Nifty Analysis for Monday 29 July 2024Nifty created sharp upside momentum in last 2 days, it's ultimate goal is 25000.
So I am providing highest probability intraday setup in Nifty50
My overview is bullish in nifty for Monday... it will good if Market opens gapdown or flat & creates a selling swing in first 30-45 mins then after creating a support price will bounce.
If Market opens gapup or flat and moves upside in first 30-45 min. then there is a very less probability of continuation so if Market creates M pattern then selling swing will be expected and intraday low break is min. expected.
NIFTY-TIPS
16th Nov ’23 Nifty Postmortem - Almost breaks 19776 resistanceNifty Weekly Expiry Analysis
Between the last expiry and today, Nifty50 has gained 359pts ~ 1.85% and broken 2 important resistance levels. We almost took out the 19776 resistance today but for a strong red candle @ 14.15.
Nifty Today Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “On the 1hr chart, the next target to break will be 19776 which is just 100pts away. Something that is easily possible if SPX holds its ground today. Since most of the market participants are long-only, any upsurge will sweep in more market participants.”
Nifty opened inline and then was steaming ahead, As we discussed yesterday it took out the 19776 with so much ease. The 3 5mts candles between 11.00 to 11.10 showed how the momentum picked up right before the resistance zone which kind of indicated that the rally was not going to slow down. By 13.55 we picked up more pace, quite visible by the FII participation on the BUY side. We hit an intraday high of 19875 by 14.45 and then something unplanned happened. We dropped 153pts in the 25 minutes, we will explain that in detail during the BankNifty Analysis below.
On the 1hr chart, we closed slightly below 19776, the 14.15 hourly candle is well-lit like a beacon. I am still continuing my bullish stance in the hopes that 19776 will get taken out during the forenoon session tomorrow. If not, I will be changing my stance to neutral and will update it via tradingview minds.
13 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - Cautiously BullishNifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: “I wish to just wait and watch for tomorrow and not get into an aggressive long position until Nifty50 has consolidated at the current levels. I wish to modify my stance to neutral from bullish. If we break the 19870 levels tomorrow — I wish to go short (bearish).” . I did not get into any new long position in Nifty, in fact I rolled up the PE to 19900 from 19800.
The rally momentum is not lost, its just that we had a blip yesterday. Seems like Moneycontrol got the reason for the huge cut on Midcaps and Small caps yesterday - Talk of basket selling by European financial services firm fuels meltdown in mid, small-caps
Nifty50 rallied 0.7% ~ 139pts vs Midcap +0.12% & SmallCap +1.02%. Has some money rotated and re-entered the large caps? The reason I did not go long today - The swing high of 20110 still not taken out. Meanwhile its still a win for the bulls as the final close is above 20000 levels.
On the 1hr chart Nifty50 is looking all the more positive and raring to go. I too wish to go long with downside protection via PUTS. The swings in options prices were crazy and the volume of put writing was intense suggesting more traders are betting on the bullish side. I expect the expiry to be above 19989 if we still have the bullish sentiment. I wish to stay 50% neutral and 50% bullish for tomorrow and would like to go 100% bullish once the swing high of 20110 is taken out.
Nifty Trading Plan for Expiry Nifty End Of Day Analysis for Trading on 04 May
Trading Support and Resistance levels for Nifty
Resistance Level
R3 -18286-98
R2 -18120-31
R1-18064-74
Support Levels
S1-18006-15
S2-17940-50
S3-17820-30
Nifty Trend Signal From Open Interest Analysis
PCR ratio as per Option Chain Analysis - 0.81 ( Bearish )
Max Pain As per Option Chain Analysis -18050
Major Resistance as Per Nifty Open Interest Analysis - 18200
Major Support as Per Nifty Open Interest Analysis -18000
Nifty FuturesNifty Futures
Looks like a bullish flag was made and Nifty did attempt to break it yesterday itself. Let's see where we open today but I think the bull rally should be back very soon.
There is a good support at 17274.50 level so the stoploss should be 17250 closing basis.
Long traders should keep the targets open as the nifty still has steam and we may see 17650 / 17750 levels soon.
Nifty Short I hope you can now see how NIFTY represents an excellent low risk profit entry setup allowing you to trade in the market.Take positions so that the risk/reward is in your favor.
Knowing why, where & when a strong reversal signal is being generated will be the only way to capitalize on your technical analysis .
Disclaimer: It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators presented in these chart will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. There is no assurance that the strategies and methods presented will be successful for you. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. Example presented in these chart is for educational purposes only and it should not be assumed that these are indicative of ordinary trades. These setups are not solicitations of any order to buy or sell. The publisher assume no responsibility for your trading results. There is a high degree of risk in trading.
Nifty Short I hope you can now see how NIFTY represents an excellent low risk profit entry setup allowing you to trade in the market.Take positions so that the risk/reward is in your favor.
Knowing why, where & when a strong reversal signal is being generated will be the only way to capitalize on your technical analysis .
Disclaimer: It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators presented in these chart will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. There is no assurance that the strategies and methods presented will be successful for you. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. Example presented in these chart is for educational purposes only and it should not be assumed that these are indicative of ordinary trades. These setups are not solicitations of any order to buy or sell. The publisher assume no responsibility for your trading results. There is a high degree of risk in trading.
Nifty long I hope you can now see how NIFTY represents an excellent low risk profit entry setup allowing you to trade in the market.Take positions so that the risk/reward is in your favor.
Knowing why, where & when a strong reversal signal is being generated will be the only way to capitalize on your technical analysis .
Disclaimer: It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators presented in these chart will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. There is no assurance that the strategies and methods presented will be successful for you. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. Example presented in these chart is for educational purposes only and it should not be assumed that these are indicative of ordinary trades. These setups are not solicitations of any order to buy or sell. The publisher assume no responsibility for your trading results. There is a high degree of risk in trading.
NIFTY LONG I hope you can now see how NIFTY represents an excellent low risk profit entry setup allowing you to trade in the market.Take positions so that the risk/reward is in your favor.
Knowing why, where & when a strong reversal signal is being generated will be the only way to capitalize on your technical analysis .
Disclaimer: It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators presented in these chart will be profitable or that they will not result in losses. There is no assurance that the strategies and methods presented will be successful for you. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. You should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. Example presented in these chart is for educational purposes only and it should not be assumed that these are indicative of ordinary trades. These setups are not solicitations of any order to buy or sell. The publisher assume no responsibility for your trading results. There is a high degree of risk in trading.
Comprehensive studies on NIFTY with using different Theories.Trend-base fib retracement major and minor EWT R 10844 for wave 5th.
=> 4W should not overlapped 1W: intentionally ignored from past research. More detail:
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timeCycle, fall expected date 8th/9th July 2020. As per PRICE ACTION, gap up can be seen and then a reversal.
History is going to repeat in this case, labeled 1 and labeled 2.
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Parallel Channel and Price Gravitation studied:
Ignored Intentionally the price which is outside of the parallel channel. We can be called them Access, Penetration whatever you want.
Upper Band has 4 touching and the lower band has 2 but important is Price Gravitation whereas "g" is waiting as the target. 10495 nearby
Upper-Band resistance zone starting from 10925-10979 . You can set the alert this area for selling zone.
Short-Term view for NIFTY spot. Minor trend-line R 9491 - 9509
The over-consumption has been upper bound of value area, therefore chance to over-consumption at lower bound.
There is no overparticular resistance 9500+.
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339p GAP
This is " Common Gap " price is not going to break support line.
Previous minor resistance at 9405. Nifty is going to open nearby this resistance ( 100+ nearby ).
Support line price area support at 9241.