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Is a Pullback Coming or Will the Bulls Continue?Gold Faces Resistance at 3300 – Is a Pullback Coming or Will the Bulls Continue? Market Overview: USD Gains Pressure Gold as Trade Deals Unfold Gold has been under pressure recently due to the strong recovery of the US dollar. Positive developments in global trade talks and agreements between major nations, including the US, have been a key driver for the USD, which in turn has weighed on gold. US inflation data continues to show signs of easing, providing the Fed more room to hold off on rate hikes, strengthening the USD. FOMC meeting minutes due this week will provide further insight into the Fed’s approach to interest rates. With geopolitical tensions easing and trade deals stabilizing, the demand for safe-haven assets like gold is slightly reduced. In the short-term, the market is testing crucial levels, and while gold remains bullish in the long run, the current market conditions suggest potential for a pullback before further upside. Technical Analysis: Gold in a Range-Bound Market Looking at the H1 timeframe, gold has formed a clear downward channel between 3360 and 3290, which could signal further corrective action if the price remains within this range. If gold fails to break above resistance at 3360, a dip to 3250 might occur, especially if the USD strength continues to put pressure on gold. However, waiting for confirmation patterns before entering a trade is key. False breakouts can be a risk when price moves quickly through key levels without sustaining momentum. Buy Bias in Short-Term with Caution on Bearish Moves Given the current market structure, there is more room for buy opportunities than for selling at the moment. Watch out for a potential bounce back in the 3320-3325 region as gold might test these levels before continuing its rise. The rejection wick on yesterday's D1 candle shows that the sellers are losing control, and buying pressure is starting to build again. In the M30 chart, there's a continuation pattern forming around the 16-14 zone, which could be an ideal place to enter a buy position if it holds. Resistance and Support Levels: Key Resistance Levels: 3302 – 3310 – 3324 – 3335 – 3361 Key Support Levels: 3275 – 3259 – 3248 Trading Strategy – Buy and Sell Zones BUY ZONE: 3250 – 3248 Stop Loss: 3244 Take Profit: 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280 → ???? SELL SCALP: 3303 – 3305 Stop Loss: 3310 Take Profit: 3298 → 3294 → 3290 → 3286 → 3280 → 3270 → 3260 SELL ZONE: 3334 – 3336 Stop Loss: 3340 Take Profit: 3330 → 3326 → 3320 → 3315 → 3310 → 3305 → 3300 → ???? Key Updates to Watch: FOMC and Trade Policy News With FOMC minutes due and trade policy developments on the horizon, it’s crucial to stay alert for any shifts in market sentiment. Ensure you stick to TP/SL levels to protect your account from any unexpected volatility.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
A Long-Term Outlook on Gold and the U.S. DollarTechnical and Fundamental Analysis: A Long-Term Outlook on Gold and the U.S. Dollar 1. Technical Analysis: Gold (XAU/USD): Current Price: Gold is currently trading around the 3,219.39 level, marking a significant high compared to recent price levels. This is seen as a major resistance point that could limit the price in the short term. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance: 3,164.62, 3,190.48, 3,219.39 Support: 3,118.98, 3,069.60 Moving Averages (MA): MA 13 (Short-Term) and MA 34 (Medium-Term) both lie below the current price, indicating a bullish trend in the short to medium term. MA 200 (Long-Term) shows that the long-term trend for gold remains strong and stable, with the price currently trading above all these moving averages. Current Situation: Gold is on a strong upward trajectory, supported by economic factors such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies and overall monetary policies. The current price suggests that gold could continue to rise in the short term, particularly if the U.S. Dollar remains weak. Long-Term Outlook: If the resistance level of 3,219.39 is breached, gold could potentially move towards the 3,250 level and beyond. However, caution should be exercised as profit-taking may occur towards the end of the week. Avoid FOMO and buying at the peak. 2. Fundamental Analysis: U.S. Dollar (DXY Index): The DXY Index is currently in a strong downward trend, trading below 100.554. It may continue to fall towards 99.783 in the upcoming months. Key Support Levels for USD: 99.783 and 97.500. If the DXY continues to drop and breaks these levels, it would put additional pressure on the USD and be supportive for gold. Impact of Monetary Policies: The Federal Reserve has indicated a potential interest rate cut in the future, which would continue to pressure the U.S. Dollar and support gold, especially amid global economic concerns. Economic Situation in the U.S.: With some economic indicators such as CPI and PPI showing weakness, the U.S. economy is facing challenges. This adds further pressure to the U.S. Dollar and provides an advantage to gold. 3. Long-Term Perspective: Gold is currently in a strong bullish trend, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. In the short term, gold may continue to rise as long as the U.S. Dollar remains weak. However, caution should