Nifty50 (25th April)22448 -- 22476 above sustains in any hourly candle 🕯 then 📈 📈 to 22561 -- 22598
22351 -- 22316 below Closing in hourly then 📉 📉 to 22229 -- 22159
22316 to 22476 ( No trade zone )
Disclaimer:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Niftytrendanalysis
#Nifty directions and Levels for April 25th.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 25th:
The global market trend is moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a decrease of -70.
Nifty had closed with consolidation in the last session. In this session, if it opens neutral to gap-up, then we can expect a range breakout, but GiftNifty indicates a slightly negative start. So, it might take a little correction, retracing to a minimum of 23% to 38% Fibonacci level. If this happens, don't take any advance long positions around the 38% level because the structure may not be clear here compared to BankNifty. so If it consolidates around the 38%, then the correction continues further, and you can fix the next target Fibonacci level at 50%
The alternate variation suggests that if the gap-down doesn't sustain and takes an immediate pullback, then it might undergo further range market. After that consolidation, if it breaks the previous high, then we can expect a rally continuation.
However, if the market opens against the sentiment, which means if the market opens neutral or gap-up, then we can expect a rally, potentially breaking the previous high.
#Nifty directions and levels for April 23rd.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 23rd:
The global market trend is moderately bullish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-up start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a +30 point increase.
Nifty experienced a minor pullback with some consolidation in the last session. There have been no changes in the previous sentiment. GiftNifty suggests a minor gap-up start, so the market may open positively; after that, if it sustains, we can expect a rally continuation with minor consolidation, targeting a minimum of 22476. If you're wondering whether it may reach the fib level of 78%, the answer is, if the rally has a solid structure, then it may reach the fib level of 78%; otherwise, it will be rejected above the level of 22476.
Similarly, alternative variations also suggest the same bullish sentiment. Until the market breaks the previous minor swing low, it may take a range market to rally continuation. On the other hand, if it breaks structurally, we can expect a minimum of 38% fib correction.
Island Top - Reversal Pattern, Rsi DivergenceIsland Reversal,
A significant gap up, or sharply higher price at the open, follows an upward price trend, then reverses to a bearish price trend.
Rsi divergence implies a change in relative strength as compared to price movement.
The price has come out of the regression channel.
Probably we are in the 4th wave, which means we have completed the top of the 3rd impulse wave. This would be confirmed if it closed below 21550 in the coming weeks.
#Nifty Directions and levels of April 19th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 19th:
The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also indicates a bearish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a -350 point decrease.
GiftNifty indicates a long gap-down, so I don't know where it will be open. Structurally, the fall may continue Unless the market breaks the fib level of 38% we can expect a decline.
My expectation is correction. The market may undergo some consolidation around any one of the support levels, but there's a possibility of further downside breaks. We can anticipate a minor trend reversal only if it breaks the Fibonacci level of 38%, using the Fibonacci swing from yesterday's high to the upcoming low. If it breaks, we can assume that the minor trend has reversed."
Nifty50 ( 16th April )Above closing on that White line in any hourly could trigger price upwards 📈
(Sideways to bullish)
22343 -- 19th April
Support on 22343 could 📈 to 22714 -- 22789 within ( 26th April -- 2nd May )
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
#Nifty directions and levels for April 15th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 15th:
The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a -120 point decrease.
I'm really sorry, I can't say exactly how the market will react today because of the geopolitical issue.
However, this is my view today: if the market finds support around the immediate support level, then structurally we can expect a 23 to 38% pullback wave. If it has a three-wave structure, it's a better confirmation for correction. Even though after that pullback, if it rejects there (at 38%), then we can expect a correction that may reach once again the previous bottom. And if it breaks, then the correction will likely continue. On the other hand, if the pullback sustains and breaks the fib level 38%, it could consolidate between the previous high and recent low.
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-down breaks or consolidates around the immediate support level, it might continue the correction further."
#nifty directions and levels for April 10th.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 10th:
There have been no changes since the last session. The global market trend is still moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a bullish trend. It might open with a slightly neutral to a gap-up start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a +60 point increase.
