Nifty Prediction for coming days April 4th 2025A Big IF is because we are talking about probability here as the pattern is not yet shaped to its prime.
Lets Understand the Inverted Head and Shoulder Pattern
Left Shoulder : After a downtrend, the price of the respective asset makes a low and then rallies to a higher point, forming the left shoulder.
Head : Following the formation of the left shoulder, the price declines to a point lower than the left shoulder and then rallies again, forming the head.
Right Shoulder : Finally, the price declines again but not as low as the previous decline or the head, and then rallies one more time, forming the right shoulder. The right shoulder is typically roughly equal in depth to the left shoulder.
Neckline : A trendline is drawn connecting the high points (or "peaks") after the formation of each shoulder and the head. This line serves as a level of resistance that the price must break through to confirm the pattern.
Lets not get in to the Psychology part. you can find many around.
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To Our analysis of nifty for the coming days we can see the same pattern on the chart above.
1st Trade : Advanced Users
If price takes support at around 22800 - 22750 and If you are good in reading volume find reversal to neck line and beyond if you can.
2nd Trade :
If You see price breaking the neck line with good volume (Volume greater than volume average and or greater than previous 3 or 4 candles in Daily Timeframe, Target Is shown on the Chart Nearly All time High.
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One can see that i have plotted FIb Ext on the chart, That clearly shows that the target of this Inverted H&S is absolutely at around 1.618 of FIb Ext.
One can even Consider this as Elliott Wave 3rd wave (I'm not a master in Elliott wave so correct me if i'm wrong)
Note.
A simple Yet powerful Patter so wait for the pattern to unfold for better results.
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Monthly Nifty
In the above Picture You can see Monthly Nifty Chart. Which clearly shows that retracement is done and took support at Moving average. Formed a kicker pattern Which is my fav pattern for reversal. Now a retest of Last month candle Mid we can expect a reversal from there. That's where the market closed today. So rest you need work on your analysis. Good Day and Have a nice weekend
NIFTY
NIFTY 50 - ICT & SMC Analysis (April 3, 2025)1. Market Structure & Trend Overview
1D Chart (Higher Timeframe Bias)
Bearish Market Structure: The market has been in a downtrend, breaking market structure (MSS) at key levels. The recent rally from March was a retracement into a premium zone.
Key Resistance Areas:
Order Block (OB) at ~23,600: Market is rejecting this supply zone.
Previous Daily High (PDH) & Premium Liquidity Zone: Price recently swept liquidity above PDH and is rejecting.
Key Support Areas:
Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 22,800-22,900: This is the next area where price may drop to seek liquidity.
PDL (Previous Daily Low): A liquidity pool where price may react.
📌 Prediction:
If price stays below 23,600, the market may seek liquidity at 23,000 or even 22,800.
If price reclaims 23,600, a move towards 24,000 is possible.
4H Chart (Mid-Timeframe Confirmation)
Bearish Market Structure: Price is forming lower highs and recently had a Change of Character (ChoCH) to the downside.
Key Levels to Watch:
23,600 OB & FVG: Market is rejecting this area.
23,200-23,250 (Liquidity Area): Price is building liquidity below.
22,900 (FVG & Key Support): If price breaks down, this will be a magnet.
Strong Resistance at 23,600: If price gets here, it could be a sell opportunity.
📌 Prediction:
A potential short trade if price retraces back to 23,500-23,600 (OB) with targets at 23,200 & 22,900.
If 23,200 holds, a bounce to 23,500 is possible.
1H Chart (Execution Level)
Price Action Observations:
Liquidity Sweep at PDH: Market took out buy-side liquidity and is now retracing.
FVG Below 23,200: This is a draw on liquidity.
PWL (Previous Week’s Low) at 23,150-23,200: This could act as support before further downside.
📌 Trade Idea (Bearish Setup)
Entry: Sell near 23,500-23,600 (OB & FVG Zone).
Stop Loss: Above 23,650 (Above liquidity zone).
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 23,200 (First liquidity pool).
TP2: 22,900 (FVG fill & support area).
🔹 Alternative Bullish Scenario: If price does not break 23,200 and forms bullish structure, a long towards 23,600 can be considered.
