US 100 Nasdaq Trade Idea Setup - The US 100 looks better to me when compared to the US 30 or Dow
- Nasdaq can keep outperforming so your bias should be bullish
- The focus here shouldn't be to keep shorting every top you see
- Rather focus on deep retracements and make sure the structure doesn't change
- Refine your charts on a shorter timeframe and make sure you see a strong base everywhere
Nasdaq
US 100 Nasdaq 100 Trade Setup - Nasdaq recently got rejected after trading at its all-time high
- Nasdaq is currently retracing and looking to first mitigate the recent origin its started the impulsive move from
- From a Trading perspective, I would prefer scalp shorts and complement them with swing longs once the retracement is done and completed
- A shorter TF should lead to a retracement and a HTF should lead to another round of expansion
- All this can invalidate once you see THE FED delivering a hawkish stance and start hiking rates
Nasdaq/ US 100 Swing Short Trade Setup- Nasdaq followed the plan lately but it did after breaching its previous high
- The trend looks faded and I personally am aiming for a strong retracement
- Without a strong retracement I don't think except for scalps there is a point longing anything without a strong reasoning.
- If you are holding shorts then make sure you are prepared for a retracement upside and post that you add more size if you feel like.
Dow jones industrial chart studyDow jones around 37600
240 mins time frame
Ascending parallel channel breakdown
big fat bearish candle formation on breakdown of channel structure..
now till the high is not crossed and sustained,,
index have possibility to retrace by 50-61% of last furious rally
and note one thing retracement will be sharp
till it below high levels view remains valid
NASDAQ chart study IXICNasdaq ixic index at 15050
Daily time frame
Bearish wolf wave pattern formation on long time consideration ,
ascending sharp wedge on smaller time consideration
Wedge is already broken and reversal from above the wolf wave resistance line is in progress,,
if this wolf wave has to progress as per theory, than index might head towards levels of 13700-13500.
in between if needed modification can be done,,
Nifty ITOverview of Nifty IT index.
Nifty IT index trading at 52-Weeks high.
The Nifty IT Index tracks the performance of 10 Indian IT companies listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE). It calculates values using the free float market capitalization method, starting with a base date of Jan 1, 1996, set at 1000. This indexing measures the total free float market value of the stocks relative to a specific base market capitalization value. Notably, the base value of the index was adjusted from 1000 to 100 on May 28, 2004.
Top 5 constituents by weightage
1. Infy - 26.77%
2. TCS - 24.9%
3. HCL Tech - 9.89%
4. Tech Mahindra - 8.86%
5. Wipro - 8.24%
View -
The ongoing surge in the Nifty IT index is expected to persist, driven primarily by major
players in the large-cap IT segment such as TCS, INFY, WIPRO, HCL TECH, and TECH
MAHINDRA. The favorable performance of NASDAQ, currently at its 52-week high, is likely to
have a positive impact on the broader IT sector.
Stock specific view ( Educational & Learning Purpose)
1. Infy heading towards 1620 level.
2. Wipro heading towards 480 level.
3. TCS heading towards 3850 & 4000 level.
4. TechM is on verge of breakout & will move towards 1500 level.
5. HCL tech is at all time high.
DISCLAIMER - All analyses are for educational purposes. it is not trading or investment advice.
11th Nov ’23 BankNifty PostMortem, bit of catching up is pendingBankNifty Weekly Expiry Analysis
Between the last expiry and today, BankNifty has gone up by 421pts ~ 0.96%. Bulk of those gains came in from the gap-up today. The real good outcome in this week was to break out from the 44063 resistance level which was proving to be quite a nuisance for BN.
BankNifty Today Analysis
Dont get confused with the chart below, I will explain the sloping lines shortly. Notice the gap up of 519pts ~ 1.18% today took out the crucial resistance of 44063. A walk down the history will teach you how crucial was that. 44068 was the most important level in recent times and a breach means there is only 1 way to go - UP.
BankNifty after opening strongly started falling and it started to slow down only at 44200 levels. Of all the major sectors, BN proved to be the laggard in supporting Nifty50 today. NiftyIT on the other hand ended up with a whopping gain of 2.59%. All that is due to the SPX and Nasdaq closing yesterday.
And its time to explain the ascending channel that we started drawing from the last post-mortem. BankNifty has respected the channel - more proof visible after the 1st hourly candle today. If we consider the break out from the resistance level of 44063 along with the ascending channel - its a strong bullish signal for BankNifty. Today’s underperformance will get covered up soon as BN usually goes ahead of Nifty during strong trends. My next level comes up at 44542, support is at 44063.
Nasdaq in complex correctionNASDAQ:IXIC
I think Nasdaq composite is in XX Wave right now. No one can predict this wave how long it will be what kind of structure will unfold in this structure.
Two Possibilities: -
1] It's in control range within main range. where price retest at resistance of control range.
So, maybe price will go near 13500/- for retest and then go up near 13800/-
After 13800/- price will go below 13000/- for completion of Wave Z.
2] Price will go straight from here to 13800 and then will go near 13000/- for completion of Wave Z.
Nasdaq Breaking DownLook at the Lower High formations in this chart. This is a clear sign of a downtrend. One should be very careful in the market when such trends appear because there are only 3 trends in total. Markets can either be Bullish, Bearish or Sideways. Nasdaq has gone into a bearish trend and one needs to be very careful as US markets and the economy itself is tanking. Hence, this broader view gives one a clear idea as to what needs to be done right now.
This is a bearish market when it comes to US. Be careful as the impact of US is normally felt all across.
Short Term view on NIFTYToday nifty gap down from the resistance of value area (Range) and touched control value area or small range within big range's and acted as support for price and form doji. Because of Doji market is uncertain to predict because of Island reversal too. To increase the probability of the prediction that the market or trend reversed or not yet. price must have to fill the today's gap.
Island reversals are strong reversal pattern. like on 5th Oct which gave strong support for the gap down of Israel - hamas war. Today's pattern is also Island Reversal.
For Bullish view market must have to fill the today's gap first. NSE:NIFTY
Nikkei 225 is strong. Going for all time high.TVC:NI225
Nikkei 225 index is in range. Price was rebounding and reversing on support & resistance. recently price gone outside of value area tested strong support value area (Sky color) near 30700.
After testing 30700 market was on fire to inside big value area (Range). It's sign of buying in market.
Nikkei 225 MAYBE will go more upside near 32850 or 33000 and then reverse.
SPX 500 analysis simiar to NASDAQ, it too needs ti sustain above 20 september highs to turn Bullish from curent bearish trend !
If one Observe carefully, they will find that despite the counter breaching 20 and 50 EMA levels, in last 3-4 cases, despite there was no NEGATIVE crossover like its seen recently
thats worrisome
Long term bearish - NasdaqHello to all,
The chart is of Nasdaq on weekly time frame.
I think, it just have completed wave B and wave C to the downside is already started or
may be very soon to start.
But overall view is bearish for long term.
The probably targets might be 9600 if it does A=C.
It may get little more to the down that we can see later as wave get developed at that time.
Lets see how it goes.
Stay alert.
All the best.