be exercised toward the end of the week due to potential profit-taking. For Gold (XAU/USD): If gold breaks key resistance levels, it could continue to rise in the long term, especially if the U.S. Dollar remains weak. However, caution should be taken at the peaks. As for the U.S. Dollar: The DXY is expected to continue its decline in the short term, which would further support gold. However, if the DXY starts to recover, gold might face some pressure. Trading Strategy: Preferred Buy Zones for gold: 3,118.98 and 3,069.60. But be cautious as profit-taking could occur toward the end of the week. Avoid selling gold unless the major resistance levels are broken and clear signals emerge from the market. Conclusion: With gold continuing its upward trend, supported by favorable monetary policies and economic expectations, gold remains a strong opportunity for both short and long-term investors. However, investors should be cautious about profit-taking towards the weekend. Monitoring future performance of the U.S. Dollar and any changes in Federal Reserve monetary policy will be crucial.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD UPDATE – FAKE NEWS SHOCKS MARKET INVESTORS GO FULL RISK-OFFGOLD UPDATE – FAKE NEWS SHOCKS MARKET, INVESTORS GO FULL RISK-OFF Plan: Rejection + BIGSHORT scenario still in play 📉 U.S. Session Recap Gold tanked aggressively during yesterday’s New York session after markets reacted to a “Fake News” headline suggesting a delay in the U.S. tariff policy. While the rumor was quickly denied by the White House, the psychological damage had already been done — triggering a sharp sell-off that sent Gold plunging back into the 295x zone, exactly as forecasted in AD’s earlier plan. Meanwhile, U.S. equities stayed deep in the red, and the uncertainty continues to weigh on global markets. 🧠 Market Sentiment: “Cash Is King” Reignites Investor sentiment is now fully fear-driven. Without a major calming headline or shift in macro tone, we’re likely to see more risk-off behavior and capital flight into cash and U.S. Treasuries. 📌 This shift may be strategic: if investors increasingly hoard USD and rotate into government bonds (currently more attractive than risk assets), it may signal a coordinated squeeze — possibly part of Trump’s broader economic maneuvering. 🔮 AD's Strategy Until sentiment changes, we remain in SELL mode. → Look to short rallies until at least Wednesday, then reassess. 🧭 Key Technical Zones 🔺 Resistance: 3005 – 3016 – 3035 – 3056 – 3076 🔻 Support: 2980 – 2969 – 2956 – 2930 – 2912 🎯 TRADE SETUPS 🟢 BUY ZONE: 2930 – 2928 SL: 2924 TP: 2934 – 2938 – 2942 – 2946 – 2950 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3034 – 3036 SL: 3040 TP: 3030 – 3026 – 3022 – 3018 – 3014 – 3010 – ???? 📌 DXY Watch Dollar Index looks to be forming a base and could rally strongly if U.S. equities continue to slide. BIGSHORT across assets remains a real possibility. ⚠️ Final Reminder We’re in a highly volatile and fragile market phase. Trade with discipline. Always secure your TP/SL. Let price come to you — don’t chase. 📌 If you find value in these market insights and real-time trade zones — make sure to follow for more daily updates and clean chart breakdowns. Let’s navigate this market together — structure, strategy & execution. 💬 Got a similar view or a different angle? Drop a comment — I’m always open to smart discussion! — AD | Money Market Flow
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
DXY Building Momentum — "Cash is King" Narrative Returns?📌 DXY is showing clear signs of recovery on the H4 timeframe — and that tells us something deeper: risk sentiment is shifting. Investors are pulling capital from risk-on assets and moving to cash. Yes, "Cash is King" might be making a comeback. 🔍 What’s Driving the Move? As fear ripples through global markets: 📉 Equities are shaky. 🟡 Gold dropped sharply under profit-taking pressure. 🪙 Crypto lacks new capital. Now, capital is rotating back into USD — not necessarily because of strong fundamentals, but due to defensive positioning. 🔺 On the geopolitical side, Trump’s aggressive tariff threats are shaking confidence. As import/export tension rises, the global appetite for USD-denominated assets (especially U.S. bonds) is also climbing. 🧭 Key Technical Levels (4H Chart) Support Zones: 🟦 101.467 – historical structure low 🟦 102.113 – minor intraday demand 🟦 102.660 – neckline & retest zone (key area to hold) Resistance Zones: 🟧 103.803 – consolidation top 🟥 104.506 – key resistance and EMA crossover zone 🟥 105.632 / 106.157 / 106.622 – higher-timeframe targets if momentum continues 🔮 Outlook by AD | Money Market Flow The market is on the edge right now. If U.S. equities fail to bounce and global risk sentiment continues to deteriorate, we could see: ✅ A strong USD breakout ✅ DXY bottoming and reclaiming the 104–106 zone ✅ Major asset correction across risk-on markets (Gold, Stocks, Crypto) “When markets panic, smart money rotates to USD. It’s not bullishness — it’s protection.” — AD | Money Market Flow 🔁 What to Watch: Fed’s next steps (Will they ignore Trump’s tariffs and focus on growth?) Global equity market reactions Bond yields (demand for U.S. debt could rise again) 📌 Stay sharp and follow the money. DXY is giving early signals — don’t ignore the shift. 🧠 Manage risk. Protect capital. Let the market come to you.
