Nifty to Kick-Start the Year with a Pause!● A detailed examination of the daily chart reveals the emergence of an Inverted Cup and Handle pattern, suggesting a bearish outlook.
● However, the index is currently hovering above the critical support level of 23,500, while attempting to establish a foothold above the 200-period EMA, a key dynamic support.
● Furthermore, options data indicates a significant concentration of put writers at the 23,500 strike price, lending additional credence to the support zone.
● Given these technical and sentimental factors, we expect the index to remain in a consolidative phase over the next month, as market participants await a clear catalyst for direction.
Nifty50analysis
NIFTY50 Head & Shoulder Pattern in Weekly Charts₹₹Nifty50 making Head & Shoulder in Weekly Charts with Price range of 3000 points(23266-26277). If Chart Pattern play-out perfectly then Target price range will be 2500-3000 points till 20288 levels.
Nifty50 also have a gap on 20288 levels bcoz of Election Results of 4 States on Dec 3,2023 after that rally started. Now Nifty50 can fill this gap if Chart Pattern play-out perfectly.
I will wait for Nifty50 to break down 23266-22777 levels zone & closing below 22777 levels. If Nifty50 close below 22777 levels then Short Nifty50 for Targets of 22122, 21777, 21288, 20777 & 20288 with Stop Loss of 23444.
But this Pattern will fail above levels of 24555.
Most Important we have to carefully watch RELIANCE bcoz it's already at 52 week lows & At Parallel Channel Support in Monthly Charts. If Reliance also give breakdown of channel then it will be easy for Nifty50 to reach all targets. Similarly HDFC BANK at upper Resistance of Parallel Channel in Monthly Charts.
Nifty 50 spot 24556.00 by Hourly Chart viewNifty 50 spot 24556.00 by Hourly Chart view
- Intermediate Support Zone 24475 to 24525
- Resistance Zone 24750 to 24885 Price Band may become a Support Zone
- The Next Support Zone seen at 24300 to 24375 Price Band acting as H&S neckline
- Resistance Zone 24750 to 24885 Price Band needs to be crossed, closure sustained above it for continued upwards bullish transition
Nifty 50 spot 23532.70 by Daily Chart view Nifty 50 spot 23532.70 by Daily Chart view
- 2 nos of Gap Down Openings are closed between 24350 to 25080 level range
- 2 nos of Gap Down Openings will get closed in next ATH creations process near ATH 26277.35
- Most probable Support Zone likely at 23200 to 23350 to anticipate for upside reversal prospective
- Next fairly strong Support Zone 22500 to 22650 for upside reversal prospective if the above Support Zone is broken
- Huge Downfall of 04th June, 2024 has closed the past 2 nos Gap Up Opening and 2 nos Gap Down Openings
Nifty 50 spot 23453.80 by Daily Chart view - Update to old Chart*Nifty 50 spot 23453.80 by Daily Chart view*
- Most probable Support Zone 23200 to 23350 to anticipate for upside reversal prospective
- Next fairly strong Support Zone 22500 to 22650 for upside reversal prospective if the above Support Zone is broken
- *Old times Gaps to be filled will be a longer shot to expect if markets take a nosedive below 21180 Nifty 50 Index trading range*
- Huge Downfall of 04th June, 2024 closed many of the past Gap Up Opening and Gap Down Openings between 21181 to 23338 Nifty Index trading range
- Update to old chart shared last week
Nifty heading towards 22kDate: 17 Nov’24
Symbol: NIFTY
Timeframe: Daily
Nifty 50 seems to be in final stages of Wave A of an ABC correction that began in Sept’24. Correction in A could end around 23300 and if it breaks that level, it could even head to 23050-23000. It would then witness a pull back towards 25000 levels in Wave B as seen in the chart and finally Wave C down.
Please note this is a possible wave count and Nifty as an instrument always runs on multiple global event risks. Maharashtra votes on 20th Nov’24 and election results are on Saturday, 23rd so it’s unlikely that Nifty will see a pullback or Wave B this week. Investors/Traders in US see lesser chances of another interest rate cut in December meeting so it’s a wait and watch there.
This is not a trade recommendation but my humble submission of possible movement in Nifty. Please do your own analysis. And I’ve the right to be wrong.
HINGLISH VERSION
Aisa lagta hai ki Nifty 50 Sept’24 mein shuroo hue ABC correction ke Wave A ke antim charan mein hai. Wave A mein correction 23300 ke aaspaas samaapt ho sakta hai aur yadi yah us star ko todta hai, to yah 23000-23050 tak bhee ja sakta hai. Jaisa ki chart mein dekh sakte hain, iske baad Wave B mein 25000 ke star tak vaapasee hogee aur ant mein Wave C mein giraavat aaegee.
Kripya dhyaan den ki yah ek sambhaavit Wave count hai aur Nifty hamesha kai duniya bhar ki ghatanaon ke jokhimon par chalta hai. Maharashtra mein 20 Nov’24 ko voting hogi aur chunaav nateeje Saturday 23rd ko aaenge, isliye iski sambhaavana nahin hai ki is saptaah Nifty mein pull back ya Wave B dekhne ko mile. US mein niveshakon/vyaapaariyon ko December kee baithak mein ek aur interest rate cut kee sambhaavana kam dikh rahee hai, isliye vahaan wait and watch kee sthiti hai.
