renderwithme | NIFTY-50 for the week of August 11–15, 2025The Nifty 50 index, a benchmark for the Indian stock market, is expected to exhibit cautious and potentially bearish behaviour for the week of August 11–15, 2025, based on recent market trends, technical analysis, and macroeconomic factors. Below is a detailed analysis for the upcoming week
# Current Market Context
Recent Performance: As of August 8, 2025, the Nifty 50 closed at 24,363.30, down 232.85 points (-0.95%), reflecting a bearish sentiment driven by foreign fund outflows and US-India tariff tensions. The index has been trading within a descending channel, characterised by lower highs and lower lows, indicating short-term weakness.
Technical Indicators:
Weekly Chart: A candle formed on the weekly chart, signalling market Bearish. Confirmation of this pattern could indicate further consolidation or a directional move.
Moving Averages: The Nifty is below its 21-day EMA, suggesting bearish momentum. The 5-day SMA and EMA are around 24,843.75 and 24,865.11, respectively, acting as resistance.
RSI and MACD: RSI is in the 35–40 range, indicating oversold conditions, which could signal a potential short-term bounce. MACD remains bearish, reflecting sustained selling pressure.
Pivot Levels: Key resistance is at 25,600–25,925, with immediate support at 23,250–23,400. A break below 23,200 could push the index toward its 200-day DMA (~23,900).
Market Sentiment: Sentiment is cautious due to:FII Outflows: Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) sold equities worth ₹4,997.19 crore on August 7, 2025, exerting downward pressure. Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) countered with ₹10,864.04 crore in buys, providing some support.
Global Cues: Mixed global market performance (e.g., NASDAQ down 2.24%, Dow Jones up 0.29% on August 4) and US tariff hikes on Indian imports are weighing on sentiment.
RBI Policy: The upcoming RBI policy decision could influence market direction, particularly if it addresses interest rates or liquidity measures.
Nifty 50 Forecast for Next Week (August 11–15, 2025)Based on available data, here’s the forecast for the week:Key Levels to WatchSupport Levels: 23,200, 23,500, (200-DMA). If A weekly candle break and close below 22,000 could accelerate selling toward 22,500.
Resistance Levels: 25,545–25,955. A sustained move above 25,900 could signal a potential reversal, with 26,000 as a critical psychological level.
Trend: Bearish with support at 24,200 critical. A positive global cue (e.g., GIFT Nifty up 0.36% on August 4) could support a modest recovery.
#Technical Outlook
- Bearish Scenario: If the Nifty fails to hold 23,200, it could slide toward 22,900 or lower, aligning with the 200-DMA. The inverse head-and-shoulders pattern on the weekly chart suggests a potential base at 22,900, but confirmation is pending.
- Bullish Scenario: A break above 24,600 could trigger a short-term rally toward 24,925–25,045. Sustaining above 25,000 may push the index toward 25,250, potentially signaling a trend reversal.
Indicators: Oversold RSI (35–40) suggests a possible bounce, but bearish MACD and selling volume indicate caution. Traders should monitor for a bullish crossover in MACD or RSI moving above 50 for confirmation of upward momentum.
Key Factors to WatchGlobal Markets: Movements in major indices like NASDAQ, Dow Jones, and FTSE will influence Nifty’s direction. Positive cues from GIFT Nifty (24,685 on August 4) could support a recovery.
FII/DII Activity: Continued FII selling could pressure the index, while DII buying may limit downside.
RBI Policy: Any dovish signals or liquidity measures could boost sentiment.
Sector Performance: Banking, IT, and energy sectors are critical. Stocks like SBI, Bharti Airtel, and Tata Motors may drive index movements.
Geopolitical and Tariff Issues: US-India trade tensions could cap upside potential.
Monitor volume and global cues for intraday trades.
Long-Term Investors:Current valuations near 23,200–23,400 are attractive for quality stocks. Accumulate fundamentally strong Nifty constituents (e.g., HDFC Bank, Reliance) on dips.
