#Nifty directions and levels for September 23rd.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for September 23rd.
Market Overview:
Global markets are showing a bullish trend, as indicated by the Dow Jones, while our local market also has a bullish outlook. Today, the market is expected to open with a gap up, with SGX Nifty suggesting a positive move of around +110 points as of 8 AM.
Nifty and Bank Nifty reflect the same sentiment. In the previous session, both closed with solid green candles, and Gift Nifty is indicating a positive start of 100 points, so a continuation of the rally could be expected today. However, the structure is indicating a diagonal formation, so if it faces rejection around the immediate resistance, it may lead to a correction. Let's take a look at the charts.
Nifty:
Current View:
The current outlook suggests that if the market sustains the gap-up structurally, we can expect a continuation of the rally with some consolidation.
> However, it's uncertain where this consolidation will occur—either around the supply zone or at 25,978.
> Notably, there are three waves bending. If the first pullback rejects around the supply zone, then the second wave could consolidate there. Once it breaks, the third pullback could reach between 25,978 and 26,034.
> Conversely, if it breaks the supply zone solidly, the first rejection may occur at 25,978 or 26,034.
Alternate View:
The alternate view indicates that if the market experiences a sharp rejection around the immediate resistance, it could see a minimum of 23% to 38% during the minor swing. If it breaks below 38%, then the correction may continue to 50% to 78%.
Niftyintradaytradesetup
#Nifty Directions and Levels for the Last Week of SeptemberNifty and Bank Nifty Directions and Levels for the Last Week of September
Global Market Overview:
In the previous week, the global market continued to rally solidly. Structurally, it indicates a bullish bias. This week, we can expect some continuation of the rally along with potential consolidation. In the meantime, there are some important events that we should pay attention to.
Our Market:
Our market also continued the solid rally. Structurally, it indicates a bullish bias; however, the structures differ between Nifty and Bank Nifty. If we look at the price action, both are exhibiting a strong bullish trend. However, when comparing the wave counts, Nifty is progressing through its 5th sub-wave, while Bank Nifty is currently in its 3rd sub-wave.
How can we interpret this sentiment? Typically, this kind of sentiment leads to consolidation. For example, once Nifty finishes its 5th wave, it could experience a sharp correction. At that time, Bank Nifty might undergo a 4th wave, which is a consolidation wave, so we wouldn't expect much correction in that scenario. Once Bank Nifty completes its 4th wave, the 5th wave could resume a bullish bias, during this time, Nifty likely wouldn't continue its correction.
On the other hand, if Bank Nifty dominates the market (meaning the 3rd wave extends further), we cannot expect a correction in Nifty. It may seem a bit complicated, but in simple terms, we can anticipate consolidation where the market could either face rejection or experience a significant breakout.
#Nifty
Current View:
If the market breaks the previous high, we can expect the next target to be 26,034. This is a crucial level. If the market faces rejection there, we can expect a correction between 61% to 78% of the minor swing. However, confirmation of a correction will only be valid if the market breaks the 38% Fibonacci level. Until then, the market remains bullish.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market does not face rejection or consolidates instead, the rally is likely to continue to the level of 26,273.
#Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 23.09.2024On Friday, Nifty opened with a gap up and, amidst a highly volatile session, made a new all-time high of 25,849.25. It closed at 25,790.95, gaining 375 points from the previous close. Both the Weekly and Daily Trends (50 SMA) remain positive.
Demand/Support Zones:
Near Demand/Support Zone (75 min): 25,376.05 - 25,467.65
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 24,753.15 - 25,130.50
Far Demand/Support Zone (75 min): 24,941.45 - 25,036.75
Supply/Resistance Zones:
No visible supply/resistance zones on the chart at the moment.
20th Sep '24 - Last week's stance change paid off, Nifty up 1.9%Nifty Stance Bullish ️⬆️
Back-to-back 1.9% weekly moves, Nifty moves an astonishing 953 points over the last 2 weeks. There is nothing that could possibly stop this train.
What is more interesting is that 100% of this move came on Thursday + Friday, till then Nifty was flat and would have given the impression that the week may be going sideways. The good thing is that we started the week with a bullish mindset, ensuring we did not run into losses, unlike many professional traders who lost a lot on Friday alone.