Nifty has retraced 38% after the gap-up in the last session. Structurally, 38% is a strong support level. Therefore, if the gap-up sustains, initially we can expect a range-bound market within the range of the last trading day. Directional movement will occur only if it breaks the range either to the upside or downside.
Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, it might turn into a correction phase. However, it should break the Fibonacci level of 38%. If it does break, we can expect a minimum range of 22,558 to 22,501.
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 10 Apr 24NIFTY opened a gap-up and fell sharply from 22768.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the resistance zone (4H-TF). Also, the market is trading at the support trendline. If the market breaks the support to the downside, it is going to generate a quick fall till 22471. Meanwhile, 22617-22766 is a sideways zone, as marked in the chart.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.13, which shows bullishness. But yesterday's PCR was 1.34. That shows the Bull's strength is decreasing, and bears are taking hold of the market. Also, there has been a very good CE writing 22700-23000. There was not much of PE writing today. The market is getting ready for some correction.
If we look at the FII & DII data:
FII is bullish; the Client is bearish.
I am expecting a gap-up to open and then a fall.
Reasons:
PCR = 1.18 indicates a bullish structure. (Bullish)
The market is trading in a resistance zone. There is a high probability that the market will have some correction. (Bearish)
Price >> 200EMA and 13EMA >> 200 EMA that might lead to a correction in the market. (Bearish)
RSI is showing bullish divergence, which might force the market to be sideways. (Sideways)
Price < VWAP means the market is in the bears' favor.
RSI ~ 40-60, which indicates a market sideways structure.
Verdict:
SIdeways or bearish
Plan of action:
Sell 22700 CE and Sell 22600 PE (Hedge with 20/- premium)
Exit CE if it breaks the downside.
#Nifty directions and levels for April 3rd.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 3rd: The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a -130 point.
Nifty - structurally, there have been no changes compared to the previous session. It continues the consolidation structure. Today, Giftnifty is indicating a little bit of a long gap-down start. So, if the gap-down sustains, the market may follow the direction with minor pullbacks, meaning a correction may occur. However, even if it opens with a long gap down, if it finds support around the fib level 38%, then the range market might continue.
#nifty directions and levels for April 1st.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 1st: The global market trend is moderately bullish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a similarly bullish trend. It might open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a +40 point.
Nifty has recently rejected nearly all-time highs. I anticipate the market may undergo some consolidation given the gap-up start indicated by Gift Nifty. If the market breaks the previous high after this consolidation, the rally will likely continue. Alternatively, if the gap-up is not sustained, we can expect a minor correction initially. If it finds support around the 38% level, it may form a consolidation structure. On the other hand, if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, we can expect a correctional wave ranging from 50% to 78%.
#Nifty directions and levels for March 28th"Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for March 28th: The global market trend is moderately bullish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a -8 point.
Nifty experienced a solid pullback in the last session, but the closing retraced a little bit. According to the wave structure, it could be in the 4th subwave. So, if the market opens neutrally, the 4th might consolidate a bit. After that, if it breaks the previous high, then we can consider that as a 5th subwave. It might reach a minimum of 22211 to 22262. If the 5th wave rejects there, then we can expect a correctional wave. On the other hand, if the market sustains around the 22262 level, then the 5th may extend further.
#Nifty directions and levels for March 21st.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for March 21st: The global market trend is moderately bullish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-up start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a +160 point.
Nifty has closed near the open price, but the swing was very huge. Today, Giftnifty has shown a +160 gap-up start. So, if it sustains, then we can expect further rally continuation, reaching 22077 to 22177 with minor consolidation.
Alternatively, if it rejects around the immediate resistance (22035 to SZ), initially we can expect a 23 to 38% minor correction. After that, if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, that's a sign of trend reversal, or if it finds support there, then it may experience some consolidation in the range market.
#Nifty directions and levels for March 20th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for March 20th: there is no significant difference in the last session. The Dow Jones has maintained a neutral sentiment, while our local market sentiment is also neutral. It might open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a +60 point.
