Bajaj Finance: Breakout, Retest & What’s Next?Bajaj Finance has been in focus ever since it broke its long-term resistance zone of ₹870–₹880 on 12th September 2025. This breakout was significant because the stock had been struggling to cross this level for a long time. Once it crossed, the stock quickly rallied and touched a high of ₹1036 🚀.
But the story has taken an interesting turn in the last two weeks. Let’s break it down in detail:
✨ 1. Weekly Chart View (Bigger Picture)
A shooting star candle formed last week. This is a bearish reversal pattern that occurs when the price moves higher but closes near the lows, showing that sellers took control.
This week, once again, a second shooting star appeared, and what’s more important is that it closed lower than last week’s close.
This back-to-back formation is a strong sign that buyers are losing momentum and sellers are active at higher levels.
📅 2. Daily Chart View (Short-Term Action)
After the breakout above ₹870–₹880, the stock pulled back and is now retesting this breakout zone.
This level is crucial because:
It is a classic breakout-retest scenario.
The same zone also coincides with a trendline support, adding strength to this level.
If the price bounces from this zone, it will confirm the breakout as valid and can lead to another leg up.
📌 3. Key Levels to Watch
Strong Support: ₹870–₹880 (breakout + trendline support).
Upside Potential: If the stock holds above this zone, it can retest ₹1000+ levels in the short-to-medium term.
Downside Risk: If the stock decisively breaks below ₹870–₹880, then the structure weakens, and the stock can slip towards ₹900 or even lower.
⚖️ 4. Market Sentiment & Interpretation
Two weekly shooting stars show weakness and profit-booking at higher levels.
But since the stock is still above the breakout zone, bulls still have a chance to defend the trend.
The coming sessions are critical — holding above 870–880 means bulls are in control, but if broken, sellers will dominate.
👉 Summary
🔻 Weakness spotted: Two weekly shooting stars confirm selling pressure.
🛡️ Support zone (₹870–₹880): This is the line in the sand for bulls.
⚠️ If broken: A medium-term fall toward ₹900 (or lower) is likely.
🚀 If defended: The stock can bounce and resume its upward journey, possibly retesting ₹1000–₹1036.
NIFTY
Nifty 50: Monthly Supply Zone Rejection Signals Bearish Momentum📊 Monthly Timeframe Analysis 📊
Nifty 50 and Nifty 500 have both respected their monthly supply zones, taking a clear rejection from these levels. Interestingly, despite the difference in the number of stocks (50 vs. 500), both indices are showing identical patterns, which the market is currently reflecting as a strong bearish bias.
📉 Weekly Timeframe Analysis
The weekly chart shows a proper rejection from a sloping downtrend line, confirming sellers’ dominance.
This week’s candle has formed a Bearish Marubozu – a long body with tiny wicks – indicating strong selling pressure.
Structurally, this candle aligns with an Evening Star type reversal, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Key takeaway: Weekly chart clearly favors the bears until price sustains above the supply zone.
📉 Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily chart, selling pressure has been continuing for the past few sessions.
Today’s candle is a Gap Down Bearish Candle, forming part of a Three Black Crows pattern on Nifty 500.
This confirms a short-term trend reversal and strong bearish momentum.
The next major support lies around the demand zone Nifty (~24475). If price tests this zone and reverses, we may see a bounce.
However, if the daily close is below this demand zone in upcoming sessions, expect further downside.
✅ Final Outlook ✅
Monthly supply zone has triggered a bearish reversal, coinciding with the Weekly Downtrend line.
Strong Bearish Marubozu on weekly close signals a shift in trend toward sellers.
Daily Three Black Crows + Gap Down candle confirms strong selling pressure in the short term.
Overall bias remains bearish until support near the demand zone shows a potential reversal.
“Patience and discipline are your best allies in trading; let the charts guide you, not emotions.”
Lastly, thank you for your support, your likes & comments. 📈 Keep analyzing, keep learning, and let the charts teach you every day!
This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not a trading or investment recommendation. I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
Nifty weak after failed retest – Key supports at 24,900–24,800📉 Nifty Outlook – Breakdown After Failed Retest
Nifty tried to retest the breakout zone of 25,150–25,250, but failed to hold above it. This rejection has shifted the structure towards weakness, and the index may now revisit crucial lower levels.
🔴 Failed Retest – A Bearish Signal
The zone of 25,150–25,250 was earlier acting as a breakout area. A successful retest would have confirmed strength for higher levels. However, Nifty failed to sustain, which indicates that buyers are losing control near this resistance.
📉 Next Support – Trendline Breakout Zone
The immediate support lies in the 24,900–24,800 band, which coincides with the earlier trendline breakout zone. If Nifty can stabilize here, a short-term bounce may still be possible.
