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Oilfundamentals

What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development Oil prices hovered around a two-month high on Friday, with Brent crude on track for its biggest weekly jump in 1-1/2 months, supported by the prospect of an EU ban on Russian oil and the coming summer driving season in the United States. Brent crude futures for July dipped 9 cents to $117.31 a barrel after rising to as high as $118.17 earlier in the session. The benchmark was on track for a gain of about 4% this week. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were down 18 cents, or 0.2%, at $113.91 a barrel. WTI set for a weekly gain of about 0.7%. "Ahead of peak U.S. driving season, refined products remain in alarmingly short supply in the West, which should keep a high floor on oil prices through the summer." OPEC+ is set to stick to last year's oil production deal at its June 2 meeting and raise July output targets by 432,000 barrels per day, six OPEC+ sources told Reuters, rebuffing Western calls for a faster increase to lower surging prices. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading upper line of Bollinger band indicator. RSI indicator is showing strength in XTIUSD. As per the 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading above today pivot level 111.55. As per my view, buy on dip is good strategy for XTIUSD, buy range is 111.50 to 111, and there is very strong support zone at 110. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below 110 and sustain in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 108 with the stop loss of 111.50
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development Oil prices raised more than $1 on Wednesday, buoyed by tight supplies and the prospect of rising demand from the upcoming start of the summer driving season in the United States, the world's biggest crude consumer. Brent crude futures for July rose $1.38, or 1.2%, to $114.94 a barrel. Brent futures gained 0.1% on Tuesday and are up for a fifth day. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures for July delivery rose $1.35, or 1.2%, to $111.12 a barrel. The contract settled down 52 cents on Tuesday. Global crude supplies continue to tighten as buyers avoid oil from Russia, the world's second-largest oil exporter, amid sanctions following its invasion of Ukraine, which Russia calls a "special military operation". In China, the world's biggest oil importer, Beijing stepped up quarantine efforts to end its month-old COVID-19 outbreak, while in Shanghai, authorities plan to keep most restrictions in place this month, before a more complete lifting of the two-month-old lock down from June 1. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading upper line of Bollinger band indicator. XTIUSD also losing strength at upper resistance level, and XTIUSD is trading below resistance level 111. As per the 1-hour chart, XTI will be test today pivot level 108.50. As per my view, sell on rise is good strategy for XTIUSD, sell range is 109.50 to 109, and there is very strong resistance zone at 111. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 111 and sustain in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to buy with the target of 113 with the stop loss of 109.50.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development Oil prices fell by more than $1 on Tuesday as concerns over a possible recession and China's COVID-19 curbs outweighed an expectation of tight global supply and a pick-up in fuel demand with the U.S. summer driving season. Brent crude futures for July fell $1.34, or 1.2%, to $112.08 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures for July delivery dropped $1.28, or 1.2%, to $109.01 a barrel. Brent gained 0.7% on Monday while WTI settled nearly flat. Multiple threats to the global economy topped the worries of the worlds well heeled at the annual Davos economic summit, with some flagging the risk of a worldwide recession. China, the world’s largest oil importer, promises stimulus such as rolling out new investment projects. The country will offer more than 140 billion yuan ($21 billion) in additional tax relief to offset the heavy impact of lock downs on businesses. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading lower line of Bollinger band indicator. CCI indicator also showing weakness at lower line level, and XTIUSD is trading below pivot level 108.50. As per the 1-hour chart, XTI will be test next support level 106.50. As per my view, sell on dip is good strategy for XTIUSD, sell range is 109.50 to 109, and there is very strong resistance zone at 111. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 111 and sustain in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to buy with the target of 113 with the stop loss of 109.50.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development Oil was up on Monday morning in Asia as the upcoming U.S. peak driving season could see higher fuel demand. Brent oil futures gained 0.63% to $110.71 and crude oil WTI futures jumped 0.54% to $110.88. A weakening dollar also gave the black liquid a boost because that makes crude cheaper for buyers holding other currencies. However, gains were capped by concerns over ongoing COVID-19 lockdowns in China. The world’s largest oil importer is loosening its lock downs in Shanghai and the People's Bank of China cut its five-year loan prime rate during the previous week, signaling that the authorities are supporting a recovery. Meanwhile, the European Union was unable to achieve an agreement on banning Russian oil for its invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24, which also limited oil's gains. