Nasdaq
NASDAQ - ABC Corrective Phase or D Impulsive Wave Completed ?On Daily Basis:
IXIC ( NASDAQ ) is currently facing a strong resistance at 12600 and also the retracement of the fall which could be D Impulsive wave. 200 DMA is at 13570, another resistance. Level of 12600 is 50% retracement of C Impulsive wave down and currently it has closed just above at 12658. RSI made a double bottom on weekly basis and turned its trend upwards. IXIC is at neutral zone right and there could be a decisive move either side which could be massive. All the major world indices and precious metals have corrected in a similar fashion, and waiting for a decisive move. IXIC breached 50 DMA and any sustainable move above 12600 could indicate a trend reversal, we may witness a bubble rally. It is at a decisive point and difficult to determine a trend. Any major decisive move upward may prove that ABC correction wave of entire Bull run from COVID low in March 2020 has been completed. Secondly, IXIC should fall immediately which should be fast and swift, then we can say that D impulsive wave is over with E impulsive wave in progress for capitulation. Right now view stands neutral.
Warning and Disclaimer:
Above prediction should not be taken as financial advise, it is a personal opinion.
Consult your financial advisor.
Investment is subject to market risks.
Past performance is not the guarantee for future performance.
It is for educational purpose only.
Nasdaq US100Markets resilient inspite of Hawkish Indication from FED
I think its just a technical bounce back
FIrst Hurdle 12214 Second hurdle 12287
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Nasdaq Elliott wave structureElliott Wave view in Nasdaq suggests the decline to 11035.20 ended wave (3). Wave (4) corrective rally ended at 12225.70 with internal subdivision as a wave A-B-C in a zigzag pattern.
Final leg higher wave C ended at 12225.70 which also completed wave (4). The Index has turned lower in wave (5), but it still needs to break below wave (3) at 11035.20 to rule out a double correction.
Internal subdivision of wave (5) is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse structure, where wave 1 completed near 11400, Now wave 2 rally is in progress to correct cycle where wave ((a)) and ((b)) had already ended and now wave ((c)) of 2 to end soon and Index to turn lower. Should sell on rise, On the way upside Invalidation level is pegged at 12230, and RK's stop line on daily chart can also be a hurdle to go up side, which is pegged at 12070, On closing below 20DMA can show more weakness, which is now pegged at 11621, Once its gone then more journey towards south can start, towards 11500, 11394, 11291, 11145, 10959, 10729 and 10441 too.
Overall wave structure along with all the key levels
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Nasdaq (US 100) near its bottom. Dont expect much downside.Nasdaq near its trendline support and very near to 200 weekly ema (only touches during crash period).
Also Weekly rsi is heavily oversold with a bullish divergence.
Market cap of s&p500 index came down to near its december,2020 period. it means all surplus (of covid period) already sucked out of markets.
Soon a bottom will be formed and markets show a meaningful bounceback.
Nasdaq NASDAQ IN MY POINT OF VIEW :-Note a recommendation
there is a bullish diversion formed on 13 june 2022 at daily chart of Nasdaq mentioned with red trend line and previous session price close above the high of the diversion candle which is a some positive sign
if the price retrace and come to the buy on dips area which is mentioned with pink area is a hourly chart area where there is also formed a bullish diversion
if recent low does not break and price come down in that hourly Zone let the price dip first and see if the price come out and close above that area than one should enter
otherwise price come down and close below that zone than there is more chances can break the low of the recent one hence one should wait for the price action.
buyers of the buy on dips zone can take a trade for the target of tussel zone of the daily time frame with the recent low STOPLOSS.
Nasdaq 4H setupNasdaq has fallen much due to high inflation and expected hawkish Fed stance...
But i have marked some updside targets most like a knee jerk reaction can be seen.
THE DOLLAR INDEX MIGHT SEE A CORRECTION OR EVEN A REVERSALthe dollar index might see a sell-off for quite a few while the reasons for it is
REASONS
1. on a 1week time frame we are seeing a strong resistance.
2. on the 1day time frame we are seeing double top on the resistance.
3. and on 15 min time frame, we can see a head and shoulder pattern and a descending triangle pattern.
4. if the US market stays positive today we could see and in verse affect the dollar index.
so, my suggestion is to stay against the dollar and you could eventually capture a big move
LONG OPPORTUNITY ON EUR/USD the EUR/USD can see a rally for some time
REASONS
1. we are at a very crucial weekly support.
2. we made a double bottom on such crucial support.
3. on 1h time frame we broke a trend that had been tested quite a few times.
4. the dollar index is at its all-time high and made a double top.
so, as the USD depreciates we will see a rally in EUR/USD.
NOTE: IF THE US STOCKMARKET CLOSES IN GREEN OR MAKE SIGNS OF RECOVERY WE MIGHT SEE A HUGE RALLY IN THIS FOREX SO KEEP A TRACK OF US MARKET AS WELL
swing trade( bearish view) , AAPLstock price is already broken the structure of higher highs and higher lows, and currently the price is moving in the bearish structure( lower lows and lower highs, parallely the volumes are hevay when the price moves downward and volumes are low when price is moving higher, safe trade can be taken when the price hits the retest area and there should be formation of healthy red candle with the heay volumes ,
setup:-
entry can be taken below the low of that healthy red candle
stoploss can be above the high of that candle
views are only for educational purposes
NASDAQ 100NASDAQ 100, never came below the ema of 233 since 2010, and came below 144 only 2 times after that, in 2018 and 2020 and gave good bounce back from there.
Now if you see it is making the same pattern around 144 ema as it did during a covid low in 2020.
It looks bullish from here, until and unless it again closes below 144 ema.