TVC:DXYLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD CRASHES HARD — BUT THE BIG SHORT VIEW WAS ALREADY 🟡 GOLD CRASHES HARD — BUT THE BIG SHORT VIEW WAS ALREADY IN PLAY Gold dropped — and dropped even harder than expected. But for those following closely, this wasn’t a surprise. From the start of April, we had been watching for signs of reversal after gold kept printing new ATHs. The candlestick behavior on the higher timeframes was already hinting at exhaustion — and today’s move validated that broader view. 🔍 Why I’ve Been Calling for a BIG SHORT — Not Just in Gold This isn’t just about XAUUSD. Zoom out and you’ll see the signs across the board: US, EU, and Asian stock markets are in a steep decline Crypto is stagnant, with no new capital inflow and little investor interest And gold — after a historic run — is now facing intense profit-taking pressure, especially under growing geopolitical and global trade risks In this environment, many investors are moving to cash and staying on the sidelines. 📉 DXY: A Potential Comeback? The USD Index (DXY) has been heavily sold off in recent months. But if you look closely — it's now testing a multi-year support zone that's held strong for nearly 3 years. AD’s view? If this level holds — and if recent tariff policies + international pressure from Trump continue — we could see a real USD recovery in the coming weeks. Trump appears to be playing hardball — not just for his own benefit, but strategically for the U.S. His aggressive trade moves are forcing nations to reconsider tariff terms. And in the short term, that puts Trump in a position of power — globally. 🤔 The Fed’s Dilemma Even as Trump escalates trade pressure, the Fed remains cautious. They’ve held back from rate cuts — waiting for clearer outcomes from these global negotiations. All eyes are now on Trump’s next moves — and how other major economies will respond. 🔮 Strategy Moving Forward Many investors are still in risk-off mode, hoarding cash and waiting for further declines. AD still expects further downside in gold next week, alongside a potential short-term bounce in DXY. → After that, once the trade talk dust settles, we could very well see Gold resume its climb, while USD retests major supports on the D1 timeframe. 📌 I’ll be back with a full weekly outlook tomorrow, but for now — absorb this Gold/USD landscape and build your strategy for the new week. Stay sharp & protect your capital. — AD | Money Market Flow
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
USD/JPY BREAKS DOWN USD/JPY BREAKS DOWN – SAFE HAVEN YEN STRENGTHENS AS GLOBAL MARKETS REACT After the latest U.S. tariff announcement, global financial markets went into risk-off mode, with U.S. Treasury yields dropping sharply. As investor fear rises, money quickly rotates into safe-haven assets — and the Japanese Yen is taking the spotlight. 🔻 USD/JPY just hit its lowest level in over 3 weeks, reflecting both global sentiment shifts and domestic tailwinds for the Yen. 🔍 What's Fueling Yen Strength? Risk-off sentiment: Global equities declined after the U.S. tariff update. Investors are fleeing risky assets, favoring traditional safe havens like the Yen. Yield dynamics: U.S. bond yields fell, dragging the dollar down. If the Fed begins cutting rates to counteract trade impacts, it would further narrow the U.S.–Japan yield gap, supporting JPY. BoJ policy outlook turning hawkish: With inflation on the rise, expectations are growing that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may continue rate hikes, reinforcing the Yen’s appeal. Japan’s political stance: Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba announced intentions to revisit tariff policy negotiations with the U.S., potentially shaping Japan’s economic roadmap and investor confidence. 📈 Market Outlook: If trade tensions persist and the Fed moves toward rate cuts, we could see further downside on USD/JPY, with JPY demand accelerating in both fundamental and technical terms. This setup offers key opportunities for traders watching: Safe-haven flow dynamics Central bank divergence (Fed vs BoJ) Potential macro breakout zones on JPY crosses 💬 What’s your view on USD/JPY heading into the next Fed and BoJ meetings? Drop a comment and let’s discuss the bias! ✍️ Follow @MoneyMarketFlow for daily macro + technical insights across majors and metals.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
