Nifty50 (21st May ) 1/322478 below hourly closing could be bearish to 📉 📉 22391 and 22235
If closing above 22478 then 📈 📈 22518 and beyond ( will update upside level if it breach 22518 )
Disclaimer:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Niftyintradaytradesetup
#Nifty directions and levels for May 21st.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 21st:
The global market is indicating a bullish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also suggests a bullish trend. It might open with a gap-up start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing an increase of +60 points.
Nifty has a minor consolidation structure after the sharp rally. GiftNifty indicates a positive start, and the structure also suggests the continuation of the rally. However, there is major resistance at the 78% Fibonacci level. so, If the market breaks or consolidates around this level, we can expect the rally to continue further, potentially reaching 22,636 to 22,684. and The 22,684 level is a supply zone, so if the rally is rejected there, we can expect a correction of 23% to 38% in the minor swing.
Alternatively, if the market is rejected around the 78% Fibonacci level or if the gap-up doesn’t sustain, it may retrace 38% in the minor swing. Here we have two scenarios:
1 - There has been a solid rally, so according to the structure, it could undergo a retracement of 23% to 38%. After that, if it finds support at either 23% or 38%, the rally is likely to continue.
2 - According to the wave structure, a 5-3 structure is forming, indicating a zigzag variation. If the market breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it may enter a correction phase. If this happens, you can set your target at 50% and 78%.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 20 May 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 20 May 2024
Bullish-Above 22530
Invalid-Below 22480
T- 22737
Bearish-Below 22430
Invalid-Above 22480
T- 22230
NIFTY has closed on a bullish note with 2% gain last week. It has taken support from the lower trendline support in daily TF. Since last one month we have been discussing that the broad range is 22800 and 21700-800. Breakout of this range will trigger a fresh trend. Overall sentiment is sideways, this week caters a bullish sentiment inside the range. Monday's intraday range is 22530 and 22430. We will simply trade on this range breakout.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22530 then we will long for the target of 22737.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22430. T- 22230.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
17, 18 May 2024 - Nifty looks strong, bullish tone continues...There are a few changes to my daily postmortem report. After I started the MFD business, not getting enough time to write a detailed technical report daily.
Thought I would send the reports every day on Thursdays after the Nifty's expiry. The detailed analysis and the 4mts, 16mts, 63mts chart will be explained on my personal blog as well.
Here on Tradingview, I will continue to post daily with just the direction and a brief one-liner. You can always contact me if you need more explanation or synthesis.
17th may - Nifty defends 22295 but is unable to break 22519. Stance is still bullish.
18th may - 11.07 candle has a long tail, that went up to 22051 - quite strange though.
Targets for Monday - bullish with 22519 to be taken out. Stance will revise to neutral if 22295 is broken
NIFTY analysis for tomorrow 20 May | MondayAs we discussed, NIFTY has a bullish structure as it was tested on a disaster management system. That is exactly what happened today. The market had a huge volatility of 500 points in 10 min. There was no order flow; it was like a pump-and-dump scam. What is SEBI doing regarding these spikes? Let's see for tomorrow's setup-
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the resistance level right now, as it was a disaster management system testing. There were not many players in the market. So there were no big moments. The important support levels 22293, 22100, on the other hand, 22609(minor resistance), and 22763 are going to provide a nice resistance.
If we look at OI data:
PCR = 1.25 shows a bullish structure. If we notice today after 11:15 AM, there is a heavy volatility with 500 points. However, there was no order flow in the OI data. 22500 is the maximum pain. 22400 and 22300 have good PE writing that is going to provide a nice support. On the upper side, there is less CE writing, which shows that the market is still going in a bullish direction.
FII and DII data are not yet available.
I am expecting the market to go higher in the upcoming sessions.
Reasons:
RSI crossing 60 to the upside might be the start of the new bullish trend.
Price > EMA (13,200), which shows the market is ready to go bullish.
PCR = 1.25 shows a very bullish sign.
Price > VWAP means bulls are getting strength.
The market has already given a breakout. It was a good accumulation today; soon, it will shoot to the upside.
Verdict:
Bullish
Plan of action:
Sell 22400 PE (Hedge with 15/- Premium)
Nifty50 (17th May) 1/3If next hourly closing sustains below 22497 then 📉 📉 to 22202 as marked on the chart
Hourly closing above 22497 is bullish 📈 📈 ( if it sustains then will post a updated chart )
Disclaimer:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
#Nifty directions and levels for May 17th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 17th:
There have been no changes in the global and local markets. The global market is indicating a bullish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment suggests a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing an increase of +20 points.
Nifty has moved through four larger swings, which structurally indicates a range market. However, it closed above the range. giftnifty indicating gap-up start, so If the market sustains the gap-up sentiment, we can expect a rally continuation with minor consolidation. This is our first scenario. This means that if the market opens above the supply zone or breaks it with a solid green candle, then the rally is likely to continue.
Alternatively, if the market faces rejection around the immediate resistance zone, it may retrace by a minimum of 23 to 38%. This is a trend continuation retracement level. If the market finds support after the retracement around 23 or 38%, we can expect the range market to continue its rally.