Use oversold conditions as an entry point for long-term portfolios, but diversify to mitigate volatility risks.
Critical PerspectiveWhile the sources provide detailed technical levels and predictions, they rely heavily on historical patterns and short-term indicators, which may not account for sudden macroeconomic shifts or black-swan events. The bearish bias is driven by FII outflows and tariff concerns, but DII support and potential RBI interventions could stabilize the market. Predictions like those from (e.g., Min: 22,200, Max: 26,240) show wide ranges, reflecting uncertainty and volatility. Investors should question overly precise forecasts and focus on broader trends, such as the index’s proximity to the 200-DMA and global market correlations.
ConclusionThe Nifty 50 is likely to remain range-bound between 23,900 and 24,925 next week, with a bearish bias unless it breaks above 24,600. Key supports at 24,200–24,000 and resistance at 24,600–25,045 will dictate short-term movements. Traders should stay cautious, monitor global cues, and prioritise risk management, while long-term investors may find opportunities in oversold conditions. Always verify critical information and consult a financial advisor before making decisions.
Chart for your Reference Only
~~ Disclaimer ~~
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational \ educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
# Boost and comment will be highly appreciated.
NIFTY
Nifty 50 spot 24,363.30 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 spot 24,363.30 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Support Zone 23850 to 24100 for Nifty Index
- Resistance Zone 24450 to 24700 for Nifty Index earlier Support Zone
- Bearish Rounding pattern top for Nifty 50 Index from ATH 26277.35 to 24073.90 diff 2,203 points
- Nifty 50 Index took reversal from 21964.60 just tad above from expected low of 21870 by 2203 points
- Bearish Rounding Top has repeated from the recent high of 25669.35 to 24473 having a difference of 1196 points
- *Will the same downfall behavior happen and see history repeated for Nifty 50 Index going down till 23276 and then reverse upside*
- *Stock Markets Domestically and Globally, are bearing the brunt of adversely affecting and negatively playing Tariff Tantrum Trumpet*
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup 06 Aug 2025NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup 06 Aug 2025
Buy-Above 24750
Invalid-Below 24700
T- 24950
Bearish- Below 24530
Invalid-Above 24580
T- 24335
NIFTY has closed on a bearish note with 0.3% cut today. It has made 2 consecutive inside candles in daily TF. 24500 zone will be a confluence zone, due to multiple supports taken earlier. Below 24400 index can escalate, and index may start an impulsive move. On flat opening above 24750 index may give a reversal move towards 25k. Below 24530 index will be simple short towards 24335 zone as per ABCD pattern. Plan on 15 Min candle closing.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty Navigator - Trading Switch is off NSE:NIFTY (06 - August )
👉Stuck below 50EMA & above previous demand zone.
Too much silence out there for long traders,
Now Next Resistance is - 50 EMA zone as of now, uncertainty building up
Seems like the current pause is just a pullback in the correction leg, and it should hit the support zone and build a linear base before moving up.
👉PCR - 0.72
👉INDIAVIX - 11.71
Support: 24470,24170
Resistance:-24900,25250
⭐️Verdict: The views remain the same as last time, we need more action and hold our horses, otherwise, we may cripple it.
The Trading Switch is Off - As the MARKET SCORE is Now 3.
Nifty levels for next week (4th August 2025 onwards)Nifty is in a clear downtrend, important levels are marked on the chart.
A break below 24550 may bring the 24460 level and a break further may show the 24300 levels too on the chart. It may not be seen in a single day but can be visible in few trading sessions.
An up move is possible only above 24630 level that too if price sustains above this level else it may bring more selling from upper levels..
Let's see how it turns out..
