Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [01/01/2026: Thursday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 01st of January 2026. The day is Thursday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
The candle is a red paper umbrella plus an inside candle. The lower wick of the candle is longer as compared to the red body. It means the bears tried to push down the price, but the bulls are defending hard for their existence. Major resistance is 26200. Major support is 26000. The view is indecision.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
This week's candle is kind of a green dragonfly doji with a body of a green spinning top. Candle structures are imperfect but sufficient enough to offer psychological insights. Most importantly, this week's candle engulfed last week's bearish gravestone doji formation. For the past 4 weeks, the price has been within the range (26200 - 25900). Bears are badly trapped at the level 25900. Price gave a close above the level 26100 (which was previously a major resistance). Major resistance is 26200 while major support is 26000. Since it is the season of consecutive dojis (indecision candles) in Nifty 50, we still cannot build conviction of the trend. It is a sideways market for 10 weeks. However, this week's lower wick is long, showing signs of bullish emergence. The view is indecision to bullish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
The daily candle is an imperfect bullish marubozu. There is no lower wick, but there is an upper wick that formed due to sharp selling below the level 26200. However, the green candle structure engulfed the previous 3 red days. Very strong support is now at level 26000. Level 26100 is presently a weak support, but as the price spends more time above level 26100, it will become a strong support. The view is indecision to bullish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
Price has been in a zig-zag price structure since mid-November. For bullish sustenance, it is necessary for the price to trade above the level 26200 for a longer time with a promise of breaking out the previous all-time high (ATH: 26277.35). Major resistance is 26200. Weak support is 26100. Major support is 26000. In the present market condition, every downward move should be doubted. The view is bullish.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price stays above the level 26100 for a long time.
(iii) Price shows promise of breaking out above the level 26200.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price starts to trade below the level 26050, with a sign of breaking down the level 26000.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26100 - 26050)
Events: SENSEX weekly expiry. No other high-impact event.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights):
(i) The monthly TF bias is indecision.
(ii) The weekly TF bias is indecision to bullish.
(iii) The daily TF bias is indecision to bullish.
(iv) The 30-minute TF bias is bullish.
(v) Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price.
(vi) Weekly SENSEX expiry. No other high-impact event. Expecting a choppy market in the first half. Price will probably remain below the level of 26200 in the first half.
(vii) Major resistance is 26200.
(viii) Weak support is 26100.
(ix) Major support is 26000.
(x) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26100 - 26050).
(xi) Execute bullish trade when price sustains above 26100 for a long time with a promise of breaking out level 26200.
(xii) Execute bearish trade when price starts to trade below level 26050 with a promise of breaking down level 26000.
(xiii) Take trades only if either a bullish/bearish scenario appears. Otherwise, do not trade. Remember, not trading is an extension of trading activity. Be responsible.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
Nifty50analysis
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [02/12/2025: Friday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 02nd of December 2026. The day is Friday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
It is the first day of the month. The candle has so far no body formation. The candle is inside the previous month's black paper umbrella or hanging man. The market is flat. There's no price action clarity. Major resistance is 26200. Major support is 26000. The view is indecision.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
Price is in the same choppy and sideways range. The present week's candle is bullish with a longer lower wick and a smaller upper wick. The previous week's candle is engulfed by this week's candle so far. Major resistance is 26200. Weak support is 26100. Major support is 26000. The view is indecision to bullish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
Today's candle is a perfect black spinning top. It means today's intraday session was indecisive and choppy. Bulls are trapped near 26200, and bears are trapped near 26100. Price gave a closing above the previous day's closing price. Bullishness is still intact. Major resistance is 26200. First support is 26100. Final bullish support is 26000. The view is indecision to bullish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
The intraday session is choppy and sideways. Considering the price structure of 2 days, the price has formed a pole and flag pattern. If the price gives a breakout above the level 26200, then bullish continuation will be confirmed. The potential supports are - 26100, 26050, and 26000. The view is indecision to bullish.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price must show sustainability above level 26150 for a longer duration (more than 1-2 hours) and show a sign of breaking out level 26200.
(iii) Price starts to trade above the level 26200. In this case, previous ATH (26277.35) and level 26300 are possible targets.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) If the price breaks down level 26100, then execute a sharp short trade till level 26050.
(iii) If price breaks below the level 26050, then execute a sharp short trade til the level 26000.
(iv) In case level 26000 is decisively breached, then execute a confident short trade. In this case, the bearish phase will activate.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26200 - 26100)
Event: No expiry on Friday. No high-impact event. However, the day is Friday (the last day of the week).
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights):
(i) The monthly TF bias is indecision.
(ii) The weekly TF bias is indecision to bullish.
(iii) The daily TF bias is indecision to bullish.
(iv) The 30-Minute TF bias is indecision to bullish.
(v) Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price.
(vi) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26200 - 26100). Bulls are trapped at 26200, and bears are trapped at 26100.
(vii) There is a higher probability of a bullish move. The bullish bias is intact. So, wait for bullish confirmation.
(viii) Execute bullish trade when price sustains above level 26150 for a long time (1-2 hours) and shows promise of breaking out above level 26200. Confident bullish trades are possible when the price decisively starts to trade above the level 26200.
(ix) In case, price starts to trade below the level 26100, then short trades can be executed with the first target of 26050. Furthermore, if the price starts to trade below the level 26100, then short trades can be executed with the target of 26000. Remember, these trades should be sharp and short-lived as bullishness will be intact till level 26000.
(x) Confident bearish trades are only possible when the price decisively breaks below level 26000.
