#Nifty Directions and levels for May 30th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 30th:
The global market continues to show a bearish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market also shows a bearish trend. Today, the market may open with a slight gap-down, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 70 points.
But, I'm not sure if this is due to global issues or contract rollover with GiftNifty. Anyway, let's look at the Nifty direction.
Nifty has fallen with some minor swings. If the market opens with a gap-down, then the 38% Fibonacci level might act as a strong support. If it finds support there, then we can expect a pullback of 23 to 38% max. It could be a minor retracement, and if it gets rejected there, then the correction will likely continue. On the other hand, if the pullback structure has a solid candle formation, it might break the 38% Fibonacci level(upside). If it breaks, then we can expect 50 to 61% for the next target. If we want to state this more clearly, it may turn into a range between the upcoming low and the 61% Fibonacci level. This sentiment is also applicable for a neutral to gap-up situation because, as I mentioned, I don't know exactly why GiftNifty is showing a negative sentiment.
The alternative scenario is if the gap-down sustains and breaks the immediate support with some consolidation or immediately, then the correction will likely continue.
Niftylevels
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 30 May 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 30 May 2024
Bullish-Above 22810
Invalid-Below 22760
T- 23000
Bearish-Below 22680
Invalid-Above 22730
T- 22480
NIFTY has closed on a bearish note with 0.8% cut today. It was a low volatility day as overall range it traded was 22800 and 22700. It opened with a decent gap down of 125 points and in this case 10 o'clock range was to be used. Range broke downside below 22760 and gave 50 points move which was 1:1. Tomorrow if there is another gap down then I will watch for the 1st 5 Min candle's breakout either side.
Coming to Thursday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22810 then we will long for the target of 23000.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22680. T- 22485.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
29 May 2024 - 22781 broken and we just went bearishOver the last 2 sessions, we tried to explain why we would have to go directly to bearish from bullish. One of the reasons was that we fell below the level that had 2 double tops in April & May. Secondly, there were no additional support/resistance points in between for a neutral zone.
What I am not sure about is, whether we can continue the downward momentum, especially because June 4th is less than a week away. If BJP wins back the 3rd time, the markets should outperform. If they get a lower number of seats - we may lose a lot of ground.
Hope my direction is right just in time, over the last 5 to 6 months, my directional strategies were just eating the dirt and bleeding RED. I am also quite aware that a move of 1000+ points could level the mounted losses.
For tomorrow we wish to start with a bearish tone and go long if 22781 is breached in the 63mts TF.
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 30 May As we discussed, Nifty had a bearish structure; It has fallen by 187 points.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading in the bearish zone. The market is trading near the 0.38 fib level, which might provide a good support zone. But I am expecting the market to further go down till fib 0.50 (22481) levels. All the important levels have been marked on the chart.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.65 shows a market bearish structure. As tomorrow is NIFTY expiry, 22700 is going to provide a max-pain. There is more call writing on higher levels than PE writing on lower levels. The market is likely to end near 22500.
Looking at the data, NIFTY might go bearish till 200 EMA. .
Reasons:
RSI < 40 falling from the upside shows a good bearish strength.
EMA(13) > Price > EMA(200), which indicates an indecisive or rather sideways market.
The market has formed a lower high lower low structure in 15-min TH that indicates the market is bearish.
PCR = 0.65 indicates bearishness.
Price < VWAP shows that a weak market structure can lead to a bearish market.
Verdict: Bearish
Plan of action : 22700 CE (Hedge it with 10/-) if the market continues bearish momentum.
Note: you can target 200 EMA targets.
Nifty monthly expiry analysis for 30/05/24.Today nifty after a gap down opening has remained in a 100 points range closing 83 points lower.
The daily candle is looking bearish and chance of testing 22580 levels are high, if it starts trading below today's low of 685.
Nifty is trading between the moving averages and 20 ema is around the support zone.
A bullish leg is there in the market and it is the retracement or profit booking before the election results.
On fib levels it can test 38.2% levels. If the levels are breached soon, 580 levels will be tested .
Major support levels :- 22680, 22620
Resistance :- 22800, 22880
Tomorrow is monthly expiry and upcoming week there is election results. Bullish reversal can be a possibility in case of a gap up opening.
Flat to slightly gap down opening there will negative sentiment on intraday.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the markets.
Nifty levels - May 30, 2024Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Nifty on Radar - 28 MayToday we have a red candle with Low High and Low Low.
The price could retest the level of 22800 which is an important retracement level.
Also the bands are in an expansion zone.
The probability on down side is more than 50%.
Intraday trade range
S1-22,800 | R1-23,100
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
#Nifty directions and levels for May 29th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 29th:
The global market continues to show a bearish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market also maintains a moderately bullish trend. Today, the market may open with a gap-down, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 90 points.