Nifty 50 spot 24565.35 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly update*Nifty 50 spot 24565.35 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly update*
- Resistance Zone 24900 to 25100 of Nifty Index Level
- Support Zone 24450 to 24700 of Nifty Index level still seen sustained
- Bearish Rounding Bottom after ATH level seen repeated at current week closure
- Practical Bottom of *Bearish Rounding Bottom* from ATH 26277.35 came to 21,870.45 for Nifty index
- Practically Nifty 50 Index later took an upside reversal from 21964.60, which is a diff of just 94.15 points
- Practical Bottom of *Repeated Bearish Rounding Bottom* from recent high of 25669.35 on 30th June comes to 24473
- Should we anticipate the same behavior to see history repeat for Nifty to go down until 23276 and then take the reversal
Nifty July Iron Condor Strategy – Premiums are Still Attractive!Hello Traders!
After a strong April, May and June where all three our option writing strategies gave full profits, we are back again with the July edition. Market is respecting the range beautifully, and we are again going with a non-directional Iron Condor setup.
Let’s walk through the logic and setup, based on the recent chart and market behaviour.
Why This Strategy Now? (Based on Chart Analysis)
Resistance Zone: 25,667–26,267 (two-layer zone, minor and major resistance)
Support Zone: 24,240–24,892 (50-DEMA tested, strong support)
Nifty is hovering inside the range – no clear trend, perfect for sideways strategy
MACD has given bearish crossover – adds pressure on upside
Strategy Setup (Iron Condor – 31st July Monthly Expiry)
Sell 24900 PE (2 lots)
Buy 24500 PE (2 lots)
Sell 25500 CE (2 lots)
Buy 25800 CE (2 lots)
Payoff Graph for Strategy:
Why This Works (Logic + Technical View)
Strategy revolves around the 24,750–25,650 zone where Nifty is stuck
Support well aligned to 50-DEMA at 24,892 and 24,240 (intermediate support)
Volatility is neutral, data is range-bound – ideal environment for iron condor writers
No major events or newsflow – market likely to stay inside band
Risk Management & Exit Points
Exit if Nifty gives a clean breakout above 25,700 or breakdown below 24,250
If strategy gives 40–50% max profit early, consider booking
Always keep an eye on VIX and OI buildup for major trend shifts
Rahul's Tip
This strategy has worked beautifully for last 3 months. If you’ve been with me, you know how well Iron Condors can work when market ranges. So we ride the same logic again, until the breakout comes.
Once again – this is a low risk, range-bound iron condor setup with good risk-to-reward.
Have you ever tried a short iron condor on NIFTY? What was your experience? Drop your thoughts below!
If you liked this post, don’t forget to LIKE and FOLLOW!
Regular updates coming with chart tracking, P&L changes and smart exits.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NIFTY Analysis – 31 july 2025 ,Morning update at 9 amExpected Market Behavior
Nifty may open gap down near 24757
May slip towards 24620 and then 24481
Around 24620, expect sideways or consolidation
If a Bearish Bottleneck Pattern forms near 24620 (5-min chart), then Nifty may fall further toward 24450 to 24500
If Nifty sustains above 24922, it may trigger short covering toward 24995 and possibly 25097
Support
24757
24620
24481
Resistance
24922
24995
25097
Tariff news increases volatility
Causes gap-down openings or weak recovery
Top Sectors Affected by U.S. Tariffs on India
1. Pharmaceuticals
India is one of the largest exporters of generic drugs to the U.S.
Impact: U.S. tariffs can reduce competitiveness and margins
Key Stocks Affected:
Sun Pharma
Cipla
Dr. Reddy’s Labs
Lupin
Aurobindo Pharma
2. Textiles & Apparel
A large chunk of India’s textile exports (clothing, home textiles) go to the U.S.
Impact: High price due to tariffs = loss to competitors like Bangladesh, Vietnam
Key Stocks Affected:
Welspun India
Arvind
Raymond
Vardhman Textiles
KPR Mill
3. 💻 Information Technology (IT) Services
Though services usually aren’t taxed directly like goods, indirect restrictions (like visa issues or regulatory controls) can affect business.