Nifty 50 Index Analysis & Trade Setup (April 1, 2025)1. Current Market Overview
Last Close: 23,495.15
Day’s Range: 23,450.20 (Low) – 23,545.30 (High)
Change: -48.50 (-0.21%) – Minor bearish close
Key Observations:
The index faced resistance near 23,545 and closed slightly lower.
The 15-minute chart shows consolidation between 23,450–23,545.
The 1-hour chart suggests a broader range between 23,200–23,800.
2. Technical Analysis Breakdown
a) Support & Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: 23,450 (Day’s Low)
Strong Support: 23,200–23,400 (Previous swing low & psychological level)
Immediate Resistance: 23,545–23,600 (Day’s High & round number)
Strong Resistance: 23,800 (Key swing high)
b) Price Action & Trend
Bearish Bias: The index closed below the opening price, indicating selling pressure.
Neutral Zone: If 23,450–23,545 holds, expect sideways movement.
Breakout Scenario:
Bullish Break: Above 23,600, target 23,800.
Bearish Break: Below 23,450, target 23,200–23,300.
c) Volume & Momentum
The decline was not extreme, suggesting cautious selling rather than panic.
A retest of 23,500–23,600 could confirm direction.
3. Trade Strategy (Intraday/Swing)
A) Short Trade (Bearish Bias)
Entry Zone: 23,500–23,550 (Retest of resistance)
Stop Loss: 23,600 (Above day’s high)
Target 1: 23,400 (Minor support)
Target 2: 23,200–23,300 (Strong support)
Risk-Reward: ~1:2 (Favorable)
B) Long Trade (Bullish Reversal)
Entry Zone: 23,450–23,400 (Support bounce)
Stop Loss: 23,350 (Below swing low)
Target 1: 23,600 (Resistance)
Target 2: 23,800 (Major resistance)
Risk-Reward: ~1:3 (High reward if breakout occurs)
4. Key Takeaways & Final Thoughts
Bearish until 23,600 breaks – The close below 23,500 suggests weakness.
Watch 23,450 closely – A breakdown could accelerate selling.
Bullish only above 23,600 – Confirmation needed for upside momentum.
Ideal Strategy: Wait for a clear break (either side) before committing.
Final Note: If the market opens near 23,500, watch for rejection (short) or bounce (long). Adjust stops based on volatility.
Bullish or Further crash! What next after March? Now here it will be a little confusing for many people 🤔 that is this recovery real that the market can go up again or not. 📉📈
See, if the market has to go up, according to me, the best case scenario is if the market goes above 23800, then only I will be a little more bullish in the market. 🚀 The reason being is such a small pullback that I will not look to buy heavily in longs.
No doubt a good bullish candle has been made in the market today 🔥, but there is also resistance here ⚡. In fact, when the momentum will come, you just think, when this double top kind of break will happen, then how good momentum will come in the market. 💥
So here maybe the market can spend a little more time or maybe it can go down more, you can say to give more pullback. ⏳ This can go to the whole region, ie. pullback can extend up to 23800. But it is not necessary that it comes in a day or two. ⏱️ You never know. But if the market spends time here, then it becomes a little easy for us because the market can try to break out from here. 🌟
And once 23800 breaks out, that is your best level to add longs. 📈 Then the trend of the market will also change to bullish, I am saying major trend. 🏹 So we will wait for the market.
For now, I am not trusting today's candle 🔥 because today was quarter end 📅, month end 📆, plus financial year end 🏦, so there will be a lot of buying in the market. So today's candle is not trustworthy according to me. ❌
So tomorrow or at least the next two trading sessions, because Monday is a holiday 🕌, because it is Eid. 🕋 So we will see the candles of the next two trading sessions, we will observe what is happening. After that, we will make a good view. 👀
For now, it is a cautious approach, both sides, long side ⬆️ short side ⬇️, start with a cautious approach, do not trade in heavy quantities ⚖️, until 23410 or 23800 does not break.
Word of caution ⚠️, whenever we get clarity on what the market will try to do, then only we will trade. We will let the move of 1-2 days go or trade in less quantity. Nothing is going to happen. Remember this. 📊✈️
Nifty Faces Resistance: Bullish Momentum Expected Above 24kNifty has breached its trendline resistance but encountered selling pressure near the 23,870 level, suggesting a possible pullback toward the 23,000 support zone.
