NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 12 July 24As we discussed, NIFTY fell nicely and took support at 24188, and then it recovered nicely to 24315.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading in a resistance zone. Today, the market has had a huge fall from this point. Price action on this level will decide the upcoming momentum in nifty. If it breaks to the upside, it can touch the resistance trendline; otherwise, it will be sideways in the range of 24128-24344.
Support levels: 24188, 200-EMA (15-min)
Resistance levels: 24344, Resistance trendline.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.76 shows the market has a NEUTRAL sentiment. 24300 is Max pain. Both side levels have good PE and CE writing. The option chain data are indecisive.
Price Action on the 24315 will decide the direction for tomorrow.
Reason:
RSI = 40-60; shows the market is going to be sideways bullish.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates the bullish market.
PCR = 0.76 indicates market-neutral sentiments.
price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Neutral
Plan of action:
wait for 15 min candle. Wait for good price action on the 24315 levels, and make your positions accordingly.
Niftyintradaysetup
NIFTY prediction for today 11 July 24As we discussed, NIFTY took resistance at the provided dotted resistance trendline and gave a good fall.
If we look at the chart now:
The market gave good bearish momentum yesterday with heavy volatility. I also took support at the price action level of 24188 and came back. That shows bulls are active near 24000.
Support levels: 24188, 200-EMA (15-min)
Resistance levels: 24312, Resistance trendline.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.74 shows the market has a NEUTRAL sentiment. 24400, 24500, and 24600 have significantly higher CE writing than the lover levels PE writing. The market has big support at 24000.
I am expecting the market to be volatile, sideways, bullish.
Reason:
RSI = 40-60; shows the market is going to be sideways.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates the bullish market.
PCR = 0.74 indicates market bullish sentiments.
price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
wait for 15 min candle. wait for the market to make a direction and make the position accordingly.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 11.07.2024On Wednesday, Nifty made a new all-time high of 24,461.05 before falling 300 points to an intraday low of 24,141. It found support at the 75m Demand Zone mentioned in the last post and bounced back nearly 200 points, closing at 24,324. The weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) remain positive.
Support Levels:
Near Support/Demand Zone (5m): 24,246 - 24,265
Major Support/Demand Zone (75m) for weekly trade: 24,056 - 24,150 (tested yesterday)
Resistance Levels:
Small Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 24,398 - 24,419
#Nifty directions and levels for July 10th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 10th:
There are no significant changes in the global and local markets, both of which are showing a moderately bullish trend. However, today the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 10 points (as of 8:00 AM).
Nifty has broken its all-time high once again in the previous session. Structurally, if the market breaks the previous high, then the rally will likely continue. However, breakout structures are important. In the last session, the market moved in a grinding manner, so if the market continues with that same grinding momentum, we can't expect much of a rally. If the market rejects at either 24464 or 24495, it may fall by a minimum of 38 to 61%. On the other hand, if it breaks the previous high with a solid candle structure or consolidates around the immediate resistance level, we can expect a solid rally further. This is our first variation.
The alternate variation suggests that if the initial market declines, we can expect a 38 to 61% minor retracement. After that, if it finds support there, we can expect a range market. If it breaks the 61% Fibonacci level, then the correction may continue further.
NIFTY prediction for today 10 July 24As we discussed, NIFTY opened sideways and ended up sideways bullish.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading in an uptrending channel. The market is experiencing minor resistance in the middle of the channel. As the market is trading at an all-time high, if it breaks the middle resistance to the upside, it can give a bullish momentum. There are no horizontal levels as per price action. Please monitor the trendlines drawn on the chart.
Support levels: 24350-24400 range-support-zone, support trendline
Resistance levels: dotted resistaance trendline, main resistance trendline.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.13 shows the market has a bullish sentiment. 24400 will be max pain. On the lower side, have good PE writing at 24300, 24200, and 24000, which will be a nice support point. On the upside, we have good CE writing, but CE writing is significantly lower than CE writing.
I am expecting the market to be sideways bullish until it breaks the channel on either side.
Reason:
RSI = 57 shows a mild bullish signal, but as the market is showing bearish divergence, it might correct itself soon.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates the bullish market.
PCR = 1.13 indicates market bullish sentiments.
price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
wait for 15 min candle. wait for the market to make a direction and make the position accordingly,
Note: Don't go for option buying unless the market gives the breakout on either side of the channel.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 10.07.2024On Tuesday, Nifty broke through the small resistance zone and made a new all-time high of 24,443.60, closing above 24,400 for the first time. The weekly trend (50 SMA) is now overbought, and the daily trend (50 SMA) remains positive.
Support Levels:
Near Support/Demand Zone (5m): 24,382 - 24,400
Far Support/Demand Zone (5m): 24,204.20 - 24,222.65
Support/Demand Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 24,056 - 24,150
As of now, there is no resistance zone seen on the chart.
