Niftytradesetup
#nifty directions and levels for October 14th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for October 14th.
Market Overview:
There have been no significant changes in the global or local markets. The global market is showing a bullish sentiment, while our local market has a moderately bearish trend. We anticipate a neutral to slightly gap-up opening today, with SGX Nifty indicating a positive +10 points as of 8 AM.
In the previous session, Nifty closed with consolidation, while Bank Nifty experienced a minor correction. However, structurally, both are in a range-bound phase. Trading in a range market can be difficult as we may not see clear movement, direction, or option premium. However, if you’re looking to trade, we can consider a breakout entry, which I'll explain in the charts.
Nifty:
> If the market breaks either above 25,040 or below 24,897, we can enter a breakout trade. Target levels are 25,167 on the upside and 24,810 on the downside.
> It is important to note that after a breakout, if the market experiences gradual movements or rejects the immediate support or resistance level, it is likely to close at the same level as it opened today.
> On the other hand, if the market consolidates around the immediate support or resistance level after the breakout, the direction is likely to continue.
NIFTY - Elliott Wave Outlook
Timeframe: Weekly
NSE NIFTY began an impulsive move after hitting a low of 15183.4 . Based on the wave count, the price completed wave (5) of wave (3) at 26277.3 and has since started to decline. The price is currently in a wave (4) correction phase. Let’s switch to the daily timeframe for a closer look at the details.
Timeframe: Daily
On the daily chart with a neckline at 24,750 , we’re observing a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern forming. If the price breaks below this neckline, Nifty could drop significantly, potentially reaching the demand zone or surge point of the pattern. However, if the price fails to break this neckline, it indicates weakness in the bearish momentum, signaling a possible reversal
According to the Elliott Wave Principle, if wave 5 is an extended wave, the correction often occurs near sub-wave 2 of the previous impulse, especially if it falls below sub-wave 4. So, 24,570 will be a crucial level for Nifty. We can expect the price to move up by no more than 126% of wave A within the correction. Otherwise, there’s a risk of mistaking wave B for wave 3.
Whatever scenario Nifty chooses, it’s better to let Nifty commit to a clear direction before we commit to the market.
We will update further information soon.
11th Oct 2024 - Stance is bearish even though we fell only 81ptsNifty Stance Bearish ️⬇️
On a week-to-week basis, Nifty only dropped 81 points, but the real reason I am still bearish is because the pullback we had on the 9th was not powerful enough to take out the last swing low.
You can also notice the 50 EMA crossing the 200 EMA from top to bottom. I am using a 63mts custom time frame, but this must be true even for the hourly TF.
All this happened even when the global markets were rallying. By the way, the US markets' SPX hit new all-time highs. This shrug-off in our markets may have to do with the new SEBI FnO rules. As a surprise to many, the BankNifty weekly index is getting removed and we will have only one Monthly expiry from December 2024. Has this spooked the markets, I think so. We will discuss that in a while.
For the week of 14th to 18th Oct, I wish to start with a bearish stance and then go neutral if 25230 is taken out decisively.
NIFTY INTRADAY LEVELS FOR 14/10/2024BUY ABOVE - 25060
SL - 24970
TARGETS - 25120,25180,25230
SELL BELOW - 24970
SL - 25060
TARGETS - 24890,24800,24700
NO TRADE ZONE - 24890 to 24970
Previous Day High - 25050
Previous Day Low - 24890
Based on price action major support & resistance's are here, the red lines acts as resistances, the green lines acts as supports. If the price breaks the support/resistance, it will move to the next support/resistance line. White lines indicates previous day high & low, high acts as a resistance & low acts as a support for next day.
Trendlines are also significant to price action. If the price is above/below the trendlines, can expect an UP/DOWN with aggressive move.
Please NOTE: this levels are for intraday trading only.
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
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HAPPY TRADING 👍
Nifty's Dark Clouds Gather: Bearish Sentiment Takes HoldAfter reaching a high near 26,280, the index encountered considerable resistance and subsequently fell.
A Head & Shoulders pattern is currently developing, leading to a negative sentiment in the market.
If the neckline is broken, the index may quickly decline to the 24,000 level. This level will be critical in assessing whether the index can bounce back or if it will drop below the support level.
"Tomorrow’s Nifty 50 Secret: Trade with 90% Accurate Breakout LeFor tomorrow's Nifty 50 trading based on the chart:
The orange levels on your chart (24,948.20 and 25,064.80) are key pivot levels where high-probability trades can be taken.
If the market opens below 24,948.20, this level acts as a resistance zone, signaling potential for a selling opportunity as the market may face downward pressure.
If the market opens above 25,064.80, it becomes a support zone, signaling a buying opportunity as the market might continue upward momentum.
Use the 5-minute timeframe to closely track the price movement.
Entry strategy:
Buy trade: If Nifty breaks above 25,064.80 and holds, enter a long position for a breakout. This becomes a strong support level if the market opens above it.
Sell trade: If Nifty breaks below 24,948.20 and sustains, enter a short position. This becomes a solid resistance level if the market opens below it.
These levels are 90% accurate, and the plan is to wait for a clear breakout beyond these orange lines before entering a position.