⚠️ Deeper Downside Risk
If the 24,900–24,800 zone is broken on the downside, then the structure opens up for a deeper correction. In such a case, levels of 24,500–24,300 become very much possible in the coming sessions.
✅ Summary
Resistance rejected at 25,150–25,250
Weakness likely unless Nifty reclaims this zone
Supports at 24,900–24,800, below which 24,500–24,300 may come into play.
Double bearish pattern in Nifty50Originally, a gartley pattern was completed, and it gives lower targets till 25280, 25155, 25025.
While the targets are validating, it has given another bearish confirmation pattern of Head & Shoulder, which gives further lower targets, as mentioned in the video itself. Lower targets are 24850, 24760 levels.
Nifty Technical Analysis – 23 September 2025🕒 1-Day Chart
Support Levels:
25,200: Immediate support; bulls need to defend this level.
25,050: Critical support; a break below this could lead to further downside.
Resistance Levels:
25,300: Immediate resistance; a breakout above this could lead to a rally.
25,450–25,500: Key resistance zone; bulls need to reclaim this for a bullish trend.
Technical Indicators:
RSI is below 60, indicating weakening momentum.
MACD shows a bearish crossover, suggesting potential downside.
Market Sentiment:
The index formed a bearish candle with a long upper shadow, indicating selling pressure at higher levels.
The index is trading below the 10-day EMA, suggesting a short-term downtrend.
🕓 4-Hour Chart
Support Levels:
25,150: Immediate support; a break below this could lead to further downside.
25,000: Strong support; bulls need to defend this level.
Resistance Levels:
25,300: Immediate resistance; a breakout above this could lead to a rally.
25,450: Key resistance; bulls need to reclaim this for a bullish trend.
Technical Indicators:
RSI is below 60, indicating weakening momentum.
MACD shows a bearish crossover, suggesting potential downside.
Market Sentiment:
The index is trading below the 10-period EMA, suggesting a short-term downtrend.
🕐 1-Hour Chart
Support Levels:
25,150: Immediate support; a break below this could lead to further downside.
25,000: Strong support; bulls need to defend this level.
Resistance Levels:
25,250: Immediate resistance; a breakout above this could lead to a rally.
25,400: Key resistance; bulls need to reclaim this for a bullish trend.
Technical Indicators:
RSI is below 60, indicating weakening momentum.
MACD shows a bearish crossover, suggesting potential downside.
Market Sentiment:
The index is trading below the 10-period EMA, suggesting a short-term downtrend.
🕒 15-Minute Chart
Support Levels:
25,150: Immediate support; a break below this could lead to further downside.
25,000: Strong support; bulls need to defend this level.
Resistance Levels:
25,250: Immediate resistance; a breakout above this could lead to a rally.
25,400: Key resistance; bulls need to reclaim this for a bullish trend.
Technical Indicators:
RSI is below 60, indicating weakening momentum.
MACD shows a bearish crossover, suggesting potential downside.
Market Sentiment:
The index is trading below the 10-period EMA, suggesting a short-term downtrend.
Nifty 50 spot 25327.05 by Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 spot 25327.05 by Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Rising Support Channel sustained a positive supportive role
- Bullish "W" Double Bottom uptrend momentum yet on strong ground
- Falling Resistance Trendline active and Resistance Channel Breakout sustained
- Updated Resistance Zone 25430 to 25670 for Nifty Index based on current week momentum
- Updated Support Zone at 24875 to 25135 for the Nifty Index gained strength by weekly closure above 25000
ETERNAL (ZOMATO) By KRS Charts17th April 2025 / 1:24 PM
Why Eternal ??
1. All Over Bullish Stock. Yet Not Profitable but Business model has potential in near Future.
2. Wave Count is suggesting 4th wave is likely finish and 5th last leg is started which can last till 340 Rs.
3 RSI & MACD is showing bullish continues Divg. bears gave there all but failed to make new lower low.
4. Lower TF is showing W pattern Breakout as well with good volume.
Targets and SL 1W Closing Basis are mentioned in chart.
NIFTY Analysis 17 SEPTEMBER, 2025 ,Daily Morning update at 9 amIf Nifty opens around 25280 and sustains sideways, bullish strength builds.
Sustaining above 25280 for 30m gives next upside target 25330.
If momentum continues, 25330–25403 is the extended resistance zone.
Above 25330, traders must watch for profit booking signals.
f Nifty fails to sustain above 25205, weakness may start
First support at 25150, this is the key intraday level.
If 25150 breaks, next strong support lies at 25071
Below 25071 aggressive selling may appear
Between 25205 and 25280, Nifty may remain sideways.
In this range, avoid over-trading and wait for breakout confirmation.
The Secret of Liquidity Grab – Why Price Hunts Highs Before FallHello Traders!
Have you ever noticed how the market first breaks a recent high, traps breakout traders, and then suddenly reverses? This is not random, it’s called a liquidity grab .
Understanding this concept can completely change how you see price action.
1. What is a Liquidity Grab?
Liquidity means orders in the market, stop losses, buy orders, sell orders.
When price hunts a previous high or low, it triggers stop losses and pending orders. This creates a sudden burst of liquidity.
Institutions use this liquidity to enter or exit large positions without causing slippage.
2. Why Price Hunts Highs Before Falling
At previous swing highs, many breakout traders place buy orders and short sellers place stop losses.
When the price spikes above that level:
Breakout traders enter long positions.
Short sellers’ stop losses get triggered (buy orders).
This creates a pool of buying liquidity. Once institutions have sold into this buying pressure, price often reverses sharply.
3. Why This Matters for Retail Traders
Most retail traders get trapped during these liquidity grabs.
They either chase breakouts too late or panic exit at the wrong time.
By recognizing this pattern, you can avoid being the liquidity and instead trade with the smart money.
4. How to Use This in Trading
Wait for the Grab: Don’t rush into a breakout. Wait to see if price quickly reverses after taking out a high/low.
Confirm With Volume: A liquidity grab often shows a sudden spike in volume followed by an opposite move.
Look for Rejection Candles: Pin bars, engulfing candles, or sharp wicks at highs/lows confirm the trap.
Rahul’s Tip:
Next time you see price breaking a high, don’t get excited. Ask yourself, is this a real breakout or just a liquidity grab? Waiting a little longer often saves you from being trapped.
Conclusion:
Liquidity grabs are the hidden traps of the market. Price doesn’t move randomly, it seeks liquidity first.
By understanding this, you can avoid becoming the victim and instead align yourself with the institutions.
If this post gave you clarity on liquidity grabs, like it, share your thoughts in the comments, and follow for more smart price action insights!
ApolloMicro SystemsApollo Micro Systems (AMS) is an Indian defense and aerospace electronics company poised for growth due to strong order books and expansion plans.
Apart from the Fundamentals, from Technical Point of view based on previous high breakout, stock has reached the Fibo Extension of 325.95. and its the Major Resistance.
Its a buy on dip candidate for a short to long term Investment stock,
with next target of 448.75 / 524.65.
SBICARD at Key Level: Watch ₹780 Support, ₹830 BreakoutSBICARD is currently displaying a double bottom pattern on the daily chart — a bullish reversal setup that typically forms after a downtrend. This pattern signals that the stock is attempting to establish a strong base and could be preparing for an upward move.
⚖️ Key Levels to Watch
Support Zone: As long as SBICARD holds above ₹780, the structure remains strong and the pattern is valid. A breakdown below this level could weaken the setup.
Breakout Confirmation: A closing above ₹830 will serve as bullish confirmation of the double bottom breakout.
Upside Targets: Once confirmed, the stock has potential to rally toward ₹860–880 levels in the short term.
✅ Summary
In short, SBICARD is in a consolidation phase, attempting to break out from a double bottom. Holding above ₹780 keeps the bullish bias intact, while a breakout above ₹830 can trigger the next leg higher.
Nifty Eyes 25,500 if Breaks Out; Risk of 24,300 if RejectedNifty bounced strongly from the 24,450–23,350 support zone and is now approaching the 25,100–25,250 resistance band. If it sustains above this level, it will confirm a double bottom pattern and open the path toward 25,500–25,600. However, if Nifty faces rejection at this resistance, it may again slip back to test the 24,400–24,300 zone. A retracement before breaking out is also possible, so next week’s price action will be crucial.
🔹 Bullish Case
Nifty bounced from the strong support zone of 24,450–23,350.
Now trading near the 25,100–25,250 resistance zone.
If it sustains above this band, it confirms a double bottom breakout.
Upside targets will be 25,500–25,600 in the short term.
🔹 Bearish Case
If Nifty fails to cross 25,100–25,250 and faces rejection,
Selling pressure may drag it back toward the 24,400–24,300 support zone.
A breakdown below this could extend weakness further.
🔹 Retracement Scenario
Nifty may first retrace a bit lower from current levels,
Then reattempt the breakout above 25,100–25,250 after retesting.
This would be a healthier breakout with stronger follow-through.
✅ Summary: Next week is crucial — a sustained breakout above 25,250 is bullish, while rejection may send Nifty back toward 24,400–24,300. Retracement before breakout is also possible.
