Shrinking Bond Yield Differentials leading to fall in Rupee India has over the past year. by design, maintained a low interest rate environment. This has led to interest rate differentials shrinking between US and Indian bonds. While low interest rates in India are an indicator of a strong economy, a falling interest rate differential leads to capital flow out of India, thereby hurting the Rupee.
Its Budget Season in India, and at such a time if the equity markets are falling and so is the Rupee, then popular opinion gets shriller.
Hence this video to calm the nerves of investors by looking at the deeper data trends rather then falling prey to mindless cacophony.
NIFTY
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 21.01.2025On Monday, Nifty opened gap-up, hit a low of 23,170.65, and rallied to a high of 23,391.10 before closing at 23,344.75, gaining 141 points over the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) continues to be negative.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 23,245.50 - 23,282.95
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 21,791.95 - 22,910.15
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 23,396.85 - 23,454.65
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,496.15 - 23,795.20
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 23,645.05 - 23,726.85
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,976.00 - 24,196.45
Outlook
Nifty bounced strongly after finding support at the 30m Demand Zone (23,063.25 - 23,122.80) on 17th January and today retested the 23,400 levels. If the 15m Demand Zone (23,245.50 - 23,282.95) holds firm, there’s potential for a bullish rally towards 23,496 or even 23,645 in the coming sessions.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 20.01.2025On Friday, Nifty opened gap-down, touched a high of 23,292.10, and slipped to a low of 23,100.35, entering the 30m Demand Zone. However, it found support and bounced back, closing at 23,203.20, down 108 points from the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) continues to be negative.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 21,791.95 - 22,910.15
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 23,396.85 - 23,454.65
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,496.15 - 23,795.20
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 23,645.05 - 23,726.85
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,976.00 - 23,196.45
Outlook
Nifty found support in the 30m Demand Zone (23,063.25 - 23,122.80) and managed to recover. As long as the low of this demand zone holds, there is potential for a bullish trend in the coming sessions.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 20 Jan 2025NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 20 Jan 2025
Bullish-Above 23320
Invalid-Below 23270
T- 23500+
Bearish-Below 23090
Invalid-Above 23140
T- 23850
NIFTY has closed on a bearish note with almost 1% cut last week. Weekly candle is a doji which can act as a continuation or reversal based on breakout of either high or low. In case low is broken then journey towards 21700 zone as per ABCD will proceed. In case 23400 is reclaimed then there will be a reversal scenario. 23320 and 23090 are Intraday levels for Monday's session.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 23320 then we will long for the target of 23510. Pullback needed before breakout.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 23090. T- 22850.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty 50. The Doji Candle.Nifty is making Doji at the bottom on weekly chart. Which shows the chances of trend reversal. If Nifty close above 23391 (current week high) then Down trend will be end and reversal process will start in market. For confirmation, the complete week should be close above 23391 for the All time high target (26272).
If Study RSI, Rsi is near 60 on monthly chart which can act as a support and at 40 on weekly chart which is again a support area. If Daily RSI will cross 40 then Market can be bullish again.
And If 23050 broken then It will open the gate of 21500 down side.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 17.01.2025On Thursday, Nifty opened with a huge gap-up at 23,377.25, briefly making a high of 23,391.65, nearly touching the 30m Supply Zone. However, it failed to sustain the gains, dropping to a low of 23,272.05 before closing at 23,311.80, gaining 98 points over the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) continues to be negative.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (30m): 23,063.25 - 23,122.80
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 21,791.95 - 22,910.15
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 23,396.85 - 23,454.65
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,496.15 - 23,795.20
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 23,645.05 - 23,726.85
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,976 - 24,196.45
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 24,601.75 - 24,782.15
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24,180.80 - 24,792.30
Outlook
As anticipated, Nifty almost touched 23,400 but faced selling pressure at higher levels. Today’s session could be volatile, as heavyweights like Reliance and Infosys announced their quarterly results yesterday. At the time of writing, GIFT Nifty is trading 60 points lower, and Infosys ADR closed down by 5.78% overnight, suggesting a potential impact on the index.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 17 Jan 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 17 Jan 2024
Bullish-Above 23450
Invalid-Below 23400
T- 23600+
Bearish-Below 23270
Invalid-Above 23320
T- 23080
NIFTY has closed with 0.42% gain today. It opened with a big gap but could not sustain that and ended on intraday decline. Tomorrow 23450 will be important level for bullish move, we need a pullback breakout setup to consider this. Plain vanilla short below 23250 after flat opening.