TRADE WAR STORM BREWING – IS A GLOBAL BIGSHORT COMING?🚨 TRADE WAR STORM BREWING – IS A GLOBAL BIGSHORT COMING? In the past 24 hours, global financial markets have been rocked by the shock announcement of Trump’s aggressive global tariff policy. This isn’t just a geopolitical maneuver — it’s a potential trigger for massive systemic volatility, affecting everything from U.S. equities to Gold, DXY, crypto, and major global indices in Asia and Europe. 🔍 What Just Happened? We saw Gold crash over 100 points, a move that caught many traders off guard. Under normal circumstances, a weakening USD would be bullish for Gold. But here’s the twist: the Dollar also dropped sharply, yet Gold was still aggressively sold off. Why? 👉 A plausible explanation is that major funds and investors liquidated their Gold positions to cover equity losses or to meet margin calls from collapsing positions across other markets. This is no ordinary move — it may well be the beginning of a “BIGSHORT” phase across global assets. 🧨 This Is Just the Beginning The market reaction suggests that we are not in a routine correction. Instead, we may be witnessing the early stages of a coordinated risk-off movement — one sparked by fears of a new global trade war with far-reaching implications. Tariffs on aluminum, steel, manufacturing goods, and industrial inputs have already disrupted entire supply chains. Industry-specific disruptions (e.g. construction, healthcare, utilities, wholesale) are beginning to show — this is not a drill. 📉 U.S. Macro Data Is Getting Worse The headline inflation data in the U.S. continues to fall, but other economic indicators are flashing red: ISM Services PMI (Mar): 50.8 (vs. 53.0 expected) Employment: 46.2 (prev: 53.9) — a sharp drop New Orders: 50.4 Export Orders & Backlogs: Both declined significantly 👉 The ISM Services sector represents more than 70% of U.S. GDP. A reading this weak suggests that the U.S. economy may be slowing faster than expected. 🧠 Market Sentiment Is Shaky Fear is back. And worse: FOMO and panic are driving decisions, not logic. Retail and institutional traders alike are struggling to digest the overlapping risks: tariffs, inflation uncertainty, interest rates, and recession fears. Tonight brings another major catalyst: 📆 Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) — a key employment report that could reinforce or break the current narrative. 🏦 Will the Fed Cut Rates Earlier Than Expected? Here’s what markets are now pricing in: Rate cuts may start as early as May or June 2025 Probabilities have risen for 2–4 rate cuts this year, compared to 2 cuts expected previously Odds of a summer pivot are now well above 50% If the Fed sees continued weakness in labor and services, it may have no choice but to cut earlier — regardless of inflation progress. ⚠️ Strategic Takeaway: Watch, Don’t Chase Before looking for entries, take a breath. This is a time when doing nothing might be the smartest trade. “Sometimes, staying on the sidelines is how you survive the storm.” Let the volatility play out — and prepare for high-probability setups, not emotional trades. 📊 TECHNICAL LEVELS TO WATCH 🔺 Resistance Levels: 3110 – 3119 – 3136 – 3148 – 3167 🔻 Support Levels: 3086 – 3075 – 3055 – 3040 – 3024 BUY ZONE: 3056 – 3054 SL: 3050 TP: 3060 – 3064 – 3068 – 3072 – 3076 – 3080 SELL ZONE: 3148 – 3150 SL: 3154 TP: 3144 – 3140 – 3136 – 3132 – 3128 – 3124 – 3120 💬 Final Thoughts The combination of geopolitical tariffs, recession fears, and Fed policy uncertainty has created a perfect storm across global markets. We’re entering a phase where any careless trade can wipe out weeks of progress. Be cautious. Stay informed. Wait for clarity before going big. 📌 As for Gold: Are we seeing just a pullback — or is this the calm before an ATH breakout? Stay sharp. Set clear SL/TP. Follow the macro, respect the chart — and most importantly, don’t trade scared. 🧠 Patience is profit. Let the market come to you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
2