A potential Inverted Head & Shoulder pattern is forming, which could signal a trend reversal. However, confirmation would require a decisive breakout and sustained hold above the 24,000 resistance level. Also the open interest data indicates strong call writing at 24,000, reinforcing its significance as a key resistance.
In the near term, the index is expected to trade sideways, with market participants awaiting Q4 earnings results for further directional cues. The upcoming earnings season will likely dictate the next major move in the market.
Nifty 50 Index spot 23519.35 by Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 Index spot 23519.35 by Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Support Zone at 21800 to 21950 Nifty 50 Index Band
- Resistance Zone at 23875 to 23975 Nifty 50 Index Band
- Falling Resistance Trendline Breakout seems to have been sustained and also Support Zone still kept respected
- A Bullish Head and Shoulders pattern formation in process, just by taking a hypothetical thought process viewing
- An out of the box and entirely different point of view and perspective one may anticipate about Nifty 50 Index outlook
- Going by this Hypothetical H&S probability for the Nifty 50 Index Chart, we may anticipate good fire crackers to observe
- As such this is just a high level technical chart pattern formation and the Market are always Supreme to work in their own ways
GIFT Nifty Projections for week 3 of March and beyondFundamentals/Basis :
Due to most uncertainties of the US related news including Trump Tariff wars, US shutdown vote, Russia Ukraine war ceasefire talks, US possible recession, most of the global economies were in downward trend including US,excepting china which is seeing correction /growth.
How India will deal with US tariffs is a wait and watch , which could come into effect starting April. With Ministers flying to US to negotiate and trying to find middle path, one can expect a reasonable middle ground with US tariffs, by increasing US supplies,reducing tariffs etc from the Indian govt. At this moment, Indian government might not go for a tit-for-tat approach , which will hurt its interests.
Technicals :
Most of the corrections had happened since the election of Trump, the Nifty had been on the decline since its highs of oct last year and is at lower than yearly lows.
Price of Gift Nifty gives an early indication of the Nifty 50 movement.
Price is moving in a channel ,shown in the rectangular box and has a minor breakout.
Trade Idea:
If the Price breaks out of 22600, can test 22720-780- and after a retrace to a max of 450 can bounce again to 22940-23080
If the price could not break or sustain 22600 ,probable to fall with the channel again and test 22280-320.
These higher and lower levels mentioned will be decision points for further trends for the rest of the year.
Disclaimer : Analysis expressed are my own personal analysis and views. Not a SEBI registered analyst. Plan and trade as per your analysis.
NIFTY Analysis Mar Week 3 and beyondNote:
Most of the below Basis is given in my GIFT idea dated on same date.
Fundamentals/Basis:
Due to most uncertainties of the US related news including Trump Tariff wars, US shutdown vote, Russia Ukraine war ceasefire talks, US possible recession, most of the global economies were in downward trend including US,excepting china which is seeing correction /growth.
How India will deal with US tariffs is a wait and watch , which could come into effect starting April. With Ministers flying to US to negotiate and trying to find middle path, one can expect a reasonable middle ground with US tariffs, by increasing US supplies,reducing tariffs etc from the Indian govt. At this moment, Indian government might not go for a tit-for-tat approach , which will hurt its interests.
Technicals:
Most of the corrections had happened since the election of Trump, the Nifty had been on the decline since its highs of oct last year and is at lower than yearly lows.
Price is moving in a small channel ,shown in the rectangular box.
Trade Idea :
If the Price breaks out of 22600, can test 22780-810 and after a retrace to a max of 520 can bounce again to 22940-23080
If the price could not break or sustain 22600 ,probable to fall with the channel again and test 22280-230.
These higher and lower levels mentioned will be decision points for further trends for the rest of the year.
Disclaimer: Analysis expressed are my own personal analysis and views. Not a SEBI registered analyst. Plan and trade as per your analysis.
If you Like the Analysis and agree with , Hit the Boost button and share your views / agreements/constructive feedback in the comments.
HDFC Bank - Long Term AnalysisFundamentals/Basis:
HDFC Bank is an important scrip that need to be monitored on long term basis, if we invest or not.
This is due to the fact, as a leader in the banking industry and a heavy weight company in the Nifty and bank nifty constituencies, HDFC bank provides clues to the overall market direction (most of the times)
This analysis is for Long term and if time permits, will keep updating throughout the year.