Coming to Friday's trade setup, of index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 23450 then we will long for the target of 23600.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 23270. T- 23080.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIFTY 50 Trade Strategy for next few days.NIFTY Trade Strategy 💡📊:
Bullish Scenario (Breakout) 📈🚀:
If Nifty breaks above 23400 (R1), consider entering a long position with a target of 23500-23550 (R2).
Place your stop-loss as per your Risk management.
Bearish Scenario (Reversal) 📉⚡:
If Nifty faces resistance at 23400 (R1) and begins to drop, look for short positions with a target around 23270 (S1) or 23150 (S2).
Risk Management ⚖️:
Always protect your capital with system stop-loss.
Adjust your position size based on the volatility of the market and your risk tolerance.
Happy Trading..!
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 16.01.2025On Wednesday, Nifty opened gap-up at 23,250.45 and showed mixed movements throughout the session. After making an early low of 23,165.30, it rallied to a high of 23,293.65, briefly entering the 15m supply zone. However, it faced resistance and dropped to a session low of 23,146.45, before recovering to close at 23,213.20, gaining 37 points over the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) continues to be negative.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (30m): 23,063.25 - 23,122.80
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 21,791.95 - 22,910.15
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 23,396.85 - 23,454.65
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,496.15 - 23,795.20
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 23,645.05 - 23,726.85
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,976 - 24,196.45
Outlook
Nifty tested the 15m supply zone and dropped signaling selling pressure at higher levels. However, the 30m demand zone is holding steady, providing hope for recovery. If this support remains intact, Nifty could aim for 23,400 or even 23,500 in the coming sessions.
Nifty: Breakdown Structure in PlayNifty has entered a breakdown structure around 23,460. Sustaining below this level could lead to a test of the 22,700 zone.
Bulls may regain strength only if Nifty reclaims the 23,500 area. Watch these levels closely for the next move.
Disclaimer :
This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making trading or investment decisions.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 15.01.2025On Tuesday, as anticipated, Nifty opened gap-up, dipped to a low of 23,134.15, and rallied to a high of 23,264.95, narrowly missing the supply zone by 10 points. However, it retraced back to near its low and closed at 23,176.05, gaining 90 points over the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) continues to be negative.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (30m): 23,063.25 - 23,122.80
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 21,791.95 - 22,910.15
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Minor Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 23,275 - 23,340.95
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 23,396.85 - 23,454.65
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,496.15 - 23,795.20
Outlook
If the 30m demand zone holds firm, Nifty may attempt to reach 23,400 or even 23,500 in the upcoming sessions.
Nifty key levels for 15.01.2025Nifty key levels for 15.01.2025
If Nifty breaks the upper or lower range, we can expect momentum. The consolidation zone will be favorable for option sellers, while a breakout on either side will benefit option buyers.
Disclaimer:
These views are purely educational in nature. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 14.01.2025On Monday, Nifty opened with a gap-down, reaching a high of 23,340.95 before sliding to a low of 23,047.25. It broke the crucial support levels at 23,263 (previous low) and 23,189 (61.8% FIBO). Nifty ended the day at 23,085.95, down 345 points from the previous close. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways, and the Daily Trend (50 SMA) continues to be negative.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 21,791.95 - 22,910.15
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Minor Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 23,275 - 23,340.95
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 23,396.85 - 23,454.65
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,496.15 - 23,795.20
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 23,645.05 - 23,726.85
Outlook
Nifty appears oversold on lower timeframes (15m, 60m, 75m), and a potential bounce could occur if it sustains above the 23,000 level. Watch for signs of recovery around current levels, but resistance at higher levels might limit the upside in the near term.
