08 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty + discontinuation of I-CRR newsNifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday “On the 1hr TF the W pattern worked out quite good. The next 2 resistance points will be 19786 and 19852 if we are continuing the breakout rally. If we were to fall the first support will be the resistance we just broke i.e. 19678 followed by 19581. For tomorrow I wish to continue my bullish stance unless the first support of 19678 is taken out in the first 2 hours.”
Let the chart not deceive you, we really went up 142pts ~ 0.72% from the low to the high and today’s low was still above yesterday’s close. Since the chart was set to “Auto” resolution on “Log” scale - the up move may not look that much.
What an impressive rally today, I assume most of the analysts would have switched their bias to the long side after yesterday’s show. Today’s outperformance was quite predictable still the near ATM call options had a humongous price swing. Option premiums usually rise when the uncertainty goes up - and seeing the rally today the price jumps in 20100, 20200, 20300 & 20500 were more than unusual. 20100 CE which closed for 5.45 yesterday opened at 6.5 and rallied upto 13.5 ~ 248% before closing at 9.35.
We took out the first resistance point by 11.15 today and touched the 2nd resistance point by 14.15 to only close lower. The 2 resistance points are highlighted in orange horizontal lines.
I was feeling quite carried away that the technical analysis was working exactly as in the script. Nifty falling in a bearish channel from 21st July and then breaking out from 1st Sep. Just today I realized the real reason behind this is the I-CRR news flow - read here. Remember the fall started when the RBI Governor announced the 10% increment in CRR in his last MPC address. Now there is news that 75% of it might be removed immediately. This was the reason the banks started rallying all of a sudden from 2pm on 6th Sep. Do you recollect the article I wrote about HDFCBK being the lone wolf fighting for banknifty?
Now you might have understood how a 41% weightage on BankNifty can make a lot of difference.
For Monday I wish to change the status from bullish to 50% bullish & 50% neutral - that's because I would like to wait for this news flow to get priced in. The euphoria and FOMO alone should drive Nifty50 to new ATHs, however I do not wish to get into new bullish positions till then.
Niftyintradaylevels
Nifty daily analysis for 08/09/23.The market finally has given a nice trending move and has closed 116 point higher.
On the hourly charts, nifty took a slight pull back and started moving in the upward direction slow. During the second half it gave the break out and travelled, finding resistance around 19730 levels.
A nice bullish candle on the daily charts is showing some positivity and if the global markets support, nifty can travel higher.
On 15 minute time frame, it constantly took support from 20 ema closed very bullish.
Support :- 19640, 19550
Resistance :- 19785, 19845
The market has consolidated alot and the up move can continue owing to the G-20 summit.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
#nifty"Good morning! As of September 8th, the global market sentiment is slightly positive, based on the Dow Jones alone. The market trend is bullish, and there is a possibility that the market might open with a slight gap-up. If the gap-up sustains, we can expect the rally to continue with minor corrections. On the other hand, if the initial market experiences sharp declines and reaches yesterday's minor high, that's a sign of a trend reversal."
Nifty 50 Daily Analysis - Day time frameThe Nifty index has found support at the 19500 level and is currently displaying a bullish trend. Based on historical price patterns, resistance levels are observed at 18850 and 20000. The recent combination of trading volume and price movement over the past three sessions suggests the possibility of the Nifty reaching its all-time highs in the next 3-4 trading sessions. However, given the current weakness in the banking sector, there may be some testing of the 20000 level, and the potential for reaching new highs by the beginning of October also depends on favorable global market conditions.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 08 Sep 2023NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 08 Sep 2023
Bullish-Above 19740
Invalid-Below 19690
T- 19840 19935
Bearish-Below 19640
Invalid-Above 19690
T- 19525 19415
NIFTY has closed on a bullish note with 0.59% gain. After our positional short trade was cut at cost when it closed above 19500 it was said that now index is bullish. After 19500 was closed in daily TF index has inched higher and is moving towards 20k. Today buy triggered as per trade setup above 19640 and 1st target was hit very smoothly via a short covering move (19640-19737). Tomorrow kindly be strict in trailing positions for both side trades.
Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 19740 then we will long for the target of 19840 and 19935.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 19640. T- 19525 and 19415.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
07 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty Super rally in last 90 mtsNifty Weekly Analysis
You may not believe that Nifty has added 444pts ~ 2.31% between the last expiry and today. The bulk of the moves came on 1st Sep and then today.
On the weekly timeframe Nifty just broke out from the bullish flag consolidation formation signalling further fire power ahead. Will the global markets play spoilsport is the only question here.
