Medium term opportunity in Refex Industries for V.good upsideHi,
NSE:REFEX has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
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Niftytrendanalysis
Medium term trading opportunity in Black Box for V.good upsideHi,
NSE:BBOX has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
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Medium term opportunity in Oriental PG Electr for V. good upsideHi,
NSE:PGEL has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
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Nifty Trade Analysis for 7th November 2024Nifty Trade Analysis
As of the current price of Nifty at 24,485, here are the potential trading opportunities for both buying and selling based on our target levels:
Buy Setup
Buy Above: 24,540
Targets: 24,610, 24,690, 24,890
Rationale: If Nifty surpasses 24,540, it could indicate bullish momentum, with a potential rally toward the first target of 24,610. Further upward movement could drive it towards the subsequent targets, indicating strong buying interest.
Sell Setup
Sell Below: 24,200
Targets: 24,090, 23,950, 23,830
Rationale: If Nifty falls below 24,200, it may signal bearish sentiment, with potential declines to the first target of 24,090. Continuing downside could lead to additional target levels, suggesting a more pronounced downward trend.
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI registered. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please conduct your own research or consult a professional before making any trading decisions. Trading in financial markets involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
Medium term trading opportunity in KIMS for >20% upsideHi,
NSE:KIMS has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
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Short term opportunity in Dynamic Cables for V. good UpsideHi,
NSE:DYCL has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Daily charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
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Short term trading opportunity in GP ECO for > 20% upsideHi,
NSE:GPECO has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Daily charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
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Nifty Trading Strategy for 6th November 2024Nifty Trading Strategy: Buy Above 24,325 / Sell Below 24,150
Current Price: 24,214.00
Key Levels:
Buy Signal: If the price closes above 24,325 on the one-hour candle, it indicates a potential upward trend, suggesting a good time to consider buying.
Sell Signal: If the price closes below 24,150 on the one-hour candle, it suggests a potential downward trend, indicating it might be a good time to consider selling.
Market Analysis:
The current price is hovering around 24,214.00, just below the buy signal level.
The market is showing signs of bullish momentum, but it's important to monitor the price closely, especially around the 24,300 to 24,350 levels, which could act as resistance.
Recommendations:
Buy: If the price sustains above 24,325 on the one-hour candle close, consider entering long positions with targets at 24,500 and 24,600.
Sell: If the price breaks below 24,150 on the one-hour candle close, consider short positions with targets at 24,000 and 23,900.
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI registered. This is only for educational purposes. You may do your own analysis before taking any trading decisions.
Nifty 50 spot 23851 by Daily Chart view*Nifty 50 spot 23851 by Daily Chart view*
- 24750 to 24875 Resistance Zone
- Support Zone is seen nearest at 23200 to 23350
- 24050 to 24175 now seems becoming Resistance Zone earlier Support Zone
- Nifty 50 Index traversed the Bullish Rising Price Channel till end of Sept 2024. Now in a Bearish Falling Price Channel, Support Zone 24050 to 24175 might seemingly act as Resistance Zone
Medium term opportunity in Tembo Global for v. Good UpsideHi,
NSE:TEMBO has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
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Medium term opportunity in Suven Pharma for V. Good UpsideHi,
NSE:SUVEN has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
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Medium term trading opportunity in Sar Tele for V. Good UpsideHi,
NSE:SARTELE has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
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Medium term trading opportunity in Aarvee Den for V. good UpsideHi,
NSE:AARVEEDEN has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
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Nifty 50 spot 24339.00 by Daily Chart viewNifty 50 spot 24339.00 by Daily Chart view
- Most probable Resistance Zone seen at 24750 to 24875 for Nifty 50 Index
- Gap Down Opening of 03-October-2024 got Filled Up and has been Closed
- Gap Down Opening of 05-Aug-2024 of 336 points got filled in by downfall of Nifty 50
- 24050 to 24175 decent Support Zone and it seems Nifty reversed tad low from 24073.90
- Nifty 50 Index traversed inside Bullish Rising Price Channel till the end of September 2024
- Currently in Bearish Falling Price Channel but seems taking reversal at Support Zone 24050 to 24175 anticipating upside
Nifty 50's Top Constituents Stand Tall Amidst Uncertainty◉ Abstract
The recent decline in the Nifty 50 index can be attributed to several interconnected factors affecting market sentiment. Geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict in the Middle East, have increased uncertainty and volatility among investors. Additionally, significant foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows, surpassing ₹1,00,000 crore in October 2024, reflect concerns over high valuations in Indian markets compared to more attractive options abroad. Weak earnings reports from Indian companies have further fueled investor anxiety, prompting reassessments of growth sustainability.
Overall market sentiment has turned cautious due to uncertainties surrounding upcoming events like the US elections and ongoing geopolitical issues, leading to a broader sell-off. Technical analysis indicates potential support levels between 22,750 and 23,000, while valuation metrics suggest that despite recent declines, many key Nifty stocks remain fairly valued, with caution advised for new investments during this volatile period.