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading upper line of Bollinger band indicator. CCI indicator also showing strength at upper line level, and XTIUSD is trading above today pivot level 109.50. As per the 1-hour chart, XTI will be test next resistance level 113. As per my view, buy on dip is good strategy for XTIUSD, buy range is 109.50 to 109, and there is very strong support zone at 108. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below 109.50 and sustain in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 108 with the stop loss of 110.50.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development Oil was down on Friday morning in Asia, but little changed as concerns about weaker economic growth eclipse expectations of a demand rebound in China. Brent oil futures fell 0.72% to $111.23. WTI futures fell 0.99% to $108.80 on its last day as the front-month, with futures for July down about 0.6% to $109.20. WTI futures are now set to rise for a fourth consecutive for the first time since mid-February 2022. The black liquid has seen limited gains during the past week, with the Brent and U.S. benchmarks mostly trading in a range uncertainty in demand. Investors, worried about rising inflation and tighter monetary policies from central banks, have been reducing exposure to riskier assets. An example is open interest in WTI futures, which fell to 1.722 million contracts on May 18, 2022, the lowest level since July 2016. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading above middle line of Bollinger band indicator. CCI indicator also showing bullishness at upper line level, and XTIUSD is trading above today pivot level 108.45. As per the 1-hour chart, XTI will be test next resistance level 112. As per my view, sell on rise is good strategy for XTIUSD, sell range is 112 to 112.35, and there is very strong resistance zone at 114.10 Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 114.50 and sustain in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to buy with the target of 117 with the stop loss of 112.75.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development After hitting seven-week highs, oil prices slumped 2% on Tuesday as Reuters reported that the United States could ease some restrictions on Venezuela's government, raising hopes that the market could see some additional supplies. Prices also fell after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell warned the economy could hurt by attempts to reduce inflation. Brent crude fell $2.31, or 2%, to settle at $111.93 a barrel, and U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell $1.8, or 1.6%, to settle at $112.40 a barrel. Powell suggested there could be some economic pain involved in bringing inflation down. The U.S. central bank will "keep pushing" to tighten U.S. monetary policy until it is clear that inflation is declining, he said. Oil prices have generally been rising as Russian supply squeezed by bans from several countries and an economic downturn due to broad sanctions on Moscow imposed by the United States and allies. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading middle line of Bollinger band indicator. CCI indicator also showing weakness at upper line level, and XTIUSD is trading today near pivot level 108. As per the 1-hour chart, XTI will be test next support level 106. As per my view, sell on rise is good strategy for XTIUSD, sell range is 108 to 109, and there is very strong resistance zone at 110. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 110 and sustain in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to buy with the target of 111.50 with the stop loss of 109.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development Oil was down on Tuesday morning in Asia, opening lower earlier in the session. The European Union's move to enact a ban on Russian oil imports, which would tighten global supplies, ran into opposition from member country Hungary. Brent oil futures edged down 0.18% to $114.03 and WTI futures edged down 0.20% to $111.60. Shanghai set out plans on Monday for the end of a painful COVID-19 lock down that has lasted more than six weeks, heavily bruising China's economy, and for the return of more normal life from June 1. Oil output in the Permian in Texas and New Mexico, the biggest U.S. shale oil basin, is due to rise 88,000 barrels per day (bpd) to a record 5.219 million bpd in June, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Monday. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading above middle line of Bollinger band indicator. CCI indicator also showing bullishness at upper line level, and XTIUSD is trading today above pivot level 110.50. As per the 1-hour chart, XTI will be test next resistance level 114.50. As per my view, buy on dip is good strategy for XTIUSD, buy range is 111 to 110.50, and there is very strong resistance zone at 108.85. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below 108.85 and sustain in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 106.75 with the stop loss of 110.25.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Oil was down on Monday morning in Asia, the European Union (EU)’s impending ban on Russian crude imports is driving global supply fears. Brent oil futures dropped 2.18% to $109.12 and WTI futures fell 2.04% to $106.41. Both Brent and WTI benchmarks, which jumped about 4% during the previous Friday, increased by more than $1 a barrel earlier in the session, with WTI reaching its highest level since March 28 at $111.71. Meanwhile, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies (OPEC+), have been unable to meet previously agreed targets for output increases. This is due to under-investment in oilfields in some OPEC members and the more recent losses in Russian output. According to the cartel’s latest monthly report, OPEC’s output rose by 153,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 28.65 million bpd. This lags behind the 254,000 bpd rise that OPEC allowed under the OPEC+ deal. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading below middle line of Bollinger band indicator. CCI indicator also showing weakness at bottom line level, and XTIUSD is trading today near pivot level 107. As per the 1-hour chart, XTI will be test next support level 105.45. As per my view, XTIUSD sell range is 107.50 to 107.75 and there is very strong resistance zone at 109.50. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade above 107 and sustain in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to buy with the target of 108.90 with the stop loss of 106.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development Oil prices dropped more than 1% on Thursday in a volatile week as economic concerns and recession fears dogged global financial markets, outweighing supply concerns and geopolitical tensions in Europe. Brent crude futures slipped $1.25, or 1.2%, to $106.26 a barrel. WTI crude futures fell $1.24, or 1.2%, to $104.47 a barrel. U.S. headline CPI for the 12 months to April jumped 8.3%, reaffirming concerns that interest rates will need to rise quickly to tame it. On Wednesday, oil prices jumped 5% after Russia sanctioned 31 companies based in countries that imposed sanctions on Moscow after the Ukraine invasion. In the United States, commercial crude inventories rose last week because of a record release of oil from the U.S. strategic reserves, but gasoline stockpiles declined ahead of the peak summer driving demand season, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading Lower line of Bollinger band indicator. CCI indicator also showing bullishness at bottom line level, and XTIUSD is trying to pull back at today pivot level 102.10. As per the 1-hour chart buy on dip, strategy is good for XTIUSD. As per my view, XTIUSD buy range is 102.10 to 101.50 and there is very strong support zone at 100. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below today pivot level 102.10 in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 100.50 with the stop loss of 103.10.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development Oil was up on Wednesday morning in Asia, as investors await US and China economic data. Brent oil futures rose 1.99% to $104.36 and crude oil WTI futures jumped 2.27% to $101.96. Investors will be keeping an eye on China’s April factory gate prices and the US consumer –price index. A stronger dollar in particular, affects commodities like oil that priced in the currency. In addition, the oil market has shaken in recent times by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and COVID-19 lockdowns across China. The war has fanned inflation, driving up the cost of everything from food to fuel. Retail gasoline in the US hit a record ahead of the summer driving season. The American Petroleum Institute reported US crude stockpiles rose by 1.62 million barrels last week, according to sources familiar with the data. Fuel inventories have also expanded. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading middle line of Bollinger band indicator. CCI indicator also showing bullishness above 100 level, and XTIUSD is trading above pivot level 100.89. As per the 1-hour chart buy on dip, strategy is good for XTIUSD. As per my view, XTIUSD buy range is 101.20 to 101 and there is very strong support zone at 99.90 Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below pivot level 100.89 in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 99 with the stop loss of 102. (Note: Crude Oil Inventories data will release at 8 PM (IST)
