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#Nifty Directions and levels for May 30th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 30th: The global market continues to show a bearish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market also shows a bearish trend. Today, the market may open with a slight gap-down, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 70 points. But, I'm not sure if this is due to global issues or contract rollover with GiftNifty. Anyway, let's look at the Nifty direction. Nifty has fallen with some minor swings. If the market opens with a gap-down, then the 38% Fibonacci level might act as a strong support. If it finds support there, then we can expect a pullback of 23 to 38% max. It could be a minor retracement, and if it gets rejected there, then the correction will likely continue. On the other hand, if the pullback structure has a solid candle formation, it might break the 38% Fibonacci level(upside). If it breaks, then we can expect 50 to 61% for the next target. If we want to state this more clearly, it may turn into a range between the upcoming low and the 61% Fibonacci level. This sentiment is also applicable for a neutral to gap-up situation because, as I mentioned, I don't know exactly why GiftNifty is showing a negative sentiment. The alternative scenario is if the gap-down sustains and breaks the immediate support with some consolidation or immediately, then the correction will likely continue.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
INFOSYS - ANTICIPATING REVERSALSymbol - INFY INFOSYS is currently trading at 1445. 1450-1400 is a good support area for INFY. I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side. Buying INFY Futures at CMP 1445. I will be adding more if 1425 comes & hold with 1395 SL. Targets I'm expecting are 1495 - 1570 & beyond. Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
NSE:INFYLong
by akshit_official
3
HCL TECH - SWING TRADE ON LONG SIDESymbol - HCLTECH HCL Tech is currently trading at 1360 1300 - 1360 is a good support area for HCL Technologies Ltd. I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side. Buying HCL Tech Futures at CMP 1360 I will be adding more if 1330 comes & hold with SL of 1295 Targets I'm expecting are 1440 - 1485 & beyond. Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
NSE:HCLTECHLong
by akshit_official
11
BSOFT - TREND CHANGED ?Symbol - BSOFT Birlasoft is engaged in Computer programming, consultancy, and related activities. It provides software development and IT consulting to its customers predominantly in Banking, Financial Services, and Insurance, Life Sciences and Services, Energy Resources and Utilities, and Manufacturing. The Company’s registered office is in Pune. It is part of The CK Birla Group, Birlasoft, comprising over 10,000 plus professionals. This stock has given great returns to investors as well as traders in last 1 year. This stock was buy on dips since May 2023 but right now as per technical chart & price action, I think trend is changed from buy on dips to sell on rise as there exists clear Head & Shoulders pattern on larger time frame. I have made short positions in futures already around 690 level & will find opportunity to sell it on each rise until it breaks 730-735 levels which is H&S neckline. So, My SL is placed above 735. Targets I'm expecting on downside will be 575 - 560 - 535. P.S. : Swap markets are now pricing in just one Fed rate cut in 2024. The Fed will keep the rate unchanged at its May 1 meeting. Powell is expected to tighten rhetoric and signal that there will be fewer rate cuts this year than previously expected. If this happens, This will result in strong profit booking in IT stocks specially mid and small caps. Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
NSE:BSOFTShort
by akshit_official
2
08 May 2024 - Banks and IT were in RED, but Nifty closed flatBankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ BN was unable to defend the 48115 support resistance today and it was an advantage Bears. The overall price action was neutral and that might be related to the expiry trades. There were a couple of instances where BN moved 100+ pts in minutes - this really had an impact on the algo trades, but happy that major damage was not done. Both BN and NiftyIT closed the day in the RED, whereas Nifty50 ended the day flat. If IT is also going the banks' way, we might have further downsides.  For tomorrow, I wish to hold on to the Bearish view and then go neutral if we spend considerable time above 48101. The algos did pretty well today and ended up generating a whopping profit of 54085 INR.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by viswaram
08 May 2024 - Nifty defends 22295, but not going neutral yetNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ Recap from yesterday: "Also in the 63mts TF we did not really break it, if you are a conservative trader, it is a good idea to wait for one full candle to form below 22295." Today the entire action was around the 22295 levels. The open was a gap down and N50 spent time till 11.47 underwater. The 22295 level was broken by 12.07 and we went up 183pts ~ 0.83% from the intraday low to the intraday high. The upside was limited and we started falling. Two RED candles i.e. 13.35 & 13.47 stood out which brought N50 back below water. On a closing basis, N50 finished the day above 22295 at 22302. Ideally, I should change the stance from bearish to neutral, but let me give the benefit of the doubt to the Bears for one more day. We did not get a full candle below 22295 on the higher TF. If we do not break 22295 in tomorrow's session, I may be inclined to change the stance back to neutral. Nifty algos made 15052 INR today. MTM went into losses between 12.22 to 13.00 - but the system recovered well in the later part of the day.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