Read full analysis . . .
◉ Introduction
The recent fall in the Nifty 50 index can be attributed to several key factors that have affected market sentiment and investor behaviour.
● Geopolitical Tensions:
The ongoing conflict in the Middle East, particularly the Iran-Israel war, has heightened global uncertainty. This geopolitical instability has led to fears among investors, contributing to market volatility and declines in stock prices
● Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) Outflows:
There has been significant selling by foreign institutional investors, with outflows reaching above ₹1,00,000 crore in October 2024. This trend is partly driven by concerns over peak valuations in Indian markets compared to cheaper valuations in other markets, such as China
● Weak Earnings Reports:
Recent quarterly earnings from Indian companies have shown weakness, raising concerns about the sustainability of growth. This has led to increased selling pressure as investors reassess their positions in light of disappointing financial performance
● Market Sentiment and Investor Jitters:
Uncertainty surrounding upcoming events, such as the US elections and ongoing geopolitical tensions, has made investors cautious. This sentiment is reflected in the broader market sell-off and a lack of confidence in taking long positions during this volatile period
◉ Technical Analysis
● Weekly Chart
➖ The weekly chart indicates a strong upward trend, with the index consistently achieving higher highs and lows.
➖ However, a significant selling pressure from the peak has led to a sharp decline.
We expect to find potential support in the range of 22,750 to 23,000.
● Daily Chart
➖ The index has broken through the neckline of the Head & Shoulders pattern.
➖ While there is immediate support around the 23,900 to 24,000 level, we believe the index may struggle to maintain this level and could drop further.
➖ Robust support is anticipated between 22,750 and 23,000.
◉ Valuation Analysis
➖ The Nifty PE Ratio has dropped to 22.5, slightly below its 1-year average of 22.6 and significantly lower than its 5-year average of 25.24. This suggests that the Nifty is currently fairly valued.
➖ However, the recent quarter's lacklustre EPS growth is a concern, exerting downward pressure on the major index.
As the major index struggles, it's worth taking a closer look at the key Nifty constituents that carry substantial weightage.
1. HDFC Bank NSE:HDFCBANK
Sector - Banking & Financial Services
Weightage - 11.34%
● Technical Overview
➖ For nearly three years, the stock has been range-bound, exhibiting stability.
➖ Despite the broader market's downturn, it has shown no reaction, suggesting that its sideways movement is likely to continue.
● Valuation
➖ The stock currently trades at a PE ratio of 19.2, moderately above its 1-year median PE of 17.5.
➖ Notably, the company's earnings performance has shown improvement, with a quarter-over-quarter increase in EPS:
June quarter: ₹21.65
September quarter: ₹23.36
2. Reliance Industries NSE:RELIANCE
Sector - Oil & Gas
Weightage - 8.64%
● Technical Overview
➖ Following a record peak near 3,200, the price retreated and is now approaching its key support level of 2,550.
● Valuation
➖ The current PE ratio of 26.5 indicates undervaluation relative to its 1-year median PE of 28.3.
➖ Earnings growth supports this positive valuation outlook:
Current EPS: ₹24.48
Previous quarter EPS: ₹22.37
3. ICICI Bank NSE:ICICIBANK
Sector - Banking & Financial Services
Weightage - 7.74%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock has maintained a strong uptrend, demonstrating remarkable resilience amidst recent market downturns.
➖ However, from a technical standpoint, a short-term pullback towards the 1,100 level cannot be ruled out.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 18.7 suggests a minor overvaluation when compared to its 1-year median PE of 17.9.
➖ EPS improved significantly from ₹16.62 in June to ₹18.38 in September, indicating a positive trend in the company's financial performance.
4. Infosys NSE:INFY
Sector - Information Technology
Weightage - 5.83%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock has successfully broken out of its Rounding Bottom pattern and is now consolidating above the breakout level.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 28.7 suggests a minor overvaluation when compared to its 1-year median PE of 26.4.
➖ Earnings growth, although subdued, remains stable:
June quarter: ₹15.34
September quarter: ₹15.67
5. ITC NSE:ITC
Sector - FMCG
Weightage - 4.16%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock remains in a strong uptrend, consistently forming higher highs and lows.
➖ After reaching an all-time high of 528, the price has pulled back and is now testing its crucial support zone between 460-470.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 29.4 suggests a minor overvaluation compared to its 1-year median PE of 27.
➖ Furthermore, the earnings per share (EPS) has declined from the previous quarter, falling from ₹4.08 in June to ₹3.99 in September.
6. Bharti Airtel NSE:BHARTIARTL
Sector - Telecom Services
Weightage - 3.95%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock price has experienced a notable rise.
➖ After hitting an all-time high near the 1,780 level, it has corrected and is anticipated to find support along its trendline.
