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Nq!

A 1500 points drop in NQ this week? Hello traders! NQ has broken through Friday's high and almost hit the daily wick CE . We also have continuous bullish candles on the daily which would form a complete order block . We also have a 12h gap inside the daily order block which the market has tapped into. I'm expecting an extremely bearish week with draws to 24239.75, 23904.50, and a daily fvg at 23600. We also have NFP this week which has been delayed as it was originally supposed to come out on Friday itself. It's a red folder packed week and I suggest super caution around those times. We also have CPI on Friday which was supposed to be released on Wednesday of this week. When the calendar is messed with, it becomes obvious that manipulation will be at its peak. We also have SMT divergence on the daily chart. That is just a bonus and not the base of this bearish idea. The foundation of this whole idea is based on where the market is heading, where the liquidity is resting. Have a good trading week, Satya. P.S. Not financial advice.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by SatyaPSahai
US100 | 15MNarrative Overview: Following an aggressive sell-side liquidity raid, price delivered a reactive displacement from a higher-timeframe demand cluster, signaling the presence of institutional buy orders defending discount pricing. The rejection wick into the demand zone suggests a classic liquidity engineering event rather than genuine bearish continuation. Market Structure: The broader intraday flow remains rotational; however, the recent reaction establishes a potential short-term structure shift. The failure to achieve sustained acceptance below the demand zone implies seller exhaustion and the likelihood of a mean reversion toward premium. Liquidity Map: Sell-Side Liquidity: Resting below 25,250, now partially mitigated after the sweep. Internal Liquidity: Compression above current price indicates stop accumulation from early longs. Buy-Side Targets: 25,380 to 25,420 aligns with prior distribution and inefficient pricing. Imbalance & Order Flow: The impulsive bullish candle emerging from the zone created a micro fair value gap, reinforcing the probability of algorithmic repricing higher. When displacement originates from discount, it often signals smart money transitioning from accumulation to expansion. Trade Logic: The optimal execution model favors continuation toward premium, provided price maintains acceptance above the reclaimed demand. Bullish Path: A controlled retracement into the imbalance or the upper boundary of demand could offer refined entries targeting external liquidity. This would complete a discount-to-premium delivery cycle. Risk Scenario: A decisive break with displacement below the demand zone would invalidate the accumulation thesis and expose deeper sell-side liquidity, likely inviting bearish continuation. Key Insight: What appears to be a simple bounce is structurally more significant; institutions rarely defend a level without intent. Monitor how price behaves during pullbacks. Strong markets do not revisit deeply mitigated demand unless distribution is underway.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by YCGH_Capital