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NZDUSD

NZDUSD: The Calm Before a Bearish StormNZDUSD has broken below the 50/20 EMA on the 4-hour timeframe chart. The price experienced a sharp decline, followed by a corrective pause that appears to form an expanded flat correction. Wave (C) completed at 0.5692 . The ATR has decreased to 0.00189 , while the ADX has dropped to 22.87 . The impulsive move is expected to occur downward. If the price breaks below wave B at 0.55870, it may reverse from the following targeted Fibonacci levels : 0.5555 (1.618) and 0.5470 (2.618). We will update further information soon.
by forextidings
1
NZDUSD reverses from 200-SMA hurdle on RBNZ’s surprise rate cutNZDUSD dropped over 1.0% today, making the biggest move among major currencies. This happened because the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) cut its main interest rate by 0.25%, surprising markets which expected no change. As a result, the NZDUSD pair fell from a one-month high and struggled to break through a key resistance level, namely the 200-day SMA. Despite this, positive MACD and RSI indicators suggest that buyers may stay optimistic, as long as the price remains above a support line from late October 2023, currently around 0.5885. For the short-term, the quote could drop to the 0.6000 mark and potentially test a 23.6% Fibonacci support level around 0.5920. A drop below 0.5885 could push the pair towards its late 2023 low of around 0.5770. For a new buying opportunity, buyers should wait for the price to break above the 200-SMA resistance at about 0.6085. If successful, the next targets could be the 61.8% Fibonacci level and a significant resistance zone near 0.6170 and 0.6220. If the price stays above 0.6220, the 78.6% Fibonacci level around 0.6275 and a long-term resistance line near 0.6320 could be the next barriers for the bulls. In summary, while NZDUSD might see a short-term drop due to negative factors, the overall bullish trend is expected to continue.
by MTradingGlobal
1
RBNZ’s dovish halt, downbeat China CPI weigh on NZDUSD Early Wednesday, NZDUSD prints the biggest daily fall in a fortnight on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) dovish halt, as well as a softer print of China’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June. That said, the RBNZ matched market expectations for holding the benchmark rate unchanged but showed readiness to welcome easy monetary policy if inflation slows further. On the other hand, China's CPI dropped to -0.2% MoM and 0.2% YoY in June versus -0.1% and 0.4% market expectations, from -0.1% and 0.3% in that order. With this, NZDUSD drops more than 0.50% on a day as sellers attack the 200-SMA support of 0.6076. Adjacent to that is strong technical support comprising the 100-SMA and an 11-week-old rising support line, close to 0.6065 by the press time. In a case where the Kiwi pair prints a daily closing beneath 0.6065, a slew of peaks and troughs surrounding 0.6040-35 will test the sellers before directing them to the 0.6000 psychological magnet. Meanwhile, an impending bull cross on the MACD and downbeat RSI joins the key supports to signal the NZDUSD pair’s corrective bounce, which in turn highlights a three-week-long horizontal resistance area near 0.6150-55. Should the Kiwi pair manage to cross the immediate upside hurdle, the 61.8% Fibonacci ratio of the quote’s fall from December 2023 to April 2024, near 0.6175, will precede a six-month-old horizontal resistance zone around 0.6215-22 to act as the final defenses of the bears. Overall, NZDUSD is likely to witness a corrective bounce but the recovery remains doubtful below 0.6222.
by MTradingGlobal
NZD/USD Market Analysis (15 Minutes) 09-JulCurrent Market Structure: M15 NZD/USD chart shows a clear bearish structure with a (BOS) at 0.6120. After the BOS occurred, the price recovered and is currently trading near an important supply zone. Entry Points: Short entry point would be at the supply zone between 0.6120 and 0.6130. This is the area where strong selling pressure has appeared before and is likely to continue to create resistance when the price returns. Exit Points: - Take Profit: The take profit point should be placed at the demand zone on the H1 chart, around 0.6080. This is an area where strong buying pressure has appeared before and may create support when the price drops. - Stop Loss: The stop loss should be placed above the supply zone, around 0.6140. This is to protect against unexpected fluctuations and minimize risks. Recommendations: - Trading Recommendations: With the current market structure, the recommended trading strategy is to enter a short order in the supply zone (0.6120 - 0.6130), set a stop loss at 0.6140 and take profit at 0.6080. - Note: Always adhere to the risk management principle, only trade with the volume appropriate to your account. Closely monitor price action to be able to adjust the strategy in time. Wish you successful trading and always achieve stable profits!