(xi) Trade only when either a bullish/ bearish scenario is activated. Otherwise, don't trade. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity. Be Responsible.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [31/12/2025: Wednesday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 31st of December 2025. The day is Wednesday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Inside candle plus a red paper umbrella. Major resistance 26100. No bullish confidence till the price starts to trade above the level 26100. Weak support 25900. Major support 25800. The view is indecision.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
The weekly candle is kind of a red spinning top. Bulls are trapped at 26100, and bears are trapped at 25900. Take no confident bullish trade unless the price sustains above the level 26100. Take no confident bearish trade unless the price sustains below the level 25900. The view is indecision to bearish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
Consecutive five days red. Today's candle is a perfect long-legged doji. It means the day was indecisive. Maybe it is a pause in the downfall. If the price sustains above the level of 26000, then maybe there will be an upmove. Strong resistance zone is (26100 - 26050). Thus, any up move till 26100 will be led by underconfident bulls. Weak support is at the level 25900. If level 25900 is decisively broken. Then a fall till 25800 is highly probable. The view is indecision to bearish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
The lower lows and lower highs structure is still intact. The bearish phase is still intact. However, there is a strong buy zone at level 25900. Thus, plan no short trade till price sustains below level 25900. Also, there is an unfilled gap below the level 25900. On the contrary, the up move should be doubted. There are strong resistances at levels 26100 and 26050. Underconfident and sharp bullish trades can be executed above levels 26000 and 26050. Confident bullish trades can be executed only above the level 26100. The view is indecision to bearish.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price sustains above the level 26000 along with
(iii) Underconfident and sharp bullish trades can be executed above levels 26000 and 26050.
(iv) Confident bullish trades can be executed only above the level 26100.
(v) Bullish trades will be tough.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price decisively starts to trade below the level 25900.
(iii) Price shows a high probability of filling up the unfilled gap below level 25900.
(iv) If level 25900 is broken decisively, then there is a higher probability of price reaching level 25800.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26000 - 25900)
Events: No expiry. But FOMC minutes, a high-impact event, are there. So, trade with caution.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insight):
(i) Monthly TF bias is indecision.
(ii) Weekly TF bias is indecision to bearish.
(iii) Daily TF bias is indecision to bearish.
(iv) 30-Minute TF bias is indecision to bearish.
(v) Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price.
(vi) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26000 - 26900)
(vii) An unfilled gap is below the level 25900.
(viii) Take a confident bearish trade once the price starts to sustain below the level 25900 with a target of level 25800.
(ix) Take underconfident and sharp bullish trades above the levels 26000 and 26050. These trades should be short-lived. Capture points fast and exit trades.
(x) Take a confident bullish trade only when the price starts to trade above the level 26100.
(xi) Be cautious as there is a high-impact event - FOMC Minutes.
(xii) Take trades only if either a bullish/bearish scenario appears. Otherwise, do not trade. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
NIFTY Set to Sign Off 2025 Quietly—Could 2026 Bring a Rally?As we enter the last week of 2025 and approach the first week of 2026, Nifty is doing something familiar—consolidating in a tight range.
Everything looks calm at first glance: volatility is very low (India VIX at 9.15), trading volumes are light, and price changes are small. But history shows that such calm often comes before a big move.
◉ What it means actually?
● Nifty near lifetime highs, but breadth remains weak
● Low volatility → calm market, but risk of sudden moves
● Traders aren’t chasing the market, they’re waiting for a trigger rather than pushing prices higher.
◉ Technical View
● From a technical standpoint, Nifty continues to trade within a rising wedge pattern, which carries bearish implications in the short term.
● Looking at the broader structure, a cup-and-handle pattern is forming, typically pointing to a potential upside move once the neckline is decisively breached.
◉ Important Levels to Watch
● Immediate Resistance: 26,100 - 26,200
● Immediate Support: 25,900 - 26,000
Strong breakout or breakdown from here will decide the next big leg.
◉ Looking Ahead
As 2026 begins, markets will closely track:
● FOMC minutes, which could influence global rate expectations.
● Rupee movement and FII flows, key drivers of short-term sentiment.
◉ Strategy Insight
Until fresh catalysts emerge, markets may stay range-bound as they digest year-end positioning. With volatility compressed, stock-specific strategies and relative-strength setups may offer better opportunities than broad index trades.
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [29/12/2025: Monday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 29th of December 2025. The day is Monday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
The candle is a red paper umbrella or a hanging man. Also, the candle is inside the previous month's candle. The long-term trend is bullish, but the short-term trend is indecisive. Major resistance is 26200. Minor support is 26000. Major support is 25800. The view is indecision.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
Nifty has successfully wasted 10 weeks in the same range (25700 - 26300). A 600-point range-bound consolidation is painful for directional traders. It is a good market for non-directional traders. Presently, the candle is a red gravestone doji. There is huge selling pressure in the zone of 26200. Major resistance is 26150. Take no bullish trades until price forms a higher highs and higher lows structure above the level 26150. Every up move should be doubted. Level 26000 is a weak support. Price sustaining below the level 26000 can pull the price down to the level 25900. The view is indecision to bearish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
Structurally, the bulls are tired. In the daily time frame, the price is forming a complex triple top or head and shoulder (H&S) pattern. The price got multiple rejections from the levels - 26200, 26150, and 26100. Every up move should be doubted. Do not think of taking bullish trades unless the price forms a higher highs and higher lows structure above the level 26150. Weak support is 26000. If level 26000 is decisively broken, then there is a higher chance of the price reaching down to level 25900. Additionally, if level 25900 is decisively broken, then level 25800 would be a high probability target. The view is bearish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
There is a clear sign of weakness. The major resistance zone is (26150 - 26100). Weak support is 26000. Major support is at level 25900. There are multiple unfilled gaps below the level 26000. Take no bullish trades unless the price decisively starts to trade above level 26150. Initiate bearish trade the moment level 26000 is broken. The view is bearish.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price starts to decisively sustain above the level 26150.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price starts to decisively sustain below the level 26000.
(iii) If level 26000 is broken, then level 25900 will be a high probability target.
(iv) If level 25900 is also broken, then level 25800 will be a high probability target.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26150 - 26000)
Event: No expiry. But the day after is the Nifty 50 monthly expiry.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights):
(i) Monthly TF bias is indecision.
(ii) Weekly TF bias is indecision to bearish.
(iii) Daily TF bias is bearish.
(iv) 30-Minute TF bias is bearish.
(v) Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price.
(vi) The market is in a complex range-bound consolidation for 10 weeks. Thus, market structure is cracked, non-directional, and indecisive.
