Midcaps
bse 400 mid cal small cap BSE 400 MID SMALL CAP
4 hour chart view
Support of 5195 needs to be held.
RSI has exited overbought zone and
further fall below 5195 can extend into
a correction to test the retracement of
of 38.2% -5013 which can put
pressure on the stocks.
Support on monthly chart is at 5082-5049.
RSI on monthly chart has hit the overbought.
Violation of support can set a minor near term
correction.
Consolidation above 5195 if happening fine that can lead
to
TATA CHEMICALSIt has entered into the PRZ of a Bearish Harmonic Butterfly suggesting a pullback/reversal in daily time frame till 340/335. View would negate above 370
Harmonic Butterfly Patterns usually indicate pullbacks of the larger trend (in this case the same being up) not major reversals. Such patterns are usually associated with breakout patterns and respective pullbacks.
NIFTY bounces from 200SMA | Sell pressure after morning sessionNifty - Technical Analysis:
-Nifty gaped up around 11550 owing to positive sentiment and buying observed in midcaps and smallcaps due to the recent SEBI circular.
-We were unable to sustain above 11,550-11,575 which is a little concerning. Even if it were to take a day or two and then get past those levels, we are in bullish territory.
-NSE Nifty settled 24 points or 0.21 per cent lower at 11,440
Market - Driving Factors:
-IT and pharma led the rally as several small and mid-cap stocks registered smart gains today despite the clarifications put out on multi-cap schemes of mutual funds.
-Nifty IT and Realty indices jumped up to 5 percent while the broader market was trading on a choppy note. Shares of HCL Tech and Mphasis jumped 10 percent while those of Larsen & Toubro Infotech, Wipro, PCS and Infosys jumped up to 6 percent.
-Trade cautiously and look at earnings stability, if investing for the long-term in small-caps.
-On the flip side, BSE Telecom, Banks, Finance and Energy failed to perform and ended the day with losses.
Nifty - Outlook for Tuesday, 15th September:
Owing to US elections in November, we can expect volatility ahead. India VIX was up 2% today. People are suggested not to take huge risk in the coming months as we can see a government trigger coming. During the last US elections, before 20-30 days India came up with demonetisation. Due to the current scenario chances of a cheering clause can be expected. Small cap and mid cap rally can be benefitted from and good companies with earnings stability and growth can be cherry picked for good returns.
Nifty/Small Cap Relative StrengthPost SEBI's circular on Multi Cap this chart warrants attention. The current reversal which has seen the Small Cap Bullish revival is now at a monthly as well as weekly support of a Spread Strength Comparison of Nifty / Small Cap. For further out performance of Small Cap Index over Nifty (Large CAP) this support has to broken decisively. Else it might once again go and test it's recent high.
Relative Strength Study
Wabco India - Good for medium term investment. Medium term investors may look at Wabco India, looks like a good buy around 6280-6330 levels.
Targets can be 6580 - 6780 in 2-3 months, keep 6140 as stop loss.
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This post is not an advice to speculate using leveraged products, one must thoroughly understand the financial implications, consult some financial adviser before taking any positions.
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