then I’ll look for confirmation to enter shorts if the opportunity sets up.
GBPNZDPrice is currently in an uptrend, with a strong impulse to the upside completed in just 7 bars. The pullback has already taken 15 bars, showing clear weakness from the bears. I’ll be watching for price to reach the demand zone, and will look for confirmation on lower timeframes before considering long entries. In case price pushes higer I am expecting it taking out the high and liquidity on HTF, then possible sell to buy setup can present. Let's see.
EURCAD - CONTINUATION TRADEThe pair is in a clear uptrend, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. I’m waiting for a healthy pullback into the demand zone, where I’ll look for confirmation to enter long position. Setup remains solid as long as structure is maintained. If in any case price drop below the demand zone, that will indicate shift in a structure.
Gold: Strong Upside Potential Above $3,350Hello traders,
Looking at the current market setup, gold is hovering near the key resistance zone between $3,340 and $3,350. This area acts as a decisive barrier, and a clear breakout could trigger strong bullish momentum.
Recent price candles with higher trading volumes signal that buyers are becoming more aggressive, suggesting that gold may soon overcome $3,350 and move towards $3,370 or beyond.
On the macro side, expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut continue to weigh on the US dollar, providing additional support for gold as a safe-haven asset. If the Fed’s meeting minutes or Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole confirm a dovish stance, it could further fuel the rally.
What’s your view on this move? Do you believe gold can break above $3,350 and extend its rally?
Share your opinion—I’d love to hear your thoughts!
XAUUSD: Downtrend Under Pressure from Strong USDCurrently, XAUUSD is trading around 3,328.400, with resistance at 3,369.000 and support at 3,313.000. The price is forming a downtrend within a price channel, and if it breaks the support at 3,313.000, it could push the price lower towards the 3,300.000 target. The EMA indicators show that the downward momentum continues, and if the price fails to break through the resistance at 3,369.000, the downtrend will remain in place.
Market Context:
Recent news has caused XAUUSD to drop, mainly due to the recovery of the USD after positive economic signals. Higher-than-expected unemployment claims data strengthened the USD, putting downward pressure on XAUUSD.
EUR/USD Bearish Trade Idea - Detailed Analysis** IF you like my observation, please boost and follow for more content."
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Entry Price: 1.16177
Stop Loss (SL): 1.16521
Take Profit (TP): 1.15763
Market Overview:
Trend Context: The EUR/USD pair is currently in a clear downtrend as indicated by the price action making lower highs and lower lows.
Chart Setup: The chart shows a descending triangle pattern, which typically signals a continuation of the bearish trend, as the price struggles to break through the resistance at the upper boundary while consistently making lower lows.
Trade Rationale:
Descending Triangle Pattern:
The formation of a descending triangle indicates a strong bearish bias, where the sellers have been consistently defending the resistance level.
The price is making lower highs and has found support at the 1.16177 level, a key point where the downtrend has previously gained momentum.
A breakdown from this triangle often leads to a continuation of the downward movement, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Entry Setup:
The entry point at 1.16177 is set below the support level, confirming that the price is likely to break through and continue downward.
A close below this level would provide confirmation for the short position, as the breakdown indicates further downward potential.
Stop Loss Placement:
The Stop Loss (SL) is set at 1.16521, just above the last significant swing high and the trendline of the triangle. This allows for some room in case of a false breakout while minimizing risk if the price reverses above this level.
Take Profit Target:
The Take Profit (TP) is set at 1.15763, where the previous support has been observed. This level represents a logical exit point, based on the measured move of the triangle pattern and the market's reaction at this support area.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with a stop loss of approximately 45 pips and a take profit target of approximately 114 pips. This results in an RRR of about 1:2.5, which aligns with a solid risk management strategy for a favorable trade.
Technical Indicators:
Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):
The chart indicates the use of EMAs, which are still in a bearish alignment. The price is below both the 9-period and 20-period EMAs, suggesting that the overall trend is downward.
The EMA setup confirms the bearish momentum, reinforcing the rationale for the short position.