Impact: If IT services are restricted, contract flow from U.S. reduces
Key Stocks Affected:
TCS
Infosys
Wipro
HCL Tech
Tech Mahindra
4. Steel & Metal Exports
U.S. often imposes duties on Indian steel and aluminum for protectionism.
Impact: Steel exports drop, prices fall
Key Stocks Affected:
Tata Steel
JSW Steel
Jindal Steel & Power
5. Auto Components
India exports automotive parts to U.S. automakers.
Impact: Higher cost for U.S. buyers may reduce demand
Key Stocks Affected:
Motherson Sumi
Bharat Forge
Sundaram Fasteners
6. Chemical & Specialty Chemical
India is a big player in specialty chemicals, also impacted by tariff or import restrictions.
Key Stocks Affected:
SRF
PI Industries
Aarti Industries
Navin Fluorine
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 30 Jul 2025NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 30 Jul 2025
Bullish-Above 24900
Invalid-Below 24850
T- 25100
Bearish-Below 24590
Invalid-Above 24640
T- 24290
NIFTY has closed on a positive note today. This does not mean that the short term trend has changed. Bullish sentiment confirmation will be when index closes above 50 EMA in daily TF and closes above PDH in daily TF. Tomorrow a bullish move can be expected above 24900 on a 15 Min candle close towards gap filling area. In case index closes below 24590 in 15 Min TF then index will head towards 24290.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Bajaj Finance – Trendline BreakdownBajaj Finance has broken a key ascending trendline on the daily chart, with a minor retest underway. The price now trades below the 21 EMA (926.59), indicating short-term weakness. RSI stands at 38.31, showing bearish momentum with room for further downside. A significant volume spike confirms strong selling pressure. If the retest fails, the stock could drop toward the 790–830 support zone. This bearish setup remains valid unless the price reclaims the trendline and closes above the EMA. Traders should watch for rejection at the trendline to confirm further downside.
Sensex Scalping Plan For Tomorrow (29/07) Just My ViewThis Trade is Valid Only If Gap-Down Open (80,600 or lower)
Logic: breakdown continuation, FII dump, aggressive call OI active contracts, Weak put writers.
5m Negative Candle + EMA rejection
Entry Around 80,850 – 80,950 Retest
Stop Loss Around Above 81050-81,100
Target 1 80,600 (Day Low)
Target 2 80,200
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered as investment advice or a recommendation to buy/sell any securities. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Trading and investing involve risk.
NIFTY Analysis – 29 july 2025 ,Morning update at 9 amMarket View
Likely to open flat negative near 24650
May dip initially towards 24608
If Bearish Bottleneck forms on the 5-min chart, then it may further slip towards 24531
if Bearish Trend Continues
Possible downside extension: 24531 → 24449
If Market Holds or Reverses
If Nifty consolidates or holds above 24650, then short covering may occur
Possible upside targets: 24765, then 24841, and finally 24900
ifty is already in an oversold zone, hence:
First dip may happen early
Monitor for reversal signs around 24608–24531
Don’t short aggressively after the first move
NIFTY Analysis – 28 july 2025 ,Morning update at 9 amExpected Opening & Movement Zones
Likely Opening Flat near 24800.
Immediate Downside Target (if weak)
First: 24756 important support.
Then: 246721– next support.
Upside if bounce or consolidation
First short-cover target: 24870.
Next: 24915 – minor resistance.