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 8 Jul 24NIFTY did open gap-down, and then after taking support at support, it gave a nice bullish momentum to the upside.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading in an uptrending channel. It has taken support multiple times and also has taken resistance multiple times. I expect it to break soon. If the market shows bullish momentum to the upside, it will be taking resistance at the resistance trendline, which might then initiate a bearish momentum after that.
Support levels: 24182, 23952, and 200-EMA
Resistance levels: Red Zone, Resistance trendline.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.01 shows the market has a bullish sentiment. 24300 will be max pain. On the lower side, 24200 and 24000 have good PE writing, which will be a nice support point. However, 24400 and 24500 have good CE writing, which is going to provide good resistance.
I am expecting the market to give a breakout soon out of this channel.
Reason:
RSI > 50 shows a mild bullish signal.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates the bullish market.
PCR = 1.01 indicates market bullish sentiments.
price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
Wait for 15 min candle. wait for the market to make a direction and make the position accordingly,
Note: Don't go for option buying unless the market gives the breakout.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 09.07.2024On Monday, Nifty took support at the 15m demand zone (24,204 - 24,244) mentioned in the last post and bounced back to a day high of 24,344.60. The weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) remain positive.
Support Levels:
Near Support/Demand Zone (5m): 24,204.20 - 24,222.65
Far Support/Demand Zone (30m) in the Gap Level: 24,110 - 24,148
Support/Demand Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 24,056 - 24,150
Major Support/Demand Zone (Daily): 23,350 - 23,667
In the coming days, the 24,000 - 24,200 range will be the major support in the short term.
Resistance Levels:
Near Small Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24,372 - 24,401
#Nifty directions and levels for July 8thGood morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 8th:
The global market has a moderately bullish sentiment on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are showing a moderately bullish sentiment as well. However, today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 30 points (as of 8:00 AM).
Nifty had a solid pullback even though it opened with a gap-down. If you look at the structure, it is showing a range market, and GiftNifty also indicates that. So, the first scenario is if the market opens with a gap-down and sustains, we can expect a minimum of 24,266 to the demand zone. Structurally, it may consolidate over there, but by the end of the day, it might fall further.
Alternatively, if the initial market takes a pullback, then it may reach a minimum of the swing high at 24,431 and 24,464 with minor consolidations.
Here is one more thing, and this is my personal opinion: I think the market might take a range-bound structure until the budget, similar to how the market behaves before election results. This means one day it might take a bullish bias, then another one or two days it may go bearish, and then again it may take a bullish bias. Experts are expecting this pattern.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 08.07.2024On Friday, Nifty opened gap-down but found support at the gap level (24,123 - 24,207) and bounced back to close with a gain of 22 points at 24,323.85. The weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) remain positive.
Support Levels:
Near Small Support/Demand Zone (15m): 24,204 - 24,244
Far Support/Demand Zone (30m) in the Gap Level: 24,110 - 24,148
Support/Demand Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 24,056 - 24,150
Major Support/Demand Zone (Daily): 23,350 - 23,667
In the coming days, the 24,000 - 24,200 range will be a major support in the short term.
Resistance Levels:
Near Small Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24,372 - 24,401
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 05.07.2024Nifty opened gap-up and made a new all-time high of 24,401 but closed flat with just a 15-point gain. The weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) remain positive.
Support Levels:
Near Small Support/Demand Zone (15m): 24,239 - 24,267
Multiple Timeframe Support Zones near Gap Level (24,123 - 24,207): This indicates that 24,000 - 24,200 will be a major support in the short term, and we might see a bounce from these levels.
Support/Demand Zone (30m) in the Gap Level: 24,110 - 24,148
Support/Demand Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 24,056 - 24,150
Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,985 - 24,912
Major Support/Demand Zone (Daily): 23,350 - 23,667
Resistance Levels:
Near Small Supply/Resistance Zone: 24,377 - 24,401
Currently, there is no additional supply zone seen on the chart.
#Nifty directions and levels for July 4th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 4th:
The global market continues to range based on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are showing bullish sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 70 points (as of 8:00 AM).
Nifty and Bank Nifty both have the same sentiment. Let's look at this.
Once again, Nifty broke its all-time high yesterday, but the market couldn't move that much and moved into consolidation in the previous session. As usual, the consolidation may continue the trend. GiftNifty also indicates that, but the structure suggests that today the market may also take consolidation even if it opens with a gap-up. This is our first variation:
That's if the market rejects around the immediate resistance or if the gap-up doesn't sustain, then we can expect a 23% to 38% retracement in the minor swing. After that, if it finds support at either the 23% or 38% levels, then we can expect consolidation followed by a rally continuation. A correction will occur only if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level. If it breaks, we can expect the next targets to be 50% and 78%.