Short
by JohnnyTranFx
NZDUSD SHORT 1H TIMEFRAMEFOREXCOM:NZDUSD Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied... Keep trading Hustle hard Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading. Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
Short
by Phinics
NZDUSD jumps on RBNZ’s hawkish halt, 0.6140-45 hurdle tests bullNZDUSD prints the biggest daily jump in more than a week, as well as snaps a two-day losing streak, on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) hawkish halt. That said, the RBNZ held the benchmark rates unchanged, as expected, but upwardly revised the forward rate guidance. The same pushed back the rate cut and signaled expectations of a rate hike during the year. As a result, the Kiwi pair rallied to the 2.5-month high after the RBNZ announcements before retreating from 0.6152, up more than half a percent intraday by the press time. In addition to the hawkish RBNZ concerns, the NZDUSD pair’s successful trading beyond the previous resistance line stretched from late December 2023, bullish MACD signals and the upbeat RSI (14) line also keeps the buyers hopeful. However, a daily closing beyond a downward-sloping resistance line from January, near 0.6140 by the press time, becomes necessary for trading conviction. Adjacent to the 0.6140 hurdle is the previous weekly high and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the quote’s late 2023 upside, near 0.6145. Hence, the bulls need validation from 0.6140-45 to keep the reins. Following that, the double tops marked in February and March around 0.6220 and 23.6% Fibonacci ratio near 0.6230, followed by the 0.6280-85 resistance region, will become the upside targets. On the contrary, a convergence of the 200-bar Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a three-week-old rising trend line, around 0.6075-70 at the latest, restricts the NZDUSD pair’s short-term downside ahead of the previously stated resistance-turned-support line near 0.6060. In a case where the Kiwi pair remains bearish past 0.6060, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near the 0.6000 threshold, will act as the final defense of the bears before directing the prices toward the yearly low of near 0.5850. Overall, the Kiwi pair is likely to remain firmer unless declining back beneath the 0.6060 level. However, fresh buying should wait for a clear upside break of 0.6145.
by MTradingGlobal
GOLD IN CORRECTIONHi everyone... Right now market touches our 1st Weekly PULL BACK zone which is 2357-2477 zone We got Day High(using MY HIGH find method)-correction sell 80% confirms In 4hrs the market got bounce on small buy zone which is 2335-2320 Also we got 15min low(using MY LOW find method)-trend continues but doesn't get CHOCH(doesn't cross 2319) confirmation in 15Mins and 4Hrs Careful with sell And mainly in Monthly time frame previously we got H&S so Head and Shoulder full target is 2527 Monthly 1st back zone we Got here which is 2462-2689 Here is the Result 1st Analysis Buy@2344.3-2336 SL@2330(or use buy limit SL) TP 2346 TP 2352 TP 2364 TP 2388 TP 2430 TP 2520 Buy limit@2329-2323 SL@2319 TP 2331 TP 2345 TP 2352 TP 