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30 Apr 2024 - Sharp fall in last 1 hr, rebalancing or reversalNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish⬆️ Recap from yesterday: "We are now very close to the ATH and once we take out that, we can safely remove the double top pattern." Nifty does a decent climb to hit a new all-time high of 22783 and then a brutal fall of 215pts ~ 0.95%. No matter how professional a trader you are, you cannot set a trap to make money out of that move. Agreed, the 22700 PE buyers would have made some decent money today, but it was never in the cards. Nifty was bullish and stayed bullish from the start, the sign of meltdown was not there, not according to me anyway. I was really scared that we would take out the 23800 on 2nd May as it's a holiday tomorrow. The 63mts TF paints another picture, a perfect triple top at the 22780 levels. A double top between 9th and 10th April and the third top today on 30th April. It is not a conventional triple top anyway, but the ATH levels are seen as quite shaky. As long as 22519 is respected, we maintain the long stance. Nifty algos ended the day with a gain of 210 INR.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
#Nifty directions and levels for April30th.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 30th: The global market is still maintaining a moderately bearish trend, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a bullish trend. It might open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing an increase of +20. Structurally, Nifty doesn't have that much of a bullish sentiment. It's maintaining the bullish bias supported by the BankNifty. So, if the initial market rejects, we can expect a minimum correction of 38 to 50%. After that, if it finds support, it may undergo a range-bound structure. On the other hand, if it consolidates around 50%, then the correction will likely continue. An alternate variation indicates that if the gap-up sustains and breaks the supply zone, then we can expect rally continuation with minor consolidation at the immediate resistance level.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
NIFTY Prediction for tomorow 29 Apr 24As we discussed the market in the live session, it was bearish. After that, it gave a nice fall. If we look at the chart now: Price is Making continuous HH and is not able to make HL. Price is taking support at 200 EMA. This level is also fibbed at 0.23 level, which is considered with 200 EMA, making it a good support zone. 22374 is also a good price action level, and the market has received multiple-time support. RSI has also given a breakout to the upside. That means the market might take support here. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.76, there is a huge CE writing at higher levels that indicates 22500 is going to be MaxPain. There is not much PE writing today. This indicates that bulls are not very sure the market is going to take support. If we look at today's OI, it is heavy CE writing, which shows bears are making strong levels on the higher side. If we look at the FII and DII data: FII and DII is strong bearish while Client is strong bulllish, that means market is going to open gap-down. The market is at a crucial point right now. there can be 2 cases Case 1: If the market breaks 22360 to the downside (Bearish) Case 2: If takes support at 200 EMA (Sideways) Reasons: Price ~= EMAs, indicates the market can take support at 200 EMA. (Sideways) RSI < 50 shows weak bulls, indicating a sideways market. (Sideways) RSI trendline break might activate some bulls might lead to sideways market. ( Sideways) OI = 0.76 has a fall from 0.96, which means bears are increasing their positions. (Bearish) Price < VWAP indicates the bearish market structure. (Bearish) Verdict : Sideways or Bearish Plan of action: Case 1: If breaks to downside -> Sell 22400 CE (Hedge it with 15/- CE premium) Case 2: If it takes 200 EMA support -> Sell 22400 CE & PE (Hedge it with 15/- premium)
NSE:NIFTY
by finnova_
1
Nifty is near resistance area - 22390 - 22400Nifty is near resistance area - 22390 - 22400 for 2 reasons, In charts its at reversal fib level of 0.618 and in derivatives data showing more call writers in Nifty and BN Index and in most of the BN - bank derivatives. I am not sure how index is going to fall in next 2 to 3 days remaining in this April contract. Either fall will be steep and faster or else break out will be with big green bars and bear gang including me has to book some losses in case of further strong upmove.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by venkatfx
#Nifty Directions and levels of April 19th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 19th: The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also indicates a bearish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a -350 point decrease. GiftNifty indicates a long gap-down, so I don't know where it will be open. Structurally, the fall may continue Unless the market breaks the fib level of 38% we can expect a decline. My expectation is correction. The market may undergo some consolidation around any one of the support levels, but there's a possibility of further downside breaks. We can anticipate a minor trend reversal only if it breaks the Fibonacci level of 38%, using the Fibonacci swing from yesterday's high to the upcoming low. If it breaks, we can assume that the minor trend has reversed."
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
16 Apr 2024 -  Nifty Below 22295, Above 22051, Still BearishNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ Recap from yesterday: "Ideally, we need one more red candle below 22295 for some bearish safety. 22051 is the next support level which could be taken out pretty easily if the shorts pick up momentum." Nifty hits an intraday low of 22079 today and a decent recovery to end the day at 22177 (22147 weighted average close). Honestly, the dip buyers were not that aggressive, but the bears were not really able to push down the prices.  If you look at the higher time frame i.e. 63mts, our closing today is almost midway between 22295 and 22051. Tomorrow 17th April is a holiday, so our markets will only resume trading on 18th. Thursday we have the Nifty50 expiry, so that makes things more exciting.  For bearish continuation, we need to take out the 22051, whereas for Neutral stance shift, we need to take out 22295. If we fall further below 21913 then that would also mean the negation of inverse H&S pattern of 20th March 2024. The Nifty50 algo trades ended with a profit of 9195, exited prematurely in the opening 30 minutes itself
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
Nifty analysis for 22nd March 2024looks like Nifty is trying to break the trendline above it. if nifty breaks the trendline, it may be a bullish movement. if it crosses below the 21900 level(support marked on the chart), a bearish movement is possible. Disclaimer: All information provided here is for educational purposes and not a recommendation, advice, research report, or stock tip of any nature. Analysis Posted here is just our view/personal study method on the stocks, commodities or other instruments and assets.
