30-Year Downtrend Tested — Can Gold Break the Chain?🥇 #GOLD/#NIFTY Ratio (Yearly Chart)
📊 What Is the GOLD/NIFTY Ratio?
This ratio tracks how Gold performs vs. Indian equities (NIFTY) over time.
📈 Ratio ⬆️ → Gold outperforming NIFTY
📉 Ratio ⬇️ → NIFTY outperforming Gold
📍 Current Market Setup:
Trading inside a long-term falling channel (35 years) - consistent lower highs & lower lows
Recently made a strong rebound from the lower boundary, but the LH–LL structure remains valid
📈 Trend Insight:
✅ Primary Trend: Long-term downtrend (favoring equities)
⚠️ Short-Term: Momentum turning positive — possible medium-term Gold strength
💡 Still below major resistance , so reversal not yet confirmed
🧭 Possible Scenarios:
✅ Continued bounce → Gold may outperform for a while
❌ Rejection from channel top → NIFTY likely resumes dominance
⏳ Neutral for now → Watch for breakout or rejection from top of the falling channel
🏁 Macro Takeaway:
The GOLD/NIFTY ratio sits at a critical long-term zone .
A breakout could mark a major rotation from equities to Gold, while rejection keeps the equity uptrend intact .
Smart investors can use this ratio to balance equity vs. Gold exposure over long cycles. ⚖️
#GoldVsEquity | #NiftyVsGold | #AssetAllocation | #InvestSmart | #Nifty50 | #GoldInvestment | #TechnicalAnalysis | #MarketTrends | #WealthBuilding | #LongTermInvesting
NIFTY
Nifty 50 spot 25795.15 by Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 spot 25795.15 by Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Support Zone 25430 to 25670 for Nifty Index
- Rising Support Channel stayed grounded by continued supportive role
- Falling Resistance Trendline and Resistance Channel Breakout well sustained
- Resistance Zone 25875 to 26060 and then 26200 to ATH 26277.35 for Nifty Index
- The final hurdles stand firm grounds and is yet untimely to get to see a New Lifetime High created
- Nifty Index earlier shied away to cross the 25K level and now acting likewise to breach the ATH 26277.35 mark
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 27 Oct 2025NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 27 Oct 2025
Bullish-Above 25900
Invalid-Below 25850
T- 26115
Bearish- Below 25690
Invalid-Above 25740
T- 25490
NIFTY has closed with a slight bearish sentiment last week, a shooting star formed near ATH zone. 25500 will be a strong support zone for next week as its 0.382% of the recent leg of rally. In 15 Min TF it has been simple bearish structure. On Monday above 25900 in 15 Min TF trend may change to bullish again, it will be best if followed by a rejection at first attempt. On flat opening below 25690 in 15 Min TF, index will test 25490.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
#Nifty | Breakout Confirmed, Now Eyes on Support for Next Move#Nifty Update (Daily):
CMP: 25,891.40
Following our previous update at 25,285, Nifty has decisively broken out above the Symmetrical Triangle pattern and surged to a high of 26,104 today. Price action formed a bearish candle but managed to close positively on the daily chart.
🔄 What to expect next?
A potential retest of breakout levels is likely as profit booking is expected after a strong rally of over 1,500 points from the swing low. Watch the key support zones closely for a possible bounce.
🔽 Support Zones to watch :
25,669 - 25,638
25,449 - 25,424
⚡️ If Nifty holds these levels and reverses, it could set the stage for a renewed upmove aimed at surpassing the all-time high (ATH) at 26,277.
🔼 Resistance Zones to watch :
26,104 (recent high)
26,216 - 26,277 (ATH)
📈 A sustained break above the ATH will confirm continuation toward the symmetrical triangle’s ultimate target near 26,700 .