The losses on Friday for those who traded Sensex were because of the 1.3% sudden move that came in a range of 8 minutes, it really looked inorganic and manipulative. These days, it is quite easy to predict when the HFTs are gearing up to deploy their stop loss hunting, the wiser strategy is not to play.
For the next week also, we wish to maintain the bullish stance and would like to switch back to a neutral stance only if we drop below 25528.
#Nifty directions and levels for September 20th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for September 20th.
Market Overview:
Global markets are showing a bullish trend, as indicated by the Dow Jones, while our local market has a moderately bullish outlook. Today, the market is expected to open neutral to slightly gap-up, with SGX Nifty suggesting a positive move of around +30 points as of 8 AM.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Banknifty experienced a solid breakout, but it didn’t sustain. Structurally, this indicates a diagonal pattern, meaning the trend is bullish, but momentum may be limited. This is one variation. On the other hand, if the market declines, it could turn into a correction. Let's look at the charts for more insight.
Nifty:
Current view:
The current view suggests that if the market declines after some initial pullback, we can expect a correctional target at the 38% Fibonacci level on the downside. Structurally, it may not sustain there. However, if a solid pullback occurs, the market could form a range-bound structure between the previous high and the current low. This is our first variation.
Alternate view:
Alternatively, if the gap-up sustains, we could expect the market to reach the level of 25,561. If it consolidates or breaks this level, we might see a further move up to 25,643. On the other hand, if there is a sharp rejection at this level, it may retest the previous bottom.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 20.09.2024On Thursday, Nifty opened with a gap up, reaching a new all-time high of 25,611.95. However, the opening gap was filled due to profit booking, and Nifty closed at 25,415.85, gaining just 38 points from the previous day. Both the Weekly and Daily Trends (50 SMA) remain positive.
Demand/Support Zones:
Near Demand/Support Zone (15 min): 25,244.55 - 25,269.45
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 24,753.15 - 25,130.50
Far Demand/Support Zone (75 min): 24,885.15 - 25,072.55
Supply/Resistance Zones:
No visible supply zone on the chart at the moment.
#Nifty directions and levels for September 19th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for September 19th.
Market Overview:
Both global markets and our local markets are still showing a moderately bullish trend. Moreover, today the market is expected to open slightly neutral to gap-up, with SGX Nifty indicating a positive move of around +70 points as of 8 AM.
In the previous session, we observed differing performances between the Nifty and Bank Nifty. The Bank Nifty had a solid rally, while the Nifty underperformed and closed in the negative. Typically, we might interpret this as a continuation of the negative bias; however, today the SGX Nifty is indicating a decent positive start. Therefore, if the market sustains the gap-up and breaks the previous high, we can follow that direction. However, I am starting with a negative bias because theory suggests that. Let's look at the charts.
Nifty:
Current View:
The current view suggests that if the initial market declines, we can expect a minimum correction level of 38% on the downside. After that, if the market breaks or consolidates around the 38% mark, the correction is likely to continue. On the other hand, if there is a solid pullback, we can anticipate a minimum target of 61% to 78%. Simply put, if the bounce-back breaks the 38% level in the minor swing, we can anticipate reaching the 61% to 78% levels next.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-up sustains, there may be some consolidation between the previous high and the previous day's closing price. If it breaks the previous high, the rally is likely to continue. However, we should wait for the breakout for directional movement.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 19.09.2024On Wednesday, Nifty opened almost flat, touched the 15-minute Demand zone mentioned in the last post, and bounced 100 points to make a new all-time high of 25,482.20. However, it faced selling pressure, dropping 200 points from the top, and closed at 25,331.40, losing 41 points from the previous day. Both the Weekly and Daily Trends (50 SMA) remain positive.
