Niftylong
Nifty Belthold Required for another upsideMACD has generated crossover to denote beginning of next price cycle. In case Nifty generates a Bullish Belthold at this level new long position will open.
Two things to keep in mind
1. Bullish position will not open without bullish belthold so not advised to go long before you see an actual belthold.
2. The price cycle in formation is 3rd price cycle, price cycles generated after second cycles are highly susceptible to whipsaws so entry without proper trailing SL is not recommended.
Time for a run to new life time highs ?Comparing the near term charts over the past 3 years we can see that both Nifty and Bank Nifty have a habit of making new highs / life time highs just when the American Markets have seen new ATH's and are starting to taper off.
With the Dow and S&P having a had a phenomenal run over the past few days whilst our indexes have experienced what we can best call time correction i think we now are at the cusp of a massive move higher in both Nifty and Bank Nifty.
As Long as 19500 is held in Bank Nifty and 8600 in Nifty i have a strong feeling that we are all set for a move higher.
Nifty Might Hit 8761 But Expect Little Sideway Move FirstIt looks like Second Price cycle for Nifty has began and most likely we might see Nifty hitting 8761 in February. For now it seems like we may see some sideways move till end of month. For now it is good to wait for Nifty to complete sideways movement if it begins tomorrow.
NIFTY - FOR EVERY TREND FOLLOWERTREND IS YOUR FRIEND,
For various trend following reasons,
I'd go long on nifty unless there are signs of reversal.
Here,
on this chart I have marked price points .
1. Aggresive high volume traders -
Entry - 8428
SL - 8413 ( 15 point risk )
Target - 8460 ( 32 point reward )
R:R = 1:2
2. Positional/Swing Traders -
Entry - 8410-8430
SL - 8368 ( 40-60 points risk )
Target - 8460+ ( depends on the price action later as it forms )
R:R = Good ( target would be following the trend, so no pin point)
3. Opportunistic Traders ( Min Risk | Max Reward ) -
Entry - 8383
SL - 8368 ( 15 points risk )
Target - 8460 ( 77 points reward )
R:R = 1:5
Glad to help.
I hope you like it.
I hope you are liking the charts,
I will try to do my best,
thanks for the immense love shown.
NIFTY Weekly Update - Open tradeGreetings traders,
This is a weekly update following our monthly, daily & probability analysis
Please do not proceed with this analysis , if you haven't come across any of those. Refer to them at first & proceed with this analysis - link in the signature section (below)!
Now to the analysis,
following our daily update,
we mentioned that the NIFTY could turn at any level at/above 50% R in the plotted resistance zones for X2 but our double confirmation post revealed that the powerful zone to act as a resistance would be 50% R due to the added trend line's angular resistance.
Now NIFTY has been stumbling in the 61.8 Zones.
For any avid & serious trader, this would be a good spot to take their sell position, accounting the underpinning bearishness in the asset & it has a long way down based on our analysis!
For conservative traders, it is a walk through mist scenario where you can't see things clearly as if they were! yet we can say only a thing - wait for the market to unfold downwards & take your positions accordingly! (you might miss a few ticks but that is negotiable for safety)
For understanding the risk (SL) & (TP), please refer to the link in the signature section below
(it is elaborate & a bit tricky - hence we made a video presentation in it - feel free to watch it).
Fell free to reach us to share your thoughts/comments!
Happy Trading
Minor upside still left. But Weak Upside, Trail SLMarket opened with another shift in price, since all momentum indicators are oversold, this upside is not a strong upside and have high chances of failure, if you are holding a long position start trailing SL properly to protect your profits.
Regards,
Nrupen
www.udemy.com
Nifty Might Hit 8300 before fallHonestly this upside was unexpected but it happened with shift in price volatility and upper resistance break. Keeping that in mind I think Nifty might hit minimum target of at least 8290-8300, but also keep in mind current upside is weak so make sure to maintain a good Trailing SL if you have already taken a buy position.
Will NIFTY sustain 8000 Levels? - An Elliott Perspective!Greetings traders & investors,
This analysis is a combination of various prospects & contains a clear description for each of that
"we don't understand a movie by missing half of it".- the same is true with markets,
Let's understand NIFTY in higher time frames & continue through the same tunnel in lower degrees
There are 'n' number of possibilities(probabilities) that could frame the near & long term future moves for NIFTY. the analysis progress through the provision of unbiased weightage to all of them based on various factors, rules & guidelines and as usual this analysis is backed by a video presentation, which you can find in our signature section below!
NIFTY MONTHLY ANALYSIS:
The monthly timeframe comprises of super-cycle degree moves within the grand super-cycle 3rd wave, from OCTOBER 08(this has a long way to go). However, the shorter time frames have a different story (which is important for traders).
The 3 waves in the super-cycle degree have been completed and we have the 4th wave in the sequence, unfolding.
The 50% R of the 3rd wave have been tested & the current move is a retracement of the correction & it could end relatively in the cluster of resistance zones (in lower degrees).