Yah koi trade lene ki salah nahi hai balki Nifty mein sambhaavit utaar-chadhaav ke baare mein meri vinamra koshish hai. Kripya apna vishleshan khud karen. Aur mujhe galat hone ka adhikaar hai.
My personal view on the Nifty 50 spot 235559.05 by Daily Chart v*My personal view on the Nifty 50 spot 235559.05 by Daily Chart view*
- 2 nos of Gap Down Openings are closed
- 2 nos of Gap Down Openings will get closed in next ATH creations process
- Most probable Support Zone 23200 to 23350 to anticipate for upside reversal prospective
- Huge Downfall of 04th June, 2024 has closed the past 2 nos Gap Up Opening and 2 nos Gap Down Openings
- *Nifty 50 post hitting the ATH retraced and formed a Bearish Head & Shoulders pattern and pretty much has covered the depth by the neckline*
- *Based on the Technical Chart Setup, we may now anticipate and expect to look forward for an upside reversal to happen from the Support Zone*
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NIFTY 50It could test below support level marked on the chart at 24147 or on that red line within (4th Nov 2024)
If red line breaks early then that white line is an ultimate support at 23800 (18th Oct 2024)
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Nifty 50 spot 23851 by Daily Chart view*Nifty 50 spot 23851 by Daily Chart view*
- 24750 to 24875 Resistance Zone
- Support Zone is seen nearest at 23200 to 23350
- 24050 to 24175 now seems becoming Resistance Zone earlier Support Zone
- Nifty 50 Index traversed the Bullish Rising Price Channel till end of Sept 2024. Now in a Bearish Falling Price Channel, Support Zone 24050 to 24175 might seemingly act as Resistance Zone
NIFTY50 DEC OPTION SWING TRADE IDEA FOR HUGE PROFITNIFTY50 is currently trading at 26075 & trading at new life time high.
There are a lot of fundamental, technical & valuation reasons why I am taking this trade.
I'm seeing a trading opportunity with very good RR.
I am taking long positions in NIFTY DEC MONTHLY 25000 PE at CMP 240
I will add more quantity around 100-120, if comes & Hold with stoploss of 40
Risk in this trade is 140 points & reward is huge.
If any external event takes place which is not factored in by local & global markets, Then we can see 10-20% correction easily given current overvaluations. Hence I am taking this trade. I am not taking this trade to hedge my portfolio. I am already sitting at 75% cash & only 25% capital is invested as of now. I have bearish view on market at current valuation & I have 3 months time too which makes this trade a perfect trade with great RR.
ENTRY, SL & TARGETS are mentioned in the trading idea. If any panic happens, In that case we may see all targets getting hit.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Nifty 50 spot 24339.00 by Daily Chart viewNifty 50 spot 24339.00 by Daily Chart view
- Most probable Resistance Zone seen at 24750 to 24875 for Nifty 50 Index
- Gap Down Opening of 03-October-2024 got Filled Up and has been Closed
- Gap Down Opening of 05-Aug-2024 of 336 points got filled in by downfall of Nifty 50
- 24050 to 24175 decent Support Zone and it seems Nifty reversed tad low from 24073.90
- Nifty 50 Index traversed inside Bullish Rising Price Channel till the end of September 2024
- Currently in Bearish Falling Price Channel but seems taking reversal at Support Zone 24050 to 24175 anticipating upside
Nifty Falls to 20400 by July 2024 !
*** PURELY EDUCATION PURPOSE***
This is a weekly candlestick chart of the Nifty 50 Index, a benchmark stock market index in India, showing price movements over time. Here's a breakdown:
Candlesticks:
Each candlestick represents the price action of a week.
Green candles represent weeks where the price closed higher than it opened, indicating upward movement.
Red candles represent weeks where the price closed lower than it opened, indicating a downward movement.
Current Market Status:
The chart shows a recent downtrend, where the Nifty 50 Index is falling. The most recent candle is red, showing a weekly decline of 2.71%.
The latest price is 24,180.80, which is the level where the market closed at the time of the chart.
Support Trendline:
A blue upward-sloping trendline is drawn, connecting recent lows. This trendline represents a potential support level, where the price might bounce back after falling.
Future Projection:
There is a green shaded box near the lower part of the chart labeled "Market may come to this zone by July 2025".
This suggests that possible decline in the Nifty 50 Index towards the 20,400 - 20,000 zone by mid-2025. This zone could act as a future support area.
Context:
The chart shows a medium-term view, with the projection implying that after the recent pullback, the market might continue to decline, potentially reaching the projected support level in the coming months.
In summary, this chart reflects a possible bearish outlook for the Nifty 50, with a potential target zone between 20,000 and 20,400 by mid-2025, based on the current downtrend and the support trendline drawn.