Ongcanalysis
ONGC – TrendLine Beakout on Monthly Chart
ENTRY: CMP (126.5) breakout was 121.2
Target1: 168
Target2: 234.4
Target1: 293.25
Stop Loss : 118.8 (Weekly Close). Deep SL 104.15
Will Update Trailing Stop loss whenever required.
Duration : 4-5 Years
Stock has broken Monthly Trend line which started from Sep 2014.
Also last week close was above 121.2 which was Previous Support on Monthly chart same should have acted as resistance which didn’t happened hence script is showing good strength.
Heavy Volume also seen last few month, signaling accumulation phase over or almost about to end in this script.
Fundamentally Co has good record of making consistence Profits for its share holders.
Cash Flow Statement has been consistently growing hence Co is able to give good Dividend over years.
Dividend yield is around 4%.
Debt to Equity 0.5 times (favourable)
Book Value 167 vs CMP 125 (Available at discount)
Disc. : Views Shared for Education Purpose only. Consult your Financial Advisor before taking any position.
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Economics of ONGC(Demand and Supply)A trait of a demand/supply zone is when the candle, which is breaking out of the zone, has a range that is significantly greater than any previous candle's range. Also, a range is usually formed inside a demand/supply zone, after which the price breaks out/down and continues to move with momentum in one direction. These can be great confirmations to find and make certain levels as demand or supply regions. Another trait is the formation of wicks near the supply zone and of tails near the demand zone., which is a sign that strong players pushed the price opposite to its original move. Observe the size of candles on 21 September and 25 September. Notice their range is greater than any candle visible on the current chart. This clearly shows that strong sellers are present at the supply zone(73-75 levels) and strong buyers are also present at around 65-67 levels, who push the price down and up, respectively. This has also caused the price to stay in a range for a long time and where the price breakouts out will decide whether this bigger range from 65-75 was a distribution zone or an accumulation zone.
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