Get started

Nifty50analysis

NIFTY – Range-Bound but Bearish Tilt Emerging📈 NIFTY – Range-Bound but Bearish Tilt Emerging | Option Chain + Price Action Analysis 🕒 Chart Type: 15-Minute 📆 Date: July 3, 2025 ________________________________________ 🔍 What’s Catching Our Eye: NIFTY closed at ₹25,397.40, hugging the key support zone at ₹25,378. The index remains inside a well-defined range, but the sharp rejection from the ₹25,490–₹25,509 supply zone highlights sustained selling pressure. The failure to reclaim ₹25,455 signals caution from buyers. ________________________________________ 📌 What We’re Watching For: The ₹25,378 level is crucial. A breakdown below it with volume could ignite fast momentum towards ₹25,300–₹25,250. On the other side, a bullish reversal setup is only valid if NIFTY reclaims ₹25,455 with a strong candle and high volume. Option data tilts clearly bearish, showing confidence from institutions—not speculation. ________________________________________ 📊 Volume Footprint: Current volume stands at 293.43M, lower than the previous session’s 330.09M, indicating reduced participation and indecision. Watch for a volume spike below ₹25,378 (for breakdown confirmation) or above ₹25,455 (to validate reversal strength). ________________________________________ 📈 Option Chain Highlights: The 25,500 CE shows heavy short build-up, with OI sharply higher—clear sign of strong resistance. The 25,600 CE adds to that pressure with additional short positions. Meanwhile, 25,400 PE is witnessing long build-up, and strong OI in 25,000 PE shows downside anticipation. Overall, OI positioning strongly supports a bearish view. ________________________________________ 🔁 Trend Bias: 🔴 Bearish unless NIFTY reclaims and sustains above ₹25,455 ________________________________________ 🧠 Trade Logic / Reasoning: Price remains in a supply-driven setup, with a sharp rejection seen from ₹25,490–₹25,509. Support at ₹25,378 has held so far but looks increasingly fragile. Option chain behaviour reinforces this bearish bias—Call writers dominating higher levels and Put buyers building exposure at lower strikes. ________________________________________ 📍 Important Levels to Mark: 🔺 Top Range: ₹25,608 – Look for breakout or reversal candlestick pattern + volume 🔻 Bottom Range: ₹25,378 – Watch for breakdown or bullish reversal pattern + volume ________________________________________ 🎯 Trade Plan (Educational Purpose Only): ✅ Best Sell: Long - 25,400 PE – If breakdown below ₹25,378 confirms with volume ✅ Best Buy: Long 25,300 CE if price reclaims ₹25,455 + ₹25,490 zone with a strong bullish candle + volume 🟢 Demand Zone: NA 🔴 Supply Zone: ₹25,490–₹25,509 (Confirmed rejection area) ⚠️ Invalidation Below: Bullish view becomes invalid if NIFTY breaks and holds below ₹25,378 with strong volume Bearish view loses strength if NIFTY reclaims ₹25,455 with follow-through ________________________________________ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. STWP is not a SEBI-registered advisor. This is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please consult your financial advisor before trading. STWP is not responsible for any trading outcomes. ________________________________________ 💬 Found this helpful? Drop your thoughts in the comments ⬇️ 🔁 Share with fellow traders ✅ Follow STWP for zone-based price action & option chain insights 🚀 Let’s boost awareness of smart & patient trading!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by simpletradewithpatience
Nifty 50 weekly Analysis for June 28, - 04, July 2025 ~~ Nifty 50 Analysis for June 28, 2025 ~~ As of June 28, 2025, the Nifty 50 index continues to exhibit a bullish bias with cautious undertones, driven by global market sentiment, domestic buying, and technical patterns. Below is a comprehensive analysis based on the latest available data and market insights. # Market Performance Overview Previous Close (June 27, 2025): The Nifty 50 closed at 25,637.80, up 88.80 points (+0.35%), reflecting a positive session driven by select sectors. Market Context: The index has been on a four-day gaining streak, supported by positive global cues, including easing geopolitical tensions (e.g., ceasefire between Israel and Iran), falling crude oil prices, and dovish signals from the U.S. Federal Reserve, which have boosted risk appetite. ##Technical Analysis Trend and Momentum: The Nifty 50 is trading within an ascending channel on the daily timeframe, indicating a bullish structure. On the weekly timeframe, it is forming an Ascending Triangle Pattern, a bullish setup that could lead to a breakout if the index sustains above 25,300. The index is above key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) (20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day), reinforcing the bullish trend. The weekly chart shows alignment above the 20-week, 50-week, and 200-week EMAs, with an Inside Bar pattern indicating buying interest on dips. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is at 49.90–64.58, reflecting neutral momentum. It is neither overbought nor oversold, suggesting room for movement in either direction depending on fresh triggers. MACD: The MACD for the broader index is indecisive, with some constituents (e.g., HCL Technologies) showing bullish signals, while others (e.g., Hero MotoCorp) are bearish. Support and Resistance Levels: Support: Immediate support is at 25,130–25,060, with stronger support at 24,800–24,650. A break below 24,500 could lead to a deeper correction toward 24,300–24,400. Resistance: The index faces resistance at 25,600–25,700, with a breakout above this zone potentially targeting 26,100, close to the all-time high of 26,277.35 (Sep 27, 2024). A sustained move above 25,300 could confirm bullish continuation, while failure to break 25,700 may lead to profit booking. Next Weekly Target 26,800 - 27,000 Chart posted for your reference only -- Disclaimer -- This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading. #Boost and comment will be highly appreciated