On the other hand, if the correction breaks the retracement level of 38%, then the market will enter a correction phase, and we can expect the next target to be a minimum of 61 to 78%. This looks similar to the previous day's sentiment.
16 May 2024–Stance upgraded to Bullish, Crazy 377pts intraday⬆️Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: "The good thing for the bulls was the fall ended at 10.27, for the remainder of the day we went into a small range bound trade. The final close was flat at -0.08%."
We started today right at the resistance level of 22295 and then started falling. We went below yesterday's low and took interim support at 22119 levels. From there the bounce took us to 22295 again by 12.19 and this time the rejection was stronger and it ensured we fell to the next support level of 22051.
What happened then was totally unbelievable, right at that level the rejection ensured we were retracing 377pts ~ 1.71% in 1 hour. Just crazy, unbelievable price action - normally we see that during news/event flows. 13 consecutive green candles, 15 out of 16 candles in green - just magical statistics.
On the 63mts TF, just look at the size of the 63mts candle - simply wow. Our stance is now bullish with the next target being 22519. If we are falling, we need to go below 22295 for a neutral stance and 22051 for a bearish outlook.
The algos were in deep loss today, courtesy of the fast & furious moves in the last 90mts. The forward test algo shows a profit of 2475, but the actual execution was in deep red due to slippages.
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 17th MayNifty opened with a gap-up and we saw a roller coaster session as per the expectations. Nifty made a morning high around 22340, made a low near 22100, came towards morning high and again we saw a fall towards 22050 levels. Last one hour rally was completely beyond expectations which took Nifty from 22050 zones to 22430.
For tomorrow, we are not looking for a buy at higher levels and will see sell on rise opportunity in morning session. If Nifty sustains below 22300, we may see 22260 and below. On the other side if Nifty breaks 22430 and sustains above this level, we expect to see further rally towards 22470 and above marked levels on the chart.
Expectations: Volatile Day
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 22430
Sell Below - 22300
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 17 May 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 17 May 2024
Bullish-Above 22450
Invalid-Below 22400
T- 22675 N-ATH
Bearish- Below 22240
Invalid-Above 22290
T- 22050 21800
NIFTY has closed on a bold bullish note with 0.92% gain today. It was moving randomly but last leg move established and closed on a bold bullish note. Index has formed a long wick rejection candle like 13 May. So will simply trade the current trend and sentiment in power. Above today's high on a flat opening we will get get the best trade. Look like Index is all set for a fresh ATH. 22240 will act as a support zone but below this will short.
Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22450 then we will long for the target of 22675.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22240. T- 22050.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty50 (16th May) 3/3Next hourly closing above 22164 then shortcovering could be possible 📈 📈 to above levels marked on the chart
If hourly closing below 22164 then 📉 📉 ( 22093 pending level )
22093 imp support below that any hourly closing will be 🥶 📉 📉
Disclaimers:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
NIFTY Prediction for today 16 May 24Nifty has already given the breakout. right now it's in the consolidation phase of WAVE 1.
If we look at the chart now:
Market is in sideways zone in range: 22098-22293
Important Levels:
Support zones: 21811 , 21944, 22098
Resistance: 22544, 22763
If we look at OI data:
PCR = 0.73, shows neutral structure. as it's expiry market is highly probable to end sideways in the provided range. if we got the momentum it is likely to be bullish. 22200 is going to provide maxPain.
If we look the FII and DII data it is more of indecisive.
Verdict:
Sideways in range
Bullish if breaks the range 22293 to upside.
#Nifty directions and levels for May 16th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 16th:
The global market is indicating a bullish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment suggests a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-up start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing an increase of +120 points.
Nifty minorly retraced after the gap-up start in the previous trading session. Structurally, we have two options. The first one is the GiftNifty indication of a gap-up start, so if the gap-up sustains and breaks the level of 22337, we can expect further rally continuation. In this scenario, if it forms a solid green candle structure, then we can expect a sharp rally followed by a range breakout. Otherwise, it may go into a diagonal pattern structure (consolidation pattern).
Alternatively, if the market rejects around the immediate resistance level, initially we can expect a 23 to 38% minor retracement. If it finds support there, it may undergo some consolidation for rally continuation. This means if it doesn’t break the minor Fibonacci level of 38%, then the market will maintain the bullish bias.
on the other hand if it breaks the minor Fibonacci level of 38%. then we can expect a minimum correction of 78% to the next level of 1.27%. Structurally, it could be in a flat variation. After that correction, if the market finds support at the 1.27 extension level, then it may turn into a bullish bias.
15 May 2024–Nifty gets a mild rejection at 22295, stance neutralNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Recap from yesterday: "I am hard-guessing it should be a short covering. The moment we get past 22295, we will be forced to go long."
The open was good and we started climbing quickly but at 22295 levels we got our first rejection. Four strong red candles between 09.51 and 10.27 brought N50 down by almost 143 points. If 22295 was breached, we would have changed our stance from neutral to bullish.
The good thing for the bulls was the fall ended at 10.27, for the remainder of the day we went into a small range bound trade. The final close was flat at -0.08%.
