Gold or Equities? A Crucial Turning Point Ahead#NIFTY/GOLD Ratio (Monthly Timeframe)
📊 What Is the NIFTY/GOLD Ratio?
NIFTY/GOLD ratio measures how the Indian equity market (#NIFTY) performs relative to #Gold over time.
Ratio ↑ = NIFTY outperforming Gold
Ratio ↓ = Gold outperforming NIFTY
📍 Current Market Structure
The ratio is now:
Approaching the long-term rising yellow trendline (dynamic support)
Converging with horizontal price structure zones (white dotted lines)
This confluence forms a major support zone — a potential bounce region .
📈 Trend Insight:
✅ Primary Trend: Long-term uptrend (favoring NIFTY)
⚠️ Short-Term: At a critical decision point
🧭 Scenarios:
✅ Bounce from support → NIFTY may begin outperforming Gold again
❌ Breakdown below support → Gold likely continues its outperformance
⏳ Neutral for now → Wait for confirmation (bullish reversal candle or momentum shift)
🏁 Conclusion:
This is a key macro-info tip for asset allocation and long-term investing.
Use this ratio to guide shifts between equity and gold exposure.
#NiftyVsGold | #GoldVsEquity | #AssetAllocation | #InvestSmart | #Nifty50 | #GoldInvestment | #TechnicalAnalysis | #MarketTrends | #WealthBuilding | #LongTermInvesting
NIFTY
NIFTY Analysis 14 october 2025 ,Daily Morning update at 9 amNifty spot chart is in overbought zone
Market is consolidating to create space for next move
Before market open identify fake level using my strategy
Nifty has technical upside space till 25400
Fake profit booking levels are 25174 and 25127
Nifty may open flat near 25255
Initial hour may see sustain attempt above 25290
If Nifty sustains above 25287 with volume short covering may start
Upside short covering target is 25348
If Nifty fails to sustain above 25203 downside pressure may build
Downside levels to watch are 25174 and 25132
Expect sideways and range bound price movement today
Volume confirmation is must for any breakout or breakdown
Intraday remains neutral to mildly bullish above 25287(important)
Avoid emotional trading during consolidation(super most important)
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 13-Oct-2025NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 13-Oct-2025
📊 Chart Timeframe: 15-Minutes
📍 Last Close: 25,278.20 | 🔽 -6.00 pts (-0.02%)
📅 Analysis Type: Psychological + Technical Levels-Based
🔍 Key Technical Levels to Watch
🟥 Last Intraday Resistance: 25,427
🟧 Opening Resistance: 25,364
🟠 Opening Support: 25,247
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 25,169
🟢 Major Support Zone: 25,078
🚀 Scenario 1 – Gap Up Opening (100+ pts above 25,380)
If Nifty opens above 25,380, it will enter a near-resistance zone between 25,364 – 25,427, making the early session crucial for direction confirmation.
In case the index sustains above 25,427 for 15–30 minutes with supportive volume, it could trigger a momentum rally toward 25,520–25,593 levels.
Avoid aggressive long entries immediately at open — instead, wait for a controlled pullback or retest near 25,364–25,400, which can offer a low-risk long entry zone.
If rejection candles appear near 25,427, it may indicate short-term profit booking. In that case, downside retracement toward 25,247 can occur.
A sustained failure to hold above 25,364 post-gap-up could turn the session choppy, so trade with confirmation.]
💡 Educational Insight:
Gap-up openings near resistance zones often invite emotional buying. Wait for the market to confirm strength through structure — not just price. Watch volume and candle behavior closely before acting.
⚖️ Scenario 2 – Flat Opening (Around 25,250 ± 50 pts)
A flat opening around the previous close keeps Nifty within the decision zone between 25,247 – 25,364.
If Nifty sustains above 25,364, bulls may regain control with upside potential toward 25,427 and then 25,593.
Failure to hold above 25,247 can trigger mild profit booking, dragging prices toward 25,169 — the last intraday support.
A bounce from 25,169 can act as a low-risk buy setup with strict stop loss below 25,078.
If a 15-min candle closes below 25,078, it confirms short-term weakness; sellers can then aim for 25,000–24,950 zones.]
🧠 Educational Tip:
Flat openings give the best opportunity to follow structure-based breakouts. Don’t predict — let price action dictate direction. Wait for a clear breakout above 25,364 or breakdown below 25,169 for a decisive trade setup.