NSE:NIFTYLong
by renderwithme
Nifty Weekly Outlook: Volatility Ahead Amid Global Tensions● Despite briefly breaking above the 25,100 resistance last week, Nifty failed to sustain the momentum and witnessed a corrective pullback towards the 24,500 level. ● Market volatility ticked up, with India VIX rising by 3.08% to 15.08 on a weekly basis, reflecting growing investor nervousness. ● Geopolitical tensions—particularly the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran—are weighing on global sentiment, and Indian equities are not immune to this uncertainty. However, relative strength in the Indian markets suggests that they may continue to outperform global peers in the near term. ● For the upcoming week, Nifty is expected to remain highly volatile, with wide-range oscillations likely. A directional trend may only emerge if Nifty decisively breaches 25,100 on the upside or breaks below the key support at 24,500. ● Options data indicates that the 25,000 level will act as a strong resistance, while 24,500 remains a crucial support zone. ● Importantly, if the index opens below 24,400 at the start of the week, it could invite further selling pressure, tipping the balance in favor of the bears. ● Given the global headwinds and sensitive technical setup, traders are advised to stay cautious as heightened volatility could dominate the week ahead.
NSE:NIFTY
by GoodluckCapital
1
Bulls on Standby: Can Nifty Unleash Its Next Leg Higher?As anticipated, Nifty consolidated within a 600-point range between 24,500 and 25,100 last week, ending with a modest weekly gain of around 1%. Volatility eased as well, with India VIX declining by 9% to close at 14.63, reflecting improved market stability. Open Interest (OI) data indicates immediate support at 24,800, backed by the highest concentration of put writing. Looking ahead, there is a strong possibility that Nifty may breach the 25,100 resistance level in the coming sessions, which could trigger a swift rally toward the 25,500 mark.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by GoodluckCapital
Nifty's Baby Shower: Will Mother Candle Deliver Before Expiry?👶📉📈 Will Mama Candle Deliver Before Expiry or Hold the Bump? Hey traders, grab your popcorn (or baby carrots) because the Nifty is hosting a drama worthy of a maternity ward! Let’s break down this prenatal price action without any fancy indicators—just pure candle gossip ! The "Mother Candle" Saga On May 15th, Nifty formed a MOTHER CANDLE (high: 25116, low: 24500) that’s been “pregnant” with 8 little baby candles. That’s right, 8 days of consolidation, and Mama’s still holding her ground. Will she deliver a explosive breakout before the expiry, or is this a false pregnancy? Let’s diagnose: Key Levels to Watch (aka The Baby Monitor) Due Date Resistance: 25116 (Mama’s high). Break this, and we’re naming the firstborn “Rocket Singh” 🚀. Support Zone: 24500-ish (Mama’s comfy yoga pants zone). Hold here, and the bulls get baby shower confetti. Critical Breakdown: 24700. Crack this, and it’s a slippery slope to 24500. Close below? Call it a "Failed Pregnancy" :( The Obstetrician’s Bias (Spoiler: Bullish) The price action suggests Mama Candle’s still got that pregnancy glow. Bulls are sipping coconut water, waiting for contractions (read: breakout). But if 24700 breaks, the midwives (bears) might rush in with forceps. Will the Water Break This Week? Bull Case: Mama holds 24500, pops above 25116, and we’re all godparents to a fresh uptrend. Baby shower theme: “All-Time Highs & Diaper Flys.” Bear Case: A breakdown to 24500 turns into a ”diaper blowout”—messy, stinky, and nobody’s happy. Trade Setup: Pack Your Hospital Bag Long Entry: If Nifty snuggles above 24700 and eyes 25116. Bring tissues for happy tears. Short Trigger: Close below 24500. Cancel the baby registry and buy bearish pacifiers. Stop Loss: For bulls, keep it tight below 24500. For bears? Don’t get kicked out of the delivery room. Final Thought: The expiry clock is ticking louder than a 3 AM baby monitor. Will Mama Candle push this week, or will the 24500 support double as a crib? Either way, keep your charts clean and your risk management tighter than a onesie. Disclaimer: No actual candles or babies were harmed in this analysis. Trade at your own risk—parenthood (and trading) is unpredictable! 🍼🕯️
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Alert_Trader
7
Nifty Outlook: Sideways Action Likely as June OpensAs anticipated last week, Nifty traded sideways, showing limited movement. The current technical setup indicates the index may continue to remain range-bound in the upcoming week. On the 30-minute chart, a symmetrical triangle pattern has formed, suggesting that a breakout in either direction could lead to a swift, short-term move. Key Levels to Watch Support: 24,500 Resistance: 25,100 – 25,150 A decisive breakout above 25,100, confirmed by two consecutive closes, could pave the way for a rally toward the 25,500 mark. Meanwhile, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have cut their long positions to nearly half of April–May levels, reflecting a more cautious stance. Still, their net buying in the previous months, along with upcoming catalysts like the RBI policy announcement on June 6 and the progress of the monsoon, could potentially reignite market momentum.
