NIFTY 18TH APRIL Monday AnalysisHello Traders,
The market (NIFTY50) is currently trading at 22519. Friday We have seen a sharp selling (Please check my analysis 18th April Nifty Expiry, I explained about market and got the 200+ points target as well).
Now, I can see 2 images.
Bullish Momentum: Will give you a good amount of return if it break 22570 level then target 22800+
Bearish Momentum: Will give you a good amount of return if it breaks 22450 level then target is 22200.
Also, Don't forget to see my Previous analysis:
As per my 4th April Nifty Expiry, Our Entry Happened on 4th April, and TARGET Achieved on 8th April.
Imp. Note: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute a direct recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial advisors before making any investment decisions, as market conditions and individual circumstances may vary.
Market Risk: However, it's important to acknowledge the inherent risks associated with investing in the stock market, including but not limited to volatility, economic downturns, regulatory changes, and unforeseen events that can impact stock prices. It's crucial for investors to remain vigilant and diversify their portfolios to mitigate potential losses.
Thank you for Reading my complete Analysis,
Naveen
NIFTY
Aegischem on retest zone, ready to flyAEGISCHEM looks fantastic for a swing trade opportunity. Expecting a good upswing which can catapult the stock to 500+ levels.
It is currently at retest zone, ready to take off. The volume pattern on this stock has been perfect till now, strong expanding volume on breakout and up move, weak contracting volume on retest.
The stock also looks intriguing on weekly charts.
The sector is also in a good structure which adds a cherry on top of the cake.
One can look to enter in this trade with a stop of 330 and an initial target of 525 and then potentially 550
#Nifty Directions and levels for April 16th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 16th:
The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also indicates a bearish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a -220 point decrease.
GiftNifty indicates a long gap-down, so I don't know where it will be opening. I'm just sharing Fibonacci levels. After the gap-down, if the market consolidates around any one of those levels, then we can expect further correction.
On the other hand, if it rejects sharply, then we should seek additional confirmation for a reversal. If the pullback breaks the Fibonacci level of 38% in the minor swing, then we can consider it a reversal and set our targets at 61 and 78%. However, if it doesn't break the Fibonacci level of 38%, the correction may continue as usual."
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 16 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 16 Apr 2024
Bullish-Above 22430
Invalid-Below 22380
T- 22660
Bearish-Below 22250
Invalid- Above 22300
T- 22050
NIFTY has closed on a complete bearish note with 1.1% cut today. In the weekend we discussed that index has formed a short term top as it formed a 2nd leg shooting star in weekly TF. Only thing is that it opened directly below sell level- 22500 so fresh positions could not be opened as per the discussed entry and RR. So one need to wait incase it retest 22600 to 22550 zone for the swing short entry. Tomorrow best trade will be in short side on a flat opening.
Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22430 then we will long for the target of 22660.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22250. T- 22050 and 21825.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 15 Apr 24As we discussed NIFTY yesterday, it opened a gap-down and then continued the momentum.
If we look at the chart:
The market has broken the pattern to the downside. There is 200-ema support at the downside. I am expecting to take a little bounce back (consolidation) and then continue the bearish momentum. 22385 is going to provide very nice PA support.
All important levels are marked on the chart.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.71, which shows neutral market sentiments. However, in the past three days, OI activity PCR has been falling gradually from 1.34 -> 1.18 -> 0.7. which shows bears are increasing their position in the market very actively. There is not much of the support downside right now. The market may continue the momentum after a little bit of consolidation.
The bulls are very weak at this point.
I am expecting the market to open a gap-down near 200 EMA and then touch 13 EMA after that fall.
Reasons:
EMA(200) < Price < EMA(13), which indicates Weak bulls structure in the market. (Bearish)
RSI < 40 shows strong bears' power. (Bearish)
PCR = 0.71, which has been falling rapidly from 1.34. shows bears are actively increasing their position size. (Bearish)
Price < VWAP shows a bearish market structure. (Bearish)
Verdict : Bearish
Plan of Action : Wait for 13 EMA to touch, then sell 22500 PE (Hedge it with 15/- Premium)
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 15 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 15 Apr 2024
Sell_1- From 22660
Invalid-Above 22710
T- 22500
Bearish-Below 22500
Invalid-Above 22550
T- 22300
NIFTY has closed with a bearish sentiment last week. It has formed a shooting star candle in weekly TF that too in the 2nd leg which I personally consider. There is a strong possibility of NIFTY topping out atleast for short term if it trades firmly below 22500 with ATH as risk. If there is gap up opening then we will plan a short trade from 22660 or else flat opening short below 22500 will be ideal trade.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle below 22500 then we will short for the target of 22300 and then trail in 5 Min TF.
