05 Jul '23 Post Mortem on NiftyI had a feeling that we are nearing a top after seeing the price action on 03 Jul. The 4th Jul session was also cementing that thought. And today's session till 14.35 was giving me lot of confidence to take a short position.
But what happened from 14.40 to close, esp. 15.500 to 15.10 was simply unbelievable. Nifty rose 0.42% ~ 81.3pts to end the day flat at 0.05% gains. The strength in that recovery is now putting a big question mark on my interim top call. Although we did not take out the ATH today - that momentum would have crushed the hopes of many bears.
Last day we discussed how we require strong CE shorting to start a downward slide, unfortunately that was not visible today.
1hr TF
Ever since we had that breakout from the 18880 levels, N50 has appreciated another 3% ~ 569pts. Either the rally is over extending or the bullish sentiment is so strong to wipe out the bears.
It is quite easy for N50 to scale up as there are no more friction points, similarly its much easier to breakdown as we dont have support points too. The last 30mts of today's trade has given confusing signals now. I have marked a trading band between 19304 to 19415 (length of the 1st hour candle on 04 Jul). Till this band is not broken - I have decided not to take any bets.
Niftylong
Nifty50 Analysis! Trend Reversal is on the way!NIFTY50 Daily Analysis!
Head and Shoulder Pattern Formation in NIFTY 50!
Head and Shoulder Pattern Breakout in NIFTY 50. Currently Retesting!
NIFTY 50 was clearly in a Downtrend till 28th March. Nifty has moved in downtrend is about 4 months. From December 1 Nifty is falling like anything. After that Nifty started moving upwards. Now Nifty has made a nice Head and Shoulder Pattern on a Daily Timeframe and it started retesting to its support level 18069.
Scenario 1 = If Nifty took support at its recent level 18069 which is also one of the important Fib levels 1.618(Nifty will move up to 18369.30 ) = UP
Scenario 2 = If Nifty breaks above level(Nifty will move down up to 17900 which is Neckline extended support trendline ) = DOWN
Scenario 3 = If Nifty breaks above level(Nifty will move down up to 17557.40 which is a major swing level) = DOWN
Rest of the Analysis you will find on chart. I have done all the possible Analysis on the chart which took lots of time. If you like this Analysis please support this Analysis.
I hope you will lean something about Technical Analysis from this chart.
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Disclaimer = All my analysis are for Educational Purpose only. Before entering into any trade - 1) Educate Yourself 2) Do your own research and analysis 3) Define your Risk to Reward ratio 4)Don't trade with full capital
NIFTY - Move towards Life high of 18900 likely
Monthly squeeze settings up and firing long on Nifty Index
Nifty has been in a 2 year consolidation patterns and finally looks strong
It reversed back from 18900 last time as it was overbought - this time its not. And almost all market gurus are pessimistic and forecasting lower Nifty levels
Buy September 18000 - 19000 call spread for just INR 400 (thats barely 150 rupees of time value) - Target of INR 1000 with downside of 400
Risks would be if market breaks down on some geopolitical news
Possible Elliott wave counts on hourly time frame of NiftyHello Friends
Here we had shared possible Elliott wave counts on hourly chart of NIFTY, in which we can clearly see that currently we are in impulse structure and as per counts we can say that after bottom of June 2022, we have started fresh impulse up move, in which we had completed wave (1) and (2) and now possibly we are in wave (3), which can be at least equality with wave (1) so estimated target may be 19748 where 5 of (3) may finish, currently we are in 3 of (3) and inside 3, we are in (v) of 3 of (3).
I am not sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Some significant snapshots are shared below, please go throughout.
Thanks
RK💕
Overall wave structure since bottom of June 2022
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NIFTY50 index positional analysisI am highly bullish on NIFTY50 index as it has formed a bullish CUP AND HANDLE PATTERN and if it breaks above major resistances of 18500-18700 resistance zones , by breakout i mean a monthly candle closing and then a retest , if this happens I'm expecting the index to touch 20k-21k levels in the near future
FASP levels for Nifty 22/05/2023The FASP for Nifty is listed for 22-05-2023. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities.
What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)?
It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds.
Validity of the levels: 1 Day
How to use these levels?
The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options.
Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area
Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
NIFTY50 trend analysisNIFTY50 index has approximately fallen 1500 points from all time highs of 18900 levels and a possible reversal is coming from major support areas of 17200 to 17000 , there maybe a start of another rally towards all time highs and also towards 20k levels in the index . A good bottom formation and a breakout of highs can give confirmation of a trend change , so for now nifty is highly possible to reach levels of 17200 from current price and am expecting a rally from 17k-17200 levels NSE:NIFTY
Complicated zone for NiftyHii All,
Greetings!
As we can see in past nifty is in complicated zone. My view is still bullish in Market.
Few days back nifty has also completed its Inverted Head & Shoulder Pattern.
Currently Nifty is facing Resistance at 18130 levels and has a good support at 17900 levels.
Hope to see a good up move in the May 2023.
Important Things
1. This is only for educational purposes only.
2. Never over trade.
3. Always keep Stop Loss.
4. Trade in limited quantity.
5. Taking a small loss is better than wiping up your whole capital.
I hope you found this idea helpful.
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Keep Learning,
Happy & Safe Trading
Nifty 8th May 2023
Private sector banks are being dragged down nifty. Specifically HDFC twins.
Market can be range bound between 18045 to 180145.
Buy above 18147 (18100 CE) Target 18184,18367
Sell below 18045, (18100 PE) Target 18002,17944,17887,17858
Nifty weekly candle stick pattern indicates Head and shoulder pattern as well.
Nifty View For Tomorrow 21-4-2023As Per 1 hour time frame from last 2 day price has been trading between 100 point range 17580 -17680 While 17680 Resistance For Nifty and 17580 Support For Nifty .
Fresh Buy Above 17680 For Target 17750
Sell Below only 17680 For target 17500 And 17500 is 200 EMA in 1 hour Time Frame ..
Disclaimer :- Trade With Your Risk management.
NIFTY : Levels for 25th AprilNifty traded same as per our view shared yesterday on video & tradingview. Today its stop at resistance zone and now its important to break today's high for Nifty. I cannot find any seller pressure yet on chart.
I will follow price action and levels from chart
I have given my personal view on this video for Nifty & Bank Nifty.
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Disclaimer
I am not sebi registered analyst
My studies are Educational purpose only
Please consult with your Financial advisor before trading or investing
I may be 100% wrong as its my personal view only.