(vii) Bulls are tired while bears are slowly gaining strength. Technical patterns like complex triple top and head and shoulder (H&S) are visible.
(viii) Every up move should be doubted. Presently, a bearish bias is the path of least resistance for the market.
(ix) Think of bullish trades only when the price sustains above level 26150.
(x) Initiate bearish trades when level 26000 is decisively broken. Level 25900 is a high probability target.
(xi) If level 25900 is also broken, then level 25800 is a high probability target.
(xii) Major resistance (supply) zone: (26150 - 26100).
(xiii) Major support (demand) zone: (25850 - 25800).
(xiv) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26150 - 26000).
(xv) Monthly expiry is near. Also, the quarter (the 3rd quarter of the financial year) is ending. Thus, we can expect major price anomalies and chaos.
(xvi) Trade only when bullish/ bearish conditions are fulfilled. Remember, not trading is an extension of the trading activity.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [26/12/2025: Friday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 26th of December 2025. The day is Friday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red paper umbrella or hanging man. Also, the candle is inside the previous month. The view is indecision.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
Price is range-bound for 10 weeks. It's a broken and indecisive market. Presently, major resistance is at 26200. Major support is at level 26050. It is a non-directional market. The present week's candle is green, but there is selling pressure. The view is indecision.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
2 red doji candles. The last 2 days are red after 3 days of bullish moves. However, there are massive unfilled gaps at the levels 26000 and 25800. Price got bullish rejection for consecutive 2 days from the level 26235. Also, the price has been closing below the level of 26200 for the past 2 days. Therefore, level 26200 is now a major resistance zone. Take no bullish trades until the price starts to trade above the level 26200. Presently, price is trapped in the range (26235 - 26120). However, bullishness is still intact till the major support level 26050 is intact. The monthly expiry is also near. So, sellers might try to expire the price below the level of 26200. The view is indecision to short-term bearish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
Considering the price structure of 3 days, the price is forming a rounded top pattern in the zone (26235 - 26200). Level 26200 is a major resistance. Take no bullish trades unless, price starts to trade above the level 26200. Major support is at 26050. Below level 26050, there are big unfilled gaps. However, the main trend is bullish. The bullish trend is led by the underconfident bulls, causing a price anomaly. The view is indecision to bearish.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price starts to trade above level 26200 and sustains at least 1 hour above the level.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price starts to trade below the level 26100 with a promise of breaking down the level 26050.
(iii) If level 26050 is breached, then there is a higher probability of reaching level 26000.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26200 - 26100).
Events:
No expiry on Friday. No high-impact event on Friday. However, it's the last day of the week. Also, the last week of the month is approaching. Price anomaly is expected.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights):
(i) Monthly TF bias is indecision.
(ii) Weekly TF bias is indecision.
(iii) Daily TF bias is indecision to bearish.
(iv) 30-minute TF bias is indecision to bearish.
(v) Establish intraday bias with respect to the opening price.
(vi) Major resistance is at level 26200. Take no bullish trade unless the price starts to trade above the level 26200.
(vii) Minor support is at level 26100. And major support is at level 26050.
(viii) The moment price starts to trade below level 26100 with a promise of breaking down level 26050, develop a bearish bias. If level 26050 is broken down, then there is a higher chance of the price reaching level 26000. There are multiple unfilled gaps below the level 26050.
(ix) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26200 - 26100).
(x) Trade only if there is either a bullish/ bearish setup. Otherwise, don't trade. Remember, not trading is an extension of trading activity.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [23/12/2025: Tuesday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 23rd of December 2025. The day is Tuesday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red hanging man with a long lower wick. The red paper umbrella pattern is often a sign of trend reversal. Major support is in the zone (26050 - 26000). The view is indecision to bullish.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
First day of the week. Gap up along with a more than 100-point move. Major support zone (26050 - 26000). No shorting till this zone is decisively broken. No upper target. The view is bullish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
Back-2-back 2-day gap up. There are multiple unfilled gaps below. Price is again approaching the previous all-time high (ATH) of 26277.35. Major support zone (26050 - 26000). No shorting till this zone is decisively broken. Every down move should be doubted. No upper target. The view is bullish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
The market is in a running correction phase. The major support zone is (26050 - 26000). Today's price gave a breakout (from level 26050) of the W-Pattern. There is a high probability of the price reaching at least 26400 in the near future. The view is bullish.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price must sustain above the opening price.
(ii) Price sustains above the level 26100.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price must sustain below the opening price.
(ii) Price forms lower lows and lower highs below level 26050.
(iii) Price decisively breaks down the level 26000.
Events: Nifty 50 weekly expiry. No other high-impact event.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights):
(i) Makret is back in the bullish trend phase. Price is again approaching the previous ATH (26277.35).
(ii) Zone (26050 - 26000) is now a major support zone. No shorting till price gives a breakdown below this zone.
(iii) For bullish trades, the price must sustain above 26100 for a long time.
(iv) A contrarian view (bearish) is necessary as the market is in a running correction phase. There are multiple unfilled gaps below. Price might reverse to fill those gaps. Maybe the present bullish trend is only a trap. Nobody knows. So, be cautious.
(v) There will be a back-to-back 2-day expiry as the 25th of December (Thursday) will be a holiday. So, be cautious.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
NIFTY: Calm Before the Next Big Move?After a choppy end to last week, Nifty closed marginally lower, firmly stuck in a tight range of 25,700 – 26,100. Volatility has dipped sharply (India VIX near multi-year lows), which usually means calm before the next directional move.
◉ Technical Snapshot
Nifty continues to trade within a rising wedge pattern and has bounced back from its trendline support, suggesting buyers are still active at lower levels — but conviction is missing.
◉ Key Levels
● Immediate Support: 25,700 – 25,800
Strong put writing in this zone indicates solid downside support.
● Immediate Resistance: 26,000 – 26,100
Heavy call writing here signals supply and hesitation near the top.
◉ Short-Term outlook
● Bullish bias above 26,100: Could fast-track rally to new short-term highs.