This analysis takes into account the psychology underpinning the asset, mathematical relationships, geopolitical events & finally indicators, only to support the analysis!
To understand various levels - take profit, Stop loss & trading strategies for the long, medium & short term. please refer to the video!
Irrespective of all the probabilities, the analysis clearly gives the direction for various trading setups.
.
Gartley : The Gladiator ! Will it Save Nifty ?!Even I'm wondering how I get these title's in minutes. ok, lets not boast so back to analysis of Nifty !
So what are the components of today's chart ? We got,
(i) Bullish Gartley - The Gladiator
(ii) Bullish ABCD completion
(iii) Elliot wave counts
(iv) Trendline in Support zone
We have the Gartley & ABCD pattern completion in our support zone 8500's (approx.) so if patterns behave as they ideally behave Nifty may rise up till resistance zone 8680's. But we should note that, for past 2-3 weeks we had approx.3 pattern failures only, so we should take steps carefully bcos we can't win everytime or 95%.
In the same pattern completion zone we have a trendline passing through which is tested 4 times and Nifty moved up. I remember GBPUSD which I did yesterday night, similar to Nifty, it retested 3 times & 4th time when I entered long it failed. Usually Newbie's will kick themselves and scold their luck, No Guys.. It Just happens,part of trading Game. None does something willfully against you knowing your strategy !
But I expect today we may have calm day kinda ranging bcos silence after the storm. Let's See... If the Nifty goes down plan your trades accordingly, I just gave my view based on Patterns n Elliott's ( oh God ! I forgot to explain ). Its simple wave count we have done with imaginary moves for Nifty but if you want to alter elliott counts you can start at Point (A) of ABCD pattern, that Elliott count is also correct. So based on patterns,Elliots, Trendline we expect upmove in Nifty till resistance but we will find out soon what happens... I may be wrong or right in My view !
BottomLine : Usually Newbie's will kick themselves and scold their luck, No Guys.. It Just happens,part of trading Game. None does something willfully against you knowing your strategy or to takeout your stops ! Its all our absurd imagination... Stay Strong in Trading Game. It's all psychology !
Nifty : Panic Selling : Will it turn out to be like Brexit eventLast Post :
Nifty -1.76% after touching high of 8960 has now entered into correction mode !!
So wave 5 ends of Wave 3 of Wave 3 !!
Expect this correction to complete either at 8550 ( Less chances ) or at 8700 levels !!
Wait till the FED meet this month -- Once FED goes with no rate hike -- Expect markets to touch life highs !!
So Now we are at 8600 -- Should you buy -- yes - the best opportunity to go long !!
Huge Buying cash figures !! If this continues market might repeat of what happened after brexit !!
No major breakdown !! abc correction of wave 4 of wave 3 gets over at 8550-8600 !!
Expecting gap ups from now onwards till Nifty reaches Life high !!
Oct 4 - RBI meet -- .25 will be priced in and if 50 bps rate cut happens that would boost markets !!
Nifty : Lieutenant's, Airspace & Runway Clear - Lets TakeOff !Howdy Everyone, I'm biased today !!!
From the title itself you will be knowing that Nifty is on Bullish mode, yes true. Yesterday we had Descending triangle pattern & I mentioned that upmove is not gonna happen yesterday. But its time Now, as we have clear Airspace & Runway, Let's signal the Nifty to take off. I'm expecting around 70-100points gap up, big one but its fine even if its 50pts Gap up. probably Nifty will open above triangle trendline {aggressive entry}, if opens with triangle & breaksout we lucky. But whatever tradesetup it forms go in with proper stops. I don't see any setups for Shorting, so no shorts for Me, though there is potential Harmonic pattern, but for that to complete Nifty needs to move up, lets see that later. Let the bears take rest,Bull Stampede Begins or will they prove Me wrong ? Lets see... As promised, posted earlier !
For the Day : Lieutenant's, Airspace & Runway Clear - Lets TakeOff !
Nifty : Long ( In Between 8700 - 8550 )Nifty after touching high of 8960 has now entered into correction mode !!
So wave 5 ends of Wave 3 of Wave 3 !!
Expect this correction to complete either at 8550 ( Less chances ) or at 8700 levels !!
Wait till the FED meet this month -- Once FED goes with no rate hike -- Expect markets to touch life highs !!
Nifty : Long at 8500 For Targets - 9100/9200So after our last post -Nifty : Brexit Gone - Now What Long
The market has risen by more than 8% - i.e Nifty 0.89% .
Nifty is now in a consolidation mode -- which we expect to be over within next 2-3 days - rebound might happen at 8471 and if it breaches this then the next stop 8400.
Wave 5 of wave 3 in play - means complete wave 3 will be ending soon around life high for Nifty 0.89% .
Expecting this play to complete before the FED meet ( FCNR outflow specific to India only could also limit the upside ) !!
This was posted on -- Trade still remains open !!