2364 TP 2388 TP 2430 TP 2520 2nd Analysis Sell limit@2388-2395(we need a confirmation before enter this) SL@2397 TP 2386 TP 2380 TP 2300 TP 2278 TP 2167 TP 2050 TP 1973 Sell limit@2426-2428(EXTREME SELL zone BUT BE CARE FULL WE DOSENT GET 15M & 4h CHOCH) SL@2432 TP 2424 TP 2400 TP 2380 TP 2300 TP 2278 TP 2167 TP 2050 TP 1973 USE RISK MANAGEMENT SAFE TRADER ONLY TAKE 3 TO 5 TRGT BASED ON YOUR EQUITY BUT 1ST TP MUST AFETR HIT 1ST TP MUST SET BE(Break Event) ==Use stop order -.5 pips from SL(if you ok) stop order needs high equity== NOTES:EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SATHAYAM_ACADEMY
GOLD IN CORRECTIONNow we got 4h high which is using my method... Already our 2 sell entry running profit also we found 2 sell zone 1st sell limit 2254-2257 sl 2259 (need 1m or 5m confirmation then entry it else wait for 2nd zone) tp 2252 tp 2249 tp 2244 buy zones are the tp4 and tp 5 In 4hrs we found 2 buy zone 1st buy zone 2201-2192 (we need 15M confirmation to take entry) 2nd buy zone 2167-2156(extreme buy zone no need to confirm)...which is in linked analysis 2nd sell limit 2261-2264 sl 2267 tp 2259 tp 2256 tp 2251 buy zones are the tp4 and tp5 In 4hrs we found 2 buy zone 1st buy zone 2201-2192 (we need 15M confirmation to take entry) 2nd buy zone 2167-2156(extreme buy zone no need to confirm)...which is in linked analysis NOTES: EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SATHAYAM_ACADEMY
NZDUSD grinds higher past 0.6000 ahead of RBNZ, US InflationNZDUSD remains positive around 0.6035-40 early Tuesday, despite lacking upside momentum of late. In doing so, the Kiwi pair defends the previous week’s rebound from the lowest level since November 2023 while portraying the trader’s anxiety ahead of Wednesday’s monetary policy announcements from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and the US inflation data, namely the Consumer Price Index (CPI). It should be noted that the recovery in price takes the support of the upbeat RSI (14) conditions and the bullish MACD signals, which in turn suggests brighter chances of the quote’s further advances. However, the 200-SMA and a five-month-old previous support line, respectively near 0.6070 and 0.6115, appear tough nuts to crack for the bulls. In a case where the buyers manage to keep the reins past 0.6115, the odds of witnessing a gradual run-up toward a four-month-old horizontal resistance area surrounding 0.6220 can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the quote’s October-November upside, close to the 0.6000 psychological magnet, restricts the immediate downside of the NZDUSD pair. Following that, the aforementioned horizontal area comprising lows marked since mid-November 2023, near 0.5940, will be the key challenge for the Kiwi pair sellers to pass before retaking control. Should the pair remain bearish past 0.5940, the November 14 low of around 0.5860 will act as the final defense of the buyers before driving prices down to the previous yearly bottom of 0.5773. Overall, the NZDUSD pair is likely to extend the latest rebound ahead of the RBNZ and the US CPI, unless the output of the data/events suggests otherwise.