#Nifty | #Nifty50 | #BreakOutRetest | #SymmetricalTriangle | #ChartPatterns | #SwingTrading | #PriceAction
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Nifty 50 in my view will touch 23300 again if broke weekly loGiven present market momentum, 23,300 is now a distant support zone and the index is likely to remain well above this level unless there is a significant market correction or global event��.Earlier in January 2025, Nifty 50 faced hurdles near 23,500, and analysis from that period noted short-term bullish sentiment upon holding above 23,300��.However, looking at the current trend, touching 23,300 would require a substantial downturn in the market. With current bullish sentiment and institutional flows supporting higher levels, the probability of revisiting 23,300 in the short-term is low unless triggered by major negative news or profit booking that results in a deep correction��.
Nifty Nifty just formed as AB=CD pattern as shown
Disclaimer
Information provided is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or an offer to buy or sell securities. Investors are advised to carefully review all materials and consult with a financial advisor considering their own financial situation and risk tolerance before making investment decisions. The disclaimer also often includes statements about no guarantees or warranties regarding the accuracy, adequacy, or completeness of the information provided and emphasizes that investments can fluctuate in value and there is a risk of loss.
Nifty Bulls Cooling Off Before Next Surge?Eyeing a Strategic Entry on Pullback!
Nifty continues to ride the bullish wave 🌊, but signs point to a short-term pullback by Friday’s close — a healthy dip before the next leg up. 📉➡️📈
🎯 Trade Setup:
🔹 Buy: 25850 CE (28th Oct Expiry)
🔹 Entry: ₹165
🔹 Stop Loss: ₹135
🔹 Target: ₹225
📌 Risk-Reward is solid, with smart positioning ahead of next week’s move.
🧠 Stay patient — let the price come to you. Great setups don’t chase, they wait and strike. 🐅
Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
Nifty Index spot 25709.85 by Weekly Chart viewNifty Index spot 25709.85 by Weekly Chart view
- Support Zone 25235 to 25535 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 26025 to ATH 26277.35 Price Band
- Crystal Clear Bullish Cup & Handle formed around Support Zone
- Lets hope for the best to happen based on this Nifty 50 Index Chart setup
- Sharing this beautiful Nifty Index Chart setup, courtesy by a curious Co-Learners observation 😊👍🏽🤞🏽
Nifty 50 spot 25709.85 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 spot 25709.85 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- [ b]Nifty Index now just 567.50 points away from ATH 26277.35 for creating a New Lifetime High Milestone
- Resistance Zone 25875 to 26060 and then 26200 to ATH 26277.35 for Nifty Index
- The final hurdle step to cross over before we get to see a New Lifetime High creation
- Both Falling Resistance Trendline and Resistance Channel Breakout seem well sustained
- Current Support Zone 25430 to 25670 for Nifty Index was earlier a Strong Resistance Zone
- Rising Support Channel has stayed firmly grounded by providing the continued supportive role
- Bullish Technical patterns Double Bottom "W" followed by Rounding Bottom formed by Support Zone neckline
Nifty 50 Technical Analysis (October 19 To 24 , 2025)The Nifty 50 index closed at 25,709.85 INR, marking a gain of +124.55 points or +0.49% for the day.
Based on the latest data, the overall technical outlook is Strong Buy, driven by bullish signals from moving averages and technical indicators.
Key Support Levels (Aggregated):Immediate: 25,500–25,300
Strong: 24,850–25,613.58
Deep: 23,530–23,400
Key Resistance Levels (Aggregated):Immediate: 25,760
Next: –26,370.
Next Immediate Target : 26,300
Monthly Target - 28,000 - 28,500
Overall Outlook
The Nifty 50 shows robust bullish momentum in the short to medium term, with the index well above its 200-day moving average and supported by strong indicator readings. However, overbought conditions in momentum oscillators suggest possible minor pullbacks—watch for support around 25,500 - 25,300. Traders might consider buying on dips For Targets 26,300 - 28,000 - 28,500 . Always combine with risk management and fundamental factors.
Disclaimer
High Risk Investment
Trading or investing in assets like crypto, equity, or commodities carries high risk and may not suit all investors.
Analysis on this channel uses recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing or trading.