06 May 2024 - Indian markets have decoupled from Global peersNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: "The stance has been revised to neutral as the support is broken. For Monday we wish to go neutral if 22295 is broken and go long if 22519. Nifty Algos ended the day with a loss of -2374 INR." How do we explain the relevance of support and resistance more clearly than today? Just see the 3 encircled regions on the 4mts chart. The first one came in the opening minutes where the gap-up gave the impression that we were breaking out but the 09.35 and 09.39 candles did the humbling. Between 10.39 to 11.11, N50 recovered a bit and tried to get past the 22519 resistance, only to fail. And the 3rd attempt came between 11.59 to 12.19 - which would have given some confidence to the Bears. On the higher time frame, we are still in neutral territory and might require a bit more aggression by the Bears to bring down the prices. Our markets not rallying as against the recovery in US markets - speculating something to do with the re-election and taxation. Since I do not have any data points, will wait for more clarity. Decided to add the screenshots of AlgoTest forward testing instead of live to stay away from regulatory troubles. Nifty Algo generated Rs2857 today.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
02 May 2024 - Nifty has to get past the ATH to negate M patternNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish⬆️ Recap from yesterday: "The 63mts TF paints another picture, a perfect triple top at the 22780 levels. A double top between 9th and 10th April and the third top today on 30th April." Nifty opened quite strongly, immediately recouping some of the lost ground in the last session. After cutting almost 50% of the losses, N50 found a stable level and then maintained its narrow range. Fearful of stop loss hunting, I squared off the Algo straddles at 13.16 and in hindsight, it proved to be a stupid decision. Although I made 18732 INR, another 23200 was forgone. I do not know about the Jane Street Algo strategies, but it has really elevated the premiums in near ATM strikes. In a way, it is good for option-selling as risk:reward is increasing especially on the expiry day. For tomorrow, we wish to maintain the bullish stance, but the first test would be the ATH which would otherwise act as a triple top. The moment we get past that, I could remove the M pattern drawn for the period 05 to 12th April.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
#Nifty Directions and levels for May 2nd.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for May 2nd: The global market is still maintaining a moderately bearish trend, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also indicates a moderately bearish trend. It might open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing an increase of +30. structurally there is a sub-wave 4th going on. It's a consolidation zone, so if the market opens with a gap-up and sustains it, then we can expect a range market. However, if the market sustains around the Fibonacci level of 78%, it could break out. Even though it breaks the Fibonacci level of 78%, structurally, it may not take that much of a rally because the upcoming wave is a 5th wave, and the 5th wave is typically a distribution wave. Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain and declines initially, we can expect a minor correction with a pullback structure. The aggressive correction will occur only if it breaks the immediate support level with some minor consolidation.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
29 Apr 2024 - BankNifty hits a new ATH, becomes torch bearer...BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish⬆️ We were quite sure BN would be bullish today but honestly did not think we would gain 1223 points ~ 2.54% in total. ICICI Bank had good quarterly results, but the outperformance was unexpected, that really fuelled the rally today. Can you believe, BN overshadowed NiftyIT, reclaimed the torchbearer status, and then hit a new ATH of 49473.6 today? NiftyIT is almost 13% down from its ATH, whereas BN is looking strong and roaring. The main reason, Nifty went up 1% was attributed to the outperformance in the banks, otherwise it would have ended the day flat. Honestly, there weren't any good news for Nifty to rally, unlike Banks which had good quarterly results impact. All 6 candles are in green today and all of them are with long bodies, such a treat to the eyes. Let us wait and watch how the expiry will play out tomorrow. My non-directional algo hit a loss of -83618 INR today, quite expected as the index went directional today.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by viswaram
1
LONG MPHASIS - SWING TRADE IDEASymbol - MPHASIS Mphasis is currently trading at 2254 2200 - 2260 is a good support area for Mphasis. I'm seeing a trading opportunity on buy side. Buying Mphasis Futures at CMP 2254 I will be adding more if 2230 comes & hold with SL of 2180 Targets I'm expecting are 2370 - 2450 & beyond. Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
NSE:MPHASISLong
by akshit_official