Nifty weekly expiry analysis for 04/07/2024.Nifty on the daily time frame has formed a doji after a good gap up opening.
Market is travelling on the upper side which is a good sign for the trader waiting for a shorting opportunities.
Today it remained in a range from the lower range of 24230 to upper range of 24300. If there is a flat to slight gap down opening, the market will opening this range and trader can be initiated once the levels are breached.
In case of a huge gap up opening, there are chance of profit booking or retesting the current resistance zone.
Major Resistance :- 24300-310
Support levels :- 24240, 24180
Tomorrow is the weekly expiry for the index and this week the expiries had decayed at a certain levels after initial hour movements.
The consolidation today is the good sign for intraday traders and a break down can be traded with more conviction.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
#Nifty directions and levels for July 3rd.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 3rd:
The global market continues to range based on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are showing moderately bullish sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 80 points (as of 8:00 AM).
Yesterday also, Nifty performed slightly better than Banknifty, and their structures also differ slightly. Let's look at each one individually.
> Nifty was rejected around its all-time high in yesterday's session. Today, GiftNifty is showing a gap-up start, so the market might break the all-time high once again today.
> But if you ask if we can expect a sharp rally if the market breaks the all-time high, structurally the probability is less.
> The wave suggests that if the gap-up sustains, we can expect a diagonal pattern. This means if the market rejects around the immediate resistance level, it could retrace a maximum of 38% to 61%, but it won't break the previous day's low. This is our first variation.
> In this variation, the rally continuation will occur only if it breaks the supply zone with minor consolidation.
Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if the initial market takes a sharp decline, we can expect a range-bound market between the past two trading session ranges.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 03.07.2024Nifty reached a new All-Time High of 24,236.35 in the opening trade but ended 18 points down at 24,123.85. Both the weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) remain positive.
Support Levels:
Near Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,985 - 24,012
Far Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,716 - 23,743
Near Support/Demand Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 23,671 - 23,754
Major Support/Demand Zone (Daily): 23,350 - 23,667
Resistance Levels:
Small Supply/Resistance Zone: 24,171 - 24,200
#Nifty Directions and level for July 2nd.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 2nd:
The global market is still showing a slightly negative sentiment based on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are also showing moderately bullish sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a increase of 50 points (as of 8:00 AM).
Nifty has performed slightly better than Banknifty, and their structures also differ slightly. Let's look at each one by one.
Nifty has reached near its all-time high, so it might face rejection there. However, if the market sustains the gap-up, it may go further.
Here’s our first scenario: that if the market opens with a gap-up and breaks the previous high, the minor supply zone will act as resistance. If the market consolidates or breaks it, we can expect the rally to continue.
Alternatively, if the market rejects at the supply zone or if the gap-up doesn't sustain, we can expect an initial 38% correction. after that If it breaks this level, the correction may continue further. On the other hand, if it doesn't break the 38% Fibonacci level, the market may maintain a bullish bias.
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 02 JUNEAs we discussed, NIFTY opened sideways and continued in a bullish direction after breaking the trendline, as discussed in the video.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the resistance level, where it showed a nice correction last time. Now, the market has made a zone in the range of 23984 - 24154. by the time the market is in the zone, it's going to be volatile sideways. Once it breaks in either direction, it's going to give nice directional momentum. As the market is already stretched, I am expecting the market to consolidate in 1 day or 2, and after that, it might give us good momentum.
Support levels: 23984, EMA(50), 23842, and 23692
resistance levels: 24154, 24325
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.07 shows the market has bullish sentiment. 24200 seems a good hurdle to the upside; if it breaks, the market is clear to go 24354. 24000 has good PE writing, which is going to provide good support, and 24500 has heavy CE writing, which is going to provide nice resistance.
I am expecting the market to consolidate for 1 or 2 days once it breaks the range of 23984 - 24154. it will give a nice momentum.
Reason:
RSI > 50 shows a mild bullish signal.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates the bullish market.
PCR = 1.07 indicates bulls are continuously increasing their position in the market.
price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
Sell 24100 CE and 24000 PE (Hedge it with 10/- premium)
#Nifty directions and levels for June28th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for June 28th:
The global market is showing a slightly negative sentiment, based on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are showing bullish sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 10 points (as of 8:00 AM).
Nifty experienced huge volatility in the previous session. Structurally, it has formed an ending diagonal pattern. It's in the 5th wave, so today, if the initial market declines, we can expect a minimum of 78% to swing low correction. However, it must break the minimum 38% Fibonacci level for us to consider it a correction. On the other hand, if it doesn't break the 38% Fibonacci level, it may consolidate a little and break the previous high, extending the diagonal further. This is the basic structure. I used the line chart because the wave patterns are easier to see with it; that's all, nothing apart from that.