This channel, Render With Me, is not responsible for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from using or relying on this information.
Nifty 50 Hits Major Supply Zone After Trendline & VCP Breakout!Today, we're diving deep into the Nifty 50 chart, which is painting a very interesting picture. After a significant downturn, the bulls have been patiently and persistently fighting back. We've seen the index respect several supply zones in the past, leading to temporary declines. However, the character of the market seems to be shifting, and a major breakout has just occurred that we need to talk about.
🚀 A Tale of Two Patterns: Triangles and VCPs
If you look closely at the price action, a story unfolds. For months, Nifty was constrained by a sloping trendline, getting rejected from it on two separate occasions. At the same time, the price was carving out a series of higher lows. This convergence of a flat top (the trendline resistance) and rising bottoms formed a classic ascending triangle pattern—a sign of building bullish pressure.
What makes this setup even more compelling is the subtle pattern within the pattern: a Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP). Notice how after each minor decline, the pullbacks became shallower. This "drying up" of selling pressure is a textbook sign that sellers are losing control and the big players are accumulating positions. The formation of this VCP right before the breakout was a strong hint that the subsequent move could be powerful and decisive.
Yesterday, we witnessed the culmination of this battle. The price broke out of the triangle and shattered the downward-sloping trendline with significant momentum, slicing through previously tested supply zones. This is a clear victory for the bulls in the short to medium term.
What's Next? Navigating the Path Ahead 🎯
Now for the million-dollar question: where do we go from here? The breakout is strong, but the path ahead isn't without its obstacles.
The Immediate Hurdle: Price is currently pushing into a fresh supply zone . This is the first significant test for the bulls post-breakout. We should anticipate some friction here as sellers who were waiting at these levels might try to defend their territory. This could lead to a bit of consolidation or a minor pullback, which is perfectly healthy.
The Ultimate Test: If the momentum continues and buyers overwhelm the sellers at the current zone, the next major target comes into view. This upper supply zone is particularly critical because it coincides with the All-Time High (ATH). The ATH is not just a technical level; it's a major psychological barrier where many traders may look to book profits. A rejection from this all-important zone is a high probability, given its significance.
In the upcoming sessions, we'll be watching closely to see how the price behaves at these key levels. The strength of the current momentum suggests that the immediate supply zone could be overcome, but the real test awaits at the peak.
Lastly, Thank you for your support, your likes & comments. Feel free to ask if you have questions.
The goal of a successful trader is to make the best trades. Money is secondary.
Disclaimer: Please note that this analysis is purely for educational purposes and should not be considered as a trading or investment recommendation. I am not a SEBI registered Analyst. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NIFTY The Nifty has moved up nicely after opening strong above the trend line. The first resistance is at 25,650, and the second is near the all-time high. Let's see what happens tomorrow, as it's Friday. Hopefully, Donald Trump isn't upset or planning any actions that could turn the market bearish.
GOKULAGRO – A Strong Demand Zone Meets Classic Breakout Retest 📈 Market Insights 📈
In the world of price action, every rally and pullback leaves behind clues — and supply and demand zones are among the most telling. These zones are the footprints of institutions — areas where large players once entered or exited positions, creating visible imbalances on the chart. When price revisits these zones, it often reacts sharply, as unfilled orders get triggered once again.
🧩 Supply & Demand View 🧩
In the case of GOKULAGRO , we’re witnessing this principle in action. After a powerful rally that pushed the stock to fresh all-time highs, the inevitable profit-booking wave stepped in — giving birth to a clean supply zone near the top. This is where sellers briefly took control, pausing the bullish momentum and cooling off the rally.
Now, what’s particularly interesting is where the price has landed. It’s currently hovering around a strong demand zone — not just any support level, but the very origin of the rally that broke previous resistance barriers and fueled the stock’s breakout run. These areas are historically loaded with pending buy orders, and a return to them often sparks a renewed upward reaction.
Demand Zone Strength: Located at the base of a prior impulse move, signaling prior institutional buying.