Bullish USDJPY (Long Position)Time Frame: 1-Hour
Trade Direction: Bullish
Entry Price: 148.629
Target Price: 149.262
Stop Loss: 148.108
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.3:1
1. Chart Analysis:
The price action has been respecting a strong ascending trendline (blue line) indicating a consistent upward momentum over the past several hours.
Price has recently bounced off the trendline and is approaching a resistance zone near 148.6, showing potential for a continuation upward towards 149.262.
Support Level: The price has previously found support at the 148.1 level, confirming a solid demand zone in the market.
2. Indicator Support:
Exponential Moving Averages (EMA): The price is currently trading above both the 9-period and 20-period EMAs, which is a bullish sign indicating upward momentum. The EMAs are also in alignment, further supporting the bullish case.
Volume Trend: There is an increase in volume accompanying the recent bullish price action, confirming strong buying interest and supporting the idea of a potential breakout towards the target.
3. Risk Management:
The stop loss is placed just below the recent low at 148.108 to provide a reasonable buffer against any price retracement, keeping the trade within an acceptable risk range.
The target is set at 149.262, just below the key resistance level, ensuring that we capture the full potential of the current trend while minimizing the risk.
4. Trade Setup Logic:
This setup is based on the continuation of the uptrend, with strong support from both the price action and indicators. The price action has successfully bounced from the trendline, confirming a potential continuation move towards higher prices.
The target lies near a resistance zone, making it a logical point for potential profit-taking.
5. Conclusion:
The overall market structure and indicators are aligned in favor of a bullish position, providing a high-probability setup. With a clear risk-reward ratio, this trade offers a favorable risk profile and a solid chance for profit.
EUR/USD: Uptrend Still Intact, Eyes on 1.1750On the 4H chart, EUR/USD has shown a solid rebound from the 1.1650 – 1.1670 support zone, confirming that buyers remain firmly in control. Price is now approaching 1.1700, closely tracking the upper edge of the Ichimoku cloud. More importantly, as long as it holds above 1.1685, the bullish momentum remains difficult to challenge. The next destination appears clear: the 1.1750 – 1.1780 area, overlapping with prior resistance and an unfilled red FVG. This zone will serve as a decisive test of strength, with the current momentum favoring a short-term push higher.
XAU/USD: Bearish Bias Ahead of Fed SpeechesHello everyone,
Today the market awaits speeches from Collins, Powell, Hammack, and even the U.S. President. With such anticipation, risk appetite remains cautious and the USD is seeing mild support. In this context, I lean towards a bearish scenario for gold on the daily chart: price is stuck below the dense resistance cluster around 3340–3355 (supply FVG + Ichimoku cloud/volume area), where repeated attempts to push higher have failed.
The sideways–to–downward structure, marked by lower highs since early this month, combined with the latest candle closing under the red FVG zone, signals fading buying momentum. Unless we hear clear dovish tones from the Fed, the 3340–3355 supply zone is likely to continue capping price. My preferred scenario is a pullback to 3315–3305, with an extension to 3295–3285 if USD strength persists. This outlook will be invalidated if we see a daily close above 3350, in which case a move back toward 3370 becomes possible.
GBP/USD Bearish Trade Idea** IF you like my observation, please boost and follow for more content."
Overview:
The chart displays a clear bearish setup on the 1-hour timeframe for the GBP/USD currency pair. The pair has formed a descending triangle pattern, indicating potential downward price action. The price has been respecting the trendline resistance, which adds confidence to the short trade. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the key elements for this trade:
1. Pattern Formation:
Descending Triangle: A continuation pattern that suggests consolidation and potential breakout to the downside. The price is nearing the apex of the triangle, and we anticipate the breakout to occur below the horizontal support at 1.34495.
2. Entry Point:
The entry is set at 1.34475, just below the critical horizontal support level. This level aligns with the trendline resistance from previous price action, ensuring that we are positioning ourselves at a point where price momentum is likely to shift downward.
3. Stop-Loss (SL):
The stop-loss is placed at 1.35060, just above the trendline resistance. This level is chosen to minimize the risk in case the price fails to break the support and reverses back upward. Keeping the SL tight ensures that the risk is controlled.