📉 Scenario 3 – Gap Down Opening (100+ pts below 25,180)
If Nifty opens below 25,180, sentiment will lean negative, but watch how it reacts near the 25,078 major support zone.
A bounce from 25,078 can offer a relief rally toward 25,169–25,247, especially if short covering kicks in.
However, a breakdown and 15-min close below 25,078 may extend weakness toward 24,950–24,900.
Avoid chasing shorts aggressively at open — instead, wait for a pullback toward resistance near 25,169–25,200 to re-enter with better risk-reward.
The key here is patience — let the initial volatility settle before entering positions.]
💬 Educational Note:
Gap-down openings near major support often create traps. Let confirmation come through a strong close — don’t rely solely on the first few minutes of panic or excitement.
🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
Limit your risk to 2%–3% of total trading capital per trade.
Use 15-min or hourly candle close to confirm breakouts and stop losses.
Trade ATM or slightly ITM options to minimize time decay.
Avoid over-leveraging during high-volatility gap openings.
Consider using spreads (Bull Call / Bear Put) to hedge against rapid time decay.
Book partial profits once your trade achieves a 1:1 risk/reward to protect gains.
Avoid holding options beyond 2:45 PM, as theta decay intensifies in the final hour. ⏳]
📊 Summary & Conclusion
Nifty continues to hover in a tight consolidation range, with key resistance at 25,427 and support at 25,078.
A breakout above 25,427 can trigger fresh bullish momentum toward 25,593, while a breakdown below 25,078 may open the path for 24,950.
Patience, disciplined execution, and confirmation-based entries are essential — avoid emotional trading during gap openings.
Remember: The best trades are those backed by both structure and timing, not prediction.]
🎯 Focus Zones for 13-Oct-2025:
🟩 Buyers’ Zone: 25,169 → 25,078
🟥 Sellers’ Zone: 25,364 → 25,427
📢 Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . This analysis is meant purely for educational and informational purposes. Traders are advised to perform their own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
#Nifty | Will Nifty Break Free? Triangle Says Soon!#Nifty Daily Outlook:
CMP: 25,285
Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle ▶️
A Symmetrical Triangle pattern is forming on the daily timeframe , following a strong uptrend , a classic bullish continuation setup .
🟣 Breakout Level: A daily close above the falling trendline from the all-time high (ATH) ( marked in purple ) will confirm the breakout.
🎯 Pattern Target: 26,700
🔒 Pattern Invalidation: Close below 24,337 DCB
Price action is compressing tightly within the triangle, indicating a potential volatility expansion soon.
Breakout confirmation could reignite momentum toward new highs.
✅ Dips into support zones can be used for positioning, with proper risk management.
📌 Support & resistance levels remain the same as shared in the tagged weekly post.
#Nifty | #Nifty50 | #SymmetricalTriangle | #ChartPatterns | #SwingTrading | #PriceAction
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
#Nifty Weekly Outlook – Cup & Handle in Focus!CMP: 25,285
Primary Trend: Uptrend (Bullish Bias)
🔽 Support Zones
• 25154 – 25084
• 24858 – 24768
• 24588 (Major swing support)
🔼 Resistance Zones
• Immediate Resistance: 25424 – 25449
• Next Hurdles: 25638 – 25669
• Key Breakout Level: 26179 – 26277.35 (ATH)
Pattern: Cup & Handle ☕️
A classic Cup & Handle pattern is forming on the weekly timeframe , following a strong uptrend, which is a bullish continuation setup.
• 🧭 Neckline breakout (sloping white trendline) is the key trigger.
• 🎯 Target Projection: ~29,500 (~16% upside potential post-breakout)
🔒 Pattern Invalidation Level
• Weekly close below 24,337 negates the pattern.
⏳ Awaiting Breakout Confirmation
• A weekly close above the neckline with solid volume will confirm the breakout .
• Until then, price remains in a healthy consolidation.
✅ Dips into support zones can be used for positioning, with proper risk management.