Price Reaction Potential: Sharp reversals often emerge from such zones as demand reactivates.
Buyer Interest Area: This zone marks where large players previously entered the market aggressively.
🚀 Classical Chart View 🚀
From a traditional technical standpoint, the broader structure also paints a bullish narrative. The stock recently broke through a significant resistance level — a level that had previously capped price for weeks. The breakout was accompanied by a notable volume surge , suggesting strong conviction behind the move.
What’s unfolding now is a textbook example of “resistance turning into support.” As price revisits this breakout zone, selling pressure has notably declined — reflected in a visible drop in volume during the pullback. This reduced activity indicates that sellers are losing steam, and the correction might simply be a healthy retest rather than a reversal.
Old Resistance → New Support: A classic structural shift confirming bullish continuation.
Volume Behavior: Declining sell volume during the pullback suggests waning bearish momentum.
Zone Confluence: The overlap of the demand zone with this retested level strengthens the bullish setup.
✨ Final Takeaway ✨
Both analytical lenses — supply and demand as well as classical technical — align seamlessly here. GOKULAGRO has already found footing at a high-quality demand zone , one that previously launched a major impulse move. If buyers step in again from this region, the stock could well be gearing up for its next leg higher .
For those observing this setup, keeping a protective stop-loss below ₹162.5 could provide a sensible cushion beneath structural support.
💡 Risk Management Reminder 💡
Even the cleanest patterns can fail — that’s the reality of trading. What separates consistent traders from the rest is discipline . Always size your positions wisely and respect your stop-loss.
“The art of trading is not about being right all the time, but about losing less when you are wrong.”
🔄 Patience, consistency, and emotional control often beat bold predictions in the long run.🔄
Lastly, thank you for your support, your likes & comments. Feel free to ask if you have questions.
⚡ Keep learning, keep analyzing — because every chart tells a story! ⚡
This analysis is purely for educational purposes and should not be considered as trading or investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
Nifty 50 (2-hour timeframe) chart... Nifty 50 (2-hour timeframe) chart
from TradingView — here’s what can be inferred visually:
Current Nifty price: ≈ 25,323
You’ve drawn:
A horizontal resistance zone around 25,450–25,500 (highlighted in green)
A rising trendline from lower lows (support line)
A projected “target point” arrow pointing toward that rising support line, intersecting around the 24,700–24,750 zone
📊 Interpretation
My chart setup suggests a potential short-term pullback from the resistance zone (25,450–25,500) toward the support region.
🎯 Likely Target Zone
Target: Around 24,700 ±50 points
Stop Loss (if short): Above 25,500
Support levels:
24,900 (minor Ichimoku support)
24,700 (trendline + target point)
⚠ Note
The Ichimoku cloud is providing near-term support around 24,950–25,000, so expect consolidation before any deeper correction.
If Nifty breaks above 25,500 with volume, this bearish setup invalidates and could open upside toward 25,800–26,000.
Gold or Equities? A Crucial Turning Point Ahead#NIFTY/GOLD Ratio (Monthly Timeframe)
📊 What Is the NIFTY/GOLD Ratio?
NIFTY/GOLD ratio measures how the Indian equity market (#NIFTY) performs relative to #Gold over time.
Ratio ↑ = NIFTY outperforming Gold
Ratio ↓ = Gold outperforming NIFTY
📍 Current Market Structure
The ratio is now:
Approaching the long-term rising yellow trendline (dynamic support)
Converging with horizontal price structure zones (white dotted lines)
This confluence forms a major support zone — a potential bounce region .
📈 Trend Insight:
✅ Primary Trend: Long-term uptrend (favoring NIFTY)
⚠️ Short-Term: At a critical decision point
🧭 Scenarios:
✅ Bounce from support → NIFTY may begin outperforming Gold again
❌ Breakdown below support → Gold likely continues its outperformance
⏳ Neutral for now → Wait for confirmation (bullish reversal candle or momentum shift)
🏁 Conclusion:
This is a key macro-info tip for asset allocation and long-term investing.