NSE:NIFTY
by GoodluckCapital
2
Nifty to Stay in Pause Mode Ahead of Expiry WeekAfter a strong run, the Nifty rally seems to be losing steam and has now slipped into consolidation mode. With the monthly derivatives expiry coming up next week, the market is likely to remain range-bound. Options data suggests that Nifty has carved out a trading range between 24,500 and 25,100. Until we see a decisive move beyond either end of this 600-point band, don’t expect a strong directional trend. A clear breakout above 25,100 could reignite bullish momentum, while a breach below 24,500 might invite fresh selling pressure. Until then, it’s all about sideways action and expiry-driven volatility.
NSE:NIFTY
by GoodluckCapital
1
Nifty 50 Weekly Technical Analysis for May 26–30, 2025- Nifty 50 Technical Analysis for May 26–30, 2025 - # Current Market Context Recent Performance: As of May 23, 2025, the Nifty 50 closed at 24,853.15, up 243.45 points (0.99%), snapping a three-day losing streak. The index has shown resilience, supported by broad-based buying in financials, Pharma, and IT sectors. - Market Sentiment: indicate a cautiously bullish outlook for the week targeting 25,300–25,700, driven by a positive weekly close and potential short covering. However, resistance near 25,000 # Key Technical Levels - Support Levels: Immediate support is at 24,400–24,000, aligning with the 20-day EMA and recent lows. A break and close below 24,000 could lead to further selling toward 24,099 or 23,500, a strong support level backed by put option open interest. Weekly pivot support is at 23,559, with deeper support at 23,000. - Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance is at 25,000, with a confluence of weekly and monthly resistance at 25,297–25,575, reinforced by Fibonacci Retracement levels. A sustained break above 25,100 could target 25,500–25,700, with potential for 26,161 by expiry if momentum persists. -- Disclaimer -- This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources and X posts. It is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading. E&OE
NSE:NIFTY
by renderwithme
2
Nifty Breaks Past 25,000: Is a New High on the Horizon?Last week, Nifty broke above the psychological milestone of 25,000, shaking off market doubts and sparking fresh bullish momentum. ◉ Key levels to watch: The zone between 24,750–24,850 now acts as immediate support, while 23,750–23,850 remains a major support. This rally wasn't just a technical bounce — it was fuelled by meaningful tailwinds: ● India-Pakistan Ceasefire helped ease geopolitical concerns, calming the nerves of investors. ● Cooling inflation in both India and the U.S. sparked hopes of rate cuts, improving market liquidity. ● Strong corporate earnings from majors like Hero MotoCorp , HCL Tech , and Tata Motors lifted sentiment. With continued FII inflows , the bullish momentum is expected to persist — potentially pushing Nifty toward its all-time high in the near term.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by GoodluckCapital
Nifty Holds 24k: FII Confidence Hints at Bullish Trend Ahead● Despite rising war tensions, Nifty held firm above the 24,000 mark last week, showing the strength and resilience of Indian market—bolstered further by strong Q4 earnings. ● While many are expecting a sharp fall, foreign investors (FIIs) have mostly continued buying, except for last session, which suggests confidence is still intact and a major crash seems unlikely. ● Meanwhile, India VIX spiked above 21, signalling that volatility is heating up. ● Option data shows heavy put writing at the 24,000 level, marking it as a strong immediate support zone. ● On the charts, 23,800 stands out as solid technical support, and as long as Nifty stays above it, the overall mood is likely to stay bullish. ● Given this setup, the market is likely to trade in a sideways to bullish range in the coming week, unless major negative news breaks.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by GoodluckCapital
Nifty 50 Technical Analysis (as of May 9, 2025) #Nifty50 Tomorrow Price Levels to Watch: #RESISTANCE : 24,250- 24,350 A breakout above 24,500 could signal bullish momentum. #support : 24,000 (recent low from May 8) and 23,850. A drop below 23,850 may indicate a bearish shift toward 23,500 or lower. Trend Check: Look for a daily close above 24,400 to confirm bullish continuation or below 23,850 for bearish pressure. Use candlestick patterns (e.g., Doji, Hammer) to gauge indecision or reversal signals
NSE:NIFTY
by renderwithme
Nifty’s Rally Faces a Hurdle at 24,400 — Volatility on the Rise● After successfully breaking out from the Double Bottom pattern, Nifty faced rejection near the 24,400 level, establishing it as the immediate resistance. ● While the index managed to close above 24,000, this level appears fragile and may not offer strong support. As long as Nifty holds above 23,800, the broader market sentiment is expected to remain positive. ● For the next bullish move to materialize, the index must decisively surpass and sustain above 24,400. ● It is also notable that India VIX rose sharply this week, climbing over 10%, indicating heightened anxiety among market participants. ● With ongoing geopolitical tensions, market volatility could remain elevated in the near term. ● Investors and traders are advised to exercise proper risk management when taking new positions to protect against potential large losses.
