NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 20 Jun 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 20 Jun 2024
Bullish-Above 23670
Invalid-Below 23620
T- 23865
Bearish-Below 23400
Invalid-Above 23450
T- 23190
NIFTY has closed on a slight bearish note with 0.18% cut today. It was a volatile day as it opened with a gap up and then strong sell off came once again it recovered and made a fresh day high. If today's high is not crossed tomorrow morning then it can be a bearish day tomorrow. However since 10 Jun index has been trading between the plotted channel. We need breakout for a good trendy move or else it will continue choppy moves.
Coming to Thursday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 23670 then we will long for the target of 23865.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 23400. T- 23190.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Niftyoptions
Nifty on Radar, View for 19-JuneToday we have a small hanging man candle on the top of the trend and with this we have a breakout of the trendline.
But still I will go for the Intraday trade, I will not carry any overnight position.
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 19 JUN 24As we discussed, NIFTY traded in a sideways-bullish zone on the upside with huge volatility in the short range.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading indecisive in a bullish zone. That may lead to a short correction in the market. The market is not going to be bearish unless EMA(13, 50) successfully crossovers. Right now, the market is very volatile. Trade it with proper risk management.
Support levels: 23526, 23474(EMA(50)), and 23379
resistance levels: 23622, 23600
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.19, which has decreased from 1.42, shows a bullish sign in the market. 23500 is max-pain. The market does not have much resistance to the upside till 24000. However, as bulls are not able to push the market to the upside, it might lead to a short correction. Also, a significant fall in PCR shows weakness in bulls. There have been lots of calls unwinding, which shows that bears also do not have strength, which might lead the market sideways.
I am expecting the market to touch an upper trendline and then a correction.
Reason:
RSI 70, having flat momentum, shows a sideways structure.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a bullish market structure.
PCR = 1.19 has decreased from 1.42 and shows signs of weakness in the bull's strength.
Price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Indecisive
Plan of action:
Case 1 : Range Bound: Sell 23600 CE & 23500 PE (Hedge it with 10/- premium options)
Case 2 : Exit opposite position on either side it breaks.
Nifty50 (18th june) 1/2Closing below 23537 in any hourly candle could be bearish 📉 📉 to 23290
As below levels are still pending to test
If sustains above 23537 in multiple hourly 🕯 then it could move upwards to above price marked
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow ( Monday ) 17 JunAs we discussed in the morning, NIFTY traded in a sideways-bullish zone.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading in a Bullish sideways uptrending channel. The market is continuously taking support at 50 EMA. Until Marklet is inside the channel, it's going to be sideways. The market is in the middle of the channel, which might also act as good resistance. But if it breaks 23472 to the upside, it might go till 23600. However, if it breaks the channel and 50 EMA to the downside, there is a high probability that it's going to touch 200 EMA with a sharp fall.
Support levels: 23338, 23199, and 23174
resistance levels: 23472, 23600
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.42, which has increased from 1.17, shows a bullish sign in the market. 23400 is max-pain. 23500 has significant CE writing at higher levels. On the other hand, 23300 and 23000 have heavy PE writing.
VIX has also decreased significantly, which indicates volatility is being controlled.
I am expecting the market:
Case 1 : Sideways in the up-trending channel
Case 2 : Bearish if it breaks the channel to the downside.
Reason:
RSI 40-60 shows a bullish structure.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a Bullish market structure.
PCR = 1.42 has risen from 1.12 and shows signs of bullishness.
Price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Indecisive
Case 1 : Sideways in the up-trending channel
Case 2 : Bearish if it breaks the channel to the downside.
Plan of action:
Case 1 : Sideways: Sell 23450 PE & 23450 CE (Hedge it with 10/- premium options)
Case 2 : Exit opposite position on either side it breaks.
NIFTY prediction for today 14 JunAs we discussed yesterday, Nifty spent on an up-trending channel and ended sideways.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is in the channel right now. If it breaks down to the downside, it will give a nice bearish momentum.
Support levels: 23303, 23233, and 23152
resistance levels: 23439, 23481
I am expecting the market:
Case 1: Sideways in channel.
Case 2: Bearish if it breaks the channel to the downside.
Reason:
RSI 46-60 shows a sideways structure.
Price ~ EMA(13) but greater than EMA(200), which indicates the market can correct itself till 200 EMA.
EMA Bearish crossover of EMA(13, 50).
PCR = 1.17 which shows a bullish sign in the market.
Price ~ VWAP shows an indecisive market structure.
