Breakdown in NIFTY...Nifty has broken it's channel support line (Lower Channel Level) on weekly closing basis. Nifty's next two support after breakdown are marked with green lines.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
NIFTY
Nifty 50 Index 22124.70 by Daily Chart view: Different ViewpointNifty 50 Index 22124.70 by the Daily Chart view - Different Viewpoint
A different point of view for the Nifty 50 Index Technical Chart Setup Analysis. This is solely and purely my personal perspective for the Bearish Head & Shoulders pattern's. I will be happy to welcome and get your fine line pointers for the improvement on the Technical Analysis for this Chart Setup. Thank you in advance to One and All.
The 1st H&S Bottom is broken down and now need to look forward, if ..... Nifty 50 Index touches the 2nd H&S Bottom or takes an early reversal ..... Hope for the best to happen and keeping fingers crossed. God Bless All.
Nifty 50 spot 22124.70 by the Daily Chart viewJust sharing an update in continuation over the last week Nifty 50 Index chart data reading.
Nifty 50 spot 22124.70 by the Daily Chart view
- Next Support Zone at 21485 to 21710 Level
- Gap Down Openings of 24-Feb-2025 and 28-Feb-2025 would need to be closed
Nifty Reversal Watch: Key Demand Zones & Moving Average in FocusAs a pure technical analyst, I rely solely on what the charts reveal, ignoring the noise of news and fundamentals. Charts tell the story in advance.
As a demand and supply zone trader, my primary focus is on identifying key areas where institutional activity is likely to drive price action. Today, we’ll analyze the Nifty 50 through the lens of demand zones and then complement it with traditional technical analysis using moving averages. This analysis aims to provide clarity on potential reversal zones and market behavior.
📊 Demand Zones: The Foundation of Analysis
Monthly & Quarterly Demand Zones : On the monthly timeframe, I’ve identified a critical demand zone. When we zoom into the quarterly timeframe, this zone aligns perfectly, creating a high-confluence area. These zones represent institutional footprints (Banks, mutual funds, etc. ), indicating where smart money is likely to step in. These are not just traditional lines or boxes on the chart; they are the footprints of institutions that control the market.
Significance of Demand Zones : Demand zones are areas where buyers are expected to dominate, often leading to price reversals. The confluence of monthly and quarterly demand zones increases the probability of a strong support level.
Current Price Action : Nifty is currently hovering near these demand zones, suggesting a potential bottom formation.
📊 Traditional Technical Analysis: Moving Averages
Now, let’s analyze the market through the lens of traditional technical analysts who rely on moving averages.
EMA 20 on Monthly Timeframe : The 20-period EMA on the monthly chart acts as a reliable support level historically. Since 2004, price reversals have consistently occurred near this moving average, marked by green circles on the chart.
EMA 20 as a Magnet : The EMA 20 on the monthly timeframe is equivalent to the 400-period EMA on the daily timeframe, representing the average price of almost 400 days. In trending markets, price always reverts to its average, making this a critical level to watch.
Historical Exceptions : While there are rare instances (marked by red circles) where Nifty has broken below the monthly EMA 20, the presence of demand zones adds an extra layer of support, reducing the likelihood of a significant breakdown.
Current Price Action : Nifty is currently near the monthly EMA 20, which coincides with the monthly and quarterly demand zones.
📊 Combining Both Approaches
High-Confluence Area : The alignment of monthly and quarterly demand zones with the monthly EMA 20 creates a high-confluence area. This increases the likelihood of a strong support level and a potential Bottom.
Risk Management : While the setup appears promising, it’s crucial to manage risk effectively. Always use strict stop-loss orders and avoid over-leveraging. Even high-probability setups can fail, especially when market sentiment is overwhelmingly negative.
📊 Conclusion
The Nifty 50 is at a critical juncture, with multiple technical indicators pointing towards a potential reversal or consolidation. The confluence of demand zones and the monthly EMA 20 provides a high-probability setup. However, always remember that no setup is foolproof, and risk management is crucial, it’s essential to remain cautious as markets can sometimes defy all technical setups.