● Stuck inside range: Expect sideways, choppy action with stock-specific moves.
● Break below 25,700: Risk of sharper correction increases.
◉ Trader’s Edge
This week is all about range resolution. Until Nifty delivers a clean breakout or breakdown, the smartest approach is to trade the range, keep tight stop-losses, and book profits without getting greedy.
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [19/12/2025: Friday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 19th of December 2025. The day is Friday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red piercing candle. Major resistance is 26000. Major support is 25700. The view is indecision.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
Red spinning top after 2 red hanging man candles. The present candle is inside the previous week. Price is range-bound and consolidating. No sign of a clear trend. Both bulls and bears are getting trapped. Major resistance is 26000. Major support is 25700. The view is indecision to bearish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
Green indecision candle with selling pressure. Seems like a green gravestone doji. Not sure. But for the consecutive 5 days, bulls are getting trapped. However, there is no clear bearish trend. Price is staggering downward without offering a clear trend. The market is being difficult for directional (bullish or bearish) trades. The market has taken strong support at least thrice in the zone (25750 - 25700). It won't be wise to short the market unless level 25700 is decisively broken down. Also, an uptrend will be difficult due to 3 major resistance levels - 25900, 25950, and 26000. The view is indecision to bearish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
The market is in a complex correction. Three technical patterns are observable. Head and shoulder (H&S), pennant, and symmetric triangle. Thus, in the present scenario, the market is not tradable. The first sign of bullish clarity will emerge once the price starts to trade above the level of 26000. Bears are active, but they are not so powerful. Bulls are not powerful either, but they are offering very strong defense. The view is indecision to bearish.
Bull Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price gives a breakout from the penant.
(iii) Price sustains above the levels 25900, 25950, 26000, and the gap in the zone of 26000.
(iv) Price must form a higher highs and lower lows price structure above the level 26000 for at least 1 day.
Bear Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price gives a breakdown below the zone (25750 - 25700).
(iii) Price gives a breakdown from the pennant as well as a not-so-perfect symmetric triangle. Presently, the market is in the area of trading below the Head and Shoulder (H&S) pattern.
No Trading Zone: (26000 - 25700)
Events: No expiry on Friday. No high-impact event. However, a medium impact event - the BoJ interest rate decision is today.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights):
(i) The market is going through a complex correction. There is no clear trend. It's not the market for directional traders.
(ii) Multiple technical patterns are clearly observable - head and shoulder (H&S), pennant, and symmetric triangle.
(iii) For bullish trades, the price needs to sustain above levels 25900, 25950, 26000, and the gap in the zone of 26000.
(iv) For bearish trades, the price must decisively break down below the level (25750 - 25700).
(v) Strong Resistances - 25900, 25950, and 26000.
(vi) Strong support - 25750 and 25700.
(vii) Trade only if either a bullish/ bearish set-up occurs. Else, don't trade. Remember, not trading is an extension of trading activity.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [18/12/2025: Thursday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 18th of December 2025. The day is Thursday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red marubozu plus piercing candle feature is observed. No bullish trade till the price starts to trade above 26000. Major support 25700. The view is indecision as trend (bullish or bearish) clarity is missing.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
The trend for the past 3 weeks is down. But there is no clear trend. The market structure is broken. It is a confusing market. A major resistance zone is created by 3 levels: 26000, 25950, and 25900. Any up move should be doubted. Minor support is 25800. Major support is 25700. The view is indecision to bearish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
Very confusing market. Market structure is formed in a lower lows and lower highs structure. There is bearish sentiment in the market. But very tough to build and trade on a directional view. Take no bullish trade unless the price starts to trade above the level 26000. Major support is 25700. The view is indecision to bearish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
The pennant pattern is still intact. It is the sign of major range-bound consolidation. Price staying inside the pennant means it's a no-trading scenario. We have to wait for either side to break down or break out. Since, head and shoulder (H&S) hypothesis is still intact, there is a higher probability of breakdown from the penant. However, there is an unfilled gap at level 26000. Price might go up to fill the gap and trap bulls. Any up move should be doubted. If level 25750 is decisively broken, then bearishness will deepen. The view is bearish.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price breaks out of the pennant.
(iii) Price breaks all the resistances - 25900, 25950, 26000, and fills the pending gap.
(iv) Price develops a higher highs and lower lows structure above level 26000 for at least 1 day.
(v) There is a lower probability of a bullish scenario.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price breaks down the pennant.
(iii) Price sustains below the level 25750 with a promise of breaking through the level 25700.
(iv) There is a higher probability of a bearish scenario.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26000 - 25750)
Events: SENSEX weekly expiry. No other high-impact event.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights):
(i) Market sentiment is bearish until the price starts to trade above the level 26000. Every up move should be doubted. For a bullish trade, the price must form a strong bullish candle for at least 1 day above the level 26000.
(ii) Price staying with the pennant is a sign of major range-bound consolidation. Wait for either a breakout or a breakdown.
(iii) For a bearish trade, the price must break down the pennant. Next price must decisively trade below level 25750 with a promise of breaking down level 25700.
(iv) Bearish conviction is high as the head and shoulder (H&S) hypothesis is still active. Also, a downward move is the path of least resistance.
(v) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26000 - 25750).
(vi) Trade only if either a bullish or bearish set-up is activated. If not, then don't trade. Remember, not trading is an extension of trading activity. Protect your resource.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [17/12/2025: Wednesday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 17th of December 2025. The day is Wednesday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red piercing candle. Sign of weakness. There is also a sign of trend reversal. Every up move should be doubted. Major resistance is 26000. Minor support is 25800. Major support is 25700. The view is indecision to bearish.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
It's a 3rd week red candle/ Body is red, plus there is sharp selling pressure from 26100 and 26000. Lower lows and lower highs structure is intact. Every up move should be doubted. Take no bullish trade till price sustains above level 26000 at least for 1 day. Sell on every rise is the demand of the present price structure. Very strong resistance is at 26000. Minor support is at 25800. Major support is at 25700. The view is bearish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
From 1st December 2025, a lower lows and lower highs structure continues. Level 25900, a major support, is broken today. No,w 25900 will also act as a major resistance. No bullish trade till the price starts to trade above the level 26000. The present scenario demands to sell on every rise. Minor support is at level 25800, and major support is at level 25700. The view is bearish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
The complex correction continues. There is no steady trend. The market is broken. A complex head and shoulder (H&S) pattern is formed. Today, the market broke level 25900 (the neckline of the H&S) again. The Bulls lost hope. Thus, the H&S hypothesis is again activated. Major resistance is at 26000. Every up move should be doubted. Minor support is 25800. Major support is at level 25700. The view is bearish.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price forms a higher highs and lower lows structure above the level 26000.