On case of a gap up we will short from 22660. T- 22500.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
2 Apr– Nifty50 - 4 RED Candles, first real sign of reversal?Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️️
Recap from yesterday: "As I write this article, SPX, NDQ, and DJI are down over 1.1%. A spillover effect is definite but because we have a holiday tomorrow, we might have another day of US stock market action left to react."
The first real sign of a breakdown. US CPI came in hot due to which the markets reacted pretty badly on Wednesday. Thursday the markets gained back some points, but I strongly think the fall in our markets had more to do with the "Iran - Israel" tensions than inflation.
The reason I am saying that is because after the gap-down open, we made a swing low but then recovered nicely from 09.43 to 12.07. From 12.07 to close we lost 192 points ~ 0.85%. We changed the stance from Bullish to Neutral as soon as 22689 levels were breached. Ideally, we should have changed the status to bearish as the afternoon momentum was quite good. The only reason we did not do that was to check if the reaction was a little too much, if we continue to maintain the same momentum on Monday - we will look out for bearish opportunities.
On the higher time frame, we have a double top formation (M pattern). To negate the pattern we would have to take out the ATH, otherwise, it looks like a nice setup to go bearish. 22519 is a good interim support level, the main support comes only at 22295.
I started Algo trading on Nifty50 today and ended the day with a gain of Rs9465. Exited prematurely at 09.44 as soon as the markets started to crack.
NIFTY 18TH APRIL | 23000 or 22500?Hello Traders,
The market (NIFTY50) is currently trading at 22753. However, it's important not to blindly follow the buy or call side under the yellow box, as it signifies a UPWARD TO SIDEWAYS zone.
Here are the levels and analysis for the NIFTY Expiry on April 18th (23000 or 22500?):
Point 1: Avoid using the maximum amount in the Yellow zone, ranging from 22775 to 22700.
Please do not trade in the 75-point zone.
Point 2 (BULLISH): Consider going for the CALL side or bullish positions once the market crosses 22780.
The targets will be:
Target 1: Small Target with 87 Points which is 22856
Target 2: Big Target and All Time High with 23000 cross which is 23004+
After this, I expect a fall similar to 16 JAN 2024 when the 22000 level break.
Point 3 (BEARISH): Go for the PUT side or bearish positions when the market crosses 22700.
The targets will be:
Target 1: Small Target with 54 Points which is 22650.
Target 2: Big Target of 200 points which is 22500 and once this Target is achieved then we will be on the same page where we started on 28 March and then started TRAP TRADING.
Also, Don't forget to see my Previous analysis:
As per my 4th April Nifty Expiry, Our Entry Happened on 4th April, and TARGET Achieved on 8th April.
Imp. Note: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute a direct recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial advisors before making any investment decisions, as market conditions and individual circumstances may vary.
Market Risk: However, it's important to acknowledge the inherent risks associated with investing in the stock market, including but not limited to volatility, economic downturns, regulatory changes, and unforeseen events that can impact stock prices. It's crucial for investors to remain vigilant and diversify their portfolios to mitigate potential losses.
Thank you for Reading my complete Analysis,
Naveen
Nifty prediction for tomorrow 12 APR 24As we discussed NIFTY yesterday, it ended sideways.
If we look at the chart now:
the market is trading ATH in the zone where it got heavy selling from this region. NIFTY is going to be sideways unless it breaks the GREEN trendline to the downside. The inside marked region (22617-22766) is sideways.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.21, which indicates the bullish market. 23200 CE have been written heavily. Other strike prices do not have significant writing. Everyone is in the waiting phase. As you can see in FII and DII data, actively also, options are indecisive.
If we see FII & DII data , FII is strongly bullish on the future. Pros and Clients are Bearish on the future. Options data is indecisive, which shows that the market is likely to open sideways.
There can be three possible cases:
Case 1: Low probability Bullish case -> market breaks to the upside
Case 2: The market is going to be sideways in (22617-22766).
Case 3: If it breaks the trendline, then it can give a good bearish momentum.
Reasons:
Price >> EMA(200), that need to be corrected. EMA(13) slop is getting flat. Which indicates bulls are getting weak.
RSI = 55 and having bearish divergence. Also, RSI is entering the 40-60 range, which might lead it to go sideways.
Nifty is trading in the resistance zone.