Use this ratio to guide shifts between equity and gold exposure.
#NiftyVsGold | #GoldVsEquity | #AssetAllocation | #InvestSmart | #Nifty50 | #GoldInvestment | #TechnicalAnalysis | #MarketTrends | #WealthBuilding | #LongTermInvesting
NIFTY Analysis 14 october 2025 ,Daily Morning update at 9 amNifty spot chart is in overbought zone
Market is consolidating to create space for next move
Before market open identify fake level using my strategy
Nifty has technical upside space till 25400
Fake profit booking levels are 25174 and 25127
Nifty may open flat near 25255
Initial hour may see sustain attempt above 25290
If Nifty sustains above 25287 with volume short covering may start
Upside short covering target is 25348
If Nifty fails to sustain above 25203 downside pressure may build
Downside levels to watch are 25174 and 25132
Expect sideways and range bound price movement today
Volume confirmation is must for any breakout or breakdown
Intraday remains neutral to mildly bullish above 25287(important)
Avoid emotional trading during consolidation(super most important)
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 13-Oct-2025NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 13-Oct-2025
📊 Chart Timeframe: 15-Minutes
📍 Last Close: 25,278.20 | 🔽 -6.00 pts (-0.02%)
📅 Analysis Type: Psychological + Technical Levels-Based
🔍 Key Technical Levels to Watch
🟥 Last Intraday Resistance: 25,427
🟧 Opening Resistance: 25,364
🟠 Opening Support: 25,247
🟩 Last Intraday Support: 25,169
🟢 Major Support Zone: 25,078
🚀 Scenario 1 – Gap Up Opening (100+ pts above 25,380)
If Nifty opens above 25,380, it will enter a near-resistance zone between 25,364 – 25,427, making the early session crucial for direction confirmation.
In case the index sustains above 25,427 for 15–30 minutes with supportive volume, it could trigger a momentum rally toward 25,520–25,593 levels.
Avoid aggressive long entries immediately at open — instead, wait for a controlled pullback or retest near 25,364–25,400, which can offer a low-risk long entry zone.
If rejection candles appear near 25,427, it may indicate short-term profit booking. In that case, downside retracement toward 25,247 can occur.
A sustained failure to hold above 25,364 post-gap-up could turn the session choppy, so trade with confirmation.]
💡 Educational Insight:
Gap-up openings near resistance zones often invite emotional buying. Wait for the market to confirm strength through structure — not just price. Watch volume and candle behavior closely before acting.
⚖️ Scenario 2 – Flat Opening (Around 25,250 ± 50 pts)
A flat opening around the previous close keeps Nifty within the decision zone between 25,247 – 25,364.
If Nifty sustains above 25,364, bulls may regain control with upside potential toward 25,427 and then 25,593.
Failure to hold above 25,247 can trigger mild profit booking, dragging prices toward 25,169 — the last intraday support.
A bounce from 25,169 can act as a low-risk buy setup with strict stop loss below 25,078.
If a 15-min candle closes below 25,078, it confirms short-term weakness; sellers can then aim for 25,000–24,950 zones.]
🧠 Educational Tip:
Flat openings give the best opportunity to follow structure-based breakouts. Don’t predict — let price action dictate direction. Wait for a clear breakout above 25,364 or breakdown below 25,169 for a decisive trade setup.
📉 Scenario 3 – Gap Down Opening (100+ pts below 25,180)
If Nifty opens below 25,180, sentiment will lean negative, but watch how it reacts near the 25,078 major support zone.
A bounce from 25,078 can offer a relief rally toward 25,169–25,247, especially if short covering kicks in.
However, a breakdown and 15-min close below 25,078 may extend weakness toward 24,950–24,900.
Avoid chasing shorts aggressively at open — instead, wait for a pullback toward resistance near 25,169–25,200 to re-enter with better risk-reward.