Today, both Nifty and Bank Nifty have similar structures. First, let's look at Nifty.
Nifty has consolidated slightly, but the closing was negative. GiftNifty is also indicating a continuation of the correction. According to the wave structure, the correction over the past two trading days could be a "4th correctional wave," and today’s gap-down might be the final leg of the correction (subwave "C"). After the correction finds support at either 50% or 61%, we can expect a bounce back that could be the 5th wave. Since it's a distribution wave, the movement might have less volume. This is the basic structure. Now, let's look at the current variation.
The current variation indicates that if the gap-down sustains and consolidates or breaks the 50% Fibonacci level, it could fall further, potentially reaching 61%. As discussed, if the market finds support at the 61% Fibonacci level after the correction, it may bounce back. For reversal confirmation, you can use EMA20 or a minor swing Fibonacci level 38% breakout.
Note: Here is another variation based on the structure. If the correction has a solid formation, it will likely continue. We can also confirm this if the market forms inside bars or pinbar candles, indicating continued correction. Additionally, if the retracement after the correction doesn't break the 38% Fibonacci level, we can expect the correction to continue. Positions should be taken only if it breaks the previous low.
The alternate variation suggests that if the market finds support around the immediate support or if the initial market takes a solid pullback, we can expect a range market to rally continuation.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -29/05/2024Nifty will be gap down opening in today's session. After opening nifty start trading Below 22850 level and then possible downside rally up to 22730 in today's session. in case nifty trades Above 22890 level then the upside target can go up to the 23010 level.
Nifty Support & Resistance Levels for 29.05.2024Nifty continues to indicate selling pressure at higher levels due to the 23,000 psychological mark. The support and resistance levels remain the same as mentioned in the last post.
Resistance Levels:
Nearest Resistance Zone (30m): 23,047 - 23,111
Support Levels:
Nearest Support Zone (15m): 22,744 - 22,769
Far Support Zone (15m): 22,577 - 22,623
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 29 May 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 29 May 2024
Bullish-Above 23000
Invalid-Below 22950
T- 23230
Bearish-Below 22850
Invalid-Above 22900
T- 22630
NIFTY has closed on a bearish note with 0.19% cut today. Index traded inside yesterday's range and did not trigger any trade. In the weekend we discussed that after ATH breakout, chance of a small pullback or consolidation is high which seems to be in action. Now 23110 will be trigger for a strong bullish impulse. If short triggers below 22850 then we will be alert near 22745 as it can act as a CIP support.
Coming to Wednesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 23000 then we will long for the target of 23200+.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22850. T- 22630.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIFTY 50 Hits All-Time High - Is It Time to Book Profits?The NIFTY 50 index recently reached a record high of 23,100, marking a significant milestone. However, this peak is accompanied by concerning signals that suggest a potential downturn. Despite the achievement, the index is displaying weak momentum, evidenced by a bearish divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the formation of bearish candle patterns over the past two days.
These indicators raise the question: Is it time to book profits and wait for more favorable entry points?
Moreover, the NIFTY 50 has formed a triple top pattern, which is a classic bearish signal. If the index breaks below the neckline at 21,800, it could further decline towards 21,200, where it might find support around the 200-day moving average (MA).
In the near term, the technical charts suggest that a correction is on the horizon. Given these signals, it might be prudent for investors to consider booking profits and waiting for the market to present more attractive entry levels.
28 May 2024 - Still Bullish on Nifty, 22781 laxman rekhaAfter we had a slightly red day, i am not changing my stance to bearish yet. I would prefer the 22781 critical support to be taken out before going short. I still believe N50 is catching its breath after the 1100+pts run from 16th May, but the moment we fall below 22871, we are going below the previous ATHs and that could prove quite tricky.
In the last 2 instances i.e. on 10th Apr, 3rd May we had noticeable corrections - so the base case to go bearish may be profitable.
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 29 May 24As we discussed, Nifty has a sideways or bearish structure; it ended sideways in 1st half, then bearish later 2nd half.
If we look at the chart now:
The market has broken 50 EMA and a good support zone to the downside. Also, an EMA(13, 50) bearish crossover is about to happen, which might lead to a bearish market structure. The market is making an HNS pattern and has broken the neckline to the downside, which might lead to a target of 22600 levels.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.80, which has fallen from 0.89, shows good CE writing at higher levels. 23000 will be acting as hard resistance at higher levels. Other than that, Nifty has good resistance at 23100, 23200, and 23300.
Looking at the data, Nifty might go bearish in the upcoming session with a target of 22600 .
Reasons:
RSI < 40 falling from the upside shows a good bearish strength.