(iii) There is a lower probability of a bullish scenario.
Beairsh Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price remains below the level 25900.
(iii) There is a higher probability of a bearish scenario.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26000 - 25850).
Events: No expiry on Wednesday. No high-impact event.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights):
(i) The complex correction is on with the indication of bearish bias.
(ii) After breaking down 25900, the H&S hypothesis is again activated. It means the market is moving towards more bearishness.
(iii) Every up move should be doubted.
(iv) Major resistance zone (26000 - 25950). Take no bullish trade unless the price sustains above this zone.
(v) Look for bearish trades only.
(vi) Minor support is at 25800. Major support is at level 25700. There is a higher probability of the price reaching level 25700.
(vii) Trade only if there is either a bullish/bearish scenario. Else, don't trade. Remember, not trading is an extension of trading activity. Protect your resources.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [16/12/2025: Tuesday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 16th of December. The day is Tuesday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red hanging man plus piercing candle. Major support 25900. Major resistance 26100. The view is indecision.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
Lower lows and lower highs structure continues. Today's candle is inside the green candle. But there is no power in a bullish move. It also looks like a harami pattern. Maybe there is a bullish trend inside the pregnant candle formation. Not sure. Major support 25900. Major resistance 26100. The view is indecision.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
Inside the green candle. Back-2-back, 3-day green candle. However, the lower lows and lower highs structure continues. Major support is 25900. Major resistance is 26100. If the price sustains above 26100, then bullishness will be confirmed. The view is indecision to bullish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
Complex correction continues. Price is exactly in the middle of 26100 and 25900. For 2 days price is in the same zone and level. The view is indecision to bullish.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26050 - 25900).
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price forms a higher highs and lower lows structure above 26050 with a promise of breaking out from level 26100.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price decisively gives a breakdown below level 25900.
Events: Nifty 50 weekly expiry. No other major events on Tuesday.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insight):
(i) The market is cracked. There is no clear trend. Complex correction continues. Very indecisive market.
(ii) No Trading Zone is (26050 - 25900).
(iii) Level 26000 is a crucial level. It might be
(iv) Be bullish once price sustains above 26050 and forms a higher highs and lower lows structure to breakout above 26100.
(v) Be bearish once the price decisively breaks down 25900.
(vi) Trade only when either bullish or bearish conditions are fulfilled. Otherwise, don't trade. Remember, not trading is also an extension of trading activity. Protect your resources.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [15/12/2025: Monday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 15th of December 2025. The day is Monday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red paper umbrella or hanging man candle. Long-term bullishness is intact, but short-term confusion continues. It might be a trend exhaustion at the monthly level. But not sure. Major support is at level 25800. Minor support is at level 26000. Major resistance is at level 26200. The view is indecision.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
Nifty 50 has formed four 4-indecision candles in the last 4 weeks. Trading would be difficult for directional traders. The 3rd week of November was a green spinning top. The 4th week of November was a long-legged doji with a small green body. The 1st week of December was red hanging man. The 2nd week of December was again a red hanging man. Observing the last 2 candles, the hanging man pattern continues. Presently, price is forming a lower lows and lower highs structure. A 4-candle combination pattern shows a sign of a rounding top (a trend reversal pattern). Maybe it's trend exhaustion in the weekly time frame. Last week, the price decisively closed above the level 26000 (a minor support). It seems like the zone (25800 - 25700) is a major support zone. It also seems that the zone (26200 - 26100) is a major resistance zone. Bullish conviction will start the moment the price starts to trade above the level 26200. Bearish conviction will start the moment the price starts to trade below the level 25800. Large wicks are also a sign that bulls are still active. One of the reasons for the rounded consolidation for the past 4 weeks is because of the price has been trading near the previous all-time high (ATH). Presently, both bullish and bearish convictions are missing. The view is indecision.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
Looking at the price structure sonce 01st of December 2025, the price has formed a lower lows and lower highs structure. The last day's candle is green and a breakout from the previous 3-day price consolidation. Also, the price closed above the level 26000. There is no evidence of a higher highs and lower lows structure to execute bullish trades. An unfilled gap is in the zone (25950 - 25900). Thus, the green candle is doubtful. Maybe it's a bull trap. The major resistance zone is (26200 - 26100). The major support zone is (25800 - 25700). Both upmove and down move should be doubted. Bullish or bearish clarity is missing. Lastly, the level 26000 is acting as a make-or-break psychological level. The view is indecision.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
Technically, the market is broken. There is no sign of a clear trend. Complex correction continues. It is difficult to trade during the complex correction. Classical technical patterns like head & shoulder (H&S) and rounded top, everything is getting challenged by the present market scenario. Price is trading above the level 26000. Last week, the price, after breaking level 25900 (the neckline of H&S) again came back to the consolidation zone. Last week price formed a 250-point double bottom consolidation and reversed its down move. An unfilled gap 25950 - 25900 remains. The up move on Friday was not very strong. Presently, every move (bullish or bearish) should be doubted. The view is indecision.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price forms a higher highs and lower lows structure above the level 26100, with a promise of breaking out the level 26200.
Bearish Scenario Set-up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price forms a lower lows and lower highs structure below the level 25850 with a promise of breaking down the level 25800.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26100 - 25900)
Events:
No expiries on Monday. No high-impact event is there.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights):
(i) Market structure is broken (or cracked). There is no sign of a clear trend (bullish or bearish). Indecision and complex correction continue.