Technicals :
HDFC bank fell from its highs since end of 24 until jan. And had a retracement until approximately 1770 and formed a retracement trend direction.
Current range : 1600 to 1800 with 1700s as pivots.(Not formula but based on charts)
Trade Ideas :
If the price moves above the retracement line and sustains, go for long in the stock. Once it breaks lookout for confirmation at this trendline and also at the Long term trendlines for any retests.
Alternatively, if the price falls below the Long term trend direction, wait for confirmation on the bullishness.
Disclaimer : All the views and analysis provided are my personal analysis. Not a SEBI registered analyst. Plan and trade as per your analysis
If you Like the Analysis and agree with , Hit the Boost button and share your views agreements/constructive feedback in the comments.
Would you like me provide any of your favorite stocks analysis, let me know in the comment.
Nifty 50 spot 23350.40 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 spot 23350.40 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Sustained Support Zone 22720 to 22850 earlier Resistance Zone for Nifty 23K
- Minor Gap Up Openings around above Support Zone would need to be filled & closed sooner or later on
- Next set of Resistance Zones seen at indicative Nifty 50 Index levels of 23375 to 23460 and 23900 to 23975
NIFTY Prediction for Tomorrow – March 25, 2025What happened on last day:
As we discussed, the NIFTY has been in a sideways accumulation phase, and it has now broken to the upside.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading just below the 200 EMA (1D-tf) , which is acting as a strong resistance. Price has shown strong bullish momentum and has successfully broken out from the descending PINK trendline , which had held the price for over 10 months.
Structure-wise, NIFTY is forming higher highs and higher lows , suggesting a clear shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Price is trading above the 13, 50, and 100 EMAs , but still below the 200 EMA , which remains the immediate level to cross.
RSI = 64 , showing strong bullishness but not yet in the overbought zone — bulls still have strength.
Price is also trading above VWAP , confirming healthy bullish bias on the day.
All important breakout levels, retest zones, and trendlines are clearly marked on the chart.
Support levels: 22,775, 21,987, 21,840
Resistance levels: 23,600, 23,870, 24,790
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.1 , showing a strong bullish structure in the options market.
There is strong Put writing at 23,000, 23,100, and 23,200 levels which are likely to act as near-term supports.
On the upside, significant Call writing is seen at 23,600, 23,700, and 23,800 levels — making them key resistance levels.
We are currently in the last week of the March monthly expiry (27 Mar) , so this OI structure gives strong directional cues.
If we look at the news & sentiment:
INDIA VIX = 12.6 , showing low volatility expectations.
No negative macro or global cues, INR and crude oil are stable.
Sentiment across financial media is cautiously bullish , with attention on whether NIFTY can sustain above the 23,600 zone.
I am expecting
The market to be sideways to bullish unless it breaks above 23,600 decisively, which could lead to further rally toward 23,870 and 24,790 .
Reasons:
✅ Breakout from 10-month falling channel
❗Price > EMA(13, 50, 100) but just below 200 EMA (Bullish but watch for breakout)
✅ Volume spike confirms institutional participation
✅ Clean higher-low structure forming
✅ Above 50 EMA and approaching 200 EMA
Verdict: Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
Sell 23,600 CE and 23,600 PE — hold the position within range.
Exit one leg if price breaks on either side with momentum and volume.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 20 Mar 2025NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 20 Mar 2025
Bullish-Above 22950
Invalid-Below 22900
T- 23125
Bearish-Below 22800
Invalid-Above 22850
T- 22635
NIFTY has closed on a slight bullish note with 0.32% gain today. Yesterday we discussed that 22900 will act as a confluence zone as that was 50% retracement zone , which resulted into sideways market. Index is at striking distance from 50 EMA in daily TF. Intraday traders should lower position size as it is a confluence zone in which bulls and bears may start tug of war. Let breakout happen or resistance to be taken.
Coming to Thursday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22950 then we will long for the target of 23125.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22800. T- 22635.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 19 Mar 2025NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 19 Mar 2025
Bullish-Above 22900
Invalid-Below 22850
T- 23125
Bearish-Below 22680
Invalid-Above 22730
T- 22470
NIFTY has closed on a bold bullish note with 1.45% gain yesterday. 4 days range that we discussed was shifted last day and gave a very good momentum in the upside. Buy targets were achieved almost in flow. Now 22900 looks like a confluence zone as that's 50% retracement from previous swing high in daily TF, may act as resistance. In case it gives pullback breakout then will consider buy. 22680 will be intra support.
