Nifty 50 Index Analysis & Trade Setup (April 1, 2025)1. Current Market Overview
Last Close: 23,495.15
Day’s Range: 23,450.20 (Low) – 23,545.30 (High)
Change: -48.50 (-0.21%) – Minor bearish close
Key Observations:
The index faced resistance near 23,545 and closed slightly lower.
The 15-minute chart shows consolidation between 23,450–23,545.
The 1-hour chart suggests a broader range between 23,200–23,800.
2. Technical Analysis Breakdown
a) Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: 23,450 (Day’s Low)
Strong Support: 23,200–23,400 (Previous swing low & psychological level)
Immediate Resistance: 23,545–23,600 (Day’s High & round number)
Strong Resistance: 23,800 (Key swing high)
b) Price Action & Trend
Bearish Bias: The index closed below the opening price, indicating selling pressure.
Neutral Zone: If 23,450–23,545 holds, expect sideways movement.
Breakout Scenario:
Bullish Break: Above 23,600, target 23,800.
Bearish Break: Below 23,450, target 23,200–23,300.
c) Volume & Momentum
The decline was not extreme, suggesting cautious selling rather than panic.
A retest of 23,500–23,600 could confirm direction.
3. Trade Strategy (Intraday/Swing)
A) Short Trade (Bearish Bias)
Entry Zone: 23,500–23,550 (Retest of resistance)
Stop Loss: 23,600 (Above day’s high)
Target 1: 23,400 (Minor support)
Target 2: 23,200–23,300 (Strong support)
Risk-Reward: ~1:2 (Favorable)
B) Long Trade (Bullish Reversal)
Entry Zone: 23,450–23,400 (Support bounce)
Stop Loss: 23,350 (Below swing low)
Target 1: 23,600 (Resistance)
Target 2: 23,800 (Major resistance)
Risk-Reward: ~1:3 (High reward if breakout occurs)
4. Key Takeaways & Final Thoughts
Bearish until 23,600 breaks – The close below 23,500 suggests weakness.
Watch 23,450 closely – A breakdown could accelerate selling.
Bullish only above 23,600 – Confirmation needed for upside momentum.
Ideal Strategy: Wait for a clear break (either side) before committing.
Final Note: If the market opens near 23,500, watch for rejection (short) or bounce (long). Adjust stops based on volatility.
Mondaytrade
ZENSARTECHolatility Contraction Pattern is popularized by Mark Minervini, who is a two times US Investing Champion. Last year he won the championship with a record-beating 300+% in the year. He primarily uses VCP for his trading setups. It is a twist on the ascending triangle pattern with some variation.
It has the following characteristics:
The Stock must be in stage 2 uptrend.
A period of price consolidation must take place in thebase.
Price consolidation occurs after a stock has moved up in the price, the consolidation (or correction) is a constructive chart pattern that allows the stock to digest the bullish price movement.
Price volatility must contract through the base (from left to right).
During this period of price consolidation the stock price will correct.
Price must correct through a series of smaller contractions.
Each contraction should be tighter than the last, representing the absorption of more weak holders. Ideally this pattern has between2-4 contractions.
TFCILTDVolatility Contraction Pattern is popularized by Mark Minervini, who is a two times US Investing Champion. Last year he won the championship with a record-beating 300+% in the year. He primarily uses VCP for his trading setups. It is a twist on the ascending triangle pattern with some variation.
It has the following characteristics:
The Stock must be in stage 2 uptrend.
A period of price consolidation must take place in thebase.
Price consolidation occurs after a stock has moved up in the price, the consolidation (or correction) is a constructive chart pattern that allows the stock to digest the bullish price movement.
Price volatility must contract through the base (from left to right).
During this period of price consolidation the stock price will correct.
Price must correct through a series of smaller contractions.
Each contraction should be tighter than the last, representing the absorption of more weak holders. Ideally this pattern has between2-4 contractions.
COCHINSHIPVolatility Contraction Pattern is popularized by Mark Minervini, who is a two times US Investing Champion. Last year he won the championship with a record-beating 300+% in the year. He primarily uses VCP for his trading setups. It is a twist on the ascending triangle pattern with some variation.
It has the following characteristics:
The Stock must be in stage 2 uptrend.
A period of price consolidation must take place in thebase.
Price consolidation occurs after a stock has moved up in the price, the consolidation (or correction) is a constructive chart pattern that allows the stock to digest the bullish price movement.
Price volatility must contract through the base (from left to right).
During this period of price consolidation the stock price will correct.
Price must correct through a series of smaller contractions.
Each contraction should be tighter than the last, representing the absorption of more weak holders. Ideally this pattern has between2-4 contractions.
$NIFTY: Watch out for 17200-17215 zone $NIFTY is a no brainer in a downtrend.
However, last sessions have seen an upside push.
So the question that is bothering every one is whether the down trend is over?
Well! only time will tell whether the downtrend is over. The last swing high on 1 hour time frame is a crucial in answering this question.
If price breaks this line/zone on the upside and retests it before continuing upside, will establish the uptrend. However, a failure to do so will continue Bear slapping the price down.
What is my take?
I have this hunch that a Pole and Flag pattern is likely, i.e. price will reach the 17200-17215 zone or very close to its lower end, kind of forming a double top pattern and reversing from there.
If this happens, we should be ready to see further downside, at least to the last swing lows of around 16860. If this low is broken then downtrend will continue.
Why do i think that pole and flag pattern is likely?
Call me cautious, but in each of the two days, there has been strong selling pressure. Which clearly indicates sellers are strongly holding the 17200 positions.
I have a feeling that on Monday, we are likely to see a gap up closer to this zone, the price touching it before sellers pushing the price down. Only if the buyers are able to keep the market up above this zone towards the end of day, either on Monday or Tuesday, then we can see trend reversal. I am not sure about the second half play. SO i will play as per trend.
Finally what to expect for Monday?
- Gap up closer to 17200 level
- First half Bears will push the price down from 17200 levels
- Second half bulls may/should come back if the trend has to reverse, if so we can get a small doji. If Bulls dont come back in second half expect a red candle.
Coal India flag pattern , can longA flag chart pattern is formed when the market consolidates in a narrow range after a sharp move. Usually a breakout from the flag is in the form of continuation of the prior trend. Flags give very high risk reward ratio which means relatively small risk and high and quick profits. Remember there is always a risk.
Here breakdown can happen in up side to continue the uptrend.
It is in one day (1D) chart so , there is highrisk
Any suggession......