The key here is patience — let the initial volatility settle before entering positions.]
💬 Educational Note:
Gap-down openings near major support often create traps. Let confirmation come through a strong close — don’t rely solely on the first few minutes of panic or excitement.
🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
Limit your risk to 2%–3% of total trading capital per trade.
Use 15-min or hourly candle close to confirm breakouts and stop losses.
Trade ATM or slightly ITM options to minimize time decay.
Avoid over-leveraging during high-volatility gap openings.
Consider using spreads (Bull Call / Bear Put) to hedge against rapid time decay.
Book partial profits once your trade achieves a 1:1 risk/reward to protect gains.
Avoid holding options beyond 2:45 PM, as theta decay intensifies in the final hour. ⏳]
📊 Summary & Conclusion
Nifty continues to hover in a tight consolidation range, with key resistance at 25,427 and support at 25,078.
A breakout above 25,427 can trigger fresh bullish momentum toward 25,593, while a breakdown below 25,078 may open the path for 24,950.
Patience, disciplined execution, and confirmation-based entries are essential — avoid emotional trading during gap openings.
Remember: The best trades are those backed by both structure and timing, not prediction.]
🎯 Focus Zones for 13-Oct-2025:
🟩 Buyers’ Zone: 25,169 → 25,078
🟥 Sellers’ Zone: 25,364 → 25,427
📢 Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . This analysis is meant purely for educational and informational purposes. Traders are advised to perform their own research or consult a certified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
#Nifty | Will Nifty Break Free? Triangle Says Soon!#Nifty Daily Outlook:
CMP: 25,285
Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle ▶️
A Symmetrical Triangle pattern is forming on the daily timeframe , following a strong uptrend , a classic bullish continuation setup .
🟣 Breakout Level: A daily close above the falling trendline from the all-time high (ATH) ( marked in purple ) will confirm the breakout.
🎯 Pattern Target: 26,700
🔒 Pattern Invalidation: Close below 24,337 DCB
Price action is compressing tightly within the triangle, indicating a potential volatility expansion soon.
Breakout confirmation could reignite momentum toward new highs.
✅ Dips into support zones can be used for positioning, with proper risk management.
📌 Support & resistance levels remain the same as shared in the tagged weekly post.
#Nifty | #Nifty50 | #SymmetricalTriangle | #ChartPatterns | #SwingTrading | #PriceAction
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
#Nifty Weekly Outlook – Cup & Handle in Focus!CMP: 25,285
Primary Trend: Uptrend (Bullish Bias)
🔽 Support Zones
• 25154 – 25084
• 24858 – 24768
• 24588 (Major swing support)
🔼 Resistance Zones
• Immediate Resistance: 25424 – 25449
• Next Hurdles: 25638 – 25669
• Key Breakout Level: 26179 – 26277.35 (ATH)
Pattern: Cup & Handle ☕️
A classic Cup & Handle pattern is forming on the weekly timeframe , following a strong uptrend, which is a bullish continuation setup.
• 🧭 Neckline breakout (sloping white trendline) is the key trigger.
• 🎯 Target Projection: ~29,500 (~16% upside potential post-breakout)
🔒 Pattern Invalidation Level
• Weekly close below 24,337 negates the pattern.
⏳ Awaiting Breakout Confirmation
• A weekly close above the neckline with solid volume will confirm the breakout .
• Until then, price remains in a healthy consolidation.
✅ Dips into support zones can be used for positioning, with proper risk management.