NIFTY Analysis for Monday trade setup with Support & Resistance.Nifty 50 Analysis
There is a possibility that we open a little or more gap down may be around 150-200 points. So we have to decide how to plan further.
Two possibilities from here
1. We break down and see big sell off up to 150-200-300 points.
2. We may see bear trap and move
upward if sustain above previous low.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 13.01.2025On Friday, Nifty opened flat to positive but experienced a highly volatile session. It initially rose to a high of 23,596 before dipping sharply to the day’s low of 23,344.35. A late-session recovery pushed it back to 23,596.60, but another drop near the day’s low followed, with Nifty closing at 23,431.50, down by 95 points. The Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways, while the Daily Trend (50 SMA) stays negative, indicating caution.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Support Level: 23,263 (low of 21st November 2024)
Far Support Level: 23,189.88 (61.8% FIBO retracement)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 21,791.95 - 22,910.15
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 23,645.05 - 23,726.85
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 23,966.95 - 24,054.30 (inside Daily Supply Zone)
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 23,976 - 24,196.45
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 24,601.75 - 24,781.25 (inside Weekly Supply Zone)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24,180.80 - 24,792.30
Outlook
Nifty's price action suggests it may face strong resistance near 23,645 - 23,727 and critical support at 23,263. A decisive move beyond these levels could set the tone for the upcoming sessions.
Smallcaps : The Real Pain is ComingNifty Smallcap 50 index hit an all-time high of 9500 last month. That euphoria is now fading. The index is forming multiple tops, a clear warning sign.
Nifty has already broken down. Smallcaps and midcaps are next in line for deeper trouble. The entire market is sliding into chaos. But the real pain hasn’t started yet.
Many investors talk about “ buying when there’s blood in the market. ” They haven’t seen what real blood looks like. That moment is approaching. Small investors and buy-and-hold believers need to brace for what’s coming.
This isn’t the time for blind faith or wishful thinking. The market will test patience and capital like never before. Protect what you have, because the worst is yet to come.
NIFTY ready for the Bullish moveLooking at the structure nifty is ready to move to upside if it breaks the 200 EMA to upside and have some consolidaion with that.
Important levels: 23364, 23507
Support levels: Resistance chanel, 200 EMA
Plan of action:
wait for market to break the 200 EMA and retrace to the channel.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 10.01.2025On Thursday, Nifty opened flat to negative, briefly touched a high of 23,689.50, and then dropped sharply to 23,503.05, entering the 30-minute demand zone. It eventually closed at 23,526.50, losing 162 points over the previous close. While the Weekly Trend (50 SMA) remains sideways, the Daily Trend (50 SMA) has shifted to negative, signalling a growing bearish momentum.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (30m): 23,496.15 - 23,559.20 (tested)
Near Support Level: 23,263 (low of 21st November 2024)
Far Support Level: 23,189.88 (61.8% FIBO retracement)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 21,791.95 - 22,910.15
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 23,966.95 - 24,054.30
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 24,164.90 - 24,210.30
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 24,149.85 - 24,394.45 (tested)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24,567.65 - 25,234.05 (tested)
Outlook
Nifty’s intraday action reflects increased selling pressure, with a dip into a minor demand zone. A breakdown below 23,496 could accelerate the bearish momentum.
NIFTY Recovery Outlook 2025-2026 Short-term dip: Nifty may drop 17.35% before stabilizing.
Gradual recovery: Recovery starts around Sep 2025, progressing slowly.
Long-term caution: Poor economic recovery limits upside potential.
Policy impact: Fast growth policies could boost recovery; delays worsen outcomes.
Critical phase: Sep 2025–May 2026 is key for market stabilization.