NSE:NIFTY
by GoodluckCapital
Banking Sector Boost Nifty to New Levels: What’s Coming Next?The Nifty has shown a clear turnaround with a double bottom pattern and has broken past the 23,800 level. This strong move is mostly thanks to the banking sector, especially with great Q4 results from HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank. The Bank Nifty, now trading just below its all-time high, might struggle near 55,000—a zone that previously triggered a pullback, leading to consolidation in the broader market. For Nifty, the immediate resistance is seen at the 24,000 level, where significant call writing activity may pose a hurdle. On the downside, a breach below 23,500 could signal a potential reversal, dragging the index into a downtrend once again.
NSE:NIFTY
by GoodluckCapital
NIFTY50 - AN INGISHT FOR INVESTORSSymbol - NIFTY50 CMP 25305 If you are a long term investor, one thing that will help you to decide when to invest - Nifty monthly RSI. As and when RSI moved above 80, markets uniformly correctly (around 20% usually) & as and when RSI came below 40 level, markets uniformly rallied. Now RSI is at 82 Fundamentals are also showing that overall market is modestly overvalued. What you want to do or should you be worried ? tell me in comments below. P.S. : I'm out of all longs & have entered shorts.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by akshit_official
2
Nifty 50 upcoming levelThe Nifty 50 has recently formed a bottom around 21,964. Nifty is showing a one-directional move from that level, and momentum is increasing with each candle. Previously, Nifty faced resistance around 23,780, and the current price is 23,658, just 120 points away from the previous resistance. After a quick rally, Nifty 50 may encounter resistance near 23,780, and an Inverse Head & Shoulders formation is possible. Note: Resistance does not guarantee a confirmed reversal, but we need to monitor price action at that level to determine whether it is breaking and sustaining the resistance. Stay tuned for more updates! Hit the Boost button for regular updates!
NSE:NIFTY
by StockEngineers
1
NIFTY 1D Technical Commentary on Market Maker Shifts- Nifty is currently trading at 23,395 up 6.5% from its recent high - Nifty has still not flipped its structure so enjoying this rally doesn't look right - Observation: Wait for a market structure shift above 23,828 and a weekly close above, this will help Nifty consume the sellers and make a bullish structure shift - Two paths drawn signifies these 2 possibilities - The red path shows we will deviate above the market structure shift trap many bids and long traders post that we will drop straight down - The green path signifies we will reject straight from the Market Structure shift liquid zone and take out all the inefficiencies created and post that we might see an impulsive wave by trapping more shorts out. - Everything depends on how the reaction is going to be
NSE:NIFTYShort
by VKtradesimbalance
Nifty Down 16% from Highs: Eyes on Next Support at 21,800● Nifty 50 has declined by approximately 16% from its all-time high, signalling a significant correction in the market. ● The next crucial support level is anticipated around the 21,800 mark, a level where the index has historically found support on five previous occasions. ◉ OI Data Analysis ● The 22,500 strike price has the highest concentration of call writers, establishing it as a strong immediate resistance level. ● Conversely, the 22,000 strike price shows the highest accumulation of put writers, indicating robust support at this level. ◉ Valuation Analysis ● From a valuation standpoint, the Nifty appears attractive, currently trading at a Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio of 19.7. ● This is notably below its 5-year average PE of 24.8, suggesting the index may be undervalued relative to its historical standards.
NSE:NIFTY
by GoodluckCapital