NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 5 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 5 Apr 2024
Bullish-Above 22620
Invalid- Below 22570
T- 22830 23030
Bearish-Below 22300
Invalid-Above 22350
T- 22090
NIFTY has closed with a 0.36% gain today. It was most volatile day after many days, maybe due to RBI event tomorrow. It opened with a big gap up and 10 o'clock range was to be used as per trade setup. Range broke downside below 22380 and gave 70+ points move in favor then it recovered 70% from where it fell. Tomorrow it will be both way moves once again die to RBI Credit Policy. So Personally I will avoid trading tomorrow.
Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22620 then we will long for the target of 22830 and 23030.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22300. T- 22090.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIFTY
BECAREFULL WITH GOLDMarket still round 2193 to 2203
Wait today...today Unemployment and Final GDP NEWS
If market cross & CLOSE ABOVE 2222 next zone will me 2238-2300
If market cross & CLOSE BELOW 2145 it will be RED ROSE...
then NEXT buy zones will be
2038-2025
1995-1973
1948-1931
1829-1811
Checking in day candle body doesn't close above DAY BOS in line chart seems M PATTERN ...
SO 60%SELL AND 40% BUYING
Sell Flip Zone 2203-2209
EURUSD,GBPUSD,NZDUSD,AUDUSD starts falls
so GOLD also will FALL soon...
Low equity members avoid trade today...
Use small lot max 0.01- 0.03 and 6-7 orders
SELL @
1st sell zone
2198-2200
2nd sell zone
2203-2207
Sl 2213
Tp 2193
Tp 2186
Tp 2176
Tp 2160
Tp 2148
Tp 2038
Tp 1950
Tp 1840
Buy stop @2212.8
x2lot size of sell total order
Tp 2221
Tp 2238
Tp 2270
Tp 2300
or avoid trade today
NOTES: EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE
03 Apr N50 -The Bulls have not given up yet, there is still hopeNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: “We wish to maintain the bullish stance for tomorrow as well, but we will be a bit cautious if Nifty falls below 22393 levels. A stance revision may not be even required till 22295 is broken”
As we feared yesterday, we got the drop below 22393 levels but it did not even test the 22295 to mandate a stance change. The intraday low was 22346 from which we recovered 174 points ~ 0.78% to 22520 levels. From there we had a sharp correction of about 96 points ~ 0.43%. This correction would be the excess or the profit booking from those “longs” entered near the swing lows. The final closing was perfectly flat at 22434 levels. This can be considered a big achievement for the Bulls as the opening was pretty bad.
I hope we are not making a double top (M pattern) on the 63mts time frame. If the pattern holds then all the efforts taken by the BankNifty index will go down the drain. This is because if Nifty50 reverses, there is no way BankNifty can maintain the positive momentum. For tomorrow we wish to start with the bullish stance itself and go neutral if the 22295 levels are not holding.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 4 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 4 Apr 2024
Bullish-Above 22530
Invalid-Below 22480
T- 22767
Bearish-Below 22390
Invalid-Above 22440
T- 22190
NIFTY has closed at a striking distance to ATH and on verge of a ATH breakout. It ended on a flat note today. Tomorrow if at all it breaks ATH then possibility of a shot covering rally is high. A strong momentum trade can be planned above 22530 which will be best directional for tomorrow. 22390 is intraday support so below 22390 we will plan a short trade, target of 22190 will be confirmed below today's low. High probability trade is in buy side.
Coming to Thursday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22530 then we will long for the target of 22767.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22390. T- 22190.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty 02 Apr- Flat day, consolidating or deciding to reverse?Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: “But before we go long, let us give it a day or two because the reaction today may be the after-effect of the adjustments and rebalancing that was done over the last 2 to 3 days due to year-end.”
Nifty was falling gradually, almost maintaining the same slope as yesterday. The final 90 minutes saw some activity against that slope, which ensured that we were closing flat for the day. If you consider the 0.71% fall in NiftyIT, it is quite commendable that Nifty and BankNifty held their ground. Honestly, NiftyIT falling was not a good sign - we should be seriously watching that sector to see if there are any weaknesses in the pipeline. NiftyIT is the first sector to react based on global macros (anything except Crude Oil).