#Nifty | #Nifty50 | #CupAndHandle | #ChartPatterns | #SwingTrading | #PriceAction
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Nifty 50 spot 25285.35 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 spot 25285.35 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Support Zone 24875 to 25135 for Nifty Index earlier Resistance Zone
- Rising Support Channel stayed grounded by continued supportive role
- Strong rejection observed at 25430 to 25670 Resistance Zone for Nifty Index
- Falling Resistance Trendline stands ground and Resistance Channel Breakout seems sustained
- Bullish Technical patterns of "W" Double Bottom followed by Rounding Bottom formed around Support Zone
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 09-Oct-2025💼 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 09-Oct-2025
📊 Chart Reference: 15-min Timeframe
📍 Last Close: 25,023.80 | 🔻 Change: -12.60 pts (-0.05%)
📅 Analysis Based on Psychological and Technical Levels
🔍 Key Technical Zones
🟧 Opening Resistance: 25,113
🟧 Last Intraday Resistance: 25,160
🟥 Major Resistance: 25,260
🟩 Buyer’s Try Zone: 25,094 – 24,935
🟢 Next Support: 24,721
📈 Scenario 1 – Gap Up Opening (100+ pts above 25,123)
If Nifty opens around or above the 25,150–25,180 zone, it will enter near the last intraday resistance area.
Initial candles should be observed for supply reaction. If prices sustain above 25,160 for 15–30 minutes, momentum traders may expect a rally toward 25,260 — the next psychological resistance.
However, if price shows rejection at 25,160 and fails to close above it on a 15-min basis, expect a pullback toward 25,050–25,014.
Fresh buying should only be considered after a breakout and retest above 25,160, confirming strength.
Aggressive short traders can consider small risk entries near 25,250–25,260 only if reversal candles appear.
🧠 Educational Note:
A gap-up opening near resistance zones often triggers early profit booking. Let the market reveal its true direction before acting. Avoid emotional entries in the first 15 minutes.
⚖️ Scenario 2 – Flat Opening (Around 25,000 ± 50 pts)
A flat start indicates indecision and offers balanced opportunities.
If Nifty holds 25,014–25,040 and rebounds, a short-term long trade can be considered with targets near 25,113 → 25,160.
A sustained move above 25,160 could extend gains to 25,260, but watch volume confirmation.
If the index slips below 25,014, sellers might test the Buyer’s Try Zone (25,094–24,935) where a strong reversal can occur.
Any hourly candle close below 24,935 may open the gate for deeper correction toward 24,721.
💡 Educational Note:
Flat openings work best when traders plan both sides. Use 15-min candle confirmations and align with broader trend direction from hourly charts.
📉 Scenario 3 – Gap Down Opening (100+ pts below 24,930)
A gap down would place Nifty straight into or below the Buyer’s Try Zone.
Observe price behavior near 24,935–24,900. If buyers defend this zone with strong green candles, expect a sharp intraday pullback toward 25,014 → 25,113.
Failure to sustain above 24,900 may accelerate decline toward 24,721, a crucial swing support.
Avoid shorting aggressively at open — wait for a 15-min candle close below 24,900 for confirmation.
Reversal traders can build long exposure gradually with tight stops below 24,720 if support holds.
🧠 Educational Note:
Gap-down opens often induce panic. The key is not to chase moves. Let the market test support and confirm reversal before committing capital.
🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
Keep position size within 2–3% of total capital for each trade.
Always define a stop loss based on candle close, not just intraday wicks.
Avoid trading OTM options during volatile sessions; use near ATM strikes for better delta control.
If volatility spikes, consider switching to spreads (bull call / bear put) to limit theta decay.
Respect time decay — avoid holding positions beyond 2:30 PM unless trend is very clear.
Never revenge trade after a stop-loss hit; remember, risk control = long-term survival. 🔒
📊 Summary & Conclusion
Nifty remains in a short-term corrective phase, with 25,160 acting as a crucial breakout level.
A move above 25,160 could lift prices toward 25,260, while rejection may invite selling pressure.
Support sits near 25,014 and deeper at 24,935–24,721.
Traders should focus on confirmation rather than prediction — patience and discipline will decide profitability.
🎯 Focus Zone for 09-Oct-2025:
🟩 25,014 → 24,935 (Buyer’s Control)
🟥 25,160 → 25,260 (Seller’s Control)
📢 Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The above analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Traders should conduct their own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Nifty Updates: Not a bearish trend yet. 07/10/2I have mentioned all the levels in the video. Kindly note that on your chart.
It is still not bearish, so no PE calls yet, especially to carry forward.
Target for Nifty is still pending for 25500, 25800 on swing position (will keep updating for any changes)
NIFTY : Trading levels and plan for 06-Oct-2025NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 06-Oct-2025
Nifty closed at 24,895, showing strong recovery momentum but still trading near crucial resistance and support levels. Tomorrow’s opening and follow-up price action will be key in determining short-term direction.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Opening Support Zone: 24,814 – 24,895
Opening Resistance / Support: 24,923
Last Intraday Resistance: 25,015 – 25,049
Last Intraday Support: 24,720 & 24,646
🚀 Scenario 1: Gap Up Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens above 25,000, it will be very close to Last Intraday Resistance (25,015 – 25,049) .