Demand/Support Zones:
Near minor Demand/Support Zone (15 min): 25,244.55 - 25,269.45
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 24,753.15 - 25,130.50
Far Demand/Support Zone (75 min): 24,885.15 - 25,072.55
Supply/Resistance Zones:
Near minor Supply/Resistance Zone (15 min): 25,469.05 - 25,482.20
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 18.09.2024On Tuesday, Nifty opened with a gap up and traded in a narrow range throughout the day, closing at 25,418.55 with a gain of 35 points. This marks the first time Nifty has closed above 25,400. For the last four days, Nifty has been hovering around this level, suggesting that if the high is not broken with strong volume, we could see a correction down to 25,075. However, if Nifty breaks the new high (above 25,450) with volume, it may reach 25,640 in the short term. Both the Weekly and Daily Trends (50 SMA) remain positive.
Demand/Support Zones:
Near Demand/Support Zone (15 min): 25,355.95 - 25,383.90
Far Demand/Support Zone (15 min): 25,244.55 - 25,269.45
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 24,753.15 - 25,130.50
Far Demand/Support Zone (75 min): 24,885.15 - 25,072.55
Supply/Resistance Zones:
No Supply/Resistance zones are currently visible on the chart.
#Nifty directions and levels for September 17th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for September 17th.
Market Overview:
Global markets continue to show a moderately bullish trend, as indicated by the Dow Jones, and this sentiment is reflected in our local market as well. Today, the market is expected to open with a gap-up, with SGX Nifty suggesting a positive move of around +30 points as of 8 AM.
Current view:
There haven't been any significant changes in the previous sentiment, so I'll explain it simply. Nifty is showing a moderately bullish structure, which means consolidation. If the market rejects around the immediate resistance, it may continue this sentiment. A solid rally is expected only if the immediate resistance is broken convincingly.
Alternate view:
Alternatively, if the market starts negatively, the demand zone will act as strong support. If the market finds support there, it could form a range between the previous high and the downside demand zone. A deeper correction is expected only if the demand zone is broken convincingly.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 17.09.2024On Monday, Nifty opened with a gap up, hitting a new all-time high of 25,445.70 (the previous high was 25,433.35) but failed to sustain and closed at 25,383.75. For the last three days, Nifty has been closing around 25,400, indicating that if the high is not broken with strong volume, we may see a correction down to 25,075. However, if Nifty breaks above the new high (above 25,450) with volume, it could reach 25,640 in the short term. The Weekly and Daily Trends (50 SMA) remain positive, and support and resistance zones are unchanged.
Demand/Support Zones:
Near Demand/Support Zone (15 min): 25,217.90 - 25,269.45
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 24,753.15 - 25,130.50
Far Demand/Support Zone (75 min): 24,885.15 - 25,072.55
Supply/Resistance Zones:
No Supply/Resistance zones are visible on the chart currently.
#Nifty directions and levels for September 16th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for September 16th.
Market Overview:
Global markets are showing a moderately bullish trend, as indicated by the Dow Jones, and this sentiment is reflected in our local market as well. Moreover, today’s market is expected to open with a gap-up, with SGX Nifty indicating a positive move of around +50 points as of 8 AM.
Nifty:
Current View:
There haven't been any major changes to the market sentiment since the previous session, as Nifty closed with consolidation. Structurally, this suggests we could be in the 4th wave. Now, if the market opens with a gap-up and sustains it, we can expect a 5th impulse wave. The targets for this wave are likely between 25,452 and 25,587.
> It’s important to note that the 5th wave is typically a distribution wave. So, if the market breaks the immediate resistance with a strong candle or after some minor consolidation, the rally could extend further, potentially reaching 25,587. On the other hand, if the market reaches the resistance gradually, it may not gain as much momentum, and the maximum level to expect would be 25,492.
Alternate View:
If the gap-up doesn’t hold or the market declines initially, we may see a correction of around 23% to 38%. Following this, if the market finds support near the 38% Fibonacci level, it could consolidate between this level and the previous high. However, if the market breaks below the 38% level, the next target would be at the 50% Fibonacci level. Still, further correction will only continue if the market decisively breaks below the 50% Fibonacci level.
13 Sep 2024 Stance changed to Bullish, surprising breakouts N50Nifty Stance Bullish ️⬆️
Nifty moves an amazing 474pts ~ 1.91% during the week 9th to 13th September and upgrades its stance from neutral to bullish. Of these 438pts ~ 1.75% surge came on 12th Sep and between 13.30 to 14.51.