We wish to maintain the bullish stance for tomorrow as well, but we will be a bit cautious if Nifty falls below 22393 levels. A stance revision may not be even required till 22295 is broken. In fact, Nifty might react more to domestic cues than international macros as elections are getting kicked off. We are going into the campaigns with a historically low VIX of 11.6525, I am quite sure this should start rising pretty soon.
long in nifty above 17070we can plan a target of 17400 17500 if nifty sustain and close 15 min candle on 20 march 2023 Monday's high. the reason behind the trade is nifty following channel and at support area where it bounce last time and made new high. so i will plan long with stoploss of 16800 . on spot chat.
CNX AUTO sentimentCNX auto continues the rally and aims at the 18860-19000 mark to make the new all-time-high.
Immediate resistance at 18719.50 which was the latest high made on 29th Dec'23
We can see a small divergence at the current level, indicating the possibility of a price fall.
Hence any bullish new entries are advisable once the price validates the breakout of the last high made at 19719.50
April 2nd - Finnifty overview
21220 is acting as an excellent resistance
21120 is acting as an excellent support
VIX is very low and the market is range-bound
We can see that the market is forming lower highs on keen observation.
Based on the above a conservative trade idea would be 21100-21250 strangle .
A much riskier trade would be going short with SL 21190 and targets 21120 and 21090 .
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 2 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 2 Apr 2024
Bullish-Above 22530
Invalid-Below 22480
T- 22780
Bearish-Below 22420
Invalid-Above 22470
T- 22200
NIFTY has closed on a bullish note with 0.61% gain today. Entire gain has been contributed by gap up as it opened with 0.57% gain. For the rest of the day index traded between 22530 and 22430, inside 100 points. It has formed a shooting star candle in daily TF although closed with gains but daily candle suggests weakness. Yesterday's buy level was 22530 and same will be for tomorrow. Below 22420 index will be bearish in intraday.
Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22530 then we will long for the target of 22780.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22420. T- 22200.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
01 Apr 2024 - Both indices are aligned in the same direction -UPNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: “In the end, made peace with whatever happened during the day. When we start trading on 1st April, we will start with a bullish stance.”
Nifty surprises everybody and recovers the loss of the final 45mts of trade on 28th March. What a good start to the new weekly, monthly, and yearly series. Unlike the previous quarters, I may not compile the daily posts into an ebook to post on Kindle, instead, it will be available on tradingview and my blog for reference & study.
Nifty hit a new ATH today - 22529 and after that, the momentum faded slightly, but the downside was protected pretty well. 22443 acted as a good interim support. For all the non-directional option sellers, the first day of the new FY would have given a good green start to their PnL.
On the higher timeframe, Nifty looks solidly poised for more bullish momentum. BankNifty went above its resistance today and for the first time in many sessions, we have both the indices facing the same direction i.e. UP. Ideally, we should see some followthrough buying and the index should continue to hit new highs. But before we go long, let us give it a day or two because the reaction today may be the after-effect of the adjustments and rebalancing that was done over the last 2 to 3 days due to year-end.
GOLD IN BUYsorry due to system problem cant update yesterday
GOLDUSD BUY correction done @ mar26 2.30pm...now we got low @ 2157.140
also 4h confirms the high @ 2200.487
using fibo we got 2 buy entry.... 1st zone@ 2174-2169...2nd zone @2160-2156
before that in 50% we got hidden ob@2178 it confirms 15m but only scalp entry we got...
yesterday night market hit 1st buy zone @2174-2169
then market confirms in 15mins with my low founding rules... so i place buy limit @2174-2172 Sl 2168.5
now market confirms typey 2 choch method in smc so that trend has been confirmed in buy on 15 mins
and now 1hr candle also confirms the same trend...
but in pattern seems sell pattern so 70% upside and 30% down to 2nd strong zone
NOTE: EDUCATION PURPOSE ONLY
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 1 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 1 Apr 2024
Bullish-Above 22530
Invalid-Below 22480
T- 22780
Bearish-Below 22250
Invalid- Above 22300
T- 22045
NIFTY has closed on a bullish note last week with 1% gain. It was a short week of 3 sessions but since start of the week bulls took charge and held till weekend. Now above 22530-50 we will witness another round of strong bullish move in daily TF. On Thursday itself we discussed about hourly TF breakout above 22215 and it gave a fantastic move. Also since it has been rejected from ATH zone so there is a pullback scenario below 22250 towards 22045, which is again a reversal level.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22530 then we will long for the target of 22780.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22250. T- 22045.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIFTY MARCH MONTH EXPIRY ANALYSISThe market (NIFTY50) is Trading at 22150.
Do not blindly go with the buy or call side. First Market will re-test with the S4 area (21950) and then it will move towards our Target which is 22300.
