NIFTY 50 | Bullish Structure vs Bearish Candles — What Next?Pure Price Action & Volume Study
Index: NIFTY 50
Timeframe: Weekly
Method: Price Action + Volume
🔍 Market Structure
On the weekly timeframe, NIFTY 50 continues to form a VCP (Volatility Contraction Pattern) — a structurally bullish setup that generally supports higher prices once resolved correctly.
However, recent candle behaviour introduces a clear warning sign.
🕯️ Candlestick + Volume Analysis
The last two weekly candles are Hanging Man formations. Both candles printed with identical weekly volumes (~1.23B). Hanging Man is a reversal pattern when it appears near resistance
Important clarity:
Hanging Man ≠ Hammer
Hammer forms near support (bullish)
Hanging Man forms near resistance (potential weakness)
This suggests supply entering the market despite a bullish broader structure.
⚖️ How to Read the Conflict
Chart pattern: Bullish (VCP intact)
Candlestick signal: Bearish (Hanging Man + matching volume)
When structure and candles diverge, markets often choose sideways or corrective price action before the next directional move.
📉 Probable Price Path
There is a reasonable probability of:
A move back toward 25,700 (low of the recent weekly candle)
Or a deeper retracement into the nearest weekly support zone around 25,300
This pullback could help form a small rounding base, strengthening the existing VCP before another attempt toward 26,000
📊 Bias & Key Levels
View: Bearish → Sideways
Bullish only if:
Price breaks and sustains above ATH 26,325
Preferably with a strong weekly body candle, not a wick-based breakout
Until that happens, upside remains unconfirmed.
🧠 Final Thought
This is a classic “structure vs signal” situation:
Bullish patterns need bearish candles to get resolved first.
Patience is part of price action.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not a trading or investment recommendation. Markets are risky—always manage risk and position size carefully.
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