24756,Near today's flat open 1st crucial support
24671 If bottleneck confirmed –test this zone
24608 Extended weakness zone
Resistance Levels
24915 Short covering resistance
25,006 Important psychological and swing resistance
25076 Breakout confirmation only above this
the sideways range is likely between
24756 to 24915
Nifty may consolidate in this zone before giving any big move.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 28 Jul 2025NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 28 Jul 2025
Sell_1- From 24990
Invalid-Above 25040
T- 24800
Bearish-Below 24800
Invalid-Above 24850
T- 24620
NIFTY has closed on a bearish note, ended near lowest point of the week. Index has closed below 50 and 21 EMA both. Its sell on rise market till it is below 50 EMA. Support lies near 24150, 24450 will be a confluence zone in between. Following the sell on rise approach, On Monday 25k zone will be a resistance area to plan a short. On flat opening, below 24800 will be a simple short planning towards 24600 zone.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty 50 spot 24837.00 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 spot 24837.00 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Support Zone 24450 to 24700 of Nifty Index level
- Updated Rising Price Channel Breakdown weakness continues
- Resistance Zone was earlier Support Zone 24900 to 25100 of Nifty Index Level
- Next Resistance Zone seen at 25250 to 25400 then ATH 26277.35 of Nifty Index level
- Breakdown from the Falling Resistance Channel and Trendline has maintained it's strength
- *Multiple reasons attribute for weakness and breakdown and that is how Markets show their Supremacy*
Nifty 50 at a Critical Juncture – Breakdown or Bounce Ahead?Technical Overview – Trendline Test in Action
After breaking out of a well-defined falling wedge pattern in April 2025, the Nifty 50 had been respecting an ascending support trendline, offering steady higher lows and consistent bullish structure.
However, in the most recent session, price closed just below this key trendline at 24,926.80, with volume slightly elevated — a signal that the bulls are losing control unless support is reclaimed quickly.
Key Technical Levels
Immediate Resistance: 25,100–25,250
Trendline Support (Broken): ~24,950
Major Demand Zone: 24,300–24,600
Critical Breakdown Level: 24,850
Options Chain Snapshot – What Smart Money Is Signaling
Expiry: 31st July 2025
Spot: 24,935.50
Futures: 24,956.50
🔸 Call Writers in Control
Significant OI at 25,000 CE (140.7K) and 24,950 CE (38K)
Call unwinding seen from 24,700 to 25,200, suggesting profit booking or reduced bullish conviction
IVs remain compressed across ATM and OTM calls → calm surface, but pressure building
🔹 Put Writers Still Active
24,900 PE (101K OI, +59.5K) and 25,000 PE (143K OI, +40.9K) are heavily defended
PCR remains above 1 for 24,950–25,000 zone → put writers betting on expiry support
Rising OI at 24,800 PE (84K) also shows growing downside hedges
Data vs. Price – A Divergence Worth Watching
While options data suggests bulls are trying to defend 24,900–25,000 with heavy put writing, price action tells a different story. A clean break of the trendline and a lower daily close below 24,850 would shift momentum in favor of the bears.
📉 Breakdown Confirmation:
Sustained move below 24,850
Rising call OI at 25,000+
Unwinding of 24,900 PE and 24,800 PE
Pickup in IV and red candle with volume
Strategy Ideas (Educational Purpose Only)
🟩 Bullish Scenario
Bias: Long above trendline reclaim
Entry: On breakout above 25,050
Stop Loss: Below 24,850
Target: 25,300 and then 25,500
🟥 Bearish Scenario
Bias: Short below confirmed breakdown
Entry: Below 24,850
Stop Loss: Above 25,050
Target: 24,600, possibly extending to 24,300
🟨 Neutral / Non-Directional View
Bias: Range-bound / IV crush play
Strategy: Short Straddle using 24,950 CE + 24,950 PE
Hedge Zone: Manage risk beyond ±150 points
Goal: Capture premium decay as expiry nears
🧭 Conclusion – Prepare, Don’t Predict
The Nifty 50 is sitting at a crucial inflection point — where structure meets sentiment. While option writers continue to show faith in the 24,900–25,000 zone, a clean break below the recent support could trigger swift downside toward the 24,400 zone.
In times like these, reacting to confirmation is smarter than pre-empting moves. Watch price, volume, and open interest shifts closely in the coming sessions.