Nifty Today Analysis
Recap from yesterday “Also the 14.15 green candle negates the 5 prior red candles creating a bullish ambience. For tomorrow, I wish to continue the bullish stance and the first target in sight would be to take out the next swing level of 19678.”
It was not a surprise that when I posted the bullish view on tradingview minds this morning, I got a -4 downvote. Almost all the analysts were looking for bearish opportunities on Nifty and BankNifty and the opening moves would have given the illusion of downfall. We fell 71pts ~ 0.36% by 09.35 enough for most to go short and that too on expiry day.
What happened after that was a reclamation of 19600 levels by Nifty, we even hit a new swing high of 19642 at 11.15. And honestly I thought thats it - we will consolidate sideways and end the day around those levels.
I was totally surprised when Nifty rallied 144pts ~ 0.74% between 11.40 to 14.35. In fact I had 2 bullish CE long positions that I exited prematurely at a small profit. If I knew Nifty had more firepower to take out the 19700 today - I would have hung on to it & made a fortune 🙂
From a weekly expiry standpoint - the options premium near ATM and far OTM were real pathetic. Something that I realized today is that when we had BankNifty & Nifty expiring together - we could jump in and out on strikes that gave max bang for bucks. Since BN is now set to expire on Wednesdays, there are no more arbitrage opportunities. If the conditions like today persist in the foreseeable future - then option selling wont be able to attract a fresh crowd.
On the 1hr TF the W pattern worked out quite good. The next 2 resistance points will be 19786 and 19852 if we are continuing the breakout rally. If we were to fall the first support will be the resistance we just broke i.e. 19678 followed by 19581. For tomorrow I wish to continue my bullish stance unless the first support of 19678 is taken out in the first 2 hours.
#nifty"Good morning! As of September 7th, there is no significant difference compared to the last session; the global market sentiment is negative (based on the Dow Jones alone). The market trend is moderately bullish, and the market might open with a neutral to slight gap-down. Structurally, it is a range-bound market, so we can expect some consolidation. We can anticipate a directional move after a major support or resistance level is breached."
NIFTY--Bull Trap or Bear Trap??Price is exactly closed in the previous strong fall area.
At the end of the session, the price is showing strong bullishness.
In this bullishness, if buyers exit their positions at this zone...tomorrow it is bearish, continue its move downside.
If this is a bull's continuous move, it will continue upwards and test the bearish gap.
will see in the next session what happens.
06 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty Unusual spike at 3pmNifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: For tomorrow I continue to maintain the bullish stance unless 19450 is broken.
Nifty opened inline today and held its ground till 09.40 after which it started falling. The fall was not quick or scary but gradual and steady. We dropped 112pts ~ 0.58% by 13.35 and went down till 19491 from where we got a massive reversal.
The level from which Nifty took support could be rounded off to 19500. Any further weakness would have triggered another round of selling and the breakout momentum would have been shot in the arm.
Luckily we had a massive reversal, quite honestly I did not expect it to be this intense. Nifty gained back 145pts ~ 0.75% to close above the swing high at 19618. This is in line with the bullish technical analysis.
If you look at the 1hr TF the W pattern still holds strong. Also the 14.15 green candle negates the 5 prior red candles creating a bullish ambience. For tomorrow, I wish to continue the bullish stance and the first target in sight would be to take out the next swing level of 19678. Unless any misadventures from SPX and NDQ overnight - we should be cruising upwards. Protective stop loss will be 19490 or below.
Nifty Spot Actionable Idea - September 7, 2023Current Price (CMP): 19611
Resistance: 19644
Support: 19594
Upside Targets: 19679 and 196 (after a break of Resistance)
Downside Targets: 19530 and 19492 (after a break of Support)
Execution: Only execute trades after a clear break and close above or below the Resistance or Support levels on a 15-minute candlestick chart.
Stop Loss: Place stop-loss orders above or below the Resistance or Support levels on a 15-minute candlestick chart.
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Overview:
Welcome to this Nifty Spot actionable idea for September 2, 2023. In this analysis, we will explore the current price, key resistance, and support levels, along with potential upside and downside targets. Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Current Price (CMP):
As of the specified date, the Nifty Spot is trading at 19611.
Resistance:
The immediate resistance level for Nifty Spot is identified at 19644.
Support:
On the downside, there is solid support at 19593.
Upside Targets:
In the event of a breakout above the resistance level of 19644, we can set our sights on two potential upside targets: 19679 and 19720.
Downside Targets:
Conversely, if the support level at 19593 is breached, we should be prepared for two downside targets: 19530 and 19492.
Execution Strategy:
It's crucial to exercise caution and execute trades only when there is a clear breakout and close above or below the resistance or support levels, as indicated on a 15-minute candlestick chart. This approach helps confirm the strength of the market move and reduces the risk of false breakouts.