Sustained price action above 25,049 could trigger further momentum towards 25,100 – 25,150 levels.
However, if rejection occurs around resistance, expect profit booking back towards 24,950 – 24,923.
Traders should avoid chasing the gap-up and instead look for either a breakout confirmation or rejection signals to enter.
👉 Educational Note: Gap-ups near resistance zones often trap late buyers. Always wait for a retest before committing to a trade.
⚖️ Scenario 2: Flat Opening (within ±100 points)
A flat start near 24,850 – 24,900 will keep Nifty inside the Opening Support Zone (24,814 – 24,895) and just below 24,923 Resistance .
A breakout above 24,923 can fuel a rally towards 25,015 – 25,049, with further extension possible if momentum is strong.
On the downside, failure to hold above 24,814 may pull prices back to 24,720 or even 24,646.
Traders should adopt a wait-and-watch approach until the range between 24,814 – 24,923 is broken.
👉 Educational Note: Flat openings usually create range-bound trades early in the session. Focus on range breakouts to avoid getting chopped in sideways action.
📉 Scenario 3: Gap Down Opening (100+ points)
If Nifty opens near or below 24,750 – 24,720, the Last Intraday Support (24,720) will be tested immediately.
A breakdown below 24,720 could extend weakness towards 24,646 – 24,600.
However, if support holds at 24,720 – 24,646, a sharp short-covering rally back towards 24,850 – 24,900 is possible.
Patience will be key – wait for confirmation whether support sustains or breaks before taking positions.
👉 Educational Note: Gap-downs often trigger panic selling, but they can also present excellent reversal opportunities if support holds firmly.
🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
⏳ Avoid taking aggressive positions in the first 15–30 minutes; let volatility settle.
🛑 Place stop losses based on 15-min or hourly candle closes , not just wicks.
🎯 Use option spreads (Bull Call, Bear Put) to manage premium decay.
📉 Always maintain at least a 1:2 Risk-Reward ratio .
💰 Book partial profits at key levels to protect capital.
🧘 Never risk more than 2–3% of capital on a single trade.
📌 Summary & Conclusion
Bullish Bias: Above 24,923, targets 25,015 → 25,049 → 25,100+.
Neutral Zone: Between 24,814 – 24,923, expect consolidation.
Bearish Bias: Below 24,720, weakness towards 24,646 – 24,600.
📊 Nifty is currently at a decision-making level. Breakout above resistance can extend bullish momentum, while breakdown below support may invite selling pressure. The best approach is to stay patient, follow confirmation signals, and manage risk with discipline.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purposes. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Please do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Nifty 50 spot 24894.25 by Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 spot 24894.25 by Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Support Zone 24325 to 24500 for Nifty Index remains active
- Rising Support Channel playing hide and seek for continued supportive role
- Strong rejection observed at 25430 to 25670 Resistance Zone for Nifty Index
- Current Resistance Zone 24875 to 25135 of Nifty Index remains an active hurdle
- Falling Resistance Trendline and Resistance Channel are still playing out pretty strongly
- Bearish Rounding Top scenario effect seems been negated by upswing over the past 2 days
Quick update in Nifty daily chart: 03/10/25A small head and shoulder pattern is forming in the chart. It targets a 100 points downside fall from the neckline, i.e., around 24790sh.
Already holding 24800CE in Nifty.
Waiting point for buy exit is the breach of 24760.
Target downside is almost 24677-680
Daily Nifty Analysis: 03/10/25The cup and handle pattern is under formation here.
Support is 24760
Resistance and entry criteria are breached at the 24800-24805 level.
The target of the pattern is 25000, i.e., 200 points above.
On the contrary, the sell will be below 24760, for which I am not focusing much at the moment. On either way, the downside levels are also mentioned.
Maruti Hits the Brakes ?🚗 Maruti Hits the Brakes: Bearish Engulfing Signals a Possible Correction Ahead!
Maruti Suzuki has been one of the strongest performers in the market since August 2025, rallying nearly 35% in just two months 📈. The uptrend was further boosted after the GST cut reform, which led to a huge gap-up opening. From there, the stock followed a clear trendline support, steadily moving higher week after week.