It's a clear Reverse Head and Shoulder Pattern but don't go blindly in any direction. Let's wait for a retest and then enter the rally.
Another 2 Conditions:
1. If it breaks 22215 then 22300 will be scalping in Intraday.
2. If 21800 Break then more selling expected
28 Mar ’24 — Nifty up 5415pts 32% this FY Investors beat tradersNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: “We are still hanging on to the inverse head and shoulders pattern and strongly hope we should have some movement to the 22295 levels by tomorrow.”
4mts chart
Unbelievable intraday price action by Nifty50 today. A rise of 369 points ~ 1.67% and then a sharp fall of 250 points ~ 1.11%. This highly volatile price movement is largely attributed to the year-end rebalancing by the mutual funds both DIIs and FIIs.
What a fantastic financial year it has been for the investors. Nifty is up 32% ie 5415 points in the current financial year. If you look back and assess objectively, it is way above the average returns made by intraday traders. I can vouch for that as my personal returns are not more than 14 to 16% in this period.
Just imagine that, a normal investor who either did the SIP or lumpsum beat an active intraday trader. The former would have gone for a regular job or business and got an additional income whereas the latter would have spent every day (blood, sweat, and tears) in front of the trading terminal and end up underperforming.
These numbers are more than enough to drive away the traders - why take the pain if investing is giving above-average returns?
One thing is 100% sure, things will not remain like this forever. Benchmarks cannot give 30%+ returns every year if you are counting on that - it is a recipe for disaster.
Nifty almost took out the All-time highs today and ended up falling 10pts short. The inverse head and shoulders pattern played out and gave good results. My personal trades today were a total disaster. I was short 22400 CE, rolled up to 22450 CE, and then rolled over to the next weekly as the market was aggressively moving against me. Had to book back-to-back losses. After exiting the 22400 CE by stop loss, it went up another 2244% - totally crazy. And just check what happened in the last 45 minutes - we gave away 250 points. Meanwhile, I decided not to run the Algo’s today and stick with manual trades. If I had gone with the Algos, my entire March month earnings would have been washed out. In the end, made peace with whatever happened during the day. When we start trading on 1st April, we will start with a bullish stance.
1D chart
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 28 Mar 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 28 Mar 2024
Bullish- Above 22215
Invalid- 22165
T- 22360 22550
Bearish- Below 22040
Invalid- Above 22090
T- 21880 21680
NIFTY has closed on a bullish note with 0.54% gain today. It was firmly bullish since opening as buy triggered above 22080 and gave a steady move till 22200. However our targets were unachieved due to overall low momentum market. It has tested hourly resistance level 22210 which is a breakout level inside the overall parallel channel in hourly and daily TF. Tomorrow above 22215 we can expect a good upmove on flat opening. 22040 is today's low and an important bearish reversal point considered from hourly resistance - 22210.
Coming to Thursday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22215 then we will long for the target of 22360 and 22550
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22040. T- 21880 and 21680.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 27 Mar 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 27 Mar 2024
Bullish-Above 22080
Invalid-Below 22030
T- 22250
Bearish-Below 21940
Invalid-Above 21990
T- 21800 21630
NIFTY has closed on a bearish note with 0.42% cut today. While all this cut was entirely contributed by gap down opening. In intraday it traded in 80 points range, for the max time it froze between 50 points. Since 2nd week of Feb index has been hovering near 22000 zone. I am waiting for 21700 to be broken downside for a trendy move or else it is sideways and position sizing must be reduced till the time index is trading between this channel in daily TF.
Coming to Wednesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22080 then we will long for the target of 22250.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 21940. T- 21800 and 21630.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
BANK NIFTY MARCH MONTH EXPIRY ANALYSISBankNifty Important Levels for March Month Expiry:
=> Naked Buyer Strategy:
CALL Side:
Buy Above: 47040.
Put Stop Loss: 46950.
Targets: 47130, 47203, 47288, 47368 and 47423.
PUT Side:
Sell below: 46800.
Stop Loss: 46880.
Targets : 46720 ,46650, 46570 and 46474.
=> Hedging Strategy:
UP SIDE:
Sell 47300/47400 PUT (Premium price 500-570) & Hedge with 46400 PUT (Premium price 100).
DOWB SIDE:
Sell 46400/46300 CALL (Premium price 550-630) & Hedge with 46430 PUT (Premium price 130).
=> Sell Strangle Strategy:
Sell 46400 CALL and Parallelly Sell 47400 Put.