Stop Loss Strategy:
To manage risk effectively, it's advisable to place stop-loss orders above or below the respective resistance or support levels on a 15-minute candlestick chart. This way, you can limit potential losses in case the market moves against your trade.
Disclaimer:
Please remember that this trading idea is provided solely for educational purposes and is not intended as financial advice. Trading carries risks, and it's important to conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Always trade responsibly and consider your risk tolerance.
Nifty weekly expiry analysis for 07/09/23.Nifty gave a nice move and the last hour candle gave a nice up move after showing some selling in the market.
There is a bullish engulfing candle on the daily charts and market is looking bullish as it has closed near day's high.
On the hourly time frame, the market tested the 20 ema and closed above both the moving averages. The volume of the last hour are also high and there are chance of market showing some bullishness.
Nifty consolidated in the first half, gave a downside trade and reversed making market bullish.
On 15 minute time frame, the market formed a base around 19500 levels and closed above both the moving averages.
Support :- 19500, 19430
Resistance :- 19650, 19730, 19785
Market for last 3 session has been following a trend of a selling and then closing near the day top. If the markets opening gap up, there are fair chance of market moving up wards as it will clear the crucial resistance zone.
Watch for the option premium as it will be weekly expiry.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 07 Sep 2023NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 07 Sep 2023
Bullish-Above 19640
Invalid-Below 19590
T- 19735 19820
Bearish-Below 19490
Invalid-Above 19540
T- 19398 19305
NIFTY once again closed on a slight positive note with 0.18% gain today. It was updated that NIFTY has closed above 19500 in daily TF after 1 month and called it slight bullish. It is inching higher like a tortoise BTW. While 19500 become again important for a reversal if closed in daily TF. Today buy triggered as per trade setup which hit sl and then sell triggered later it broke previous swing high and reversed. In the weekend analysis it was said that if index regains 19500 then moreover it will be a broader range trading inside 20k and 19200. Tomorrow above 19640 it may fill the gap. Bearish view only below 19490, however I will be looking for a reversal in 5 MIN TF for a short.
Coming to Thursday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 min candle closes above 19640 then we will long for the target of 19735 and 19820.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 19490. T- 19398 and 19305.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
NIFTY 06.09.2023 LEVELS...NIFTY : Current Price- 19575. OPTION : 19550 CE & 19550 PE
Resistance- 19582 After a Break of Resistance
Target 1 -19594.3... Target 2 -19616.5... Target 3 -19640.7... And Target 4 -19705...
SL... Below the Resistance Line...
Support- 19547.5 After a Break of Support
Target 1 -19513... Target 2 -19478... And Target 3 -19418...
SL... Above The Support Line...
EDUCATION PURPOSE ONLY.
#nifty"Good morning! As of September 6th, there is no significant difference compared to the last session; the global market sentiment is neutral to slightly negative (based on the Dow Jones alone). The market trend is moderately bullish, and the market might open with a neutral to slight gap-down. Structurally, it is a range-bound market, so we can expect some consolidation. We can anticipate a directional move after a major support or resistance level is breached."
Small bodied bullish candlestick pattern on the daily chartsHi Mates,
Nifty maintained the upward journey for the third consecutive session despite volatility on September 5. Given the positive trend, seems that Nifty can surpass 19,600 soon and if it gets back above the same, then 19,800 is likely to be the next stop given the falling volatility, while the crucial support is expected at 19,400-19,300 levels. Well if i talk about yesterday session, then Nifty50 started off the day higher at 19,565, but witnessed some correction in the afternoon to hit a day's low of 19,526. However, the index immediately recovered those losses and returned to the momentum to hit an intraday high of 19,587 in late trade, before closing the session at 19,575, up 46 points.
Guy's NIfty has formed a small bodied bullish candlestick pattern on the daily charts after a Doji candle formation in the previous session, making higher highs and higher lows for the third straight session. This is a positive indication and signals uptrend continuation for the market in the short term.
Important levels for Nifty:-
Intraday support zone 19448
Intraday resistance zone 19646
Strong support zone at 19200-19300
Strong Resistance zone at 19650-19700
For me Market is bullish in near term until 19200 levels does not break for below, so if i will find any dip in market i will think to accumulate.
Disclaimer:- Please always do your own analysis or consult with your financial advisor before taking any kind of trades.
Dear traders, If you like my work then do not forget to hit like and follow me, and guy's let me know what do you think about this idea in comment box, i would be love to reply all of you guy's.
Thankyou
Nifty Spot Actionable Idea - September 6, 2023Current Price (CMP): 19577
Resistance: 19587
Support: 19526
Upside Targets: 19623 and 19646 (after a break of Resistance)
Downside Targets: 19494 and 19459 (after a break of Support)
Execution: Only execute trades after a clear break and close above or below the Resistance or Support levels on a 15-minute candlestick chart.
