Nifty50 (21st May ) 1/322478 below hourly closing could be bearish to 📉 📉 22391 and 22235
If closing above 22478 then 📈 📈 22518 and beyond ( will update upside level if it breach 22518 )
Disclaimer:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Niftyoptions
17, 18 May 2024 - Nifty looks strong, bullish tone continues...There are a few changes to my daily postmortem report. After I started the MFD business, not getting enough time to write a detailed technical report daily.
Thought I would send the reports every day on Thursdays after the Nifty's expiry. The detailed analysis and the 4mts, 16mts, 63mts chart will be explained on my personal blog as well.
Here on Tradingview, I will continue to post daily with just the direction and a brief one-liner. You can always contact me if you need more explanation or synthesis.
17th may - Nifty defends 22295 but is unable to break 22519. Stance is still bullish.
18th may - 11.07 candle has a long tail, that went up to 22051 - quite strange though.
Targets for Monday - bullish with 22519 to be taken out. Stance will revise to neutral if 22295 is broken
Nifty on Radar - Weekly Review | 18 MayWeekly Marubozu bullish candle piercing the STMA band. 22800 could be tested, if broken then we have 23000+ levels and the potential target is 23800 on the projection scale. According to the volume profile the level of 22050 could act as a strong support and according to chart structure the support is 21800. For momentum reading the resistance is 22600.
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
NIFTY analysis for tomorrow 20 May | MondayAs we discussed, NIFTY has a bullish structure as it was tested on a disaster management system. That is exactly what happened today. The market had a huge volatility of 500 points in 10 min. There was no order flow; it was like a pump-and-dump scam. What is SEBI doing regarding these spikes? Let's see for tomorrow's setup-
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the resistance level right now, as it was a disaster management system testing. There were not many players in the market. So there were no big moments. The important support levels 22293, 22100, on the other hand, 22609(minor resistance), and 22763 are going to provide a nice resistance.
If we look at OI data:
PCR = 1.25 shows a bullish structure. If we notice today after 11:15 AM, there is a heavy volatility with 500 points. However, there was no order flow in the OI data. 22500 is the maximum pain. 22400 and 22300 have good PE writing that is going to provide a nice support. On the upper side, there is less CE writing, which shows that the market is still going in a bullish direction.
FII and DII data are not yet available.
I am expecting the market to go higher in the upcoming sessions.
Reasons:
RSI crossing 60 to the upside might be the start of the new bullish trend.
Price > EMA (13,200), which shows the market is ready to go bullish.
PCR = 1.25 shows a very bullish sign.
Price > VWAP means bulls are getting strength.
The market has already given a breakout. It was a good accumulation today; soon, it will shoot to the upside.
Verdict:
Bullish
Plan of action:
Sell 22400 PE (Hedge with 15/- Premium)
Nifty on Radar - 17 MayNifty likely to head higher. 22800 could be tested. And if that breaks, we have 23000+ levels coming. Today NIFTY bounced above the high of the compression zone and formed a bullish candle with High High and High Low on daily. Weekly candle bullish piercing the STMA band.
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
Nifty50 (17th May) 1/3If next hourly closing sustains below 22497 then 📉 📉 to 22202 as marked on the chart
Hourly closing above 22497 is bullish 📈 📈 ( if it sustains then will post a updated chart )
Disclaimer:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
16 May 2024–Stance upgraded to Bullish, Crazy 377pts intraday⬆️Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: "The good thing for the bulls was the fall ended at 10.27, for the remainder of the day we went into a small range bound trade. The final close was flat at -0.08%."
We started today right at the resistance level of 22295 and then started falling. We went below yesterday's low and took interim support at 22119 levels. From there the bounce took us to 22295 again by 12.19 and this time the rejection was stronger and it ensured we fell to the next support level of 22051.
What happened then was totally unbelievable, right at that level the rejection ensured we were retracing 377pts ~ 1.71% in 1 hour. Just crazy, unbelievable price action - normally we see that during news/event flows. 13 consecutive green candles, 15 out of 16 candles in green - just magical statistics.
On the 63mts TF, just look at the size of the 63mts candle - simply wow. Our stance is now bullish with the next target being 22519. If we are falling, we need to go below 22295 for a neutral stance and 22051 for a bearish outlook.
