Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [11/12/2025: Thursday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 11th December 2025. The day is Thursday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red marubozu. Red piercing candle. The green body of the previous month is almost engulfed. It is an inside month so far with a bearish bias. Clear signs of trend reversal. No sign of bullishness. Major resistance is at level 25900. Minor support is at level 25700. The view is indecision to bearish.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
Perfect red marubozu after a red hanging man candle. It's a start of a lower lows and lower highs price structure. A clear breakdown of level 25900 confirms a breakdown from 3 weeks of consolidation. Super strong resistance is at level 25900. A minor support is at level 25700. There is no sign of bullishness. There is a high probability of dropping down to the level 25600 and further below. The view is bearish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
A clear price structure of lower lows and lower highs is visible. Back-2-back 3 days red candle. Today's candle is an improvisation of red marubozu with a long upper wick. A clear sign of heavy selling pressure. Thus, the market is weak. Super strong resistance is in the zone (25950 - 25900). A minor support is in the zone (25750 - 25700). There is a high probability of the price breaking through the level 25700 to reach the level 25600. There is no sign of bullishness. The view is bearish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
A perfect breakdown from a head and shoulder (H&S) pattern. Price structure has also completed a minor pullback structure after breaking the H&S neck by touching the level 25900. Super strong resistance is in the zone (25950 - 25900). Minor support is in the zone (25750 - 25700). There is no sign of bullishness. Thus, there is a high probability of the price breaking down level 25700 to reach level 25600. The view is bearish.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price constructs a higher highs and lower lows structure above the zone (25950 - 25900).
(iii) There is a very low probability of a bullish scenario.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price decisively breaks down level 25700 with a motive of approaching the 25600 level.
(iii) There is a very high probability of a bearish scenario.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): (25900 - 25800)
Event:
SENSEX weekly expiry plus a high-impact event - FED interest rate decision is on 11/12/2025 (Thursday). Price structure uncertainty is expected.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insight):
(i) The market is clearly bearish. There is no sign of bullishness. Thus, every up move should be doubted. Execute only bearish trades.
(ii) SENSEX weekly expiry and the FED interest rate decision might create high price structure uncertainty. The best time to trade is in the second half or the last hour of the day.
(iii) A very strong resistance zone is (25950 - 25900). Think of bullish trades only when the price forms a higher highs and lower lows structure above the resistance zone. However, the probability is very low.
(iv) Minor support zone is (25750 - 25700). Once price breaks down the level 25700, take bearish trades with the first target to 25600. If the price falls deepens, then the next probable target is 25500.
(v) No trading zone (NTZ): (25900 - 25800).
(vi) Trade only when either bullish or bearish conditions are fulfilled. Otherwise, don't trade. Protect your resources.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