Stop Loss: Place stop-loss orders above or below the Resistance or Support levels on a 15-minute candlestick chart.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Overview:
Welcome to this Nifty Spot actionable idea for September 2, 2023. In this analysis, we will explore the current price, key resistance, and support levels, along with potential upside and downside targets. Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Current Price (CMP):
As of the specified date, the Nifty Spot is trading at 19577.
Resistance:
The immediate resistance level for Nifty Spot is identified at 19587.
Support:
On the downside, there is solid support at 19525.
Upside Targets:
In the event of a breakout above the resistance level of 19587, we can set our sights on two potential upside targets: 19623 and 19646.
Downside Targets:
Conversely, if the support level at 19525 is breached, we should be prepared for two downside targets: 19494 and 19459.
Execution Strategy:
It's crucial to exercise caution and execute trades only when there is a clear breakout and close above or below the resistance or support levels, as indicated on a 15-minute candlestick chart. This approach helps confirm the strength of the market move and reduces the risk of false breakouts.
Stop Loss Strategy:
To manage risk effectively, it's advisable to place stop-loss orders above or below the respective resistance or support levels on a 15-minute candlestick chart. This way, you can limit potential losses in case the market moves against your trade.
Disclaimer:
Please remember that this trading idea is provided solely for educational purposes and is not intended as financial advice. Trading carries risks, and it's important to conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions. Always trade responsibly and consider your risk tolerance.
05 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - Momentum not enoughNifty Analysis
Recap from yesterday: I wish to go with a full bullish stance tomorrow wherein 19584 has to be taken out in the first 2 hours and the final close should be above 19600 . Although the price action looked as a continuation from yesterday - it did not have enough firepower to break the recent swing high of 19584 nor cross the 19600 threshold.
NiftyIT again provided good support to Nifty today along with Pharma, FMCG and Energy. Positionally Nifty50 is in good shape to go higher, but for that this momentum wont be enough. During a strong uptrend, all the sub sectors also have to be in green.
On the 1hr TF, Nifty has made a W pattern which indicates bullishness. As long as the 19450 level is intact this pattern will remain bullish. The moment Nifty breaks 19450 and goes near 19310 the W pattern will change shape and become like an M pattern. We also would like to wait and watch how the first banknifty expiry on wednesdays will impact the trajectory. For tomorrow I continue to maintain the bullish stance unless 19450 is broken.
Nifty daily analysis for 06/09/23.Nifty for last 2 days is forming a dragon fly doji after a gap up opening. The market after the opening is coming for a selling and than move slowly in the upward direction.
On the hourly charts, it traded above both the moving averages and during the last hour recover giving close 46 points higher.
The market has followed the same trend in previous trading session and if there is another gap up there are chance of market moving in the upside direction.
On 15 minute time frame, it showed a downside trend and recover after the gap filling. It tested the 20 ema and in the mid hour traded around the levels.
Support :- 19520, 19460
Resistance :-19580, 19620, 19720
Nifty has closed in green but the other index has closed in red. Indian Vix is dropping which means there can be a trending move and option premiums are not much. Carry on the trades with a proper trailing stop loss and an ultimate target.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
NIFFY BEST LEVEL'S💲🤑O Description. 06 sep
Nifty Actionable levels for Tomorrow
#Current Price- 19577
Good #Resistance- 19677
Strong #Support- 19328
#Target we can expect 19638 and 19677 if a break of 19586 above ⬆️ Resistance level 🎚️
#Target we can expect 19441 and 19377 if a break of 19539 below ⬇️ Support level 🎚️
#Execution trade should be above or below from resistance or support levels 15-minute candle.
Alerts ‼️🚨 this is Only for Education Purpose.
Please Give your precious comments 🤞🏻
Thank you 🙏 AkashXtrade
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 06 Sep 2023NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 06 Sep 2023
Bullish-Above 19590
Invalid-Below 19540
T- 19665 19740
Bearish-Below 19520
Invalid-Above 19570
T- 19455 19348
NIFTY has closed with a slight positive gain of 0.24% today. Today buy triggered as per trade setup but lacked momentum and ended with slight gain. NIFTY is slowly and steadily going up but lacking strong momentum. Sell view is closed at cost as per the weekend analysis. 19520 is important level for downside trigger. Above 19590 we will maintain a bullish view if sustained in 15 MIN TF. But be very strict with reversal as it is at mid point in daily range.
Coming to Wednesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 19590 then we will long for the target of 19665 and 19740.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 19520. T- 19455 and 19348.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.