12th Sep was an expiry day and I had shorted 25250 at 3.50 and luckily squared off for Rs1.1 around 1.33 PM. This same strike went upto Rs175 and then closed in the money. Sometimes, luck plays on your side as well.
We have a new ATH of 25433 and the market has huge relative strength to keep going up, no one is able to predict where the top will be and the bears are feeling sorry for themselves. On the 13th, markets consolidated, and it was a good day for nondirectional traders.
We have revised our stance to bullish but do not expect it to surpass 25800 this weekly series.
#Nifty Directions and Levels for the 3rd Week of September.Global Market Overview:
In the previous week, the global market experienced a solid pullback; however, the structure still indicates a range-bound market. What about this week? Structurally, if the market breaks the previous high, we can expect a continuation of the rally. On the other hand, if the market faces rejection around the previous high, the range is likely to continue. However, there are many important events this week, such as Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Building Permits, the Fed Interest Rate Decision, FOMC Economic Projections, and the Fed Press Conference. So, this week might be crucial, and we could expect heightened volatility.
Our Market:
In the previous week, our market mirrored the global sentiment. Both Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced strong pullbacks, and structurally, this could continue into this week. However, we might see some consolidation in the middle of the week. Let’s break it down further by looking at the charts.
While Nifty and Bank Nifty have similar structures, their wave counts differ.
Nifty:
Current View:
If this week begins positively, we could see resistance around the 25492 to 25587 levels. If the market gets rejected here, we can expect a minor retracement of 23% to 38% in the swing. After that, if the market finds support there(around 38%), the rally could continue, with potential targets of 25692 to 25853. This is our primary scenario.
Alternate View:
In the alternate scenario, if the market starts negatively or faces rejection around the immediate resistance, we can expect a 38% correction. (It’s important to note that the retracement points differ from the current view.) after that If the market breaks this level decisively, we can expect the correction to extend to at least 78% to the swing low. However, if it doesn't break the 38% level, the bullish bias could be maintained.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 16.09.2024On Friday, Nifty opened with a gap up but failed to surpass Thursday's high of 25,433.35, staying in a tight range and closing at 25,356.50, losing 32 points. Despite this, Nifty continues to trade above the previous week's close and even above the previous month's candle closing. If last week's low (24753.15) holds, we may see further upward movement and potentially new highs in the coming weeks. The trend (50 SMA) on both the Weekly and Daily timeframes remains positive.
Demand/Support Zones:
Near Demand/Support Zone (15 min): 25,217.90 - 25,269.45
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 24,753.15 - 25,130.50
Far Demand/Support Zone (75 min): 24,885.15 - 25,072.55
Supply/Resistance Zones:
Currently, no Supply/Resistance zones are visible on the chart.
#Nifty directions and levels for September 13th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for September 13th.
Market Overview:
Global markets are showing a moderately bullish trend, as indicated by the Dow Jones, and our local market has a bullish sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a gap-up, as SGX Nifty is indicating a positive move of around +40 points at 8 AM.
In the previous session, Nifty and Bank Nifty showed a solid rally. Structurally, it is indicating a bullish bias. However, if we look at the sub-wave structure, there is a progressing fourth wave. The previous solid rally could indicate a third wave, followed by a rejection that reached the 23% Fibonacci correction, so we should consider that a fourth wave. In this sentiment, we can expect consolidation until breaking the immediate resistance. Let’s take a look at this on the chart.
Today, Nifty and Bank Nifty have the same sentiment.
Current View:
If the market opens with a gap-up, it may face rejection around the previous high. If this happens, it may enter some consolidation between the previous high and the 38% Fibonacci level to the downside. This is our first variation.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-up doesn’t sustain, it may find support around the 38% Fibonacci level. If this occurs, it typically consolidates between the 38% and the previous high. In this case, if it breaks below the 38%, we can expect the next target at the 50% level; however, the correction will continue only if it breaks the 50% Fibonacci level solidly.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 13.09.2024On Thursday, Nifty hit a new All-Time High of 25433.35 and closed at 25388.90, gaining 470 points. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, and the daily trend (50 SMA) has turned positive from sideways.
Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 25444 - 25270
Far Demand/Support Zone (75m): 24885.15 - 25072.55
Far Demand/Support Zone (75m): 24678.80 - 24745.50
As of now, there is no visible supply zone on the chart.
#Nifty directions and levels for September 12th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for September 12th.
Market Overview:
Global markets are still maintaining a moderately bearish trend, as indicated by the Dow Jones, and our local market reflects a similar sentiment. However, today, the market may open with a gap-up, as SGX Nifty is indicating a positive move of around +90 points at 8 AM.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty had a huge up and down. Structurally, it’s maintaining the range market. What about today? Even though the market closed negative yesterday, SGX Nifty is indicating a positive start today. Simply, it says that the range will continue. Let’s look at the chart. Today, Nifty and Bank Nifty both have the same sentiment.
Nifty:
Current view:
The current view is saying that the market is range-bound, but if the market breaks the level of 25078 solidly or with some consolidation, it will continue to the Fibonacci level of 78% to 25216. This is our first variation.
Alternate view:
On the other hand, if the gap-up doesn’t sustain or if the market rejects the level at 25078, then it will continue the range further between the previous day’s range. This is our alternate view.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 12.09.2024On Wednesday, Nifty hit a high of 25113.70, entering the 30m supply zone mentioned in the previous post, before dropping over 200 points to close at 24918.45. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend (50 SMA) is sideways.
Support Levels:
Far Demand/Support Zone (75m): 24678.80 - 24745.50
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 24523 - 24636
Far Support (61.8% FIBO retracement level): 24444
Far Demand/Support Zone (Weekly): 23893.70 - 24367.50
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 25045 - 25114
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 25127.75 - 25198.60 (tested)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 25235.80 - 25321.65
Nifty 50 correction – where will it end?Sep 11, 2024
In our last update on Nifty 50, we predicted that the upward move of B wave should end near 78.6% Fib level, which is the max it would go.
The correction of B wave post Zig-zag A retraces anywhere between 38.2% to 78.6%. The B wave followed this rule and ended at 61.8%.
After the completion of B wave, we saw the beginning of C wave. Wave C follows the following two rules: -- Wave C is often equal to wave A in length or a Fibonacci ratio of 61.8%, 100%, or 161.8%. Also, Wave C should not be shorter than wave A.
As per the above rules and the main characteristics of a Zig-zag correction being that it fits within a channel, the downside target of C wave could be 61.8% Fib level comes to 24,772.
If C wave has to touch the bottom of the channel, it would go down by a further 50 to 60 points, so the target could be around 24,725.
Also, the C wave would be a 5-wave pattern like the A wave.
Let’s see if Nifty 50 follows the rule or not.
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#Nifty directions and levels for September 11th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for September 11th.
Market Overview:
Global markets are maintaining a moderately bearish trend, as indicated by the Dow Jones, while our local market has a moderately bullish sentiment. However, today, the market may open neutral to slightly gap-down, as SGX Nifty is indicating a negative move of around -30 points at 8 AM.
In the previous session, Nifty had a solid pullback, but Bank Nifty behaved differently, as it didn't pull back as much. Today’s basic structure suggests a minor correction, which we can analyze in the charts.
Nifty:
In the previous session, Nifty closed more or less at the same level it opened, even though there was a long pullback. This is what we usually refer to as range-bound market movement. The market remains in a range. What about today?
> If the gap-down sustains, we can expect a 50% to 61% correction in the minor swing, potentially forming a three-wave structure.
> A solid correction is expected only if it breaks the 61% level. If it does, then the next target is 78% and 24834. On the other hand, if it doesn't break, the market will likely form a minor range between the previous day’s high and the 61% downside level.
Alternate View:
An alternate scenario suggests that if the market opens with a gap-up or if the initial movement is a solid pullback, it may reach the 78% Fibonacci level, especially if it breaks the previous day’s high.
> In this case, if it doesn't break the previous high, the market may consolidate around that level.