(ii) The view is indecision. This is not the time to indulge in trading till there is price clarity. The scenario is best suited for the non-directional traders.
(iii) Strong resistance is in the zone (26200 - 26100). Up move (bullish conviction) should be doubted till this zone is decisively breached.
(iv) Strong support is in the zone (25800 - 25700). Down move (bearish conviction) should be doubted till this zone is decisively breached.
(v) A small gap in the zone (25950 - 25900) is unfilled. So, price movement should be doubted unless the gap is filled.
(vi) Directional traders have to execute very fast short-term bullish or bearish trades. There is no reason to execute trades with clear conviction and hold trades for a longer time.
(vii) A short-term bullish set-up will occur when the price starts to form a higher-highs and lower-lows structure above the level 26100, with a promise of trading above the level 26200.
(viii) A short-term bearish set-up will occur when the price starts to form a lower-lows and lower-highs structure below the level 25850 with a promise of trading below the level 25800.
(ix) No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26100 - 25900).
(x) Let the price structure form in the first half of Monday. Quality trade execution is possible with structural clarity. Trading in the second half of Monday is a better option. Have patience to form a clear price structure.
(xi) Trade only when either bullish or bearish conditions are fulfilled. Otherwise, don't trade. Remember, not trading is also an extension of trading activity. Protect your resources.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [12/12/2025: Friday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 12th of December 2025. The day is Friday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red piercing candle. Powerful support is at the level 25700. Level 25700 zone is strong as it was the closing level for the month of October 2025 and the opening level for the month of November 2025. In November, the price broke down the level 25700 but again regained its level above it. Similarly, this month's price touched the level of 25700 and showed strong buying interest. Thus, no shorting till level 25700 is decisively broken. On the contrary, this month's price has only been negative. There is a strong resistance at level 26000. Thus, no bullish trade with conviction until the price starts to trade above the level 26000. The view is indecision.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
Looking at the price structure since September 2025, the price is in higher highs and lower-lows structure. It means bullishness is intact, and there is no sign of reversal for now. However, the last 2 weeks have been red. A significant behavior is observable where the price got very strong support from level 25700. Thus, for now, no bearish trade till the price is trading above the level 25700. Short sellers are trapped at the level 25700. On the contrary, bulls are betrayed at the levels 26000 and 25900 repeatedly. Another significant aspect is that price is again trading in the previous consolidation zone. Strong resistance is at level 26000. Strong support is at level 25700. Presently, the view is indecisive.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
A green candle is formed engulfing bearish candles of the last 2 days. However, the price is in a range-bound consolidation for 3 days. The range is (25950 - 25700). This range is also now a no-trading zone (NTZ). If we combine candles of the last 3 days, then a green dragonfly doji is formed. It might be the sign of both indecision and trend reversal (that is, from bearish to bullish). Strong support is at level 25700. However, strong resistance is at 26000. Presently, the view is indecisive.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
Technically, the market is broken. There is no sign of a clear trend. Complex correction continues. It is difficult to trade during complex corrections. The head and shoulder (H&S) pattern hypothesis is still on. However, the price showed very strong support at the level of 25700. It is significant that there are no unfilled gaps in the market. The gap in the zone (25750 - 25700) formed before the Bihar election results is filled today. There are no other visible gaps. Considering the price structure since 28 November 2025, the structure of lower lows and lower highs is intact. It means bears are still active. Strong resistance is at level 26000. A bullish signal will emerge when the price starts to form a higher highs and lower lows structure above the level 26000. Presently, the view is indecisive.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price forms a higher highs and lower lows structure above the level 26000.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price decisively breaks down the level 25700.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26000 - 25700)
Events:
No expiries on Friday. Medium impact event - India's November inflation rate is there. Last day of the week.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights):
(i) Market structure is broken (or cracked). No sign of a clear trend (bullish or bearish). Indecision and complex correction continue.
(ii) The view is indecision. This is not the time to indulge in trading. The scenario is best suited for the non-directional traders.
(iii) Strong Resistance is at level 26000. Take bullish trades only when the price forms a higher highs and lower lows structure above the level 26000.
(iv) Strong support is at level 25700. Take no bearish trades till price decisively breaks down level 25700.
(v) Do not trade in the no trading zone (NTZ) - (26000 - 25700). The market is in a range-bound consolidation. Be cautious. The previous H&S pattern hypothesis is still intact.
(vi) It is the last day (Friday) of the week.
(vi) Trade only when either bullish or bearish conditions are fulfilled. Otherwise, don't trade. Protect your resources.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [11/12/2025: Thursday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 11th December 2025. The day is Thursday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red marubozu. Red piercing candle. The green body of the previous month is almost engulfed. It is an inside month so far with a bearish bias. Clear signs of trend reversal. No sign of bullishness. Major resistance is at level 25900. Minor support is at level 25700. The view is indecision to bearish.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
Perfect red marubozu after a red hanging man candle. It's a start of a lower lows and lower highs price structure. A clear breakdown of level 25900 confirms a breakdown from 3 weeks of consolidation. Super strong resistance is at level 25900. A minor support is at level 25700. There is no sign of bullishness. There is a high probability of dropping down to the level 25600 and further below. The view is bearish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
A clear price structure of lower lows and lower highs is visible. Back-2-back 3 days red candle. Today's candle is an improvisation of red marubozu with a long upper wick. A clear sign of heavy selling pressure. Thus, the market is weak. Super strong resistance is in the zone (25950 - 25900). A minor support is in the zone (25750 - 25700). There is a high probability of the price breaking through the level 25700 to reach the level 25600. There is no sign of bullishness. The view is bearish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
A perfect breakdown from a head and shoulder (H&S) pattern. Price structure has also completed a minor pullback structure after breaking the H&S neck by touching the level 25900. Super strong resistance is in the zone (25950 - 25900). Minor support is in the zone (25750 - 25700). There is no sign of bullishness. Thus, there is a high probability of the price breaking down level 25700 to reach level 25600. The view is bearish.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price constructs a higher highs and lower lows structure above the zone (25950 - 25900).
