Nifty weekly expiry analysis for 04/07/2024.Nifty on the daily time frame has formed a doji after a good gap up opening.
Market is travelling on the upper side which is a good sign for the trader waiting for a shorting opportunities.
Today it remained in a range from the lower range of 24230 to upper range of 24300. If there is a flat to slight gap down opening, the market will opening this range and trader can be initiated once the levels are breached.
In case of a huge gap up opening, there are chance of profit booking or retesting the current resistance zone.
Major Resistance :- 24300-310
Support levels :- 24240, 24180
Tomorrow is the weekly expiry for the index and this week the expiries had decayed at a certain levels after initial hour movements.
The consolidation today is the good sign for intraday traders and a break down can be traded with more conviction.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Niftyintradaytradesetup
#Nifty directions and levels for July 3rd.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 3rd:
The global market continues to range based on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are showing moderately bullish sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 80 points (as of 8:00 AM).
Yesterday also, Nifty performed slightly better than Banknifty, and their structures also differ slightly. Let's look at each one individually.
> Nifty was rejected around its all-time high in yesterday's session. Today, GiftNifty is showing a gap-up start, so the market might break the all-time high once again today.
> But if you ask if we can expect a sharp rally if the market breaks the all-time high, structurally the probability is less.
> The wave suggests that if the gap-up sustains, we can expect a diagonal pattern. This means if the market rejects around the immediate resistance level, it could retrace a maximum of 38% to 61%, but it won't break the previous day's low. This is our first variation.
> In this variation, the rally continuation will occur only if it breaks the supply zone with minor consolidation.
Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if the initial market takes a sharp decline, we can expect a range-bound market between the past two trading session ranges.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 03.07.2024Nifty reached a new All-Time High of 24,236.35 in the opening trade but ended 18 points down at 24,123.85. Both the weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) remain positive.
Support Levels:
Near Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,985 - 24,012
Far Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,716 - 23,743
Near Support/Demand Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 23,671 - 23,754
Major Support/Demand Zone (Daily): 23,350 - 23,667
Resistance Levels:
Small Supply/Resistance Zone: 24,171 - 24,200
Nifty Intraday Levels | 2-JULY-2024#Optionbuyers
#Niftyoptionscalping
1️⃣ Zones you always Like:-
👉Green zone- Institutional support
👉Red zone - Institutional resistance
👉Gap between institutional zones is always of 100 points
👉Zone is created with the help of pivot points and Fibonacci
👉Advance version of price action
👉Trades based on Nifty future chart
2️⃣ Trade Execution:-
👉Trade based on order flow data
👉Timeframe - 1 min and 5 min
👉Risk Reward Ratio always 1:2
👉Strike price always ATM & slightly ITM
👉Maintain Position sizing according to your own method
3️⃣ House Rules in trading:-
👉Sharp at 9:15 AM
👉Priority to risk management
👉Fast execution (morning breakfast)
👉Stop-loss 10 points (strictly)
#ThankU For Checking Out Our IDEA , We Hope U Liked IT 📌
🙏FOLLOW for more !
👍LIKE if useful !
✍️COMMENT Below your view !
Nifty50 (1st July) 1/124087 below closing could 📉 📉 to 24058--24016
23884 support is also pending to test maybe not today, but in coming days
Any closing above 24134 then bullish 📈 📈 ( chances are low )
If sustains above then will update upside levels
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises
Intraday Trade Setup For Nifty 1st JulyTime 7:56 AM 1st July 2024
Reasons for Shorting Nifty today:
1. Wave Analysis - Shorting based on wave counting
2. Ichimoku - Given a sell signal in 15min TF
3. Broke Support Trendlines
4. Risk to Reward in great
5. MACD bearish divergence in 1hr TF
Options Selling: ATM CE selling with OTM CE edge is best for this trade. (or future sell with edge)
We wait for the entry if it doesn't trigger then we avoid the trade.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
#Nifty Directions and level for July 2nd.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 2nd:
The global market is still showing a slightly negative sentiment based on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are also showing moderately bullish sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a increase of 50 points (as of 8:00 AM).
