What the markets are going to be going forward?As we can see in the monthly charts of Nifty 50, the overall market is consolidating in a range of 15000-19000 and I think it will continue to do so for some time.
Previously valuations have fallen to their lows and currently, we can say that the market is fairly valued. From hereon we can see the valuations consolidating for some time which will also reflect in the prices before they break out for another adventure.
Large-cap stocks are not severely hit by these market movements yet compared to stocks in small, micro & nano-cap categories.
Overall, valuations have increased slightly and banks rules, regulations and frameworks for providing easy loans to medium and large enterprises are also getting strict with the decrease in market momentum & strength.
Seeing this, it’s very healthy for the markets to rest for a bit from the long-term perspective and growth.
Macroanalysis
The market outlook is looking bearishNSE:NIFTY
We will divide the analysis into three parts:
1) Fundamental Analysis:
In terms of valuation, The whole market is looking fairly valued.
2) Macro Analysis:
The bank's rules, regulations and framework to provide loans to medium and large enterprises are strict. When banks think that the economy is going through hard times or may go through hard times, They become fearful to provide easy loans to medium and large enterprises, which tells that banks are doubtful about the economy and they don’t want to take the risk by providing easy loans to medium and large enterprises because they think that they will default.
3) Technical Analysis:
The proprietary R/T Model made by Ausfin Capital is giving a bearish outlook.