#Nifty | #Nifty50 | #CupAndHandle | #ChartPatterns | #SwingTrading | #PriceAction
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Nifty 50 spot 25285.35 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 spot 25285.35 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Support Zone 24875 to 25135 for Nifty Index earlier Resistance Zone
- Rising Support Channel stayed grounded by continued supportive role
- Strong rejection observed at 25430 to 25670 Resistance Zone for Nifty Index
- Falling Resistance Trendline stands ground and Resistance Channel Breakout seems sustained
- Bullish Technical patterns of "W" Double Bottom followed by Rounding Bottom formed around Support Zone
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 09-Oct-2025💼 NIFTY TRADING PLAN – 09-Oct-2025
📊 Chart Reference: 15-min Timeframe
📍 Last Close: 25,023.80 | 🔻 Change: -12.60 pts (-0.05%)
📅 Analysis Based on Psychological and Technical Levels
🔍 Key Technical Zones
🟧 Opening Resistance: 25,113
🟧 Last Intraday Resistance: 25,160
🟥 Major Resistance: 25,260
🟩 Buyer’s Try Zone: 25,094 – 24,935
🟢 Next Support: 24,721
📈 Scenario 1 – Gap Up Opening (100+ pts above 25,123)
If Nifty opens around or above the 25,150–25,180 zone, it will enter near the last intraday resistance area.
Initial candles should be observed for supply reaction. If prices sustain above 25,160 for 15–30 minutes, momentum traders may expect a rally toward 25,260 — the next psychological resistance.
However, if price shows rejection at 25,160 and fails to close above it on a 15-min basis, expect a pullback toward 25,050–25,014.
Fresh buying should only be considered after a breakout and retest above 25,160, confirming strength.
Aggressive short traders can consider small risk entries near 25,250–25,260 only if reversal candles appear.
🧠 Educational Note:
A gap-up opening near resistance zones often triggers early profit booking. Let the market reveal its true direction before acting. Avoid emotional entries in the first 15 minutes.
⚖️ Scenario 2 – Flat Opening (Around 25,000 ± 50 pts)
A flat start indicates indecision and offers balanced opportunities.
If Nifty holds 25,014–25,040 and rebounds, a short-term long trade can be considered with targets near 25,113 → 25,160.
A sustained move above 25,160 could extend gains to 25,260, but watch volume confirmation.
If the index slips below 25,014, sellers might test the Buyer’s Try Zone (25,094–24,935) where a strong reversal can occur.
Any hourly candle close below 24,935 may open the gate for deeper correction toward 24,721.
💡 Educational Note:
Flat openings work best when traders plan both sides. Use 15-min candle confirmations and align with broader trend direction from hourly charts.
📉 Scenario 3 – Gap Down Opening (100+ pts below 24,930)
A gap down would place Nifty straight into or below the Buyer’s Try Zone.
Observe price behavior near 24,935–24,900. If buyers defend this zone with strong green candles, expect a sharp intraday pullback toward 25,014 → 25,113.
Failure to sustain above 24,900 may accelerate decline toward 24,721, a crucial swing support.
Avoid shorting aggressively at open — wait for a 15-min candle close below 24,900 for confirmation.
Reversal traders can build long exposure gradually with tight stops below 24,720 if support holds.
🧠 Educational Note:
Gap-down opens often induce panic. The key is not to chase moves. Let the market test support and confirm reversal before committing capital.
🛡️ Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
Keep position size within 2–3% of total capital for each trade.
Always define a stop loss based on candle close, not just intraday wicks.
Avoid trading OTM options during volatile sessions; use near ATM strikes for better delta control.
If volatility spikes, consider switching to spreads (bull call / bear put) to limit theta decay.
Respect time decay — avoid holding positions beyond 2:30 PM unless trend is very clear.
Never revenge trade after a stop-loss hit; remember, risk control = long-term survival. 🔒
📊 Summary & Conclusion
Nifty remains in a short-term corrective phase, with 25,160 acting as a crucial breakout level.
A move above 25,160 could lift prices toward 25,260, while rejection may invite selling pressure.
Support sits near 25,014 and deeper at 24,935–24,721.
Traders should focus on confirmation rather than prediction — patience and discipline will decide profitability.
🎯 Focus Zone for 09-Oct-2025:
🟩 25,014 → 24,935 (Buyer’s Control)
🟥 25,160 → 25,260 (Seller’s Control)
📢 Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst . The above analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Traders should conduct their own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.






