GOLD – Unshaken Through Chaos - 50 new all-time highs🟡 GOLD – Unshaken Through Chaos | A Structural Bull Run Backed by Global Repricing Gold isn’t just rallying — it’s sending a message. Over the past 12 months, gold has set over 50 new all-time highs, a breakout sequence unmatched in over a decade. This is now officially the longest bullish streak in 12 years, and the third longest in modern history, only behind the volatile 1979–1980 period — a time when the global economy was grappling with runaway inflation, stagnant growth, and widespread unemployment. But what makes this current bull cycle unique is not just the price action, but the structural shift behind the move. 📈 The Numbers Speak for Themselves: YTD 2024 performance: +16% 12-month gain: +39% Price range: From ~$1,200 to nearly $1,600/oz 3rd consecutive bullish year These gains are not speculative pumps — they are a response to systemic instability. The macro backdrop is screaming uncertainty: Sticky, structural inflation Slowing global economic growth Real interest rates still hovering around zero or negative Geopolitical risk escalating in nearly every region of the world This isn’t a short squeeze. It’s a capital migration. 🏦 The Central Bank Bid: The Silent Giant What separates this rally from past cycles is who’s buying. Unlike the 2011 gold run — driven heavily by retail FOMO and speculative ETF flows — today’s surge is institutionally anchored. The strongest force in the current trend? Central banks. Led by China, Russia, Turkey, and several BRICS nations, central banks have been accumulating gold at a record pace, shifting reserves away from USD exposure and hedging long-term geopolitical and economic risks. This isn't just diversification — it's a statement of monetary sovereignty. Their consistent demand is forming a strong floor under price, insulating gold from violent retracements even during short-term corrections. 🔍 The Psychology of this Bull Market This isn’t the kind of rally that fades on CPI noise. The capital flow is defensive, not aggressive. Funds are rotating into gold not to chase yield, but to preserve value. In times when fiat devaluation, sovereign debt instability, and political fragmentation are on the rise — gold doesn’t just shine, it leads. The market is re-pricing systemic risk. Investors are no longer reacting to inflation headlines. They are positioning for longer-term fragility in global monetary policy. That’s why even when inflation prints soften temporarily, gold still holds ground. 📌 What Comes Next? Yes, technically, a pullback is healthy — even expected. Extended breakouts are often followed by short-term consolidations. But the medium- to long-term structure remains intact. Gold is not in a bubble. It’s in rotation. In a world full of uncertainty, inflation volatility, and central bank crossfire — gold remains the most trusted asset for capital protection. And this rally? It’s not the end of something. It’s just the beginning of a new monetary cycle. — AD | Money Market Flow 📢 Join our community of serious traders. Let’s grow, learn, and win together inside the MMFlow Trading Channel. Tap in and be part of the flow.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
What the markets are going to be going forward?As we can see in the monthly charts of Nifty 50, the overall market is consolidating in a range of 15000-19000 and I think it will continue to do so for some time. Previously valuations have fallen to their lows and currently, we can say that the market is fairly valued. From hereon we can see the valuations consolidating for some time which will also reflect in the prices before they break out for another adventure. Large-cap stocks are not severely hit by these market movements yet compared to stocks in small, micro & nano-cap categories. Overall, valuations have increased slightly and banks rules, regulations and frameworks for providing easy loans to medium and large enterprises are also getting strict with the decrease in market momentum & strength. Seeing this, it’s very healthy for the markets to rest for a bit from the long-term perspective and growth.
NSE:NIFTY
by UnknownUnicorn18469944
The market outlook is looking bearishNSE:NIFTY We will divide the analysis into three parts: 1) Fundamental Analysis: In terms of valuation, The whole market is looking fairly valued. 2) Macro Analysis: The bank's rules, regulations and framework to provide loans to medium and large enterprises are strict. When banks think that the economy is going through hard times or may go through hard times, They become fearful to provide easy loans to medium and large enterprises, which tells that banks are doubtful about the economy and they don’t want to take the risk by providing easy loans to medium and large enterprises because they think that they will default. 3) Technical Analysis: The proprietary R/T Model made by Ausfin Capital is giving a bearish outlook.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by UnknownUnicorn18469944