This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not intended as trading or investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
Lastly, thank you for your support.
"The market is a master of patience; trade with discipline, not emotion." 🚀📊
Nifty 50 inverted hammer is Reversal sign? key levels on chart!The Nifty 50 📉 closed flat with a slight negative bias after rangebound trading today. It continued its downward move for the sixth consecutive session but stayed above the 22,500 zone for another day. 📊 The formation of an Inverted Hammer candlestick 🔨, along with India VIX dropping below 14 📉 and RSI in the oversold zone 🛑, suggests a potential reversal in the coming sessions. Resistance is at 22,620 🚀, and key support is at 22,510, with 22,420 being the next critical level 🔑.
Monthly 20 SMA 22,420 is critical level and strong key support if break below trendline. Opening at 22,516, the Nifty traded within the range of 22,625 and 22,514 before closing at 22,548, down 6 points. A small bullish candle with a long upper shadow formed, resembling the Inverted Hammer pattern 🔨, suggesting a potential rebound if confirmed in the next session 🕒.
#Nifty #Intraday #Banknifty
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 26 Feb 2025NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 26 Feb 2025
Bullish-Above 22630
Invalid-Below 22580
T- 22810
Bearish-Below 22500
Invalid-Above 22550
T- 22295
NIFTY has closed on a flat note today but overall market was bearish as morning bounce was sold into and day ended near day low. We have been following sell on rise approach till index closes below 50 EMA in daily TF. Also any correction move in hourly TF will be indicated if index closes above PDH in daily TF. 22630 and 22500 are intraday levels for tomorrow's session.
Coming to Wednesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22630 then we will long for the target of 22800+.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22500. T- 22290.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIFTY - Breakdown OR Support...Nifty is third time at it's channel support line (Lower Channel Level). Weekly close below it will confirm breakdown.
Nifty's next two support after breakdown are marked with green lines.
Disclaimer: This is for demonstration and educational purpose only. This is not buying or selling recommendations. I am not SEBI registered. Please consult your financial advisor before taking any trade.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 24 Feb 2025NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 24 Feb 2025
Bullish-Above 22850
Invalid-Below 22800
T- 23050
Bearish-Below 22720
Invalid-Above 22770
T- 22390
NIFTY has closed on slight bearish note with 0.58% cut last week. Index has been trading below 50 EMA in daily TF since last few months. Till it is trading below 50 EMA, overall sentiment will be sell on rise. To check bullish reversal last swing high will be important for consideration. As of now 23850 is the last swing high. Since last 4 sessions index has been descending at 22720.. Breakdown can trigger a move towards 22390.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22850 then we will long for the target of 23050.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22720. T- 22390.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty 50 spot 22795.90 by the Daily Chart viewNifty 50 spot 22795.90 by the Daily Chart view
- Nifty 50 Index 22775 to 22950 Support Band is yet sustained
- Long shot deep Support Zone seen at 22125 to 22350 which for now seems bit (un)likely by current technical chart status setup
- Just a flag to highlight : Nifty Index had dipped up to 22720 in recent past few days and similar levels was Resistance Level in April 2024 for 23K Index target
- Few of the Gap Ups and Gap Down openings, yet are remaining to get closed and filled in below the Old Long Shot Support Zone at 22125 to 22350 for Nifty Index levels
"Analyzing Nifty 50: Support, Resistance, and Trade Insights"Let's take a look at the Nifty 50 chart to analyze current support and resistance levels, and whether it's a good time to consider a bullish trade or if the market might drop further.
Currently, the Nifty 50 is showing a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. This suggests that the market is struggling. However, there is a bottom trend line that supports the index quite well. Despite this, recent heavy selling by Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) means we haven’t seen a clear reversal pattern yet. Right now, the market is consolidating near this trend line.