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development Oil was up on Friday morning in Asia, recovering from an earlier drop. However, worries about an economic downturn that could affect fuel demand persisted, alongside concerns over the latest European Union (EU) sanctions against Russia. Brent oil futures rose 0.54% to $111. In addition, WTI futures rose 0.57% to $108.88. U.S. stocks tumbled, a trend that mostly followed in Asia, as investors avoided risk over worries that the U.S. Federal Reserve could hike interest rates further in 2022. The central bank hiked its interest rate to 1% on Wednesday as it handed down its latest policy decision. The Bank of England also warned on Thursday that the U.K. risks a double-whammy of a recession and inflation above 10%. The central bank hiked its interest rate to 1%, the highest since 2009, as it handed down its own policy decision. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading middle line of Bollinger band indicator. RSI indicator also showing bullishness above 50 level, and XTIUSD is trading yesterday pivot level 107.71. As per the 1-hour chart buy on dip, strategy is good for XTIUSD. As per my view, XTIUSD buy range is 106.25 to 105.90 and there is very strong support zone at 105. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below support level 106.45 in U.S. Session so it will be, give great opportunity to sell with the target of 104.25 with the stop loss of 107.55
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development Oil was up on Thursday morning in Asia, extending gains from the previous session after the European Union (EU) unveiled new sanctions against Russia. Brent oil futures were up 0.35% to $110.53 and WTI futures edged up 0.20% to $108.03. The EU proposal, announced by European Commission President Ursula vonder Leyen, includes phasing out supplies of Russian crude in six months and refined products by the end of 2022. The proposal could also see EU companies banned from offering shipping, brokerage, insurance , and financing services to transport Russian oil in a month’s time. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies (OPEC+) will meet later in the day, where it expected to agree to raise production targets by 432,000 bpd for June 2022, four OPEC+ delegates told Reuters. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading above upper line of Bollinger band indicator. RSI indicator also showing bullishness above 50 level, and XTIUSD is trading yesterday major resistance level 107.20. As per the 1-hour chart buy on dip, strategy is good for XTIUSD. As per my view, XTIUSD buy range is 106 to 106.50 and there is very strong support zone at 105.66. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below pivot level 105.80 in U.S. Session so it will be give great opportunity to sell with the target of 104.25 with the stop loss of 106.80.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development Oil was up on Thursday morning in Asia, extending gains from the previous session after the European Union (EU) unveiled new sanctions against Russia. Brent oil futures were up 0.35% to $110.53 and WTI futures edged up 0.20% to $108.03. The EU proposal, announced by European Commission President Ursula vonder Leyen, includes phasing out supplies of Russian crude in six months and refined products by the end of 2022. The proposal could also see EU companies banned from offering shipping, brokerage, insurance, and financing services to transport Russian oil in a month’s time. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies (OPEC+) will meet later in the day, where it expected to agree to raise production targets by 432,000 bpd for June 2022, four OPEC+ delegates told Reuters. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading above upper line of Bollinger band indicator. RSI indicator also showing bullishness above 50 level, and XTIUSD is trading yesterday major resistance level 107.20. As per the 1-hour chart buy on dip, strategy is good for XTIUSD. As per my view, XTIUSD buy range is 106 to 106.50 and there is very strong support zone at 105.66. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will trade below pivot level 105.80 in U.S. Session so it will be give great opportunity to sell with the target of 104.25 with the stop loss of 106.80.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC
What 1-hour chart says? Fundamental Development: Oil prices fell on Monday in holiday-sapped trade in Asia as concerns about weak economic growth in China, the world's top oil importer, outweighed fears of potential supply stress from a looming European Union ban on Russian crude. Brent crude futures fell $1.13, or 1.1%, to $106.01 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell $1, or 1%, to $103.69 a barrel. Prices fell after China released data on Saturday showing that factory activity in the world's second-largest economy contracted for a second month to its lowest since February 2020 because of COVID lock downs. Royal Bank of Canada analysts estimated India's crude imports from Russia have grown from less than 100,000 bpd in 2021 to 800,000 bpd in April and expect India to continue ramping up imports as long as Washington does not impose secondary sanctions. Short Term Technical View: In 1-hour chart, XTIUSD is trading Lower band of Bollinger indicator, also RSI indicator showing weakness below 50 levels. Now XTIUSD is trading below today pivot level 105.54. As per the 1-hour chart sell on rise strategy is good for XTIUSD. As per my view, XTIUSD sell range is 105 to 105.35 and there is very strong resistance zone at 107. Alternative Scenario: If XTIUSD will not sustain below pivot level 105.54 in U.S. Session and RSI Indicator also trading above 50 levels so it will be give great opportunity to buy with the target of 107 with the stop loss of 104.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by RATONYCNC