On the higher timeframe, we need to take out the resistance pretty quickly otherwise this pullback will start forming a lower high. A lower low, lower high formation is a bearish pattern and that would also mean the next leg of the down move will be more aggressive. At present we prefer to stay neutral till we get more clarity.
The algos made a profit of 15750 INR, MTM was into a loss earlier on, but after 11am things started improving.
Nifty for 16/05/2024Nifty is in uptrend channel from last few sessions, now Nifty is taking support of the channel and forming symmetrical triangle pattern too, Nifty was moving in range of 22233-22164 in last session, if tommorow Nifty breaks this range either upside or downside, then we can expect big move. Here are some levels for your information.
I am not SEBI registered analyst, this is my personal view only for educational purpose, I am not responsible for any profit or loss.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 16 May 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 16 May 2024
Bullish-Above 22300
Invalid-Below 22250
T- 22478 22675
Bearish-Below 22150
Invalid-Above 22200
T- 21965 21800
NIFTY has closed on an absolute flat note today. Since last two days index was strongly bullish. And as per simple market phases, index turns sideways after a parabolic move so has happened today. Index traded in a tight range. 22300 and 22150 is the range for tomorrow, we will simply trade this range breakout. Best trade will be on opening inside this range. Both side momentum will be good so will have neutral view.
Coming to Thursday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22300 then we will long for the target of 22478 and 22674.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22150. T- 21965 and 21800.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty50 (15th May) 1/222296 --- 22241 ( No Trade Zone )
Closing below 22241 in hourly could trigger a downward momentum 📉 📉 📉 to 22136
Any hourly closing above 22296 then 📈 📈 to 22449
Disclaimer:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Nifty Institutional levels | Intraday 15-May-2024
Disclaimer:-
The information provided by our advisory service is for educational and informational purposes only. We do not provide investment, financial, or legal advice. Trading and investing involve risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Any decision to engage in trading or investment activities is at the sole discretion and risk of the individual. We strongly recommend consulting with a qualified financial advisor or professional before making any investment decisions. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information provided, and we disclaim any liability for any loss or damage arising from reliance on the information provided. Users are solely responsible for their own investment decisions and actions and off course we are not SEBI registered.
#Nifty directions and levels for May 15th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 15th:
There have been no changes in the global and our local markets. The global market still maintains a moderately bullish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones), while our local market sentiment also indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing an increase of +50.
Nifty continued its rally in the previous session and broke a Fibonacci level of 38%. Even if it breaks this 38% level, the structure has a diagonal formation indicating a distribution pattern. Therefore, if the gap-up doesn’t sustain and there is a sharp decline, the market may retrace a minimum of 38% to 61%. after that If it consolidates around the support level of 61%, the correction will continue if it breaks the previous low. On the other hand, if it finds support around the 61% Fibonacci level, we can expect a bounce back that may reach the day’s opening price level.
An alternate scenario suggests that if the gap-up sustains and breaks the 50% Fibonacci level, it may continue the pullback in a diagonal structure. However, if the opening market has a solid structure, we can expect a sharp rally.
14 May 2024–Nifty gets steam, is it short covering or fresh longNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Recap from yesterday: "The recovery was more than fast and furious, it even took out the 22051 resistance level. This nudged me to change the stance from bearish to neutral just for tomorrow."
Nifty started the day inline and then started climbing almost steadily. There were no visible drops, pullbacks, or attempts by the Bears to push down the prices. The decision to change the stance from bearish to neutral yesterday paid off.
At this point, I am not quite sure if it's the short covering or build-up of new long positions that is taking the markets higher. I am hard-guessing it should be a short covering. The moment we get past 22295, we will be forced to go long.
On the higher time frame, N50 has held on to the 21913 pretty strongly reinforcing the IH&S pattern (earlier). This could be read along with the new double bottom (W pattern) that is forming which shows the strength of the support level.
Nifty Algos ended the day with gains of 5625 INR
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 15 May 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 15 May 2024
Bullish-Above 22280
Invalid-Below 22230
T- 22500
Bearish-Below 22080
Invalid-Above 22130
T- 21800
NIFTY has closed on a bullish note with 0.51% gain today. Unlike BANKNIFTY it was trendy after 11 o'clock. Buy triggered as per trade setup above 22150 and gave a move till 22270, however target was not achieved. On a flat opening there can be another good trendy day above 22270. 22370 looks as an confluence zone in case of a gap up. Currently bulls have overpowered so will maintain a bullish view.
Coming to Wednesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22280 then we will long for the target of 22500.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22080. T- 21800.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
#nifty directions and levels for May 14th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 13th:
The global market still maintains a moderately bullish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones), while our local market sentiment also indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing an increase of +50.
Nifty had a sharp pullback after the initial decline in the pervious session, and GiftNifty is also indicating a positive start. However, on the upside, there is a Fibonacci level of 38% resistance, which is a key rejection level. If the market rejects there, then it could retrace a minimum of 38% to 61% with a three-wave structure.
Alternatively, if the market sustains or breaks the 38% level, then the pullback will likely continue and it may reach a minimum of 22,251 to the Fibonacci level of 50%.