Verdict: Sideways in channel. Bearish if it breaks the channel to the downside.
Plan of action:
Case 1 : Sideways: Sell 23350 PE & 23400 CE (Hedge it with 20/- premium options)
Case 2 : Exit 23350 PE if it breaks to the downside.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -14/06/2024Nifty will be FLAT opening in today's session. After opening nifty start trading above 23440 level and then possible upside rally up to 23560 in today's session. in case nifty trades below 23380 level then the downside target can go up to the 23260 level.
13 June 2024 - Nifty and Banknifty New ATHs almost everydayNifty Stance Bullish ⬆️
Nifty continued to make new highs every other day this week, overall it has been a steady week with very few wild swings. Just compare the swing range of the previous week vs this, and you will understand what I am talking about.
The new high is 23481 hit at the open today and then we fell almost 126pts ~ 0.54% , the beauty is that we did not go red today, even when BankNifty was toggling between red and green.
During this expiry, we managed to gain 550pts ~ 2.41%. Not only did we manage to recover from the 8.74% intraday fall on election counting day, but we also managed to close 3.77% above 31st May levels and that really sends a strong message to all investors.
The stance continues to be bullish, but it seems like Nifty is waiting for the fundamentals to catch up. At present, there are no major risks or challenges at the local level. All eyes are on global macros.
Nifty50 Support And Resistance 13-June-24Nifty50 Support And Resistance 13-June-24
Please find below simple resistance and support:
This is only for education purpose. Do your own research before investing or trading.
I AM NOT SEBI REGISTERED ANALYST, SO BEFORE TAKING ANY DECISION CONSULT ANY PROFESSIONAL.
We Strictly Recommend You Not To Make Any Decisions, Financial, Investments, Trading, Or Otherwise.
Please Understand That Using This Information Would Be Totally At Your Own Risk.
****************************************************************************
𝐃𝐈𝐒𝐂𝐋𝐀𝐈𝐌𝐄𝐑: We/I are not 𝐒𝐄𝐁𝐈 ( Securities and Exchange Board of India ) Registered. The Information Provided Is For Educational & Instructive Purposes Only. Our Intention Is Not To Provide Any Financial Advice, Investment Advice, Training Advice, Or Any Other Advice. This Is General Information And Is Not Explicit To You Or Anyone Else.
Without The Consultation Of Any Professional, We Strictly Recommend You Not To Make Any Decisions, Financial, Investments, Trading, Or Otherwise. Please Understand That Using This Information Would Be Totally At Your Own Risk.
Do Not Take Any Action Unless You Are Set Up To Continue An
'All Out Misfortune " or "Total Loss".
Your Misfortune Could Incorporate Cash You Contributed Just As Commissions And Exchange Charges
Nifty50 (12th June) 1/223335 imp level if closing sustains below in hourly then could 📉 📉 to below price levels marked
Below levels are still pending to test
If next hourly candle closes above 23335 then 📈 📈
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Nifty50 (11th June) 1/1Hourly closing below 23316 could trigger more 📉 📉 to below levels ( 22906 -- 22921 )
23228 -- 23189 Support Zone/ Reversal levels
Any Hourly closing or sustains above 23316 📈 📈 23387 ( will post above levels if it sustains)
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Nifty50 (10th june) 1/3Any Hourly closing below 23298 then 📉 📉 could test below levels 23213 -- 23170 ( Support zone )
If 23170 below closing sustains then could 📉 📉 to 22875
Any hourly closing above 23298 then bullish to above levels marked
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises
07 Jun 2024 - reclaiming ATHs, saying no to SCAM accuasationsThe most viral stock market news topic is the accusation that Rahul Gandhi made on HM and FM for their speech asking people to buy stocks for June 4th. Everything would have gone well if we did not have the 8.75% crash on 4th June, because the markets did have a beautiful run up till then.
The SCAM accusation would have really made sense if we did not have the recovery on 5th, 6th and 7th, because as it stands now the markets are literally up by 3.2% as of 31st May close. I do not know if this follow up buying is actually scam version 2 or not, or is it genuine buying after markets got enough confidence from Modi 3.0.
Even if someone bought nifty50 stocks on 03 June and if they did not sell, they are relatively flat as on 7th June - even after the violent swings.
Technically we are still maintaining the bullish stance till proven wrong.
Nifty50 Support And Resistance 10-Jun-24
Please find below simple resistance and support:
This is only for education purpose. Do your own research before investing or trading.