(iii) There is a very low probability of a bullish scenario.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price decisively breaks down level 25700 with a motive of approaching the 25600 level.
(iii) There is a very high probability of a bearish scenario.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): (25900 - 25800)
Event:
SENSEX weekly expiry plus a high-impact event - FED interest rate decision is on 11/12/2025 (Thursday). Price structure uncertainty is expected.
Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insight):
(i) The market is clearly bearish. There is no sign of bullishness. Thus, every up move should be doubted. Execute only bearish trades.
(ii) SENSEX weekly expiry and the FED interest rate decision might create high price structure uncertainty. The best time to trade is in the second half or the last hour of the day.
(iii) A very strong resistance zone is (25950 - 25900). Think of bullish trades only when the price forms a higher highs and lower lows structure above the resistance zone. However, the probability is very low.
(iv) Minor support zone is (25750 - 25700). Once price breaks down the level 25700, take bearish trades with the first target to 25600. If the price falls deepens, then the next probable target is 25500.
(v) No trading zone (NTZ): (25900 - 25800).
(vi) Trade only when either bullish or bearish conditions are fulfilled. Otherwise, don't trade. Protect your resources.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [09/12/2025: Tuesday] Top-Down Nifty 50 price structure analysis for 09th December 2025. The day is Tuesday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red indecisive candle. Major resistance is at level 26100. Minor support is at level 25900. The view is indecisive to bearish.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
First day of the week. Today's red candle confirms that last week's red paper umbrella was a hanging man. Clear sign of trend reversal. Major resistance is at level 26100. Minor support is at level 25900. The view is bearish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
It's kind of a red morubozu with a minor 50 points lower wick. The candle engulfed the last 2 days of green candles. A major resistance zone is formed at the levels 26100 - 26000. Minor support is at level 25900. The view is bearish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
Two trend reversal patterns are observed. The first pattern is head & shoulder (H&S). The second pattern is a triple top. It's a clear sign of trend reversal. The neck of both the H&S and triple top is formed at the level 25900. A major resistance zone is formed at the zone 26100 - 26000. Minor support is at level 25900. Every up move should be doubted. The view is bearish.
Events:
Nifty 50 weekly expiry. No other high-impact event. However, a major event is on 12 December - the FED interest rate decision. Thus, volatility is expected.
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price sustains above the level 26100.
Bearish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price sustains below the level 25900 and shows promise of breaking below the level 25850.
(iii) Bearish target is in the zone (25750 - 25700)
Expectations (Hypothesis and Insights from the Trading Plan):
(i) Take a bearish position only. Price must break the level 25900 and show promise of trading below the level 25850.
(ii) Doubt every up move.
(iii) Take no bullish trade until the price starts to trade above the level 26000 - 26100.
(iv) There is a higher probability of breaking down (bearish trend continuation).
(v) After price breaks below the level 25850, there is a higher chance that the price will try to fill the gap in the zone 25750 - 25700.
(vi) Its expiry day. So, expect uncertain price movement in the second half.
(vii) It may happen that bulls might try to expire price above the level 26000 by the end of the day.
(viii) Trade only when bullish/ bearish conditions are fulfilled. Otherwise, don't trade. Protect your resources.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
Nifty Holds Support — Is a Fresh Momentum Wave Ahead?The Nifty ended last week almost flat, up 0.6% at 26,186. The index started weak due to profit-booking, FII outflows, and a record-low rupee, but sentiment improved after the RBI cut the repo rate by 25 bps to 5.25%.
Adding to the positive tone, India VIX dropped over 11% to 10.315, highlighting a sharp cooling in volatility and a more stable trading environment.
◉ Technical Setup
Nifty has once again respected its strong support zone between 25,900 and 26,000, bouncing firmly from this level. This zone is expected to remain a key cushion for the coming week as well.
On the upside, the index faces a strong resistance around 26,400–26,500, which will be crucial to watch. A breakout above this could unlock further strength.
For now, the market is likely to trade within this range, oscillating between support and resistance until a clear signal emerges.
◉ Key Trigger This Week
US Fed Meeting (Dec 9–10)
Markets expect a 25 bps rate cut, but mixed signals from Fed officials keep uncertainty high.
A hawkish tone could weigh on global sentiment.
A dovish stance would likely support global markets, especially India.
◉ Suggested Strategy
Investors should adopt a balanced and selective approach:
Favour large caps and sectors that stand to benefit from the RBI rate cut, such as financials and autos,
Export and IT stocks may continue to draw support from the weaker rupee.
For traders, buy-on-dips remains the preferred strategy near strong support levels. Focus on stock-specific setups, maintain moderate position sizes, and stay flexible ahead of the crucial FOMC outcome.
Nifty50 analysis(3/12/2025).
CPR: Narrow + decending cpr: trending day.
FII: -3,642.30 Sold
DII: 4,645.94 bought.
Highest OI:too soon to tell.
Resistance: nil
Support :nil
conclusion:
My pov:
1.Today market can be trending mostly bearish side .
2.techinical support at 25950, if it breaks and sustain in day candle then bearish trend can be expected.then support only at 25500.
3.any resistance in cpr can be a confirmed. then trade
psychology fact:
Maybe Trading can’t be done, but I’m going to do whatever I can to see if I’m one of the few who can do it.
note:
8moving average ling is blue colour.
20moving average line is green colour
50moving average line is red colour.
200moving average line is black colour.
cpr is for trend analysis.
MA line is for support and resistance.
Disclaimer:
Iam not Sebi registered so i started this as a hobby, please do your own analysis, any profit/loss you gained is not my concern. I can be wrong please do not take it seriously thank you.
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [03/12/2025: Wednesday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 03rd of December 2025. The day is Wednesday.
(1) Monthly Time Frame:
Red candle. So far, it is an inside month. The long-term trend is bullish, but the short-term trend shows weakness. Strong resistance is at levels 26300 and 26150. Strong support is at levels 26000 and 26850. The market is showing weakness at the all-time high (ATH). The view is indecisive to bearish.