CEAT Ltd: Is a Rebound on the Horizon? A Confluence of TechnicalTraders — let’s dig into CEAT Ltd NSE:CEATLTD . where both demand-supply dynamics and classic technical signals are flashing something worth watching. What’s setting up here isn’t just noise — there’s real structure underneath the surface.
Demand Zone & Institutional Footprints
Let’s start with the core of this setup: the Demand Zone. CEAT’s price is inching toward a daily timeframe Rally-Base-Rally zone — and not just any zone, but one that stands out in terms of quality.
Why does this matter? Because these aren’t retail-driven bounces. These are often the hidden footprints of institutions quietly building positions.
On June 23rd, price came close to this very demand zone — and without even touching it, we saw a sharp bounce. That’s a strong tell. There’s clear demand waiting just below.
Institutions don’t throw their entire order book at the market in one go. They scale in. So when price comes back to this area, it’s likely to trigger those leftover buy orders — potentially leading to another move higher.
Zooming out to the broader view : Both weekly and monthly charts are still in an uptrend. There are no obvious supply zones on the higher timeframes That clears the runway for bullish continuation.
💡 Traditional Technical Analysis Perspective 💡
Now let’s switch gears for a moment and take a look through the lens of classic technical analysis. What’s the chart telling us in plain sight?
CEAT spent months coiling within a consolidation range — nothing impulsive, just sideways chop.
But that changed on April 30th with a decisive breakout. And this wasn’t on light volume — it came with strong participation, a real sign of conviction.
Post-breakout, we’ve seen consistent volume buildup alongside price progression. This isn’t a one-day wonder — it’s been developing.
Act of Polarity at Work: The breakout level had previously acted as firm resistance multiple times. Now that price is retesting it from above, it’s doing exactly what we expect — flipping that resistance into potential support.
Interestingly, this retracement is happening on declining volume. That’s key. It often suggests a healthy retest rather than a breakdown — a potential “buy the dip” scenario, if you will.
🤝 The Confluence: Where Two Worlds Meet 🤝
Here’s where things get really compelling — that demand zone we highlighted? It aligns perfectly with the same level that’s being retested post-breakout. That overlap — this confluence — is no coincidence.
It dramatically increases the odds of a strong bounce, because we’re getting validation from two independent analytical frameworks. When price, psychology, and institutional footprints all point to the same zone — you pay attention.
We could consider a tactical Stop Loss just below the demand zone. And in terms of upside? The previous swing high near ₹4000 stands out as a logical first target.
"Success in trading is a marathon, not a sprint. Consistency, discipline, and effective risk management are your true North Stars."
Stay sharp. Even the cleanest setup can fail — and that’s why managing risk isn’t optional. If price violates the zone and closes below your SL, step out without hesitation.
Thanks for reading — your support, feedback, and questions always help drive this community forward. Let’s keep sharpening our edge together.
🚀 Trade smart, stay disciplined, and let your journey be one of continuous learning! 🚀
Disclaimer: This analysis is intended purely for educational purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a trading recommendation. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
25400 coming soon!!As we can see despite the weak opening, NIFTY showed strong REVERSAL which not only shows good accuracy but also shows sticking to our plan with patience does pay off most of the times. Hence, following the view we should remain long on the position as in smaller TF, it can also be seen that it is forming more like a W pattern which can show good upmove till 25400 so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
Demand & Supply Price Action Play – CMSINFO Price Structure & Market Context
CMSINFO’s recent price action has followed a textbook path, respecting clean structural levels driven by institutional order flow. It's one of those charts where the zones aren’t just technical—they're telling a story. And right now, that story is setting up a potentially meaningful long opportunity.
💡 Daily Timeframe – Big Picture Bias
The daily chart remains resolutely bullish . We're still seeing that healthy rhythm of higher highs and higher lows , signaling that the uptrend is very much intact.