Nifty has performed slightly better than Banknifty, and their structures also differ slightly. Let's look at each one by one.
Nifty has reached near its all-time high, so it might face rejection there. However, if the market sustains the gap-up, it may go further.
Here’s our first scenario: that if the market opens with a gap-up and breaks the previous high, the minor supply zone will act as resistance. If the market consolidates or breaks it, we can expect the rally to continue.
Alternatively, if the market rejects at the supply zone or if the gap-up doesn't sustain, we can expect an initial 38% correction. after that If it breaks this level, the correction may continue further. On the other hand, if it doesn't break the 38% Fibonacci level, the market may maintain a bullish bias.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 02.07.2024Nifty maintained its upward momentum on Monday, breaking the small supply/resistance level mentioned in the last post and closing at 24,141.95. Both the weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) are positive.
Support Levels:
Near Small Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,985 - 24,012
Near Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,716 - 23,743
Near Support/Demand Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 23,671 - 23,754
Major Support/Demand Zone (Daily): 23,350 - 23,667
Resistance Levels:
Currently, there is no supply zone seen on the chart.
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 02 JUNEAs we discussed, NIFTY opened sideways and continued in a bullish direction after breaking the trendline, as discussed in the video.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the resistance level, where it showed a nice correction last time. Now, the market has made a zone in the range of 23984 - 24154. by the time the market is in the zone, it's going to be volatile sideways. Once it breaks in either direction, it's going to give nice directional momentum. As the market is already stretched, I am expecting the market to consolidate in 1 day or 2, and after that, it might give us good momentum.
Support levels: 23984, EMA(50), 23842, and 23692
resistance levels: 24154, 24325
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.07 shows the market has bullish sentiment. 24200 seems a good hurdle to the upside; if it breaks, the market is clear to go 24354. 24000 has good PE writing, which is going to provide good support, and 24500 has heavy CE writing, which is going to provide nice resistance.
I am expecting the market to consolidate for 1 or 2 days once it breaks the range of 23984 - 24154. it will give a nice momentum.
Reason:
RSI > 50 shows a mild bullish signal.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates the bullish market.
PCR = 1.07 indicates bulls are continuously increasing their position in the market.
price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
Sell 24100 CE and 24000 PE (Hedge it with 10/- premium)
#Nifty directions and levels for July 1st.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for July 1st:
The global market is showing a slightly negative sentiment based on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are also showing moderately bearish sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 20 points (as of 8:00 AM).
Nifty had fallen nearly 200 points from the high in the previous session. If you look at the structure, it is showing a slightly range-bound market. At the same time, the GiftNifty is showing a neutral to slightly negative start. So, if the initial market takes a pullback or finds support around the immediate support level (61%), the range-bound market might continue further.
Alternatively, if there is a solid decline initially, the correction could continue. If that happens, structurally, the 78% level might act as minor support, meaning the market may consolidate there before further correction.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 01.07.2024Nifty made a new all-time high of 24,174 on Friday but closed 34 points negative due to profit booking. The weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) remain positive. However, the supporting trendline on the 15-minute chart (mentioned in the last post) was broken in the last 30 minutes of trading, indicating potential selling pressure at higher levels in the coming days.
Support Levels:
Near Small Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,716 - 23,743
Near Support/Demand Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 23,671 - 23,754
Major Support/Demand Zone (Daily): 23,350 - 23,667
Resistance Levels:
Near Small Supply/Resistance Zone: 24,103 - 24,150
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 1 Jul 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 1 Jul 2024
Bullish-Above 24180
Invalid-Below 24130
T- 24410
Bearish-Below 23980
Invalid-Above 24030
T- 23800
NIFTY has closed on a bullish note last week with over 2% gain. It was completely on bulls grip from the start of last week, except Friday. We will maintain bullish view till it closes above PDL. Sentiment will change when it closes below PDL and then is confirmed by bearish price action. In case of a pullback move, it can test 23640 which is 61% retracement of the upmove, less probable.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 24180 then we will long for the target of 24410.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 23980. T- 23800
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty50 ( 28th June) 1/2There's a GAP pending below at 24050 to fill, if sustains above then bullish to above level 📈
If closing under 24050 in any hourly candle then bearish 📉 📉 to 23989 --- 23884
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises
#Nifty directions and levels for June28th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for June 28th:
The global market is showing a slightly negative sentiment, based on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are showing bullish sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows an increase of 10 points (as of 8:00 AM).
