NZD/USD Technical Analysis 🧠 NZD/USD Technical Analysis | Smart Money Perspective
Currently, the NZD/USD pair is trading around 0.5960, positioned between a well-defined resistance zone (0.6130–0.6150) and a support zone (0.5890–0.5900).
Here are the key technical aspects to note:
🔹 1. Liquidity Sweep
The price recently dipped below the previous swing low near 0.5900, tapping into a pool of sell-side liquidity. This move is typically seen as a liquidity grab, where institutional players push the price to trigger retail stop losses before reversing direction.
🔹 2. Double Bottom Formation
The chart suggests a potential double bottom forming at the support level — a classic sign of accumulation. This pattern indicates buyers may be coming in after liquidity has been cleared, expecting a reversal.
🔹 3. Fair Value Gap (FVG)
A Fair Value Gap, or imbalance, is visible between 0.5985 and 0.6015. This gap was created due to a sharp bearish move, leaving price action unbalanced. The price is now likely to retrace into this area to rebalance orders, which is typical smart money behaviour.
🔹 4. Market Structure Outlook
If the double bottom confirms with a bullish break of structure above 0.5980, we could see a continuation towards:
- First Target: FVG zone around 0.6015
- Second Target: Major resistance near 0.6150, where past distribution occurred
✅ Conclusion
This setup integrates key smart money concepts:
- Liquidity grab below support
- Accumulation phase at demand
- FVG as a target
- Potential bullish shift in market structure
Traders should keep a close watch on price action around the support zone for confirmation, such as a bullish engulfing candle or a break of recent short-term highs, before taking long positions. Targets remain at the FVG and resistance zones; however, sound risk management is crucial in case of a deeper sweep or any macroeconomic developments.