EMA(13) > Price > EMA(50, 200), which indicates an indecisive or rather sideways market.
The market has formed a lower high that indicates the market is bearish.
PCR = 0.80 indicates mild bullishness, but this has fallen from 0.89, which shows good CE writing at higher levels.
Price < VWAP shows that a weak market structure can lead to a bearish market.
Verdict: Bearish
Plan of action : 22800 PE (Hedge it with 10/-) if the market continues bearish momentum.
Note: you can target 200 EMA targets.
Nifty levels - May 29, 2024Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
#Nifty Directions and levels for May 28th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 28th:
The global market is maintaining a bearish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market suggests a moderately bullish trend. We might see a neutral to slightly gap-down start today, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 15 points.
In the previous session, Nifty had sharply rejected in the second half, closing at a neutral price. Today, GiftNifty is also indicating a neutral opening. If we take a bias based on the Dow Jones, HDFC Bank, and RIL, they are suggesting a neutral sentiment.
So, my expectation is that if Nifty opens neutral or if the initial market takes a pullback, we can expect a range market within the previous day's range. If it breaks either upside or downside after that, then we can follow that trend. In my opinion, if it forms a range, it may continue the rally.
Alternatively, if the market takes a correction initially, it could reach the Fibonacci level of 50%, which is a strong support. After that correction, if it finds support there, we can expect a minimum pullback of 38% to 50%.
Note: However, if the correction occurs sharply and if it breaks or consolidates around the Fibonacci level of 50%, then the correction will likely continue.
Nifty Support & Resistance Levels for 28.05.2024For the second day in a row, Nifty crossed the 23,000 mark but failed to close above it, indicating selling pressure at this psychological level. In the last hour of trading, we saw a fall that broke the previous day's low.
Resistance Levels:
Nearest Resistance Zone (30m): 23,047 - 23,111
Support Levels:
Nearest Support Zone (15m): 22,744 - 22,769
Far Support Zone (15m): 22,577 - 22,623
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 28 May 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 28 May 2024
Bullish-Above 23030
Invalid-Below 22980
T- 23230
Bearish-Below 22870
Invalid-Above 22920
T- 22630
NIFTY has closed almost on flat note with minor cut of 0.11% today. It opened with 80 points gap up and then buy triggered near 12 o'clock which did not hit our target and revered to day low taking out our sl midway. Tomorrow 22745 will be an confluence level as that will be a CIP level after ATH breakout. Be alert at this zone for a bullish reversal structure. Below 22870 bears will try to take grip. Above 23030 we will plan long but we need a rejection first.
Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 23050 then we will long for the target of 23230.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22870. T- 22630.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty levels and zones for tomorrow 28/05/2024 NSE:NIFTY
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between zones.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 28 MayAs we discussed, Nifty has completed its 2nd wave and touched the mentioned target.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading in a heavy supply zone. Also, in the second half of today, the market had a huge PE windup. After this huge momentum, the market needs some consolidation to move on either side. There was a huge volume spike that shows the market is not yet ready to break 23000 levels.
All important levels have been marked at the chart.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.89, which has fallen from 1.28. shows a good PE wind-off. The market might take some consolidation in the range 22800 - 23100. 23000 is still the maximum amount of pain in the market. sufficient CE and PE are writing both sides. But CE is freshly written, which indicates bears are slowly increasing their position in the market.
I expect the market to go sideways or bearish.
Reasons:
RSI < 50 falling from the upside shows a good reduction in the bull's strength.
EMA(13) > Price > EMA(50, 200), which indicates an indecisive or rather sideways market.
The market is still making HH & equal low, which indicates a reduction in bull power. If it makes a lower low, the market will have a good fall.
PCR = 0.98 indicates bullishness, but this has fallen from 1.34, which shows lots of profit booking on the upside.
Price < VWAP shows that a weak market structure can lead to a bearish or sideways market.
Verdict : Sideways or Bearish
Plan of action : Sell 23000 CE and 22800 PE (Hedge it with 10/-)
Note: Exit CE if nifty breaks 23000 to the upside & Exit PE if it breaks 22800 to the downside. But right now, there are more chances for the market to be sideways or bearish
Nifty levels - May 28, 2024Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Nifty on Radar - 27 MayNifty is likely to remain sideways or rangebound in the near-term with heavy call and put writing around the 23,000 mark
CMP - 22,957.10
Key Support : 22,750 - 22560
Resistance : 23,050 - 23,150
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
Nifty Support & Resistance Levels for 27.05.2024As Nifty approaches the psychological mark of 23,000, we might see some profit booking. It's important to remain cautious leading up to the major event on June 4th (Election Results).
Support Levels:
Nearest Support: 22,744 - 22,769
Far Support: 22,577 - 22,623