Nifty experienced huge volatility in the previous session. Structurally, it has formed an ending diagonal pattern. It's in the 5th wave, so today, if the initial market declines, we can expect a minimum of 78% to swing low correction. However, it must break the minimum 38% Fibonacci level for us to consider it a correction. On the other hand, if it doesn't break the 38% Fibonacci level, it may consolidate a little and break the previous high, extending the diagonal further. This is the basic structure. I used the line chart because the wave patterns are easier to see with it; that's all, nothing apart from that.
The alternative scenario suggests that if the gap-up sustains and has a solid structure, the rally could continue further.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 28 Jun 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 28 Jun 2024
Bullish-Above 24100
Invalid-Below 24050
T- 24295
Bearish-Below 23900
Invalid-Above 23950
T- 23715
NIFTY has closed on a bold bullish note @ 24044 which is level to celebrate for bulls. Since it has closed above 24k chances of a gap up is very high, in that case 24200 can be resistance. Best intraday trade can be done on bullish side in case of pullback breakout of 24100 as happened today. If this is triggered then we will sit with trailing sl in 5 Min TF, 24295 and 24500 zone as final targets.
Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 min candle closes above 24100 then we will long for the target of 24295 and 24500.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 23900. T- 23715.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty Futures Intraday Levels | 27-JUNE-2024#Optionbuyers
#Niftyoptionscalping
1️⃣ Zones you always Like:-
👉Green zone- Institutional support
👉Red zone - Institutional resistance
👉Gap between institutional zones is always of 100 points
👉Zone is created with the help of pivot points and Fibonacci
👉Advance version of price action
👉Trades based on Nifty future chart
2️⃣ Trade Execution:-
👉Trade based on order flow data
👉Timeframe - 1 min and 5 min
👉Risk Reward Ratio always 1:2
👉Strike price always ATM & slightly ITM
👉Maintain Position sizing according to your own method
3️⃣ House Rules in trading:-
👉Sharp at 9:15 AM
👉Priority to risk management
👉Fast execution (morning breakfast)
👉Stop-loss 10 points (strictly)
#ThankU For Checking Out Our IDEA , We Hope U Liked IT 📌
🙏FOLLOW for more !
👍LIKE if useful !
✍️COMMENT Below your view !
Intraday Trade Setup - Nifty Wave Analysis: Today's ExpiryNifty Analysis (15-Minute TF): June Monthly Expiry - 27-06-2024
Nifty is in the final leg of Wave 5. The third wave of Wave 5 was completed yesterday, and we are likely to see the 4th and 5th waves today.
Nifty might take the morning session for Wave 4 and the second half for Wave 5.
We have mentioned entry and exit points in the chart; please refer to it.
Buy Entry: 23,740-23,770
Average Place: 23,700-23,720
Stop Loss: 23,680 (very small stop loss)
Options Strategy:
Option Selling:
1. Strangle and straddle will work in the morning session.
2. Go for directional PE selling near our buy zone and sell more lots near the average place with the stop loss mentioned above.
Options Buying: We don't recommend option buying. However, if you try option buying, take the next week's expiry near our buy zone and keep a strict stop loss at 23,680.
Futures Buying: We can consider buying Nifty July Future with next week PE hedge too.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions
NIFTY prediction for today 27 JUNAs we discussed, NIFTY opened sideways, retraced to the downside, and then gave a good bullish momentum to the upside to the target and resistance trendline.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the resistance level, where it showed a nice sell-off in the last hour yesterday. The price is still above the EMA(13, 50, 200), which shows the market's bullish nature. But last hour's sell-off shows 24000 as a strong resistance near resistance. RSI is also having bearish resistance.
Support levels: 23690, 23636, EMA(50), and Support trendline
resistance levels: 23890 and resistance trendline.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.27, which has reduced from 1.33, indicates that bears are slowly increasing their position at 24000. Bulls have written PE at each lower level nicely. Also, CE writers have held quite good positions at higher levels. 24000 is going to provide a strong resistance to higher levels.