Note: Do Trading after the Level break and use Strict Stoploss.
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 26 Mar 24As we have discussed in our Video, Nifty is trading at its 200 EMA in 1-H TF, which has been providing very nice support.
PCR = 1.24 (Highly Bullish)
Important Levels: marked on chart
Support: 22000 , 21930
Resistance: 22164, 22428
Verdict: Bullish
Plan of Action:
Sell 22164 CE & 22000 PE. Exit one leg if it breaks the zone. (hedge with 20/- PE)
A 50-day moving average (50 DMA/SMA/EMA)A 50-day moving average (50 DMA) is a technical indicator that shows the average closing price of a security over the last 50 days. It's a popular indicator because it's realistic and effective at showing historical price movement trends.
Concept of 50 Moving Average
1. Entry
- Candle crossover 50 MA: This refers to a situation where the closing price of a candle crosses above the
50-period moving average line. When the candle's closing price moves from below the 50 MA to above it,
it indicates potential upward momentum in the price action. This could signal a bullish trend or a potential
buying opportunity.
2. Exit:
- Distance between 50 MA and Candle: This involves monitoring the distance between the closing price
of the candle and the 50-period moving average. If the distance becomes significantly large, it may indicate
an overextended market and a potential reversal. Traders might consider taking profits or preparing for a reversal
signal.
- Candle crossunder 50 MA: This occurs when the closing price of a candle crosses below the 50-period
moving average line. It suggests potential downward momentum in the price action. This could signal a bearish trend
or a potential selling opportunity.
3. No Trade Zone (Sideways):
- Use Box Breakout Strategy: In a sideways or ranging market where the price moves within a defined range,
a breakout strategy can be employed. A box breakout strategy involves identifying a range-bound market where the
price oscillates between a support and resistance level (forming a box-like pattern). Traders look for breakouts
above the resistance or below the support level to initiate trades. This helps avoid trading during periods of low
volatility and indecision, typical of sideways markets, and instead focuses on capturing potential momentum during
breakout movements.
GOLD IN BUYGOLD/USD March FINAL WEEK PLAN...
In GOLD-USD Friday (22-03-2024) Market reaches our 2nd sell target of 2160...
Which is buy correction zone(BUY FLIP ZONE)...
EXTREM BUY ZONE IS still there 2152-2146
I am looking for buy because of below mentioned points:
1.Before reaching 2160 market forms buy liquidity(BUYING PATTERN) in FAIR GAP Area
2.In 30M Awesome Oscillator indicates upside distribution even market comes down...
3.In 15M-50% Buy confirmation we got...
4.In DAY TF i am expecting 2258-2300 is 1st Pull back zone(only my opinion not confirms yet)
Here we got 3 entry zones with 3 different entry method...
1.Intraday Setup-- use 1% RISK of your capital in every entry
we have 3 intraday setup
(_a_).15M Gives only 50% confirmation for BUY REWARD---1:20 Ratio
BUY limit @2160
SL 2156
TP 2185
TP 2206
TP 2211
(_b_).5M mid range entry(if confirms get we will updates here then entry this)BUY
REWARD--1:22 Ratio
BUY limit @2153
SL 2149.4
TP 2185
TP 2206
TP 2211
(_c_).30M Extreme entry zone previous BUY LIQUIDITY zone...
Also PULL BACK AREA...In 2146 is trend line passing point...
you can place order without confirmation... REWARD--1:24 Ratio
BUY limit @2149
SL 2144
TP 2185
TP 2206
TP 2211
2.Mid Risk Setup-- use 4to5% RISK of your capital.... REWARD--1:8-1:10 Ratio
USE 2 Layers 5 Orders Strategy
BUY LIMIT @2153-2149
SL 2144
TP 2185
TP 2206
TP 2221
Once Market HIT 2149...SET 2153 as a Target BE(close @entry)
3.Swing setup-- Need higher capital.... REWARD--1:7-1:8-1:10 Ratio
USE 3 Layers 5 Orders Strategy
BUY LIMIT @2160-2153-2149
SL 2144
TP 2185
TP 2206
TP 2221
TP 2270
Once Market HIT 2149...SET 2160 as a Target BE(close @entry)
IF MARKET TREND CHANGE... OVER ALL SELL STOP 2143..use x2 lot size which total lot size you use in above buy limit orders ( Targets & SL will updates later)
or
Don't use sell stop wait for next recovery update...
All The Best...
NOTES:EDUCATION PURPOSE ONLY