Nifty 50 spot 25114 by Daily Chart view - Weekly UpdateNifty 50 spot 25114 by Daily Chart view - Weekly Update
- Rising Support Channel seems back in positive action mode
- Resistance Zone 24900 to 25150 of Nifty Index Breakout attempted
- Falling Resistance Trendline in place but Resistance Channel Breakout attempted
- Bearish Rounding Top pattern by the Resistance zone neckline to see breakout over the next week
- Bullish "W" with Double Bottom formed below Support Zone, seems instrumental for uptrend momentum
- Support Zone seen at 24450 to 24700 of Nifty Index gained strength by the weekly closure above the 25000 index level
How FII & DII Flows Impact Nifty & BankNifty Daily Moves!Hello Traders!
Every evening, traders check the data: FII (Foreign Institutional Investors) bought or sold ₹X crores, DII (Domestic Institutional Investors) did the opposite.
But how do these flows actually affect the daily moves of Nifty and BankNifty? Let’s break it down.
1. FII Flows Drive Short-Term Sentiment
FIIs have massive capital, and their buying or selling often leads to sharp moves.
When FIIs are heavy buyers, indices like Nifty and BankNifty usually see strong rallies because of large inflows.
When they sell aggressively, the market often corrects, especially in large-cap stocks where they hold big stakes.
2. DII Flows Provide Stability
DIIs include mutual funds, insurance companies, and pension funds.
They act as a counterbalance to FIIs.
When FIIs sell in panic, DIIs often buy the dip, providing support to the market.
This is why sometimes, even with heavy FII selling, Nifty doesn’t crash as much as expected, DIIs are absorbing the supply.
3. Sector Impact – Why BankNifty Moves More
FIIs and DIIs both invest heavily in banking and financial stocks.
That’s why BankNifty often reacts more sharply to their flows compared to other sectors.
FII buying in banks = sharp rallies.
FII selling in banks = bigger drag on BankNifty.
4. Daily Data vs Long-Term Trend
Daily FII/DII numbers show short-term sentiment but don’t decide long-term trends alone.
Sometimes FIIs sell for weeks due to global issues, but strong domestic growth attracts them back eventually.
It’s important to watch whether the flows are consistent in one direction or just short-term adjustments.
Rahul’s Tip:
Don’t overreact to just one day’s FII/DII numbers. Look at the trend over several sessions.
Combine this data with charts of Nifty and BankNifty for a clearer picture.
Smart traders use flows as confirmation, not as the only reason to take trades.
Conclusion:
FII and DII flows are like the push and pull forces in the market.
FIIs bring speed and sharp moves, while DIIs bring balance and stability.
By tracking both, you can understand why Nifty and BankNifty move the way they do, and plan your trades with more confidence.
If this post made FII/DII flows clearer for you, like it, share your views in the comments, and follow for more real-world trading education!
Bearish Engulfing in Maruti: Bounce or Selloff Ahead ?What happened today
The daily candle is a strong bearish engulfing—today’s real body fully engulfed yesterday’s real body. That shows aggressive supply stepping in and a potential short-term reversal after the prior advance.
Today’s high ₹15,250 is your invalidation: as long as the price stays below this, the bearish setup remains active.
What confirms the signal tomorrow
A follow-through (confirmation) candle that closes below today’s low and ideally on above-average volume.
Bonus confirmation if intraday retests of the engulfing body’s mid-point get sold into (upper wicks, weak closes).
Downside roadmap if confirmed
A confirmed breakdown increases odds of a slide toward ₹13,600 (prior demand/congestion) and then ₹13,000 (major psychological level / deeper demand).
Momentum often accelerates after an engulfing + follow-through combo; expect lower highs, weak bounces, and moving-average rollovers on shorter timeframes.
Risk management / trade plan (discipline first)
Trigger: Consider shorts only after confirmation—i.e., sustained trade below today’s low; avoid pre-empting if price gaps up and holds.
Stop: Above ₹15,250 (setup invalidation) or above the confirmation candle’s high if that’s tighter and still logical.
Targets: T1 ₹13,600, T2 ₹13,000; trail stops on lower highs to lock gains.
Avoid traps: A close back inside/above half of today’s body without follow-through weakens the signal; a decisive close above ₹15,250 invalidates the view.
Bottom line
Bearish engulfing sets the stage; a confirmation candle tomorrow is key. If it comes, ₹13,600 → ₹13,000 opens up. If not—and especially if ₹15,250 is reclaimed—the bearish thesis is off.