I am expecting the market to make a double top structure and then fall from 24000.
Reason:
RSI = 70 shows bulls are strong, but RSI divergence might lead the market to some correction
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates the bullish market.
PCR = 1.27, which has changed from 1.33, indicates bulls are continuously increasing their position in the market.
price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
Note : after making a double top neckline break, you can go bearish.
Sell 24000 CE (Hedge it with 10/- premium CE)
#Nifty directions and levels for the June 27th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for June 27th:
There is no significant difference compared to the previous session. The global market is showing a slightly negative sentiment, based on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are showing bullish sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 55 points (as of 8:00 AM).
Yesterday, Nifty continued the rally. Both structures have the same extension variation, so there are no changes in the market sentiment. Today, GiftNifty is indicating a slightly negative start. If it opens like this, let's look at what might happen in Nifty.
>Structurally, it's a bullish market and both have an extension. According to the extension, if the market opens with a gap-down, it could retrace a maximum of 23 to 38%. After that, if it finds support there, the rally will continue with minor consolidation.
>However, the probability of a rally today is less compared to yesterday, as the sub-waves driving yesterday’s rally are now over. If the market finds support at either 23% or 38%, then it may close within the range.
>As per the wave structure, it could be in the 4th wave.
Alternatively, if the correction becomes aggressive, we should wait for confirmation. If the market declines sharply, it may consolidate around 38% or 50%. After that consolidation, if it breaks the previous low, we can expect the correction to continue. Otherwise, it may maintain the bullish sentiment.
(Note: If the market initially takes a pullback and breaks the previous high, then the rally may continue further.)
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 27.06.2024Nifty bounced from the 5m demand zone mentioned in the last post and rallied to a new all-time high of 23,889.90. Both the weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) are positive.
Support Levels:
Near small support/demand zone (15m): 23,716 - 23,743
Near support/demand zone (75m) for weekly trade: 23,671 - 23,754
Major support/demand zone (75m): 23,562 - 23,611
Currently, there is no supply zone seen on the chart.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 26.06.2024Nifty spent considerable time inside the 30m supply zone mentioned in the last post before breaking out around 12:30 PM and making a new all-time high of 23,754.15. Both the weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) are positive.
Support Levels:
Near small support/demand zone (5m): 23,675 - 23,689
Major support/demand zone (75m): 23,562 - 23,611
Currently, there is no supply zone seen on the chart.
#Nifty directions and levels for June 26th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for June 26th:
The global market is showing a slightly negative sentiment, based on the Dow Jones. Our local markets are showing bullish sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 10 points (as of 8:00 AM).
Nifty and Bank Nifty had a solid rally in the previous session. However, the structures are a little bit different. Let's look at each one individually.
Nifty had a solid pullback in the previous session, so if the market opens neutral to slightly gap-down, then structurally, we can expect a maximum 23 to 38% correction. If it finds support there, we can expect minor consolidation for the rally continuation. This is the basic structure.
On the other hand, if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level on the downside, it may continue the correction further. Structurally, it could be in a flat correction.
(Note: If the initial market takes a pullback and breaks the previous high, then the rally may continue further. However, the momentum could be less, so we can't expect a big rally. If we want a big rally, it would require a solid candle breakout or a minor consolidation around the immediate resistance level.)
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 26 Jun 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 26 Jun 2024
Bullish-Above 23760
Invalid-Below 23710
T- 23918
Bearish-Below 23630
Invalid-Above 23680
T- 23460
NIFTY has closed on a bullish not with 0.78% gain today. It opened with a small gap up of 39 points above our buy level. Then 10 o'clock range broke upside above 23620 and gave a fantastic move till 23750. Tomorrow 23630 is going to be crucial level as it can act as a support zone but incase support is not taken and it sustains below this level then a good short side move can be seen tomorrow. For bullish move best will be pullback breakout of 23760.
Coming to Wednesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 23760 then we will long for the target of 23920.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 23630. T- 23460.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.