by MTradingGlobal
BECAREFULL WITH GOLDMarket still round 2193 to 2203 Wait today...today Unemployment and Final GDP NEWS If market cross & CLOSE ABOVE 2222 next zone will me 2238-2300 If market cross & CLOSE BELOW 2145 it will be RED ROSE... then NEXT buy zones will be 2038-2025 1995-1973 1948-1931 1829-1811 Checking in day candle body doesn't close above DAY BOS in line chart seems M PATTERN ... SO 60%SELL AND 40% BUYING Sell Flip Zone 2203-2209 EURUSD,GBPUSD,NZDUSD,AUDUSD starts falls so GOLD also will FALL soon... Low equity members avoid trade today... Use small lot max 0.01- 0.03 and 6-7 orders SELL @ 1st sell zone 2198-2200 2nd sell zone 2203-2207 Sl 2213 Tp 2193 Tp 2186 Tp 2176 Tp 2160 Tp 2148 Tp 2038 Tp 1950 Tp 1840 Buy stop @2212.8 x2lot size of sell total order Tp 2221 Tp 2238 Tp 2270 Tp 2300 or avoid trade today NOTES: EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SATHAYAM_ACADEMY
GOLD IN BULLSH SORRY for late update.... Sunday i was too busy Now we see xauusd hits the DAY 1st pull back zone(2259-2305) In 4Hrs also gold hits 1st pull back zone(2263-2280.5) once market touches our pull back market starts fall In 15mins we got High confirmation using my method and also now we got choch (correction choch in 15mins only) confirmation so entry will be sell limit 2258-2262-2265 SL 2268(we already entry in 2263) remember gold still in bullish only we got ONLY 15M confirmation if you ok use mid lot else use low lot Targets for intraday TP1 +20 pips TP2 +50pips TP3 +100pips TP4 1850 In 4hrs we found 2 buy zone 1st buy zone 2201-2192 (we need 15M confirmation to take entry) 2nd buy zone 2167-2156(extreme buy zone no need to confirm) This two zones will be swing targets for given sell once market cross 2nd buy zone gold will be red rose trade carefully NOTES: EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SATHAYAM_ACADEMY
NZDUSD drops 1.0% on RBNZ’s dovish halt, focus on 0.6080-70NZDUSD marks the biggest daily loss in two weeks as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) announces monetary policy decision. That said, the RBNZ not only pushed back the concerns about rate hikes while keeping the practices unchanged but Governor Adrian Orr signaled the end of the rate hike trajectory in his press conference and drowned the New Zealand Dollar (NZD). With this, the quote extends the previous day’s U-turn from the 50-SMA hurdle while justifying a looming bear cross on the MACD. However, a convergence of the 200-SMA, an upward-sloping trend line from mid-November 2023 and a 50% Fibonacci ratio of the Kiwi pair’s October-December 2023 upside, near 0.6080-70, appears a tough nut to crack for the bears. Should the quote manage to remain bearish past 0.6070, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the 0.6000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and the 50-SMA will restrict the NZDUSD pair’s corrective bounce respectively near 0.6150 and 0.6180. Following that, the 0.6200 round figure and the monthly high of around 0.6220 will lure the Kiwi pair buyers. It should be noted that the quote’s sustained run-up beyond 0.6220 will need validation from the 0.6280 and the 0.6300 upside hurdles before targeting the late 2023 peak of around 0.6370. Overall, the RBNZ disappoints the Kiwi bulls and lures the pair bears but the downside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD LongFOREXCOM:AUDUSD Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied... Keep trading Hustle hard Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading. Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
Long
by Phinics
1
NZDUSD bulls can ignore recent pullbackNZDUSD drops the most among the G10 currency pairs while reversing the previous weekly gains, the first in four, as market players show a lack of conviction in the hawkish speech from Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Governor Adrian Orr. It’s worth noting that a long holiday season in China also allowed the Kiwi pair traders to consolidate the previous week’s upside ahead of the US inflation data, scheduled for release on Tuesday. However, Friday’s falling wedge confirmation and bullish MACD signals, as well as the upbeat RSI (14) line, favor the quote’s gradual rise unless it slips back beneath the 0.6100 resistance-turned-support. Even so, the 100-SMA and the stated bullish chart pattern’s lower line, respectively near 0.6075 and 0.6030, quickly followed by the 0.6000 psychological magnet, will challenge the pair sellers before giving them control. Meanwhile, fresh buying in the NZDUSD pair can wait for a clear upside break of a five-week-old horizontal resistance surrounding 0.6175-80. Following that, the mid-January swing high of around 0.6280 and the late 2023 peak of near 0.6370 will lure the Kiwi pair buyers. In a case where the quote remains firmer past 0.6370, the theoretical target of the falling wedge breakout, namely around 0.6450, will be in the spotlight. Overall, the NZDUSD pair’s latest retreat becomes less attractive unless backed by the downbeat US inflation data, as well as a sustained trading beneath 0.6100.
by MTradingGlobal