📍 Daily Supply Zone: ₹540 – ₹546
That said, price did face some resistance recently—right where we’d expect it to. A fresh supply zone Rally Base Drop around ₹540–₹546 served up a rejection and sparked the current pullback. Nothing unusual there. In fact, in strong trends, these kinds of pullbacks often offer the best risk-adjusted entries —as long as we’re positioned at the right zones.
⏱️ 125-Minute Timeframe – Precision Entry Layer
Zooming into the 125-minute chart gives us a much clearer map for potential execution.
🟢 Demand Zone: Rally Base Rally ₹500 – ₹498
Here’s where things get interesting. This demand zone hasn’t been touched since it formed—making it a fresh zone , and by definition, high-probability for a first bounce. Price has just tapped into it, which could attract short-term buyers looking to ride the next leg up.
🔴 Supply Zone: Rally Base Drop ₹532 – ₹537
This zone sits just overhead and marks the first potential resistance . If price moves up from the current demand area, this is where traders may begin trimming positions or tightening stops.
🎯 Trade Blueprint 🎯
Entry: Between ₹500 – ₹498 (inside 125-minute demand zone)
Stop Loss: Below ₹498 (conservative buffer: ₹495)
Target 1: ₹532 – ₹537 (nearest 125min supply)
🧩 Why This Setup Deserves Attention 🧩
Daily Trend Structure Remains Bullish – higher timeframe bias supports a continuation upward.
Fresh LTF Demand Zone – first touch makes this zone statistically favorable.
Defined Risk-Reward Parameters – tight stop with layered targets for flexible management.
Pure Price Action Logic – just clean, institutional footprints.
🚀 “Opportunities don’t come from chasing— they come from waiting in the right places.” 💡 Stay patient, respect your zones, and let the market come to you.
This analysis is purely for educational purposes and does not constitute a trading or investment recommendation. I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
Lastly, thank you for your support, your likes & comments. Feel free to ask if you have questions.
NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 21.07.2025NIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 21.07.2025
If the candle stays above the pivot point, it is considered a bullish bias; if it remains below, it indicates a bearish bias. Price may reverse near Resistance 1 or Support 1. If it moves further, the next potential reversal zone is near Resistance 2 or Support 2. If these levels are also broken, we can expect the trend.
If the range is narrow, the market may become volatile or trend strongly. If the range is wide, the market is more likely to remain sideways
📢 Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments.
Please consult with your SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 21 Jul 2025NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 21 Jul 2025
Bullish-Above 25015
Invalid-Below 24965
T- 25150
Bearish-Below 24910
Invalid-Above 24960
T- 24640
NIFTY has closed on a slight bearish note with 0.72% cut last week. Index has reached 50 EMA in daily TF which is placed near 24900. A bounce from EMA can be expected. However below 24900 index may dive in the next week also. On a flat opening above 25015 a bullish move towards 25150 can be expected. Intraday resistance is placed at the 25150 as per half bat pattern. On a flat opening below 24910 index will test 24640. Plan trades on 15 Min candle close.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty Index 24968.40 as visible by Weekly Chart viewNifty Index 24968.40 as visible by Weekly Chart view
- Nifty 50 Index has formed a Bearish 3 Black Crow Technical Pattern indicating about the probable negative sentiment might continue
- Nifty is also closely forming a sliding Bearish Double Top from ATH 26277.35 to current top 25669.35, which again syncs with the negative sentiment trend trajectory
Nifty 50 spot 24968.40 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly updateNifty 50 spot 24968.40 by the Daily Chart view - Weekly update
- Support Zone 24900 to 25100 Price Band just sustained
- Next Support Zone seen at 24325 to 24500 of the Nifty Index
- Breakdown from Falling Resistance Trendline might just continue
- Rising Price Channel Breakdown indicates weakness might continue
- Resistance Zone 25250 to 25400 then ATH 26277.35 of Nifty Index levels






