The algos were in deep loss today, courtesy of the fast & furious moves in the last 90mts. The forward test algo shows a profit of 2475, but the actual execution was in deep red due to slippages.
Nifty of Radar - 16 MayToday we have a Breakout of Both bands and the Resistance of 22300.
Also RSI>50 indicates start of an uptrend.
But today's move is not tradable due to expiry volatility.
So, I wait for another candle to confirm the trend direction.
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
Nifty50 (16th May) 3/3Next hourly closing above 22164 then shortcovering could be possible 📈 📈 to above levels marked on the chart
If hourly closing below 22164 then 📉 📉 ( 22093 pending level )
22093 imp support below that any hourly closing will be 🥶 📉 📉
Disclaimers:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Nifty50 (16th May) 1/3Hourly closing below 22246 then 📉 📉 could test 22156
22156 could be a reversal level for upside 📈 📈
Closing in hourly above 22246 then 📈 to above target
If any hourly closing sustains above 22320 then bullish 📈 📈 to 22438
Disclaimer:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
NIFTY Prediction for today 16 May 24Nifty has already given the breakout. right now it's in the consolidation phase of WAVE 1.
If we look at the chart now:
Market is in sideways zone in range: 22098-22293
Important Levels:
Support zones: 21811 , 21944, 22098
Resistance: 22544, 22763
If we look at OI data:
PCR = 0.73, shows neutral structure. as it's expiry market is highly probable to end sideways in the provided range. if we got the momentum it is likely to be bullish. 22200 is going to provide maxPain.
If we look the FII and DII data it is more of indecisive.
Verdict:
Sideways in range
Bullish if breaks the range 22293 to upside.
15 May 2024–Nifty gets a mild rejection at 22295, stance neutralNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Recap from yesterday: "I am hard-guessing it should be a short covering. The moment we get past 22295, we will be forced to go long."
The open was good and we started climbing quickly but at 22295 levels we got our first rejection. Four strong red candles between 09.51 and 10.27 brought N50 down by almost 143 points. If 22295 was breached, we would have changed our stance from neutral to bullish.
The good thing for the bulls was the fall ended at 10.27, for the remainder of the day we went into a small range bound trade. The final close was flat at -0.08%.
On the higher timeframe, we need to take out the resistance pretty quickly otherwise this pullback will start forming a lower high. A lower low, lower high formation is a bearish pattern and that would also mean the next leg of the down move will be more aggressive. At present we prefer to stay neutral till we get more clarity.
The algos made a profit of 15750 INR, MTM was into a loss earlier on, but after 11am things started improving.
Nifty for 16/05/2024Nifty is in uptrend channel from last few sessions, now Nifty is taking support of the channel and forming symmetrical triangle pattern too, Nifty was moving in range of 22233-22164 in last session, if tommorow Nifty breaks this range either upside or downside, then we can expect big move. Here are some levels for your information.
I am not SEBI registered analyst, this is my personal view only for educational purpose, I am not responsible for any profit or loss.
Nifty on Radar - 15 MayToday we have a red indecisive candle with a high high and a high low.
The price is rejected from the resistance level of 22300.
Currently we are in a negative trend.
I just need another red candle with a breakdown of the previous candle low to enter a swing trade.
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
Nifty50 (15th May) 1/222296 --- 22241 ( No Trade Zone )
Closing below 22241 in hourly could trigger a downward momentum 📉 📉 📉 to 22136
Any hourly closing above 22296 then 📈 📈 to 22449
Disclaimer:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
14 May 2024–Nifty gets steam, is it short covering or fresh longNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Recap from yesterday: "The recovery was more than fast and furious, it even took out the 22051 resistance level. This nudged me to change the stance from bearish to neutral just for tomorrow."
Nifty started the day inline and then started climbing almost steadily. There were no visible drops, pullbacks, or attempts by the Bears to push down the prices. The decision to change the stance from bearish to neutral yesterday paid off.
At this point, I am not quite sure if it's the short covering or build-up of new long positions that is taking the markets higher. I am hard-guessing it should be a short covering. The moment we get past 22295, we will be forced to go long.
On the higher time frame, N50 has held on to the 21913 pretty strongly reinforcing the IH&S pattern (earlier). This could be read along with the new double bottom (W pattern) that is forming which shows the strength of the support level.