PCR = 1.21 shows bullishness. but FII and DII activity is totally indecisive.
Verdict : Sideways or Bearish
Plan of action : Sell 22750 CE and Sell 22650 PE(Hedge it with 15/- premium)
NIFTY April/MAY Direction | Ascending Triangle or Rising Wedge ?Hello Traders/Investors,
After analyzing NIFTY, it appears that a breakout is imminent, either on the upside or the downside.
Patterns:
1. Ascending Triangle | Probability: 70%
2. Rising Wedge | Probability: 30%
Analysis:
1. Ascending Triangle | Upside Potential:
- Condition 1: If NIFTY breaches 22,950 by next week and maintains its position, there's a likelihood of a rally towards 23,760. However, any impact on prices, aside from election results, seems unlikely before then.
- Condition 2: Similarly, if NIFTY surpasses 22,950 next week and undergoes a retest around 22,700/800, the rally could extend towards 23,760. Again, external influences on prices, except for election outcomes, are not anticipated.
2. Rising Wedge | Downside Scenario:
- Condition 1: In the coming week, if NIFTY breaks the green trendline and approaches the midline, indicated by the blue color, the initial target would be the blue line, followed by 22,550.
- Condition 2: Alternatively, if NIFTY descends to 22,000 and breaches this crucial support level, the next stop would likely be 21,200. However, this scenario would only unfold in the event of significant changes in the election landscape, such as the ruling party failing to secure at least 50% of the votes.
Imp. Note: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute a direct recommendation to buy or sell stocks. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with financial advisors before making any investment decisions, as market conditions and individual circumstances may vary.
Market Risk: However, it's important to acknowledge the inherent risks associated with investing in the stock market, including but not limited to volatility, economic downturns, regulatory changes, and unforeseen events that can impact stock prices. It's crucial for investors to remain vigilant and diversify their portfolios to mitigate potential losses.
Thank you for Reading my complete Analysis,
Naveen
10 Apr - Falling VIX, Rising Markets and Lower UncertaintyNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: "For tomorrow also we are continuing our bullish view and would like to go neutral if we get a close below 22615"
Nifty had a gap up opening and was stuck in a narrow range till 13.11 after which it picked up decent momentum. Nifty almost gained 101 points from the intraday low to take out the previous highs. The new ATH is now 22775. In the final 30 minutes, we gave away some gains but Nifty50 closed the day with a total gain of 111pts ~ 0.49%
Just when we thought the momentum was fading, N50 managed to climb 100+ points and hit new highs. What is more interesting is that the US CPI (Inflation) data came hotter than expected. As I write this article, SPX, NDQ, and DJI are down over 1.1%. A spillover effect is definite but because we have a holiday tomorrow, we might have another day of US stock market action left to react.
We wish to maintain our bullish stance and go neutral if we get a close below the 22689 levels.
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 10 Apr 24NIFTY opened a gap-up and fell sharply from 22768.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the resistance zone (4H-TF). Also, the market is trading at the support trendline. If the market breaks the support to the downside, it is going to generate a quick fall till 22471. Meanwhile, 22617-22766 is a sideways zone, as marked in the chart.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.13, which shows bullishness. But yesterday's PCR was 1.34. That shows the Bull's strength is decreasing, and bears are taking hold of the market. Also, there has been a very good CE writing 22700-23000. There was not much of PE writing today. The market is getting ready for some correction.
If we look at the FII & DII data:
FII is bullish; the Client is bearish.
I am expecting a gap-up to open and then a fall.
Reasons:
PCR = 1.18 indicates a bullish structure. (Bullish)
The market is trading in a resistance zone. There is a high probability that the market will have some correction. (Bearish)
Price >> 200EMA and 13EMA >> 200 EMA that might lead to a correction in the market. (Bearish)
RSI is showing bullish divergence, which might force the market to be sideways. (Sideways)
Price < VWAP means the market is in the bears' favor.
RSI ~ 40-60, which indicates a market sideways structure.
Verdict:
SIdeways or bearish
Plan of action:
Sell 22700 CE and Sell 22600 PE (Hedge with 20/- premium)
Exit CE if it breaks the downside.
22500 CE 10th April ContractPlease follow levels , Step by step , we uses RSI 65, It clears most of the noises.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 9 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 9 Apr 2024
Bullish-Above 22710
Invalid- Below 22660
T- 22865
Bearish-Below 22600
Invalid-Above 22650
T- 22420
NIFTY has closed on a bullish note with 0.68% gain today. Index has picked the trend above our planned bullish level- 22620 discussed in the weekend analysis. Buy triggered above 22620 and gave a small move till 22697. Intraday momentum has really dropped and this is a historical reason as momentum dies in bull market, FUT and option selling suited market. Tomorrow 22710 will be an important resistance, a shooting star in 5 Min TF will be good to short. Below 22600 we will short.
Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22710 then we will long for the target of 22865.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22600. T- 22420.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty 50 Technical Analysis - 9th April 2024 Santu Saha Nifty 50 Technical Analysis - 9th April 2024
## Market Overview
Nifty 50 is exhibiting signs of potential volatility, with clear support and resistance zones identified for potential trading opportunities. Traders should closely monitor key levels for potential breakout or reversal patterns.
### Support Levels
**1. Support Levels:**
- **22,600:** Identified as the primary support level, particularly if the market opens flat or gap-up.
- **22,520:** Designated as a secondary support level. A break below 22,600 could signal further downside movement towards this level.
### Resistance Levels
**1. Resistance Zone:**
- **22,700:** Identified as the current resistance level. If the market opens below this level, traders should await confirmation of sustained trading above this level to anticipate a potential upside movement in Nifty 50.
### Technical Insights
#### Support Analysis
The 22,600 support level is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum in Nifty 50. Traders should closely monitor this level for signs of potential reversal or continuation patterns. A break below 22,600 could lead to increased selling pressure and a potential downtrend towards the 22,520 support level.
#### Resistance Analysis
The 22,700 resistance level presents a barrier for further upside movement in Nifty 50. Traders should await confirmation of sustained trading above this level to anticipate a potential breakout towards higher levels.
### Trading Recommendation
Given the identified support and resistance levels, traders are advised to exercise caution and wait for clear confirmation before initiating new positions. Long positions could be considered above 22,700 with confirmation of sustained buying pressure, while short-term selling opportunities may arise below 22,600.
### Disclaimer: Risk Management
Trading involves inherent risks, and traders should implement proper risk management techniques to protect their capital and minimize potential losses.
WIPRO AnalysisThe recent change in the management of WIPRO Ltd has brought a nice 56 Inch wide smile on Veterans who've been tracking the stock.
The CEO under whom, the profitability had reduced, has resigns and in exchange for him, we're finally getting someone who understands the Business and the Company.
I'm anticipating good moves in the stock from CMP.
Here are the details-
CMP- 486
Targets- 500, 520
Stoplsos- 476
Duration- 1-2 weeks
Let me know what you think about it.
Nifty & Bank Nifty ready to enter New Territory !!Nifty has given a breakout from inverted H&S and cup and handle pattern opens doors for 23200-23500 level !!
Bank nifty has given a close above 48500 level which is super strong !! also gave a breakout from Cup and Handle pattern which give a target of 51900 level !!
Big BIG breakouts in both!!
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 8 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 8 Apr 2024
Bullish-Above 22620
Invalid-Below 22570
T- 22830
Bearish-below 22300
Invalid-Above 22350
T- 22090
NIFTY has closed on a neutral note with slight gain of 1.2% gain. However it has closed above 22500 after 6 attempts. The weekly candle is a neutral and indecisive candle, a spinning top. Above its high-22620 we will plan bullish view and below its low-22300 we will plan a bearish view. Probability of upmove seems high but will follow market to trigger. Index has created inside candle on Friday which indicates a potential compression in markets so between 22620 and 22300 we will avoid directional trade.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22620 then we will long for the target of 22830 and 23030.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22300. T- 22090.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
05 Apr - Nifty was Flat, BankNifty picked up momentum!Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: “Now take a look at the 63mts chart, and see where the reversal came from ~ 22295 levels. That is the main reason why we said a stance change is required only if 22295 is broken and since we did not do that, we continue to remain bullish.”
Nifty had no momentum today, but BankNifty had lots of it. Yesterday SPX & NDQ had a real down day and its spillover effects were visible during the opening minutes. We opened gap-down and then slowly recovered from that. There were no abrupt or wild movements for a change. That takes me to the next question, why did we really have a 300+ point fall yesterday? It was not because of RBI MPC, otherwise we would have passed the swing high. How many of you think it could be because of the worsening situation in the Middle East?
Today was an inside day with no real momentum and that does not mean that we are not bullish. We will keep an eye on the Global macros, if the news about the War widening in scope both in Ukraine and Israel is true then it could really kill the optimism. Just before the macros worsen - GOLD prices go up. An escalation of tensions will shoot up the OIL prices as well. At present, we have both.