NSE:NIFTY
by sudeeptalayek
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 15 Apr 24As we discussed NIFTY yesterday, it opened a gap-down and then continued the momentum. If we look at the chart: The market has broken the pattern to the downside. There is 200-ema support at the downside. I am expecting to take a little bounce back (consolidation) and then continue the bearish momentum. 22385 is going to provide very nice PA support. All important levels are marked on the chart. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.71, which shows neutral market sentiments. However, in the past three days, OI activity PCR has been falling gradually from 1.34 -> 1.18 -> 0.7. which shows bears are increasing their position in the market very actively. There is not much of the support downside right now. The market may continue the momentum after a little bit of consolidation. The bulls are very weak at this point. I am expecting the market to open a gap-down near 200 EMA and then touch 13 EMA after that fall. Reasons: EMA(200) < Price < EMA(13), which indicates Weak bulls structure in the market. (Bearish) RSI < 40 shows strong bears' power. (Bearish) PCR = 0.71, which has been falling rapidly from 1.34. shows bears are actively increasing their position size. (Bearish) Price < VWAP shows a bearish market structure. (Bearish) Verdict : Bearish Plan of Action : Wait for 13 EMA to touch, then sell 22500 PE (Hedge it with 15/- Premium)
NSE:NIFTYShort
by finnova_
7
Nifty prediction for tomorrow 12 APR 24As we discussed NIFTY yesterday, it ended sideways. If we look at the chart now: the market is trading ATH in the zone where it got heavy selling from this region. NIFTY is going to be sideways unless it breaks the GREEN trendline to the downside. The inside marked region (22617-22766) is sideways. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 1.21, which indicates the bullish market. 23200 CE have been written heavily. Other strike prices do not have significant writing. Everyone is in the waiting phase. As you can see in FII and DII data, actively also, options are indecisive. If we see FII & DII data , FII is strongly bullish on the future. Pros and Clients are Bearish on the future. Options data is indecisive, which shows that the market is likely to open sideways. There can be three possible cases: Case 1: Low probability Bullish case -> market breaks to the upside Case 2: The market is going to be sideways in (22617-22766). Case 3: If it breaks the trendline, then it can give a good bearish momentum. Reasons: Price >> EMA(200), that need to be corrected. EMA(13) slop is getting flat. Which indicates bulls are getting weak. RSI = 55 and having bearish divergence. Also, RSI is entering the 40-60 range, which might lead it to go sideways. Nifty is trading in the resistance zone. PCR = 1.21 shows bullishness. but FII and DII activity is totally indecisive. Verdict : Sideways or Bearish Plan of action : Sell 22750 CE and Sell 22650 PE(Hedge it with 15/- premium)
NSE:NIFTY
by finnova_
4
10 Apr - Falling VIX, Rising Markets and Lower UncertaintyNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: "For tomorrow also we are continuing our bullish view and would like to go neutral if we get a close below 22615" Nifty had a gap up opening and was stuck in a narrow range till 13.11 after which it picked up decent momentum. Nifty almost gained 101 points from the intraday low to take out the previous highs. The new ATH is now 22775. In the final 30 minutes, we gave away some gains but Nifty50 closed the day with a total gain of 111pts ~ 0.49% Just when we thought the momentum was fading, N50 managed to climb 100+ points and hit new highs. What is more interesting is that the US CPI (Inflation) data came hotter than expected. As I write this article, SPX, NDQ, and DJI are down over 1.1%. A spillover effect is definite but because we have a holiday tomorrow, we might have another day of US stock market action left to react. We wish to maintain our bullish stance and go neutral if we get a close below the 22689 levels.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 10 Apr 24NIFTY opened a gap-up and fell sharply from 22768. If we look at the chart now: The market is trading at the resistance zone (4H-TF). Also, the market is trading at the support trendline. If the market breaks the support to the downside, it is going to generate a quick fall till 22471. Meanwhile, 22617-22766 is a sideways zone, as marked in the chart. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 1.13, which shows bullishness. But yesterday's PCR was 1.34. That shows the Bull's strength is decreasing, and bears are taking hold of the market. Also, there has been a very good CE writing 22700-23000. There was not much of PE writing today. The market is getting ready for some correction. If we look at the FII & DII data: FII is bullish; the Client is bearish. I am expecting a gap-up to open and then a fall. Reasons: PCR = 1.18 indicates a bullish structure. (Bullish) The market is trading in a resistance zone. There is a high probability that the market will have some correction. (Bearish) Price >> 200EMA and 13EMA >> 200 EMA that might lead to a correction in the market. (Bearish) RSI is showing bullish divergence, which might force the market to be sideways. (Sideways) Price < VWAP means the market is in the bears' favor. RSI ~ 40-60, which indicates a market sideways structure. Verdict: SIdeways or bearish Plan of action: Sell 22700 CE and Sell 22600 PE (Hedge with 20/- premium) Exit CE if it breaks the downside.
NSE:NIFTY
by finnova_
3