Nifty Algos ended the day with gains of 5625 INR
Nifty50 (13th May) 2/222042 -- 22071 (No trade zone)
If today's closing is below 22042 then there could be some corrections 📉 possible to below levels for (14th May )
If closing above 22071 then 22232 could test 📈 📈 within (15th May )
Disclaimer:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Nifty Institutional levels | Intraday 14-May-2024Soon i will give update on how to use this IT levels in Options Trading.
Disclaimer:-
The information provided by our advisory service is for educational and informational purposes only. We do not provide investment, financial, or legal advice. Trading and investing involve risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Any decision to engage in trading or investment activities is at the sole discretion and risk of the individual. We strongly recommend consulting with a qualified financial advisor or professional before making any investment decisions. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information provided, and we disclaim any liability for any loss or damage arising from reliance on the information provided. Users are solely responsible for their own investment decisions and actions and off course we are not SEBI registered.
13 May 2024– 310pts intraday bounce, stance changed to neutralNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Recap from yesterday: "On the 63mts TF, the bearishness continues. The next target of 21913 is still in our watchlist and if we fall below that - the real action begins."
The day took me by surprise, not with the inline opening and a 248pts ~ 1.12% downward fall, but the reversal of 310pts ~ 1.42%. The downside was in the cards, if you had read the previous day's post mortem report - you would have subscribed to those views.
And once again we broke the 21913 support, but gave it away real quick. The recovery was more than fast and furious, it even took out the 22051 resistance level. This nudged me to change the stance from bearish to neutral just for tomorrow.
On the higher time frame, I still cannot believe the reversal came from a technical perspective. Most likely the source seems like a news/event, did not find time to scan it as was busy with my Bday plans.
The Algos shows a profit of 10327 INR, but the actual results were negative, I guess it had to do with some wild swings that we had in between & due to slippage in bid/ask spread.
Nifty50 Support And Resistance 14-May-24Please find below simple resistance and support:
Resistance: 22132
If crossed up then will see upward move:
TGT: 22338 (1 small hurdle at 22186)
Support: Trendline support although 21934
If crossed down then will see downward move:
TGT: 21820
This is only for education purpose. Do your own research before investing or trading.
I AM NOT SEBI REGISTERED ANALYST, SO BEFORE TAKING ANY DECISION CONSULT ANY PROFESSIONAL.
We Strictly Recommend You Not To Make Any Decisions, Financial, Investments, Trading, Or Otherwise.
Please Understand That Using This Information Would Be Totally At Your Own Risk.
****************************************************************************
𝐃𝐈𝐒𝐂𝐋𝐀𝐈𝐌𝐄𝐑: We/I are not 𝐒𝐄𝐁𝐈 ( Securities and Exchange Board of India ) Registered. The Information Provided Is For Educational & Instructive Purposes Only. Our Intention Is Not To Provide Any Financial Advice, Investment Advice, Training Advice, Or Any Other Advice. This Is General Information And Is Not Explicit To You Or Anyone Else.
Without The Consultation Of Any Professional, We Strictly Recommend You Not To Make Any Decisions, Financial, Investments, Trading, Or Otherwise. Please Understand That Using This Information Would Be Totally At Your Own Risk.
Do Not Take Any Action Unless You Are Set Up To Continue An
'All Out Misfortune " or "Total Loss".
Your Misfortune Could Incorporate Cash You Contributed Just As Commissions And Exchange Charges
10 May 2024 - Inability to take out the 22051 resistance - BEARSNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️
Recap from yesterday: "On the higher timeframe, N50 has made a massive double top, see the black dotted line. If it materializes, it could even be a real shocker to the bulls out there. Just like we discussed this week, if 21913 is getting taken out, the inverse H&S pattern will get negated."
Nifty was unable to take out the immediate resistance of 22051 conclusively although we stayed above these levels between 09.47 to 10.47 and then between 11.11 and 11.35. The inability to break out is some validation for the Bears to continue exerting the pressure.
On the 63mts TF, the bearishness continues. The next target of 21913 is still in our watchlist and if we fall below that - the real action begins.
#Nifty50 algo ended up generating Rs10912 today.