● Valuation
➖ The stock's current PE ratio of 83.5 significantly exceeds its 1-year median PE of 65.3, indicating substantial overvaluation.
➖ Ahead of the upcoming quarterly results, earnings execution is not expected to be robust, potentially leading to a sharp correction in the stock price.
◉ Conclusion
Analysis of six pivotal Nifty 50 stocks reveals that, excluding Bharti Airtel, they are fairly valued. With a combined weightage of over 40%, these stocks underpin index stability
Given this significant representation, we do not foresee a drastic decline in the index from either a technical or fundamental standpoint.
However, the ongoing war may impact global sentiment, influencing market mood. Therefore, we advise caution when considering new buy positions.
Medium term trading opportunity in Finolex Ind for v. good upsidHi,
NSE:FINPIPE has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
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Medium term trading opportunity in Tech Mahindra for > 15% upsidHi,
NSE:TECHM has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
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Please share your feedback or any queries on the study.
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Medium term trading opportunity in Tata Power for huge upsideHi,
NSE:TATAPOWER has given a Bullish Flag Breakout on Weekly charts with very good volume.
MACD is also on the bullish side on Weekly time frames. RSI is also on the bullish side on daily, weekly and monthly time frames.
In the current market scenario, I am expecting that the bullish momentum will continue.
Complete price projection like entry, stop loss and targets mentioned on the charts for educational purpose.
Don't Forget to Follow me to get all the updates.
Please share your feedback or any queries on the study.
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Nifty50 Crosses Head and Shoulder Pattern, Resistance at 23895Details:
Asset: Nifty50 Index
Breakout Level: Nifty50 crossed the head and shoulder pattern
Current Level: 24472
Potential Resistance: 23895
Stop Loss: Based on risk tolerance or technical analysis
Timeframe: Short-term, dependent on market sentiment and election outcomes
Rationale: Nifty50 has broken through a head and shoulder pattern, a typically bearish indicator. The next significant resistance level appears at 23895. The market may see further downside unless positive developments, such as favorable election results, provide relief.
Market Analysis:
Bearish Pattern: The head and shoulder pattern indicates potential further downside. Nifty50 may continue to decline unless a reversal is triggered by positive news or market catalysts.
Election Impact: Election results could play a crucial role in determining the market’s direction, especially in a sensitive period like this.
Price Target:
Resistance is likely at 23895. If Nifty50 fails to break this level, it may see continued bearish momentum.
Risk Management:
Adjust stop losses based on individual risk tolerance and technical analysis, especially given the uncertainty around political outcomes.
Timeframe:
The timeframe for reaching resistance at 23895 could be short-term, but broader market trends and election outcomes may impact the index's movement.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The setup leans bearish, with the head and shoulder pattern indicating downside risk. Ensure stop-loss levels are adjusted for volatility.
Monitoring the market's response to political and macroeconomic factors will be key for Nifty50's near-term outlook.
#Nifty directions and levels for October 16th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for October 16th.
Market Overview:
The global market is showing a moderately bearish sentiment, while our local market is following a similar trend. We anticipate a neutral to slightly gap-down opening today, with SGX Nifty indicating a negative start of -70 points as of 8 AM.
In the previous session, Nifty saw a minor correction, but Bank Nifty maintained a moderately bullish sentiment. Structurally, Nifty is in a range-bound pattern, while Bank Nifty shows a slightly bullish structure. However, with SGX Nifty indicating a negative start today, if this happens, both indices may move in a range-bound structure. Let's explain this further in the charts.
Nifty Current View:
If the market starts with a gap-down, then the immediate support level (24983) will act as strong support. If the market finds support there, it could take a minimum pullback of 38% to 61% of the minor swing, likely continuing the same range-bound movement. This is the basic structure.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market breaks this level solidly or consolidates at that level, the correction is likely to continue towards 24882.
#nifty directions and levels for October 14th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for October 14th.
Market Overview:
There have been no significant changes in the global or local markets. The global market is showing a bullish sentiment, while our local market has a moderately bearish trend. We anticipate a neutral to slightly gap-up opening today, with SGX Nifty indicating a positive +10 points as of 8 AM.
In the previous session, Nifty closed with consolidation, while Bank Nifty experienced a minor correction. However, structurally, both are in a range-bound phase. Trading in a range market can be difficult as we may not see clear movement, direction, or option premium. However, if you’re looking to trade, we can consider a breakout entry, which I'll explain in the charts.
Nifty:
> If the market breaks either above 25,040 or below 24,897, we can enter a breakout trade. Target levels are 25,167 on the upside and 24,810 on the downside.
> It is important to note that after a breakout, if the market experiences gradual movements or rejects the immediate support or resistance level, it is likely to close at the same level as it opened today.
> On the other hand, if the market consolidates around the immediate support or resistance level after the breakout, the direction is likely to continue.