Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 19th AugustNifty opened with a gap-up, saw profit booking in morning which dragged Nifty near our buy zone 24200. Nifty took support and we saw sharp rally towards 24563.
For tomorrow, buy Nifty if sustains above 24530 we expect to see some up-move towards 24580 and above levels. On the other side, if Nifty breaks 24400 on the downside we may see 24350 and lower levels marked the chart.
In case Nifty opens with Gap-up let it sustain above 24600 for fresh buying.
Expectations: Volatile movement.
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 24530
Sell Below - 24400
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India
Niftyintradaytradesetup
16 Aug 2024 - Change in Stance to Bullish, Nifty up 174ptsLast week we discussed how Nifty was still in the bearish stronghold and then a break above 24389 was mandatory for a change in stance.
09 Aug 2024 - Nifty down 334pts, makes a 61.8%
This week, Nifty not only broke the 24389 ~ 61.8% retracement level but went ahead and broke the 24525 ~ 78.6% level too. This double break has prompted me to go bullish, but there is one catch - BankNifty is still flat though. The momentum has come from the IT sector this time.
On Friday, 16th alone - we had an intraday rally of 359pts ~ 1.49%. I thought the Monkey Pox (mpox) news might weigh in and the markets may remain flattish, but the rally still continues to amuse me.
Regarding the mpox, I was quite worried about the below article from WHO. How many of you think we may have another round of lockdown? This time the public may turn against the government for ruining their livelihood and enforcing vaccine mandates. Markets are not pricing in this news yet, or the news has probably not reached the threshold to create panic. I also feel the US markets may react first and then us.
"WHO Director-General declares mpox outbreak a public health emergency of international concern"
Nifty has managed to go up 174pts ~ 0.72% for this current week, the ATH is still 500pts away but the bullish momentum may help us close the gap. I personally feel we may not go higher than 24800 till the 22nd. Our stance is bullish.
#Nifty direction's and levels for August 16th.Nifty has a range-bound market structure. There are two possible scenarios:*
1. *If the market finds support around at the 61% Fibonacci level, we can expect a bounce back that may once again reach today's high.*
2. *If the market consolidates around those support levels, (the 61% Fibonacci level), then the correction may continue further.*
*In my personal opinion, if you're a conservative trader, it's advisable to go with the latter scenario(2nd one), as there is a 60% probability of success.*
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 16.08.2024Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 23960 - 24077
Major Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 23350 - 23667
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24268 - 24330
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24381 - 24444
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24686 - 24745
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24754 - 24835
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 16th AugustNifty opened with a gap-up and we saw highly range bound day where Nifty spent most of the time within 24100 - 24190 and we didn't get any trade based on the idea we shared for today.
For Friday, if Nifty sustains above 24200 we expect to see some up-move towards 24240 and above levels but we aren't confident in buying and look for sell on rise opportunities. On the other side, if Nifty breaks 24090 on the downside we may see 24050 and lower levels marked the chart.
Expectations: Volatile movement.
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 24200
Sell Below - 24090
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 14.08.2024On Tuesday, Nifty opened flat but slipped below the previous day's low, ending the session at 24139 with a loss of 208 points. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend (50 SMA) is sideways.
Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 24079 - 24118 (tested yesterday)
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 23960 - 24077
Major Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 23350 - 23667
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24268 - 24330
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24381 - 24444
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24686 - 24745
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24754 - 24835
#Nifty directions and levels for August 14th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the directions and levels for August 14th.
Market Overview
Global markets have been maintaining a range-bound movement, while our local market shows a moderately bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start because the SGX Nifty indicates a positive 30-point move as of 8:00 AM.
Yesterday's Movement:
In the previous session, Nifty Nifty experienced drastic drops. However, if you take a broader view of the charts, these movements occurred within a range-bound market. Why does this matter? Because if the market rejects any of the support levels, a solid bounce might occur.
So, what about today?
I’m highlighting two possible scenarios:
1st Scenario:
>Even if the market opens with a gap-up, structurally it may not sustain. If this happens, we can expect the correction to continue towards the levels of 24,079 to the 78% Fibonacci level, to the demand zone when it breaks the previous day’s low.
>After that correction, if the market finds support around the major support levels, we might see a 23% to 38% bounce back. However, this bounce is not guaranteed; if it doesn’t occur, the correction may continue with minor consolidations.
2nd Scenario:
If the gap-up sustains structurally, we can expect an initial bounce back of 23% to 38%. Usually, sharp movements bounce back within this range. If the price gets rejected at this level, the major trend will likely continue. However, if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level solidly, the current movement may shift to a range-bound market. But the probability of this is less likely.