LTIM - Ready for A Short Term Swing Trade ?LTIMINDTREE is currently trading in a support zone of 4850. It is trading in a good demand zone. So I'm taking long position in April Futures at CMP 4860-4870. I will be adding more position if 4750 comes & will hold with SL below 4700. I'm also tracking LTIM 5000 CE as well. I will be adding position in this too. I'm expecting it to bounce from here and reach 5300-5500 soon which is 10-12% upside from here. Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
NSE:LTIMLong
by akshit_official
1
09 Apr- A New High, but a sharp fall afterward. VIX not spiking.Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Nifty hits a new ATH and then falls over 155 points, goes below water, and then closes 23 points lower @ 22642. The new ATH is 22768. The main villain again was the NiftyIT sector which had a -1.59% 566 points intraday fall. Firstly it went up 535 points in the opening 20 minutes and then gave all that away to close flat for the day. I am sure how bad the option traders are feeling because I am one of them. We now have a highly unpredictable market and swings that take out the stop losses both ways. The best trade sometimes is no trade. On the 63mts TF, we have 4 consecutive RED candles. 5 out of 6 candles are RED but the reason is that we started the day with a mega gap-up. For tomorrow also we are continuing our bullish view and would like to go neutral if we get a close below 22615. If we fall below 22513, we prefer to go short for the immediate short term.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
Nifty 02 Apr- Flat day, consolidating or deciding to reverse?Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: “But before we go long, let us give it a day or two because the reaction today may be the after-effect of the adjustments and rebalancing that was done over the last 2 to 3 days due to year-end.” Nifty was falling gradually, almost maintaining the same slope as yesterday. The final 90 minutes saw some activity against that slope, which ensured that we were closing flat for the day. If you consider the 0.71% fall in NiftyIT, it is quite commendable that Nifty and BankNifty held their ground. Honestly, NiftyIT falling was not a good sign - we should be seriously watching that sector to see if there are any weaknesses in the pipeline. NiftyIT is the first sector to react based on global macros (anything except Crude Oil). We wish to maintain the bullish stance for tomorrow as well, but we will be a bit cautious if Nifty falls below 22393 levels. A stance revision may not be even required till 22295 is broken. In fact, Nifty might react more to domestic cues than international macros as elections are getting kicked off. We are going into the campaigns with a historically low VIX of 11.6525, I am quite sure this should start rising pretty soon.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
27 Mar ’24 — Nifty takes out 22051 resistance, 22295 next?Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: “We drew an inverse Head & Shoulders pattern on the 22nd. If that holds true, we should be getting some assistance tomorrow or the 28th” 4mts chart Nifty did more than okay today, we opened above the resistance level of 22051 and then steadily climbed to 22181 before cooling off. We then had another attempt from 13.11 to 14.15 where we went till 22193 before falling off the cliff. We fell exactly 100 points to 22100 levels and then managed to recover a bit to close at 22147. Ideally, we cannot make out anything significant today as most of the trades would have been year-end rebalancing - both by the DIIs as well as the FIIs. The inflow & outflow and weight adjustments will be there tomorrow as well as it is the last working day of this financial year. We are still hanging on to the inverse head and shoulders pattern and strongly hope we should have some movement to the 22295 levels by tomorrow. NiftyIT is showing too much weakness and if BankNifty also sides to the downside then there is a high possibility that we may not break out. How long can RELIANCE keep supporting this market? We wish to maintain our neutral stance for tomorrow and go long if we are nearing 22295 in the morning session itself. 63mts chart
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
22 Mar ’24 — BankNifty holds ground, when NiftyIT was crashingBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ BankNifty stays in the neutral zone for yet another day. Even when N50 made its 1.36%, BN went up only by 0.9%. NiftyIT was tanking on one side, but BN was holding its ground from falling. I am seriously confused about whether Nifty or BankNifty has the lower beta. Even the profit booking in the last 40mts did not have a wild impact on BN but it might have taken the profits out of N50 straddlers. 4mts chart We are almost midway between the nearest support & resistance. The slope of the 200 EMA will prove the point that we are neutral, just check its slope - it's almost parallel to the X-axis. This was the major reason why I never went bearish even though we fell 2000+ points from the ATH. We continue to maintain our neutral stance for Tuesday and would like to build fresh positions based on the price action. 63mts chart — Algo Trading Our algo trades ended today with a loss of 7029 rupees, thanks to the swing from Nifty50. So for my current month, the Nifty Algos are in loss whereas BN is in good profits. This takes me back to the earlier question, which one has the lower beta?
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram