NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 5th March 25Nifty has been falling continuously for a month. If we look at the structure using price action.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading near the support zone. The market might take support at nearly 22,000 levels. Price is trading far away from the EMA, which shows the market is going to take some pullback to the upside. The market is going to be sideways for some time unless it breaks the Pink trendline to the upside.
Support levels: 21840, 21250
Resistance levels: 22775, 23488, 50 EMA, 200 EMA
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.8, which shows a slightly bullish structure in the market. The market has 22100 as max pain. The market has good PE writing at lower levels; 22000 and 21900 have very good PE writing, which will act as good support in this area.
I am expecting
The market is to be sideways unless it breaks the PINK trendline.
Reason:
RSI = 21 shows a bullish structure. (Weak Bearish -> Bulls might start buying, soon)
Price < EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a good Bearish structure. (Bearish)
PCR = 0.8 indicates a slightly bullish bias direction in the market.
Price < VWAP shows a good Bearish structure in the market.
Verdict: Sideways
Plan of action:
follow the chart levels. You better go with the bound strategy.
Niftylong
NIFTY50 - TRADING NEAR KEY SUPPORT ZONESymbol - NIFTY50
CMP - 22250
The Nifty50 index continues to maintain a negative bias, with the price action suggesting that it remains within bearish trend. This indicates the continuation of the downtrend, though we are currently seeing the index testing key support levels. At the moment, Nifty is trading near the 22200 area, which is a critical support zone. Technical indicators are also hinting at the fact that markets are oversold at current levels. Given the underlying support zone & oversold conditions, there's a high probability of a short-term bounce before the downward momentum resumes.
Looking at the immediate price structure, we are likely to witness a potential retracement towards resistance zones around 22800 and 23000. These levels are in line with the Fibonacci retracement levels, offering opportunities to enter long positions with a favorable risk-reward ratio. Traders can look for a bounce from current support levels and expect a move towards these resistance zones.
we are now at a critical juncture where a potential bounce could provide opportunities for short-term longs.
Given the technical setup, I am taking long positions in Nifty Futures at CMP 22250. I will look to add more positions if the price reaches 22100-22050 range. My SL is set at 21970 to manage risk, ensuring protection in case the price fails to hold the demand zone and continues lower.
Key resistance remains around 23400. A sustained move above this range could suggest a potential shift from a bearish trend to a neutral or even bullish outlook. However, until the index decisively moves above these levels, the preferred strategy remains to sell at resistance and buy at support, capitalizing on any short-term retracements.
In conclusion, while the short-term outlook offers potential for a bounce, the broader trend remains bearish. Therefore, the approach should be to look for long positions at favorable support levels.
Disclaimer: The information provided here should not be construed as a buy or sell recommendation. It reflects my personal analysis and my trading position. Please consider this trading idea for educational purposes only. Thank you!
NIFTY50 - A RETRACEMENT IS EXPECTED BEFORE FURTHER FALLSymbol - Nifty50
CMP - 23772
The Nifty50 continues to trade within a falling channel pattern, indicating a bearish technical structure. Currently, the index is testing key support levels near 22800-22700, which were identified as critical support zones in the previous analysis. Given the strong & key support area at these levels, there is a high likelihood of a short-term bounce before the continuation of the downtrend.
As of now, Nifty is encountering support around the 22800-22700 region, and I expect a potential retracement towards the 23170-23200 and 23420 levels before the downtrend continues. These levels are supported by the retracement nature of the fall, providing a good opportunity to enter long positions with favorable risk-reward at current price.
When Nifty was around 23720, I shared my short trade plan on Nifty, anticipating a 700-1000 point fall, with expectations for Nifty to test the 23000 and 22800 areas again. That fall has now played out, and we successfully captured a strong down move. As Nifty is trading at key support levels once again, I am anticipating a bounce from here before the downtrend resumes.
Given the current technical setup, long positions can be initiated around current prices, with additional positions being added towards the 22680-22650 area. A stop-loss should be placed below 22600. I expect a retracement of this fall, which could push Nifty to the 23170-23200 range and then 23420 levels.
The risk-reward at these levels is favorable for long positions. However, my overall outlook remains bearish, and I expect the downtrend to continue after Nifty touches the 23400 zone.
Key resistance levels remain around 23700-23850. Any sustained move above this range could signal a shift from a downtrend to a sideways or even bullish trend. Until then, the preferred strategy will be to sell at resistance zones and buy at key support levels for a retracement.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
NIfty 23200 important Support swing tradeHello,
Nifty Retrace more than 50% of previous swing high and now at trendline support RSI oversold with slow selling volume is not active on sellers side also hidden divergence and oscilators are bullish bullish reversal possibilities with stop loss of 23180
NIFTY 50 is ready for a trending moveNIFTY has been consolidating this whole week. And now that the weekly Expiry is over today, it is ready for a trending move either side - to resume it's upward March towards 25000 OR to retest it's recent swing lows. Although it seems to be trading within a clearly defined Regression channel for now.
Nifty - 26300 or 27135 or 28165Nifty has moved above the inverted head & shoulder neck level indicating further up move and possibly for a Target - 26300 or 27135 or 28165
Hope and wish RBI cut rates or support the markets in some form helping the bulls.
This is positional view and one may expect these targets in 30 to 45 days or more.
Move could be quick in case RBI decisions support the markets.
Once the confidence emerges all the money which went out could enter at higher levels for medium to long term investment opinion.
Price should remain above the neck line. In case of any SL hunting price must move above neck line for bull run to continue.
our markets has turned to be short sellers paradise so option selling is only safer and profitable for positional view.
Nifty Long 24500 | Hourly View | Elliott waves Nifty now in wave C as shown in chart.
Right now wave 3 of c which should go min 24447 then with some halt final move towards 24551 min as of now.
Expecting some pullback and halt near 24500 before giving next move direction. Final destination is 24900-25000 for this move.
Nifty - Bullish and taking a very major supportNifty after breaking multiple support levels now it seems to be taking major and crucial support. This support indicating a new ATH from here. Already big players has accumulated and even started giving higher level targets and buy targets for major Nifty shares. This level has come only at the cost of weak hands and short selling and not a bigger selling at all. At every dip DIIs has only accumulated the stocks. So Nifty is sure Buy as positional view. Most of the top Nifty shares are sure sure Investment. Its all Gold Mines.
Nifty 50 spot 23532.70 by Daily Chart view Nifty 50 spot 23532.70 by Daily Chart view
- 2 nos of Gap Down Openings are closed between 24350 to 25080 level range
- 2 nos of Gap Down Openings will get closed in next ATH creations process near ATH 26277.35
- Most probable Support Zone likely at 23200 to 23350 to anticipate for upside reversal prospective
- Next fairly strong Support Zone 22500 to 22650 for upside reversal prospective if the above Support Zone is broken
- Huge Downfall of 04th June, 2024 has closed the past 2 nos Gap Up Opening and 2 nos Gap Down Openings
NIFTY Bearish Trend EMA50 Testing Weekly corrected 2400 points Posted Chart on 29th september that Nifty Near to Channel Resistance with RSI overbought and small negative Divergence, Price is 2000/4000 point away from EMA 20/50__after every trending move price is reverse to its ema line(MEAN reversion)+ also if making of flag then sideways to small correction can expect_____
Now after Retest Of EMA20 on weekly Nifty Still facing selling Pressure from higher levels now previous swing low is broken EMA50 is nearby 23300 and channel support at nearby 22700.
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USDINR at lifetime high @84.40 overall negative momentum.
Nifty Swing Trade Levels Long/ShortNifty is currently trading at 25,856 and is down 1.23% as of today
- Nifty has a bullish Fair Value Gap of 25,600 and that might soon get filled
- Nifty was printing highs back to back and this euphoric rally had to fade off hence the bloodbath
- As long as the market structure stays intact and doesn't shift the bias will remain bullish
- Don't be a perma bull as well or try to find long setups in every dips accept the structure and don't do anything against it
#NIFTY OUTLOOK 29/07/2024NIFTY is now level at an all-time high that nobody imagined after the budget market behaved as this market participant has a strongly bullish view there is now an open target level. I think the market move forward to 25000 and we see a new rally of making a new all-time high every day otherwise, we see some corrections a little bit
L E V E L S:-
SUPPORT- 24650, 24500
RESISTANCE- OPEN
Nifty is looking Bullish and can hit 23900 and 24600Reason for Going Long in Nifty:
Wave Analysis:
Nifty is rising gradually in a 12345 wave pattern after a quick crash on June 4th. Wave 4th was a time-wise correction and spent one week in a small range.
Target:
The 127% Fibonacci level is our first target. If Wave 5 extends, we can aim for 24600 too.
Stop Loss:
We will exit the long position if a 1-hour candle closes below the Ichimoku Tenkan-sen (TS) and Kijun-sen (KS), which is around 23450.
If prices closes below 23400 then we have to recount it as a wave B and we can go for a Wave C down move.
Weekly and Monthly Fib channels also suggesting long.
Disclaimer: We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on our personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
05 Jun 2024 - Nifty50 Reversal or 61.8% Fibonacci retracement?No, I am not denying the credit to Nifty50 to have rallied 735pts ~ 3.36% to have a beautiful green today. I just drew the Fibonacci levels from the peak point of 3rd June and the bottom-most level of Jun 04 - the results are in front of you.
23.6% levels @ 21796 had some action
38.2% levels @ 22091 (quite near my 22051 SR level) had a stronger action
50% levels @ 22329 (quite near my 22295 levels) also had significant touchpoints
61.8% levels @ 22567 (quite near my 22519 levels) is where we closed today
I would not prefer to change my stance to bullish yet. The best I could think of is to go neutral and see how these levels are holding up for the next 1 week. The resistance of 22781 may be the game changer according to me.
And honestly, we are back at the levels just before the exit poll results. 3 violent moves would have shaken out a sizeable crowd of traders. It takes courage to even hang-on.