(2) Weekly Time Frame:
Red Marubozu. The candle engulfed the body of the last week. A clear sign of weakness. Now major resistance is in the zone 26150 - 26100. Minor support is at level 26000. If level 26000 is breached, then level 25850 is reachable. No bearish trade till the price goes above the 26150 level. The view is bearish.
(3) Daily Time Frame:
Back-2-back 4 red days. Price gave a breakdown from level 26150, confirming the consolidation zone (26300 - 26150) as a major distribution zone. No, the previous consolidation zone is a major resistance. Take no bullish trade till price sustains above the level 26150. Every upmove should be doubted. A minor support is at level 26000. If level 26000 is breached, then there is a high chance of breaking down to level 25850. The view is bearish.
(4) 30-Minute Time Frame:
A clear sign of a sell-off. There is weakness in the market structure. Very strong resistance is at level 26150. No sign of bullishness until the price starts to trade above the level 26150. Every up move should be doubted. Minor support is at level 26000. The view is bearish.
No Trading Zone (NTZ): 26150 - 26000.
Major resistance: 26150.
Minor Support: 26000.
Probable first bearish target: 25850 (if there is a breakdown below 26000).
Bullish Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains above the opening price.
(ii) Price sustains above the level 26150.
(iii) Price forms a higher highs and higher lows structure above the level 26150.
Beairsh Scenario Set-Up:
(i) Price sustains below the opening price.
(ii) Price decisively breaches (or breaks down) level 26000.
Event:
No expiries on Wednesday. No high-impact event. However, a high-impact event is on 05 December (Friday) this week.
Expectations (Hypothesis and insight from the trade planning):
(i) There is a clear sign of weakness in the price structure. The view is bearish.
(ii) The previous zone of consolidation (26300 - 26150) is now a major zone is resistance. Any up move should be doubted.
(iii) Take no bullish trade till price forms a higher highs and lower lows structure above the level 26150.
(iv) Look only for the bearish trade.
(v) In case either a bullish or a bearish scenario does not happen, then don't trade. Trade only when conditions are met.
NOTE:
"Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe."
Happy Trading!
nifty50 analysis(2/12/2025).(EXPIRY).
CPR: Narrow + overlapping lower cpr: Sideways to bearish.
FII: -1,171.31 Sold
DII: 2,558.93 bought.
Highest OI:
Resistance:26300,26400.
Support :26000.
conclusion:
My pov:
1.Today expiry so, market can be no moment at all/ can be volatile also.
2.26000 strike is the only support.
3.lets wait and watch how the market is reacting today, because cpr showing a bearish to sideways today if price close and cross 26000.
psychology fact:
when you feel good, you’ll increase your chances of making a profit
note:
8moving average ling is blue colour.
20moving average line is green colour
50moving average line is red colour.
200moving average line is black colour.
cpr is for trend analysis.
MA line is for support and resistance.
Disclaimer:
Iam not Sebi registered so i started this as a hobby, please do your own analysis, any profit/loss you gained is not my concern. I can be wrong please do not take it seriously thank you.
Nifty50 Today(1/12/2025) analysis
CPR: Narrow + outside cpr: Sideways to bearish.
FII: -3,795.72 Sold
DII: 4,148.48 bought.
Highest OI:
Resistance:26300,26400.
Support :26000.
conclusion:
My pov:
1.Market opens with gap up but cpr shows a bearish view in techinical analysis ,there is two ways to confirm it if breakes ATH and sustains in 1hr candle and if it breaks and sustain above R1,also check volume . then go bullish.
2.market can be sideways to bearish.
3.confirmation is the key and wait for clarity.
psychology fact : most of the time, not doing anything is the best trading exercise you can ever do.
note:
8moving average ling is blue colour.
20moving average line is green colour
50moving average line is red colour.
200moving average line is black colour.
cpr is for trend analysis.
MA line is for support and resistance.
Disclaimer:
Iam not Sebi registered so i started this as a hobby, please do your own analysis, any profit/loss you gained is not my concern. I can be wrong please do not take it seriously thank you.
NIFTY Hits New Highs but Breadth Weakens — What’s the Signal?The NIFTY 50 closed the week with a neat gain of 134.80 points (0.52%), touching fresh lifetime highs of 26,310.45.
Sounds impressive, right?
Yes — but there’s a twist.
A deeper look shows the Nifty 500 is still over 2.5% below its all-time high.
Meaning? This rally is not broad-based — it’s being carried by select large-cap heavyweights.
Meanwhile, the India VIX dropped 14.77% to 11.62, keeping volatility calm… for now.
◉ Key Levels to Watch This Week
Support Zones
● 26,000 — Strong and immediate support. Heavy put writing is visible here.
Resistance Zones
● 26,200 – 26,300 — Near-term supply zone
● 26,500 — Major resistance to beat
◉ Key Triggers This Week
1. RBI Policy – December 5
A 25 bps rate cut is widely expected, but the RBI may take a cautious approach as it balances low inflation with rising growth momentum.
2. Q2 GDP at 8.2%
The stronger-than-expected GDP print boosts sentiment but reduces the urgency for aggressive rate cuts, shifting the policy outlook toward a more measured stance.
3. India–US Trade Deal
Both countries are close to finalizing the agreement by year-end, which could support IT, manufacturing and export-focused sectors.
4. Rupee Weakness
The rupee’s slide to ₹89.49/$ raises import costs and potential inflation risks, adding pressure on the RBI while impacting corporate margins differently across sectors.
◉ December Outlook — What’s Likely Ahead?
● Base Case: NIFTY stays in a 26,000–26,500 range, with most upside already priced in.
● Bull Case: A breakout above 26,500 could send it toward 26,700 by month-end.
● Caution: If market breadth weakens further, volatility may creep back in.
◉ Strategy:
● As long as NIFTY holds above 26,000, sentiment stays positive.
● Dips above 26,000 = buying opportunity
● Avoid chasing breakouts blindly — focus on quality sectors and high-volume confirmations.






