4. Take-Profit (TP):
The take-profit level is set at 1.33774, based on the price's potential to reach a key support zone. The target is set at a conservative level, providing a strong risk-to-reward ratio while aligning with previous price action lows.
5. Risk to Reward Ratio:
With a SL of 85 pips and a TP of 705 pips, the trade offers a favorable 1:8.3 Risk to Reward Ratio. This ensures that the reward far outweighs the risk, making it a worthy trade setup for those seeking high probability and high return trades.
6. Technical Indicators:
Trend Indicators: The 9 and 20 EMA lines confirm the bearish trend as the price is trading below these EMAs. The cross of the 9 EMA below the 20 EMA further supports the downside momentum.
Volume: A decrease in volume during the consolidation phase suggests a buildup for a breakout, likely to the downside as indicated by the pattern.
7. Conclusion:
This trade setup provides a logical bearish scenario, supported by strong technical analysis. The entry, SL, and TP are placed strategically based on price action and pattern confirmation. A breakout below the support level at 1.34475 would trigger the short position, aiming for the next significant support at 1.33774.
The risk is well-managed with a tight SL, and the reward is significant, offering an excellent risk-to-reward profile.
Make sure to monitor the breakout closely, as this setup depends on the price respecting the triangle formation.
Gold ....Powell Speech to Break the Range?Gold held steady after yesterday’s pullback, but the 3350 zone continues to act as a strong resistance. Despite multiple bullish attempts, price has failed to break through this ceiling, keeping the upside capped. On the lower side, immediate support stands at the previous weekly low (3330), followed by the recent swing low near 3310. These levels are key for buyers to defend.
For now, price action has compressed further into a tight range, and there hasn’t been any major development since the last session. With Powell speech lined up today, the market is likely to stay cautious and range-bound until then. Once the event is out, we could see a clearer short-term direction, either a breakout above 3350 opening room for recovery, or a breakdown below 3310 tilting bias back in favor of sellers.
Gold Strongly Rebounds: Heading Towards New Targets! The gold market is showing signs of a strong recovery, with several factors supporting an upward trend in the near future.
News supporting the rise of XAUUSD:
FOMC Minutes: A dovish stance from the FOMC weakens the USD, creating favorable conditions for gold to continue rising.
Initial Jobless Claims: Data showing higher-than-expected claims indicates a weaker economy, prompting the Fed to maintain its accommodative policy, which supports gold.
PMI: Weaker PMI data signals a slowdown in production, continuing to weaken the USD and supporting gold's upward trend.
Technical Analysis:
The XAUUSD chart shows gold making a strong recovery from the support at 3,334 USD, with resistance near 3,370 USD. If gold holds above the support level, the likelihood of further gains is very high. The current pattern indicates a sustainable bullish structure with higher highs and lows.
With the alignment of both fundamental and technical factors, XAUUSD is likely to continue rising towards higher targets. The resistance at 3,370 USD is the next level to watch.
EUR/USD: Downward Pressure PersistsOn the 4H chart, EUR/USD is struggling around 1.1630 after repeatedly failing to hold above 1.1700. Each attempt to climb higher was quickly rejected at the Ichimoku cloud, with unfilled red FVG zones adding more weight to sellers’ control. The candlestick pattern confirms this: long-bodied red candles dominate each retracement, while green candles remain weak with upper shadows—clear evidence that selling pressure emerges whenever the market tries to rebound. Recently, a cluster of three consecutive bearish candles has signaled the risk of further decline. For now, 1.1600 stands as the buyers’ last line of defense. If this level breaks decisively, the next destination will likely be 1.1500.
From a fundamental perspective, the U.S. dollar continues to enjoy support thanks to expectations around the upcoming Jackson Hole meeting. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to maintain a firm stance, as the latest FOMC minutes revealed no urgency to ease policy. Meanwhile, Europe is weighed down by growth concerns, limiting the ECB’s ability to keep pace with the Fed. This divergence remains a key driver pressing the euro lower.
What do you think—will 1.1600 hold or give way to a deeper fall? Share your view below!