For the Nifty to turn bullish, we would need to see a strong buying moment . We hope the index doesn’t fall below this trend line, but if it does, we could see a drop of several hundred points.
At this point, it might be wise to hold off on making any trades until we have clearer confirmation of market direction. For those considering a bullish position, a sensible stop-loss would be below 22,700 .
Please remember, this is for educational purposes only. Make sure to do your own analysis before making any trades and don't just follow someone else's advice blindly.
Nifty laying traps... another one for sellers...Hello Traders!
The market is constantly trapping sellers without moving to the downside. Right now, nothing in draw on liquidity is obvious. It, frankly, can go either ways . And what does it mean when we can frame both sides of market using ICT concepts? It means that we have LOW PROBABILITY conditions . I'm sitting on the sidelines until the market gains clarity, favouring buyside delivery.
As long as the invalidation low of 22725 holds, my bias would remain bullish . Once that low is taken, I'm not interested in price and would wait for the market to provide more info.
When it looks that it can go either ways, the market structure gets filthy and PRECISION leaves the chat. WAIT FOR MORE CLARITY . Or gamble . It's absolutely your choice .
Have a safe trading day.
GLGT.
Nifty 50 Index spot 22929.25 by Monthly Chart viewNifty 50 Index spot 22929.25 by Monthly Chart view
- Nifty 50 Index trending along the Rising Support Trendline 4th time over since March 2020.
- Support point starting March 2020, next in March 2023 followed in Nov 2023 and now in Feb 2025.
- *What can we anticipate and can we hope for some upside reversal from here ????*
Pulling the Elephant by the tail...Hello traders!
Sellside has been delivered... Any shorts now are in grave jeopardy... Chasing the market at this point is like pulling the ELEPHANT by the tail and expecting it to get pulled...
In short, enjoy the weekend now and kill all short positions... Sellers in jeopardy for the last hour of trading... Market repricing to 22922 and above.
GLGT.
Not financial advice....
Nifty about to TRAP longs... Bullish? Think AGAIN!Hello traders!
I'm looking at equal lows/sellside as the draw. My narrative is that we would take out any longs remaining with BUYSIDE at 23144.70 .
If we gap up above buyside, which is what I expect, it would be an easy day for shorts.
If we gap down, we may see a rush up to buyside and then take the move forward to SELLSIDE at 22786.90 .
But whatever the gap scenario is, my draw remains towards 22786.90...
GLGT!
Not financial advice.
Nifty 50 spot 22985.25 by the Daily Chart viewNifty 50 spot 22985.25 by the Daily Chart view
- Sustained Support Zone for Nifty 50 Index 22775 to 22950 levels
- Will the Support Zone pass the 2nd retest after 1st test done on 27-January-2025
- Let's hope for the best to happen and look forward to see how things unfold going ahead
NIFTY 50 I Falling Wedge Pattern + Bulllish Divergence Nifty 50 Index is currently trading within a very important zone in simple words called area of interest Usually consisting of demand or supply zone. This level has acted as a solid base for the index.
The NIFTY 50 index presents a promising opportunity to initiate long positions at these levels (CMP23,000), Aligning well with the risk reward ratio and making it a favourable entry point for traders looking for Taking advantage of the upcoming trend.
The index has shown a pattern of forming lower highs and lower lows, which indicates a downtrend. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing a contrasting pattern of higher highs and higher lows. This divergence between price action and RSI suggests a potential shift in momentum and a possibility of a short covering rally.
Adding to this I see a falling wedge pattern which is a bullish signal suggesting an upward price movement which typically appears in a downtrend and often seen as a bullish Reversal pattern.
The analysis holds true when price close above 23,824 - daily timeframe.
While entering on current levels also has good opportunity of risk reward ratio, I suggest looking for a pin bar candle on today's close will Confirm Market picking support from the levels .
Conversely if nifty 50 index continues to recover, We could see a push towards 24,200 and 24,800 Which represent key Resistance areas. A good breakout above these levels likely signal Continuation of bullish trends in the indian markets.
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