Key takeaway: The direction of the opening will decide whether these levels act as buying or selling zones, making them crucial for your trade setups.
NIFTY50: INSTITUTIONAL LEVELS FOR 11/10/2024QUICK GUIDE
- Use 5 minute timeframe
- Try to take enters at retest
- Use multiple confirmation
- Read full description before investing
- Try to take ATM options or above
Explanation:
This is a very useful trading system. This means that you should not take a trade blindly, but rather that there is another confirmation to take the trade you can use this for perfect entry and perfect exit
This trading opportunity is based on volume, previous price, and price range , are included
Entry/Exit point's:
- It has very easy entry and exit points
- In this pair of lines with two colors are given (RED AND BLUE)
- In this the blue line is used to take long entry and the red line is used to take short entry (But it is all based on a more conformation from your trading plan)
Stop Loss/Take Profit:
Stop Loss
- According to this, if you take a long trade, its stop loss will be the red line just below ( A trade can exit either when the price crosses the red line or the 5 minute candlestick crosses the red line. (This can be done according to your preference) )
- A short entry should use the opposite rules to a long entry
Take Profit
-When you take a long entry according to the profit to be booked is on the next red line above. ( Or if there are other reasons, it can be a safe exit )
- Opposite rules for booking profit on long entry are to book profit on short trade. ( The blue line above is the stop loss of short entry )
Timeframe:
According to this, the time frame you should use while taking trades is 5 minutes time frames . (5 minute time frame works well in this)
Risk Disclaimer:
Trading carries significant risk and is not suitable for all traders. You may lose some or all of your capital in a matter of minutes or hours. Market conditions can change rapidly, and prices can move against you quickly. You may not always be able to exit at a favorable price, and you may be required to hold a position overnight, exposing yourself to additional risk. Day trading involves high risk, high leverage, and high stakes, and you should only trade with funds you can afford to lose. Please carefully consider your financial situation, risk tolerance, and trading objectives before engaging in day trading.
Engagement:
Share your insights, ask questions, and learn from others in the community. Whether you're a seasoned pro or just starting out, we're all in this together.
What's your take on the current market conditions? Which trading strategies are working for you? Let's discuss and help each other grow as traders!
Comment below and let's get the conversation started!
Original Content:
This trading setup is the result of my own innovation and expertise, and is not based on any publicly available information or third-party systems. It is a reflection of my dedication to developing a competitive edge in the markets.
#nifty directions and levels for October 11th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for October 11th.
Market Overview:
There have been no significant changes in the global or local markets. The global market is displaying a bullish sentiment, while our local market is showing a moderately bearish trend. A neutral to slightly gap-down opening is anticipated today, with SGX Nifty indicating a negative -20 points as of 8 AM.
In the previous session, Nifty consolidated while Bank Nifty saw a solid upward move; however, it closed near the previous day’s high. Structurally, both indices differ, but sentiment suggests that major movements are slowing down. so If the market opens neutral, it may consolidate between nearby support and resistance levels. After that, if a breakout occurs, we can follow the direction—whether to the upside or downside. This is our primary direction for today. Let’s take a closer look at the charts.
Nifty Current View:
If the market starts neutral or negative, it may find support around 24,924 to 24,900. If support is found, Nifty could consolidate between 24,924 and 25,001 on the upside. After this, if the range breaks, we can follow the direction, whether it’s to the upside or downside. This is our first variation.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market breaks or consolidates around the immediate support level (24,924), the correction may continue, reaching at least 78% to the downside.
#nifty directions and levels for October 10th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for October 10th.
Market Overview:
The global market is displaying bullish sentiment, while our local market shows a moderately bearish trend. A gap-up opening is anticipated today, with SGX Nifty indicating an increase of approximately +110 points as of 8 AM.
In the last session, we saw a lot of movement due to the RBI policy. The market is still somewhat weak overall, but the Gift Nifty is showing a positive start with around +100 points gap-up. This is because of global factors, like the Dow Jones going up strongly after the FOMC minutes. Gift Nifty also reacted to this.
What should we do with this sentiment? We should wait for a breakout in a certain range. If the market breaks this range, we can follow that direction because of the mixed local and global factors. I'll explain this more clearly in the charts.
Nifty and Bank Nifty have similar chart patterns.
Nifty Current View:
The current view suggests that if the gap-up doesn't sustain or the market rejects near the immediate resistance level of 25,173, then the correction may likely continue with a minimum downside of 78%. However, one additional confirmation is needed: after rejection, the market should break the lower trendline or the previous day's closing candle.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-up sustains, the market may consolidate around the 25,173 level. After consolidation, if this level is broken, we can expect the pullback to continue, targeting a minimum upside level of 25,272 to 78%.
Nifty weekly expiry analysis for 10/10/2024Market has given a nice movement and for two days it remained in a range but is volatile.
There are chance of market either follow the bearish trend or form a 'W' pattern.
Nifty has closed around crucial levels from where it can either reverse the trend or continue falling.