The alternative scenario suggests that if the gap-up sustains and has a solid structure, the rally could continue further.
Nifty50 (26th june) 1/2White trend line is imp.
If closing above 23789 in hourly 🕯 then 📈 📈 could test above resistance 23980 -- 24044
If any hourly candle closes below 23789 then 📉 📉 could test support on the Dash line or 23664
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
NIFTY prediction for today 27 JUNAs we discussed, NIFTY opened sideways, retraced to the downside, and then gave a good bullish momentum to the upside to the target and resistance trendline.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the resistance level, where it showed a nice sell-off in the last hour yesterday. The price is still above the EMA(13, 50, 200), which shows the market's bullish nature. But last hour's sell-off shows 24000 as a strong resistance near resistance. RSI is also having bearish resistance.
Support levels: 23690, 23636, EMA(50), and Support trendline
resistance levels: 23890 and resistance trendline.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.27, which has reduced from 1.33, indicates that bears are slowly increasing their position at 24000. Bulls have written PE at each lower level nicely. Also, CE writers have held quite good positions at higher levels. 24000 is going to provide a strong resistance to higher levels.
I am expecting the market to make a double top structure and then fall from 24000.
Reason:
RSI = 70 shows bulls are strong, but RSI divergence might lead the market to some correction
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates the bullish market.
PCR = 1.27, which has changed from 1.33, indicates bulls are continuously increasing their position in the market.
price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
Note : after making a double top neckline break, you can go bearish.
Sell 24000 CE (Hedge it with 10/- premium CE)
#Nifty directions and levels for the June 27th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for June 27th:
There is no significant difference compared to the previous session. The global market is showing a slightly negative sentiment, based on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are showing bullish sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 55 points (as of 8:00 AM).
Yesterday, Nifty continued the rally. Both structures have the same extension variation, so there are no changes in the market sentiment. Today, GiftNifty is indicating a slightly negative start. If it opens like this, let's look at what might happen in Nifty.
>Structurally, it's a bullish market and both have an extension. According to the extension, if the market opens with a gap-down, it could retrace a maximum of 23 to 38%. After that, if it finds support there, the rally will continue with minor consolidation.
>However, the probability of a rally today is less compared to yesterday, as the sub-waves driving yesterday’s rally are now over. If the market finds support at either 23% or 38%, then it may close within the range.
>As per the wave structure, it could be in the 4th wave.
Alternatively, if the correction becomes aggressive, we should wait for confirmation. If the market declines sharply, it may consolidate around 38% or 50%. After that consolidation, if it breaks the previous low, we can expect the correction to continue. Otherwise, it may maintain the bullish sentiment.
(Note: If the market initially takes a pullback and breaks the previous high, then the rally may continue further.)
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 27.06.2024Nifty bounced from the 5m demand zone mentioned in the last post and rallied to a new all-time high of 23,889.90. Both the weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) are positive.
Support Levels:
Near small support/demand zone (15m): 23,716 - 23,743
Near support/demand zone (75m) for weekly trade: 23,671 - 23,754
Major support/demand zone (75m): 23,562 - 23,611
Currently, there is no supply zone seen on the chart.
NIFTY prediction for today 26 JUN As we discussed, NIFTY in the video market opened upside to the breakout and continued its momentum to the upside, breaking the resistance and further giving good bullish momentum.
If we look at the chart now:
The market has brake the resistance to the upside. Right now, the market is trading in the uptrending channel. I am expecting resistance from the resistance trendline. The price has yet to reach the level provided after the breakout. Now, there are two possible cases in the market. If it opens up, there can be a correction that can be seen in the market till EMA(13) or 23636. If the market opens near the support zone of 23636, then it can move further to the upside, continuing its momentum.
Support levels: 23636, Support trendline, and 23432
resistance levels: 23828 and resistance trendline.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.33, which has increased from 1.07, indicates a very bullish market nature. 23500 is MaxPain. On the higher side, there is not as much CE writing as writing on the lower side. The only good CE writing at a higher level is 24000. The market is completely in the bull's favor right now.
I am expecting the market:
Case 1 : if the gap opens down, it will take support at 23636 and continue bullish momentum.
Case 2 : if opens gap-up near the resistance trendline, it might correct itself by 23636
Reason:
RSI > 60 shows bulls are strong
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates the bullish market.
PCR = 1.33, which has changed from 1.09, indicates bulls are continuously increasing their position in the market.
price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways or Bullish
Case 1 : if the gap opens down, it will take support at 23636 and continue bullish momentum.
Case 2 : if opens gap-up near the resistance trendline, it might correct itself by 23636
Plan of action:
Case 1 : Gap-down-> Sell 23500 PE (Hedge it with 10/- premium PE)
Case 2 : Gap-up-> Sell 23800 CE (Hedge it with 10/- premium CE)