I AM NOT SEBI REGISTERED ANALYST, SO BEFORE TAKING ANY DECISION CONSULT ANY PROFESSIONAL.
We Strictly Recommend You Not To Make Any Decisions, Financial, Investments, Trading, Or Otherwise.
Please Understand That Using This Information Would Be Totally At Your Own Risk.
****************************************************************************
𝐃𝐈𝐒𝐂𝐋𝐀𝐈𝐌𝐄𝐑: We/I are not 𝐒𝐄𝐁𝐈 ( Securities and Exchange Board of India ) Registered. The Information Provided Is For Educational & Instructive Purposes Only. Our Intention Is Not To Provide Any Financial Advice, Investment Advice, Training Advice, Or Any Other Advice. This Is General Information And Is Not Explicit To You Or Anyone Else.
Without The Consultation Of Any Professional, We Strictly Recommend You Not To Make Any Decisions, Financial, Investments, Trading, Or Otherwise. Please Understand That Using This Information Would Be Totally At Your Own Risk.
Do Not Take Any Action Unless You Are Set Up To Continue An
'All Out Misfortune " or "Total Loss".
Your Misfortune Could Incorporate Cash You Contributed Just As Commissions And Exchange Charges
NIFYT prediction for today 7 Jun 24As we discussed yesterday, Nifty traded in a sideways-bullish zone.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading in a Bullish sideways market zone. Price has taken support at 200 EMA, and it has also formed a double bottom, which shows the market is in consolidation mode. If it breaks the neckline, you can make a bullish entry after a retracement.
Support levels: 22640, 22267, 21850
resistance levels: 22898, 23151, 23307
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.82, which has increased from 0.63, shows a bullish sign in the market. 22800 is max-pain. On higher levels, there is much more PE writing compared to lower-side PE writing.
VIX has also decreased significantly, which indicates volatility is being controlled.
I am expecting the market:
Case 1 : Sideways in range of 22640-22898
Case 2 : On either side, it breaks to the upside. We can target the 23000 level.
Reason:
RSI > 60 shows a bullish structure.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a Bullishmarket structure.
PCR = 0.82 has risen from 0.63 and shows signs of bullishness.
Price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways in range of 22640-22898. bullish if it breaks 22898 to the upside.
Plan of action:
Case 1 : Sideways: Sell 22650 PE & 22900 CE (Hedge it with 20/- premium options)
Case 2 : Exit 22900 CE if the market breaks to the upside.
Nifty on Radar - 5 JuneNIFTY (22,620) is currently in a negative trend.
The probability of a negative move is very high.
Short positions can be held with daily closing stoploss of 22,705.
A positive trend will be started if Nifty closes above 22,705.
Disclaimer : This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
05 Jun 2024 - Nifty50 Reversal or 61.8% Fibonacci retracement?No, I am not denying the credit to Nifty50 to have rallied 735pts ~ 3.36% to have a beautiful green today. I just drew the Fibonacci levels from the peak point of 3rd June and the bottom-most level of Jun 04 - the results are in front of you.
23.6% levels @ 21796 had some action
38.2% levels @ 22091 (quite near my 22051 SR level) had a stronger action
50% levels @ 22329 (quite near my 22295 levels) also had significant touchpoints
61.8% levels @ 22567 (quite near my 22519 levels) is where we closed today
I would not prefer to change my stance to bullish yet. The best I could think of is to go neutral and see how these levels are holding up for the next 1 week. The resistance of 22781 may be the game changer according to me.
And honestly, we are back at the levels just before the exit poll results. 3 violent moves would have shaken out a sizeable crowd of traders. It takes courage to even hang-on.
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 6 Jun 24NIFTY gave a really big bullish moment today. It's still an effect, and the market boomed 700+ points.
If we look at the chart now:
The market gave really big momentum to the upside. The market is trading above EMA, which shows that the market is really bullish right now. There is also a bullish EMA(13, 50) crossover, which indicates that the market is in a bullish phase now.
Support levels: 22246, 21850, and 21293
resistance levels: 22640, 22832, 23151
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.61, which has increased from 0.53, shows a bullish sign in the market. There is no such max-pain Market that is clearly bullish. There is only good CE writing at 23000, which is going to provide a huge resistance.
VIX has also decreased significantly, which indicates volatility is being controlled.
I am expecting the market:
Case 1 : Sideways in range of 22253-22640
Case 2 : On either side, it breaks to either side's trade accordingly.
Reason:
RSI > 60 shows a bullish structure.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a Bullishmarket structure.