Coming to Wednesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22900 then we will long for the target of 23125.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22680. T- 22470.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty 50 spot 22397.20 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 spot 22397.20 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Resistance Zone seen at 22720 to 22850 Index level for the 23K Index target
- Gap Down Openings of 24-Feb-2025 remains and 28-Feb-2025 is filled & closed
- Long shot deep inline Support Zone seen at 22125 to 22350 is now back in action
Can NIFTY Regain Its Balance or Will It Plummet Further?Timeframe: 4h
After reaching a peak of 26,277 , the NSE NIFTY has begun to decline within a downward parallel channel. The Elliott wave structure can be identified as (W) – (X) – (Y) , where wave (X) peaked at 24,867 , followed by a downward movement for the final wave (Y). The price has fallen below the 20 , 50 , 100 , and 200 EMA levels, with an ATR of 166.36 .
The correction has several key levels to consider:
At 100% retracement of wave (W) at 21,962
At 100% retracement of wave (a) at 22,827
At the lower boundary of the corrective channel
Bearish sentiment is currently stronger than buyer demand. A reversal may occur either after a breakout from the parallel channel or at the lower boundary of the channel. This is possible as long as the swing low of 21,283 remains intact.
We will update further information soon.
Nifty 50 spot 22552.50 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly Update*Nifty 50 spot 22552.50 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly Update*
- Gap Down Opening of 28th February, 2025 is now filled and has been closed
- Basis current weekly closure for Nifty 50 Index, the Support Zone is updated to 21750 to 21960 from earlier 21485 to 21710 Level
- Long shot deep Support Zone at 22125 to 22350 is back in action basis the Nifty 50 Index having taken a reversal from 21964.60 dipped level.
- Rest Markets are Supreme and work in their own ways. We can at most anticipate, expect and look forward for the best to happen by our assumptions
NIFTY Analysis for today 6 March 25As we discussed yesterday, Nifty took a pullback from 22000. It has shown a good bullish signal at this level.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at 200 EMA (15 EMA) and 50 EMA (1 H - TF), which is going to provide resistance at this level. The market is trading in the accumulation phase. If it breaks this zone, then the next resistance is a higher trendline at 1D TF, which I shared yesterday.
Support levels: 21987, 21840
Resistance levels: 22400, 22615, 22775, 200 EMA
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 5th March 25Nifty has been falling continuously for a month. If we look at the structure using price action.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading near the support zone. The market might take support at nearly 22,000 levels. Price is trading far away from the EMA, which shows the market is going to take some pullback to the upside. The market is going to be sideways for some time unless it breaks the Pink trendline to the upside.
Support levels: 21840, 21250
Resistance levels: 22775, 23488, 50 EMA, 200 EMA
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.8, which shows a slightly bullish structure in the market. The market has 22100 as max pain. The market has good PE writing at lower levels; 22000 and 21900 have very good PE writing, which will act as good support in this area.
I am expecting
The market is to be sideways unless it breaks the PINK trendline.
Reason:
RSI = 21 shows a bullish structure. (Weak Bearish -> Bulls might start buying, soon)
Price < EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a good Bearish structure. (Bearish)
PCR = 0.8 indicates a slightly bullish bias direction in the market.
Price < VWAP shows a good Bearish structure in the market.
Verdict: Sideways
Plan of action:
follow the chart levels. You better go with the bound strategy.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 4 Mar 2025NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 4 Mar 2025
Bullish-Above 22270
Invalid-Below 22220
T- 22550+
Bearish-Below 22000
Invalid-Above 22050
T- 21660
NIFTY has closed on a flat note today, it was a 2 way move day. Index opened gap up and was sold into immediately till 22k. 22000 acted as an intraday support. 21600 zone will be a strong support zone as per 2.0 PRZ in daily and weekly TF. As of now we have been following sell on rise as index is continuously closing below PDH and is below 50 EMA in daily TF. 22270 and 22000 are intraday levels for tomorrow.
Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22270 then we will long for the target of 22550+.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22000. T- 21660.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.