Maruti’s Bearish Engulfing – Will We Get Confirmation?Maruti has formed a bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart today, which is a strong reversal signal when it appears after a rally. This pattern suggests that sellers have overpowered buyers.
⚖️ Importance of Confirmation
A bearish engulfing pattern requires a confirmation candle (a red follow-through candle on the next day) to validate the setup.
We’ve seen this before: on 4th September, Maruti also formed a bearish engulfing, but on 5th September, the follow-up candle was missing, which invalidated the bearish setup at that time.
Hence, waiting for tomorrow’s confirmation is crucial to avoid a false signal.
✅ Key Levels & Targets
If we get the confirmation candle tomorrow, then downside levels of ₹14,600 → ₹13,600 → ₹12,900 could unfold in the short to medium term.
On the flip side, if no confirmation comes, the pattern may fail just like in early September, and the stock could remain range-bound or resume upward momentum.
NIFTY: Ascending Triangle Breakout In PlayTechnical Outlook:
CMP: 24,973
📍 Immediate Support Zone: 24,858 – 24,768
📍 Strong Support Zone: 24,363 – 24,329
📍 Immediate Resistance Zone: 25,083 – 25,255 (Clustered zone)
📍 Strong Resistance Zones:
• 25,638 – 25,669
• 26,216 – 26,277 (All-Time High vicinity)
📈 Breakout Alerts:
✅ W-Pattern Breakout above 25,154 (Daily Candle Basis)
🎯 Target: 26,000
✅ Ascending Triangle Breakout above 24,972.50 ( Confirmed on Closing Basis today )
🎯 Target: 26,304 – aligning closely with the ATH of 26,277.35
Conclusion:
With two bullish patterns triggering nearly simultaneously, momentum is building. A sustained move above the immediate resistance cluster could fuel a rally towards uncharted territory.
Watch 25,154 and 25,255 – a clean move above could be the gateway to new all-time highs.
#BreakoutAlert | #TechnicalAnalysis | #ChartPatterns | #PriceAction
Weekly view (higher-timeframe) / Daily view for NiftyWeekly view (higher-timeframe)
Trend: Consolidation with slight bearish bias — weekly candles have shown limited follow-through above previous highs; failure to hold weekly support would open deeper correction. Use the weekly chart to judge whether weekly close holds above 24.5k
Key weekly levels to watch:
Major support (weekly): 24,150 – 23,775 (secondary targets if 24,500 fails).
Major resistance (weekly): 25,200 – 25,600 (weekly close above this turns bias bullish).
Daily view (what matters for tomorrow’s open)
Bias: Range to bearish unless price decisively gaps/opens above 24,900–25,000 and sustains. Daily momentum indicators referenced in live dashboards show neutral-to-slight-bearish readings (RSI not extremely oversold/overbought), so intraday follow-through matters.
Key intraday levels (actionable):
Immediate support: 24,500 — watch for a probe; below it increases odds of a drop to 24,150 and then 23,950–23,775.
Immediate resistance / bullish pivot: 24,900–25,200 — sustained trade above flips intraday bias toward 25,400+ (short-term targets).
Short setups / playbook for tomorrow (08-Sep-2025)
Bull scenario (momentum long)
Condition: Open/gap above 24,900 and 30-min candle closes above that level with rising volumes.
Plan: look for entries on pullback to 24,900–24,800.
Targets: 25,200 → 25,400.
Stop: close below 24,700 (or 1%–1.5% price-based SL depending on risk).
Bear scenario (momentum short)
Condition: Fails to hold 24,500 on the open or gaps down below 24,500 with follow-through.
Plan: short on retest of 24,500 after breakdown.
Targets: 24,150 → 23,950 → 23,775.
Stop: close above 24,650–24,700 (or 1%–1.5% price-based SL).
Range / neutral day (no trade if uncertain)
If price chops between 24,500–24,900, prefer to stay flat or trade tight intraday scalps with strict stops — higher chance of whipsaw.
Extra checks before market opens
Watch the first 15–30 minutes: the direction of the first 30-min candle + volume will largely determine day’s bias. If you trade, use that as confirmation. (Common intraday rule.)
Monitor macro headlines / premarket flows — anything on GST / policy / global cues may trigger gaps (recent GST news moved markets).
Nifty 50 spot 24741 by Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 spot 24741 by Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Resistance Zone 24900 to 25150 of Nifty Index
- Rising Support Channel is yet acting as a resistance
- Support Zone now earlier was the Resistance Zone at 24450 to 24700 level
- Breakdown from Falling Resistance Trendline and Channel has strongly sustained
- Bearish Rounding Top pattern by Resistance zone neckline active, with index closure below it






