But now, the charts are flashing caution signals ⚠️:
✨ 1. Daily Chart View
On 29th September 2025, Maruti formed a bearish engulfing candle.
This isn’t just an ordinary candle — it engulfed the previous four trading sessions’ candles, showing strong selling pressure.
Such a large engulfing candle often signals a trend reversal, especially after a sharp rally.
📅 2. Weekly Chart View (Bigger Picture)
For the past 8 straight weeks, Maruti delivered green candles — a remarkable bullish run.
This week, the weekly chart is also showing the formation of a bearish engulfing pattern (although two days remain for confirmation).
If this pattern holds at the close, it would indicate that momentum has shifted from buyers to sellers.
📌 3. Trendline Break
The uptrend since August was guided by a well-respected trendline.
This trendline now appears to be broken, which adds further confirmation that the bullish momentum has weakened.
⚖️ 4. What This Means
🔻 Bearish Signal: A strong bearish engulfing candle after a steep rally is a textbook sign of a potential correction.
⛔ Trendline Broken: Losing the trendline suggests the uptrend structure is failing.
📉 Correction Likely: After a 35% run-up, profit booking and a healthy pullback seem due.
👉 Summary
Maruti’s spectacular run since August may have finally hit a wall. With a daily bearish engulfing candle, a trendline breakdown, and the weekly bearish engulfing pattern forming, the probability of a correction is high.
Disclaimer:- I have a short position on the Stock.
#Nifty #StockMarket #stockmarketsindia #SachinCharts #stockmarketcrash #Epic202426 #SachinStockChart #Maruti #Auto #SachinStockAnalysis
Daily updates for Nifty50: 30/09/2025Between the chaos of bulls/bears at the current level of Nifty, there is a slight divergence for a back in the prices.
Nevertheless, I'm bearish for this unless prices are trading below 24805. I am bearish till the trendline that I shared yesterday.
Buying on the intraday level will be on rejection of 24628, which is 78.6% fib retracement.
Any swing trade will be on the rejection of the trendline at around 24530sh range
ETERNAL (Zomato): Breakdown Below Trendline ETERNAL (Zomato) had been on a strong bull run since April 2025, rallying from ₹195 to ₹344 🚀. Throughout this journey, the stock consistently respected an upward trendline, bouncing every time it touched the line.
But things changed on 26th September 2025:
❌ The stock broke down below the trendline support for the first time.
After the breakdown, it reached a low of ₹320, signaling that the structure had become weak
✨ 1. Trendline Signals (Daily Chart)
If we connect all the key highs of September 2024, December 2024, August 2025, and September 2025, we obtain a resistance trendline.
Recently, the stock gave a breakout above this trendline, but it failed to sustain and quickly slipped back below it.
This false breakout followed by weakness is often a bearish signal ⚠️.
📅 2. Short-Term View
Right now, the stock is hovering near ₹320, a critical support level.
If ₹320 breaks decisively, the weakness will get confirmed, and the stock may head toward:
🎯 ₹310
🎯 ₹300 (short-term target zone).
Until then, some retracement or sideways movement may happen, but the overall bias is weak.
🕰️ 3. Weekly Chart View (Bigger Picture)
Last week, the stock formed a bearish engulfing candle, where the body of the red candle completely covers the body of the previous green candle.
This pattern is a reversal signal, showing sellers overpowering buyers.
If this week’s close is below ₹320, it will confirm the bearish engulfing pattern ✅, adding further weight to the downside scenario.
📌 Summary:
🔻 Weakness Detected: Breakdown of trendline + false breakout on resistance.
⚠️ Confirmation Needed: Closing below ₹320 will confirm bearish engulfing and continuation of weakness.
🎯 Targets: If ₹320 breaks, next levels are ₹310 and ₹300.
🛡️ If ₹320 holds: Stock may bounce, but the overall structure remains fragile.
Nifty 50 spot 24654.70 by Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 spot 24654.70 by Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Support Zone 24325 to 24500 for Nifty Index
- Rising Support Channel broken down from its supportive role
- Earlier Support Zone now acting Resistance Zone 24875 to 25135
- Falling Resistance Trendline and Resistance Channel are strongly active
- Strong rejection observed at 25430 to 25670 Resistance Zone for Nifty Index
- Bearish Rounding Top is seen in the making process with Support Zone neckline






