These are today's expectations.
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 14 Aug 24NIFTY has shown a full sell-off today after the Heisenberg report on the SEBI chairperson.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading near the support area of 24000. The market has been receiving good support from this zone and is expected to take it again. However, as the market has bearish sentiments right now, it might break the level and continue the bearish momentum till 23500.
Support levels: 23980, 23506
Resistance levels: 24441, 200 EMA, 24696
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.55 shows bearish market behavior. There has been a huge PE sell-off today, which shows bulls are not trusting the market anymore and come out. There is too much CE writing at higher levels than PE writing at lower levels, which shows a high chance of a bearish market in the upcoming session.
I am expecting the market to follow 3 cases which are marked on the chart.
Case 1 : If it breaks to the downside, it might take minor support at 24000, but it breaks to the downside and can give huge targets till 23500.
Case 2 : If 24000 holds, it might get stuck in a range of 24000-24200.
Case 3 : If it stays in the channel, it can become bullish and have targets of 24441.
Reason:
RSI < 40, showing the market is going to be in a bearish structure.
The Price is trading in a good support zone. It takes support and might end up sideways.
PCR = 0.53 shows that the market is huge Bearish.
Price < VWAP shows a Bearish market structure.
Verdict: Bearish or Sideways.
Plan of action:
Wait for 15 min candle. Wait for good price action on the 24000 levels, and make your positions based on cases accordingly.
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 14th AugustNifty opened with small gap-down and we saw selling pressure since morning, sell trade triggered below 24300 as per intraday set-up shared on Tradingview for today, we updated that we expect to see more selling once Nifty breaks 24200 and it achieved all targets on downside.
For tomorrow, if Nifty sustains above 24210 we expect to see some up-move towards 24250 and above levels but we aren't confident in buying and look for sell on rise opportunities. On the other side, if Nifty breaks 24080 on the downside we may see 24040 and lower levels marked the chart.
Expectations: Volatile movement.
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 24210
Sell Below - 24080
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India
Nifty50 weekly expiry analysis for14/08/24.Nifty is trading in a parallel channel and is around the support trendline. From the last week sell the markets recovered and are now again around the lower levels.
Daily 20 ema has been creating a resistance for the market and a good rejection is seen from that level.
Even on the smaller time frame, market is trading below the moving averages, which signifies a bearish market.
Fibonnaci and the price action are also looking bearish on the daily charts.
Tomorrow is the weekly expiry for both the indices and a chance of seeing a follow through candle are there, if there is a flat to slight gap up opening (around 24150-180).
A huge gap up will create confusion and market may form a doji candle.
Major support levels :- 24090, 24000, 24910
Resistance levels :- 24225, 24320
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 13th AugustNifty opened flat and we saw some negative sentiments in morning due to Hindenburg report but we saw a good rebound from 24200 which was a support zone towards 24470.
For tomorrow, if Nifty sustains above 24500 we expect to see an up-move towards 24540 and above levels. On the other side, if Nifty breaks 24300 on the downside we may see 24260 and lower levels marked the chart.
Expectations: Range-bound movement.
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 24500
Sell Below - 24300
#Nifty directions and levels for August 13th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the directions and levels for August 13th.
Market Overview
Both global and local markets have been trading within a minor range. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start because the SGX Nifty is indicating a negative 20-point move.
Nifty Analysis
Nifty showing a diagonal pattern. In the previous session, nifty had significant swings, but it closed near neutral by the end of the day. If we simplify it, we can say it's a range market. However, structurally, it’s a diagonal pattern, and there’s no real difference between the two because both are time adjustment patterns.
So, we should wait for a breakout from this range, whether to the upside or downside. If it breaks out, we can expect only a minor trend initially because the structure suggests there isn’t a big move ahead. But if we see a solid breakout candle, then we can expect stronger momentum. This forms our basic structure. However, if the range isn’t broken, the market will likely continue moving within it.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 13.08.2024On Monday, Nifty opened with a gap down but managed to recover over 250 points from the day's low, reaching a high of 24472.80 before closing slightly lower at 24347, down by 20 points. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend (50 SMA) is sideways.
Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 24219 - 24266
Far Demand/Support Zone (15m): 24079 - 24118
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 23960 - 24077
Major Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 23350 - 23667
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24686 - 24745
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24754 - 24835
#Nifty directions and levels for August 12th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the directions and levels for August 12.
Market Overview
Both global and local markets have been trading within a minor range. Today, the market may open with a neutral start because the SGX Nifty is indicating a positive 5-point move.
