MCX Gold Price Limited Downside, Big UpsideMCX gold has started falling since 1st June, and it's moving under a parallel channel. But this time, it can break out this channel. Why? I will explain it through Elliott wave projection in the next update.
In the last trading session, it made a Doji candlestick. And that's a sign of trend change. If gold does not break the crucial level, then it can drop up to 0.382 to 0.236 .
In simple words, short-term targets: 46200 - 45960 - 45765
And for long-term traders: 45600 - 45060
But, the uptrend isn't far away. If gold does breakout of 46860 level, then we may see 47276 - 47600 - 47960+ .
Don't get confused! You have to watch out the level 46860 for an uptrend, and the closing price below the Doji candle indicated a bearish trend signal.
This week we may see higher fluctuations due to upcoming economic events. Watch the following significant releases or events that may affect the movement of gold, silver, crude oil, & natural gas:
Monday, Oct 04, 2021
15:30 OPEC Meeting - Medium Impact
Tuesday, Oct 05, 2021
19:30 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Sep) - High Impact
Wednesday, Oct 06, 2021
02:00 API Weekly Crude Oil Stock - Medium Impact
17:45 ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Sep) - High Impact
18:30 FOMC Member Bostic Speaks - Medium Impact
20:00 Crude Oil Inventories - High Impact
21:00 FOMC Member Bostic Speaks - Medium Impact
Thursday, Oct 07, 2021
18:00 Initial Jobless Claims - High Impact
20:00 Natural Gas Storage - Low Impact
Friday, Oct 08, 2021
18:00 Nonfarm Payrolls & Unemployment Rate - High Impact
Mcxgold
sell Gold CMP 47165 with SL of 47285 trgt 46750sell Gold CMP 47165 with SL of 47285 trgt 46750
1 Gold rises after US CPI misses analysts’ estimates
2 Treasury yields fall, allowing bullion to advance
3 Markets may have overreacted to inflation miss
The 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level (1801.57) from the July/August move also gave way.
The 1834.14 level is a major potential resistance level if bulls advance.
Weekly Outlook of MCX GoldIn June, XAUUSD and MCX Gold crash due to FOMC events. It has recovered almost 60% to 70% loss in the July month. You can read the previous articles of Gold to catch the next move.
This week gold may remain downside until it breaks the levels of 48520 . It can be up to 47580 - 47200 . But, once it crossover the 48520 levels, then it will become unstoppable again. And we will see 49000 - 49500+ levels soon.
Watch significant releases or events that may affect the movement of gold, silver, crude oil, and natural gas:
Wednesday, Jul 21, 2021
02:00 API Weekly Crude Oil Stock - Medium Impact
20:00 Crude Oil Inventories - High Impact
20:00 Cushing Crude Oil Inventories - Medium Impact
Thursday, Jul 22, 2021
20:00 Natural Gas Storage - Low Impact
Outlook: MCX Gold downtrend stopped at 46720Key Levels: 46720, 46250.
The corrective nature of the latest rebound suggests the Gold decline will continue. A break of hurdle will raise the possibility of the impulsive decline from near 46720 . A strong selling signal will come after a breakout of 46250 levels. So, intraday (day) traders can start selling between hurdle and breakout levels for the target of 46000 - 45460 - 44900 below.
But according to the current situation, gold is trying to recover the loss from the last 2 weeks' events. It's not sellable until following the above scenario. We can see the gold prices at 48000 - 49000+ in the upcoming days.
Watch significant releases or events that may affect the movement of gold, silver & crude oil.
Monday, Jun 28, 2021
11:00 - Gold Index
Tuesday, Jun 29, 2021
19:30 - CB Consumer Confidence (Jun)
Wednesday, Jun 30, 2021
2:00 - API Weekly Crude Oil Stock
17:45 - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jun)
19:30 - Pending Home Sales (MoM) (May)
Is Gold Going To 45700 Or Higher?The chart above indicating a clear uptrend continuation. We may see sideways movement before it hits the top of the rectangle.
According to the Darvas box ( rectangular formation ), MCX gold will move upward gently this week. Hence, intraday traders can jump between the range of 45200 - 45300 .
Targets: 45560 - 45680
If gold breaks the bottom of the rectangle, don't buy. And wait for my next update on the gold.
PART 2: When Will MCX Gold explode?On 15 Feb 2021, I have written an article on Gold. First, click below & read again:
URL:
I have written in that article, " If gold remains below 47296 levels, it will come down to 0.618 value of Fib retracement. Targets: 46860 – 46600 – 46000 – 45660 – 45200 ".
Gold has touched all targets.
NEW UPDATE:
==============
Keep eyes on the retracement value of 0.618. It will act as a resistance.
Targets: 44260 - 43600 - 43000 - 42260
Alternative scenario: If gold remains above 45200, it may try to hit 0.382 (TP: 46000 – 46800+ ).
When Will MCX Gold explode?Main scenario: If gold remains below 47296 levels, it will come down to 0.618 value of Fib retracement.
Targets: 46600 - 46000 - 45660 - 45200
Alternative scenario: If gold remains above 0.5 , it may try to hit 0.382 (TP: 48260 - 49000+ ).
So, here hurdle is 47296 for the short-term traders. Intraday traders can play both sides.
And we may see a strong uptrend after hitting the support.
Manappuram | Cup & Handle Pattern 🎯⭕ Positional Trading opportunity ! Weekly Chart Alert !!! ⭕
--Buy above =170 or CMP
--Target = 187 | 209
--Stop-loss = 159
--Lot Size = 6000
--R:R = 3.61
--Expected Profit = 2,28,000₹ per lot ( 22% )
--Expected Holding = 3-6 Months only
#ThankU For Checking Out Our Content , We Hope U Liked IT 📌
======================================================
⭕ Technical Reasons to trade or Strategy applied :- ⭕
1) Cup & handle formation
2) Volume is good at the time breakout
3) fundamental is also good ( Check Once More )
4) Refer Chart for more
Guys check out the related ideas as well, it will work really well GUARANTEED !
🙏FOLLOW for more !
👍LIKE if think is useful !
✍COMMENT Below your view !
MCX Gold 2021's SupercycleMCX Gold is collapsing after making the all-time high of 56191 (swing high). It has created a parallel channel in December. Gold prices are rising here. If gold breaks the dynamic resistance without fakeout, it can touch 5 1000 - 52000 - 52384 levels at the beginning of 2021.
And if gold breaks the parallel channel and retracement value of 0.618 , it will become unstoppable and hit the following levels: 48800 - 47800 - 47296 - 46000 - 45196