Nifty is maintaining a moderately bearish sentiment. However, Giftnifty indicates a gap-up start; structurally, it couldn't sustain. If it doesn't sustain, then we can expect further correction, reaching the demand zone level. It's a minor support here, so if the market consolidates or breaks the zone, then the correction will likely continue. On the other hand, if it experiences a sharp pullback, then we can expect a minimum of 23% to 38% pullback (using Fibonacci swing high to low 22123 to the upcoming low).
Alternatively, if the gap-up sustains, then it may range within the market structure between yesterday's low and the Fibonacci level 38%. We can take a breakout trade once the range breaks, whether it's to the upside or downside, or if it breaks 38% instantly, the pullback will continue with minor consolidations.
#Nifty Directions and levels for March 19th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for March 19th: there is no significant difference in the last session. The global market trend remains structurally moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also indicates a moderately bearish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a -80 point.
"Nifty experienced a minor pullback in the last session. Giftnifty indicates a negative start, but structurally, it has a minor pullback continuation. So, if the market finds support around 21996 to 21961, we can expect a range market or pullback continuation. On the other hand, if it breaks the previous low, then the correction will likely continue, reaching the level of 50% Fibonacci retracement level for the downside
#Nifty directions and levels for March 18th.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for March 18th: The global market trend remains structurally moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also indicates a moderately bearish trend. It might open with a neutral to a slightly gap-down start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a -30 point.
Nifty has a range-bound structure, but the trend suggests correction. So, if the market breaks the previous low, then we can expect further correction. However, that is the final wave of correctional impulse, so if it finds support around 21867 or 50%, then we can expect a minimum of 23 to 38% pullback. On the other hand, if it consolidates or breaks the level of 50%, then the correction will continue further.
Alternatively, if the gap-down doesn't sustain or if it takes a sharp bounceback initially, then it may continue the range further, and we can expect a minimum level of 22146 to 22244.
NIFTY 50 (BULLs VS BEARs) Date - 13th March 2024
Time - 10:05 AM
After seeing today's move of gap up opening and then filled the gap again.
FIXED RANGE VOLUME PROFILE
1. This Volume indicator is more useful than ordinary horizontal and time base volume indicator.
2. Its Flexible to use and you can put wherever you want to identify at that particular time who are the dominators (BULLS OR BEARS), who made that particular move in market.
3. As we can see in chart, I have put 2 Fixed range volume tools for 2 different times, in that Red Lines come out it is showing POC (Point of Control) for that selected range.
4. If Current price is below POC line than we can say Bears are in Dominance , as per current situation in Nifty 50.
5. If Price roaming above POC line means Bulls are in all over Dominance so far.
So, after using this tool we can identify within dark volume range (shown in chart) sluggish movement expected and Until Price won't break POC line and High-volume range either side strong and rational move should not expected.
Lower the volume at any particular price faster the movement we can expect.
#Nifty directions and levels for March 7th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for March 7th: there have been no changes. The global market trend remains structurally moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a neutral to a slightly gap-up start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a +50 point.
Nifty had a solid pullback in the last session; however, the motive wave is over. So, if the market rejects around the immediate resistance (22537) or if the initial market declines sharply, then we can expect a minimum of 23% to 38% Fibonacci correction. If it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, that's a sign of a trend reversal (bearish trend). On the other hand, if it finds support there (38%), it might consolidate a little bit.
Alternatively, if the gap-up sustains, then we can expect an extension variation. It could be a long wave because the extension is a big wave of motive, and although the previous rally also has a solid one, if the gap-up breaks the immediate resistance level solidly, then we can expect a further long rally.
#Nifty directions and levels for March 6th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for March 6th: The global market trend remains structurally moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a neutral to a slightly gap-down start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a -12 point.
Nifty has a range-bound structure, so if the market opens neutrally, we can expect further range continuation. However, a directional move is anticipated only if it breaks the range either upside or downside.