Nifty and Bank Nifty share the same range-bound market sentiment. Let's take a closer look:
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty closed with consolidation after a significant gap-up. If the market breaks the previous high, then we can expect a minor rally, but not a big one. A big rally is expected only if the breakout occurs with a solid green candle and some consolidation around the immediate resistance level. However, if this doesn't happen, the market may reject at that level and continue in its current range, which is our first scenario.
Alternatively, if the market initially declines, the 38% Fibonacci level will act as a key support. If the market finds support there, the range-bound movement may continue. On the other hand, if it breaks below the 38% level, we can expect the correction to continue.
#Nifty directions and levels for the 3rd week of August.Good evening, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the market directions for the 3rd week of August:
Global Market Overview
In the previous week, global markets experienced a consolidation after a sharp decline, which indicates that the market is structurally bearish. So, what about this week? My expectation is that the bearish sentiment might continue because the US market will release PPI and inflation data, which could be a key factor in determining the next direction.
Nifty and Bank Nifty
Last week, Nifty and Bank Nifty saw significant ups and downs, but this movement happened within a range. So, what about this week? Let's break it down.
As per the chart, both Nifty and Bank Nifty have a similar range-bound structure. However, the market closed at the top of this range by the end of the week. So, if the market starts with a bullish bias, it may reach the swing high once again. This is because, as we mentioned in the previous post, if the market breaks the 50% level in the minor swing, it will lose the strength of the current trend. If this happens, it may reach the Fibonacci levels of 61% to 78% on the upside. However, there are two variations for the bullish sentiment.
For Nifty:
1. First Variation: If the initial day's candle closes with a solid bar, then the market may continue the pullback with minor consolidation around the Fibonacci level of 61% in the upcoming sessions.
2. Second Variation: If the market faces rejection around the top of the channel or if the week starts with a negative candle, then the range-bound market may continue further.
Why did I mention the diagonal pattern? (Second Variation:)
because the previous structure also looks like an expanding diagonal, and the pullback also broke the 38% level. So, both conditions suggest a minor reversal. However, don't expect a major move because a diagonal is an accumulation pattern when it forms at the bottom of a trend, so it could take some time for the next movement.
The Bearish Variation:
The bearish variation suggests that if the market potentially breaks the channel, then it may continue the correction. There are some minor levels to watch, which is typical. If the market breaks the 38% level in the minor swing, we can expect the next target to be 78%. It may resemble a diagonal pattern, but there is a key difference:
> that, if the correction follows this variation, the decline could be sharp and fast.
> However, a diagonal typically doesn’t have much volume and usually faces rejection before the channel breakout.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 12.08.2024On Friday, as expected, Nifty opened with a gap-up and maintained its strength throughout the day, closing at 24367 with a 250-point gain. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend (50 SMA) is sideways.
Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 24079 - 24118
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23960 - 24077
Major Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 23350 - 23667
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24686 - 24745
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24754 - 24835
#Nifty directions and levels for August 9th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the directions and levels for August 9th.
Market Overview
Both global and local markets have been trading within a minor range. Today, the market may open with a gap-up, as indicated by a 250-point positive start in GIFT NIFTY.
Nifty and Bank Nifty share the same range-bound market sentiment. Let's take a closer look:
Nifty:
In the previous session, Nifty experienced some minor oscillation due to the monetary policy. However, it closed within Tuesday's range. Structurally, it remains a range-bound market.
> According to Elliott Wave theory, we expect three swings in this range-bound market. With two swings already completed, we are anticipating a third one.
> In today’s market, after the gap-up, if it encounters resistance around the immediate resistance level, it may lead to a correction. if it happens, The corrections are expected to range between 38% to 78% of the minor swing—this is our first scenario.
>In this case, if it consolidates or breaks solidly (at the 61% Fibonacci level on the upside), then the rally will likely continue.
Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn’t sustain or if it rejects around the previous high, the range-bound market will likely continue. Structurally, it could form a triangle pattern. However, trading in range-bound market movements can be somewhat challenging, and premiums may also be affected.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 09.08.2024On Thursday, Nifty opened gap down, re-entered the 30m Supply zone mentioned in the last post, and fell again to the day's low, almost touching the 75m (Weekly Trade) Demand zone before closing at 24117. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend (50 SMA) has turned sideways.
Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23960 - 24077
Major Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 23350 - 23667
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 24284 - 24337
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24686 - 24745
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24754 - 24835
Note: As of writing this, GIFTNIFTY is trading 275 points positive, indicating we might see a gap-up opening.