Major support level :- 24760, 24600
Resistance level :- 25210, 25480
The weekly expiry can show a trending move after a break out or break down.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Nifty Intraday Levels | 9-OCT-2024This trading strategy focuses on scalping Nifty options based on institutional support and resistance zones and executing trades using order flow data. Here's a quick summary of the key points:
1️⃣ Zones to Focus on:
👉Green Zone: Represents institutional support.
👉Red Zone: Indicates institutional resistance.
👉Gap Between Zones: Typically ranges from 100-200 points.
👉Zone Creation: Uses pivot points and Fibonacci levels.
👉Price Action: An advanced version for refined entries and exits.
👉Chart Reference: Trades are executed based on the Nifty futures chart.
2️⃣ Trade Execution:
👉Order Flow Data: Trades are triggered by tracking the market's order flow.
👉Timeframes: Focus on the 1-minute and 5-minute charts for quick scalps.
👉Risk-Reward Ratio: Strict 1:2 (Risk 1 to gain 2).
👉Strike Price: Target at-the-money (ATM) or slightly in-the-money (ITM) options.
👉Position Sizing: Customize based on personal risk tolerance.
3️⃣ House Rules:
👉Sharp Execution: Be ready at 9:15 AM for market open.
👉Risk Management: Always a priority.
👉Quick Trades: Fast execution "morning breakfast".
👉Strict Stop-Loss: Set at 10 points to limit losses.
This method is well-structured for traders who prioritize risk management and quick scalping opportunities in the Nifty market.
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Short term trading opportunity in Hindalco Ind for > 10% upsideHi,
NSE:HINDALCO has given a Bullish Inverted Head & SHoulder Breakout on Daily charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
Don't Forget to Follow me to get all the updates.
Please share your feedback or any queries on the study.
Disclaimer: Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision.
#nifty directions and levels for October 9th."Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for October 9th.
Market Overview:
The global market is still maintaining a moderately bullish sentiment, while our local market shows a moderately bearish trend. A neutral to gap-up opening is expected today, with SGX Nifty indicating a positive move of around +20 points as of 8 AM.
Today, we have a major event: the RBI monetary policy announcement. This means the market is likely to move based on this data, which will be released around 10 AM. Therefore, technical analysis may not play a significant role today.
However, structurally, both the Nifty and Bank Nifty remain in a bearish bias since they haven't broken the 38% Fibonacci level in the overall correction. So, if the market rejects the key resistance level, we can expect the correction to continue."
#Nifty directions and levels for the 2nd week of October.Good evening, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for the 2nd week of October.
Global Outlook:
In the previous week, the global market closed where it started, indicating that the past two weeks have seen global markets in a range-bound market. Structurally, this is a moderately bullish trend, so we can expect the continuation of this range during the week. Once the range breaks, the trend is likely to continue. In the meantime, there are some important economic data releases this week, including FOMC minutes, Balance of Trade, Inflation Rate, Initial Jobless Claims, and PPI, so we should watch these closely.
Our Market:
Last week, both Nifty and Bank Nifty fell drastically due to F&O-related factors. Structurally, this indicates a clear bearish trend, but the RSI is suggesting a slight bounce back due to the occurrence of divergence. If this happens, we can expect a minimum of a 38% bounce back in the minor swing. We can discuss this in more detail in the charts. Additionally, we have a major event this week: the RBI Policy announcement.
Current View:
The current view based on the RSI data is as follows:
* The RSI divergence is likely to occur in the sub-wave 5. The structure suggests there is a 5th sub-wave forming. Once the market starts to bounce back, we can close the 5-wave structure in the 1st leg of the correction, leading into the 2nd leg.
* The ideal 2nd leg is a three-wave structure, which could take a minimum of 38% to 61% bounce back from the previous swing.
> In rare occasions, it could reach 78%. Structurally, it won’t go beyond this level; however, if it does, the overall trend will turn bullish.
* Once the three-wave structure (2nd leg) completes, the 3rd wave will begin. The 3rd wave is a correctional wave; if it rejects and cuts below the EMA20 line, we can assume that the downtrend may continue further. This is our first variation.
Alternate View:
* The alternate view suggests that if the week starts with a negative candle, it may evolve into a diagonal structure.
* A diagonal is a time adjustment pattern, so the correction could continue with some minor bounce backs.
* However, the diagonal also indicates a sub-wave of the 5th. Once the diagonal pattern breaks upwards, the previous sentiment will apply here as well, meaning we can expect a minimum of a 38% bounce back from the previous swing.
4th Oct 2024 - Nifty Slips 1130pts ~ 4.32%, stance bearishNifty Stance Bearish ️⬇️
What a dramatic week it has been, Nifty falls 1130pts ~ 4.32% after SEBI's new FnO rule changes go live. What spooked the markets? I guess the fear that liquidity may get sucked out post 20th November 2024. Or is it because China's stock market is going limit up?
The fall in our market was kind of different, usually the bear power lasts only 2 days after which the bulls will come in and rally the markets to new all time highs. Hope we get a bear run continuation for a while now, few of the stocks and the main indices in particular are overvalued. A retracement will shake off the greed and insanity.
Our stance has changed to bearish with the stop loss at 25247 above which we will go neutral.