MCX
MCX Crude OilCrude Oil is running in channel since septmber, we many time initiated purchases near support lines but avoided short selling as Crude is in Bull cycle. We suggested you to buy near 6200 on 22nd Oct for a target of Rs 6500 which you may see tomorrow.
In a few days crude may give another signal either for long or short position.
We may soon see a trend reversal signal in crude oil. Stay connected with us for more updates.
Simple Positional Trade Setup | MCX | short-mid termNSE:MCX
Observations:
1) On Daily time frame, we can see now it is back to the level range which was earlier working as resistance and it was breakout level.
Now it has come to test this and if it sustain and gets support then this range will work as support level.
We can see good bounce back and the bullish up move can re-start again.
Please refer below chart : 1day Time Frame.
2) On Daily Time frame again, if we apply FIB RETRACEMENT levels then we can see that it is resting just above the 61.80% level range.
There are chances that the down trend will reverse now and the up trend will continue as generally at this 61.80% most of the time retracement of uptrend gets over.
Please refer below chart : 1day Time Frame.
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Positional Trade Setup
1 : One can take long position from CMP with SL of 1750 and target of all above levels.
2 : If one wants to take safe position then one can take position after it gives sustainable breakout of 1855 level. SL will be 1800 and all above levels will be targets.
3 : One can take short position if it give breakdown of 1750 level with SL of 1790 level and target of 1696 and 1650.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels.
Long MCX SILVERSILVER was trading under the Resistance trendline since mid May (shown in black in chart), but today it gave a breakthrough opening in the morning on MCX.
If it closes above 63800, then we can make a long position in current contract for a major profit.
LOGN SILVER @ 64800.
Silver has a major resistance at ₹ 65800, if it gives a closing above this level, then we can expect an upper movement of 5000-6000 in silver.
MCX Commodities Composite Index H&S BreakoutMCXCOMPDEX, MCX Commodities composite index has broken out of its long term Head & Shoulders pattern indicating strength in commodities. If this breakout continues, we can expect prices of major commodities (gold, silver, crude, copper etc.) to give good up side in coming weeks and months.
MCX GOLD ANALYSIS - Short CallGold on MCX is very bullish this month. Since October 1st, Gold rallied from ₹ 45800 to ₹ 47800 today on MCX. Gold has a major support at 47850. Currently Gold is trading around 47800
Conclusion
If you are a trader then you can have a short term short call in Gold, target can be seen upto ₹ 47400. Make a strict stop loss of ₹ 47880
CRUDE OIL TREND ANALYSISTECHNICAL ANALYSIS
In October 2018, Crude Oil prices touched the level of ₹ 5600 on MCX but after that they sharply fall to ₹ 3000 same year in December.
Further last year during the lockdown crude oil fell to ₹ 1100 on MCX in April 2020 and rose to ₹ 5600 this year in July 2021.
Journey from ₹ 5600 in Oct 2018 to ₹ 3000 in April 2020 and again to ₹ 5600 in July 2021 ( shown in blue colour in graph) confirm the double top pattern with a resistant of ₹ 5600.
On October 4th 2021, it gave closing at ₹ 5825 (above its major support of ₹ 5600) for the first time after Oct 2018 that confirmed the upward moment of crude oil.
CONCLUSION
We do not suggest you to make any fresh short position in crude oil at this level. However, making any long position at this level would also be very risk as the prices are not certain at this level, however levels around ₹ 6500 can be seen very soon in crude oil on mcx.
MCX Breakout from Rectangular ChannelMCX has broken out of its rectangular channel resistance zone of 1900 on the daily chart. The candle formed is a Doji at very high volume. The break out signals are not very clear yet and therefore be wary of buying at the breakout yet. Better to wait for a pullback and buy at continuation.
Silver MCX looks promisingSilver MCX looks promising at this level
After several attempt to break trend-line it is
once again at the level, RSI crossing 50 levels
If breakout occurs and stays above the Resistance we may see level around 63100-64800.
However if failed, reversal happens from this level! then nearest
support will be around 59950-58890.
Thanks
MCX GOLDEN CROSS OVERThe golden cross occurs when a short-term moving average crosses over a major long-term moving average to the upside and is interpreted by analysts and traders as signaling a definitive upward turn in a market. ... Basically, the short-term average trends up faster than the long-term average, until they cross.