PCR = 0.63 has risen from 0.53 and shows signs of bullishness.
Price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways in range of 22253-22640. and Volatile on either side, it breaks.
Plan of action:
Case 1 : Sideways: Sell 22250 PE & 22650 CE (Hedge it with 20/- premium options)
Case 2 : Exit the opposite position on either side. It breaks.
04 Jun 2024- Nifty almost hit the lower circuit ~ 10% intradayWhat a strange day it has been, the moment the market participants realized that BJP will not get a simple majority - we started falling. That realization came in the opening minutes and did not give me ample time to prepare.
Honestly, I did not expect such a move today. I really thought we would have the reaction on Wednesday instead. I was not really ready with my short position and to be frank, I lost almost 5 lakhs as opportunity cost today.
Nifty ended up negating the last 172 days of upmove, in the single daily candle of today. It is like watching your building collapse, something that you took 6 months to build.
Interestingly the reversal came at the 200 EMA and not at 21491. If you notice my chart, I do not have a support/resistance level between 21491 and 19855 - if we break that tomorrow, it is going to be a free-fall.
Stance updated to bearish till proven wrong.
Current, NDA 291, INDIA 234, Others 18.
Nifty50 ( 31st May) 1/2Hourly closing below 22584 -- 22609 will be 🐻 📉 📉 to 22428 and 22280
22280 could test within 3rd June
Any closing sustains above 22609 in hourly then 📈 📈
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
31 May 2024 - Stance changed to neutral, all eyes on exit pollNifty was unable to break the 22519 support, the entire day we spent hovering around this support resistance level - but the sheer inability to break shows the lack of strength of the Bears.
I would have maintained the bearish stance if we had at least 1 candle below this level. Currently, the next support level is at 22295 and the resistance level is at 22781.
All eyes are on the exit polls now, to be frank - technical analysis won't work when there is news flow and there is no way to predict what is coming next.
To be honest, I am not aware if BJP will get the number of seats they had in mind or if we have a coalition govt or not. Personally, I prefer not to predict but take some aggressive positions once a clue appears.
My expectations for markets next week, post election results
1. 400+ seats - up 5%+
2. 270 to 399 seats - down 5 to 10%
3. less than 270 seats - down 25%
I am of the impression that we may have a fall after the initial surge as a few sectors are overvalued.
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow | 3 June | MondayAs we discussed, Nifty had a sideways structure; it was sideways the whole day.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading in the range while taking good resistance at 200-EMA. The market is very volatile as VIX is 24.60. the market is trading in the range 22465 - 22639. If we look at the last two candles, it is a huge volume from the support zone as well as selling from the resistance zone.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.76, which has fallen from 0.53, shows a market bullish structure. 22500 is going to be MaxPain. 23000 is very Hard resistance with heavy CE writing.
I am expecting:
Case 1 : Sideways in the range 22465 - 22639.
Case 2 : If the market breaks 22465 to the downside or if the market breaks the upside, it will be bullish.
Reasons:
RSI < 50 shows a weak bull strength.
Price < EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a bearish market.
The market has formed a lower high lower low structure in 15-min TH that indicates the market is bearish unless the market tends to form a Higher-High.
PCR = 0.76 indicates neutral market behavior.
Price < VWAP shows that a weak market structure can lead to a bearish market.
Verdict: Sideways in range also can break to either side.
Plan of action :
Case 1: Sideways: Sell 22450 PE & 22650 CE (Hedge it with 40/-)
Case 2: Exit the loss-making leg once it breaks the channel.
30 May 2024 - Nifty did not break the 22519 decisively, bearish Over the last 1 week, Nifty hits a new ATH of 23110 and falls 3% ~ 693pts. On a week-2-week basis, we have only fallen 395pts ~ 1.72%. What is more important is that we have started a nice reversal, what needs to be seen is if we get a stronger fall this time.
On every other occasion, the dip buyers emerged and ensured our indices were continuing the one-way trip i.e. upwards. Usually, every bull run will have a healthy correction, but in our case - we never even had a decent fall.
Yesterday we went short on Nifty and stayed neutral on BankNifty. Quite happy to see those trades went quite well. Nifty went all the way down to 22417 before retracing the support level of 22519 to close above. If we closed below 22519 today - it would have given a lot of confidence to the bears.
Nevertheless, our view still remains bearish for Nifty and neutral for BankNifty. The real momentum should pick up once BN also joins N50 by breaking its support of 48661.






















