weekend with green.The second expiry of the month ended on a positive note. The day started with a gap up opening but went down and took support and bounced back at the 17400-20 range. It was good support along with the 17400 range imp and there is a trend line as well. It bounced back with strength, along with the candle. It broke the day high and took resistance at 17600, a consolidation between 17500 and 17600. It tried to break 17600 but couldn't sustain it. Let's see if Nifty will continue its strength or be volatile.
coming to my option selling, gap up opening. I was a bit worried about my 17700CE but not that much premium spike. My PE side almost melted.
I booked profit and waited till 10AM when suddenly the bounce back came. I entered it at 17200PE. At one point, I was concerned about my CE side. 17600 was tested multiple times. At one point, it was b.k. at 17600 and I booked profit on the CE side because my plan was to exit if 17610 was b.k position give good profit of nearly 0.8%. I did not enter into any other aggressive trades and ended this week above 1%.
Options-strategy
Volatile continues where we can expect expiry. Feb 2nd expiry.Many days of volatility, we can say that the year began with volatility and that it continues, I would say. This Monday, it was b.K. 17400, which was an important fib 0.5 level. Once it is taken out, it is a proper down move. We all know that the importance of the 17000 to 17080 rage is that the rage acted as a support and bounced back again, multiple times, to 17450. A roller coaster ride for option sellers. Tomorrow, the RBI's policy meeting. interest rate fear will be there. Let's see how it ends tomorrow. If it continues above 17400, the next level to watch is 17600. On the down side, if any violation below 17350 rages, today's consolidation weakness is still there. We can expect a further decline in prices.
I am coming to the option of selling this week. Good for me. I have already booked a profit of nearly 1%. On Monday, nifty b.k 17400, I sold 17400 naked and gave a good profit, and on Tuesday, I entered my 17800CE position and waited to enter the PE side once it took a reversal. I entered 16550. The market moved up. profit in both PE and CE. I am coming to the option of selling this week. Good for me. I have already booked a profit of nearly 1%. On Monday, nifty b.k 17400, I sold 17400 naked and gave a good profit, and on Tuesday, I entered my 17800CE position and waited to enter the PE side once it took a reversal. I entered 16550. The market moved up. profit in both PE and CE.
Today's gap is filled with consolidation. I rolled up my PE to 17050 and my CE to 17700. I am holding on to it. This week I'm going to be super conservative because of last week. If nifty, open with a gap up. If it tries to break 17600, I will roll my CE PE up. If it goes below 17200, I will roll my CE down and I will probably exit the PE side if it goes below 17150. Otherwise, I could end up with this week's above 1.5%.
Trade after budget I am bullish in this budget, positional tgts are really till 18000 but intraday 100-150 move is enough to earn good money, still it should give a close above 17610-15 after that it can give a straight upside move, volatile market may be there but do not trade it there is a huge gapup, then the people who have bought calls can book profits.. trade safely
NIFTY Monthly option Strategy JAN 27 Expiry*** See the effectiveness of weekly levels of last week DEC 27-31 *** See chart ********
Action Strike price 27 JAN Expiry
Sell 18000 CE 66.3
Buy 18200 CE 29.8
Sell 16800 PE 96.85
Buy 16600 PE 67.85
Reasoning : NIFTY to stay between 18000 to 16600
Max profit is Rs 3120 ie 7.8% for Rs 40000 Investment . Increase lot size based on your risk appetite.
Exit if NIFTY goes above 18030 or below 16600 by keeping an alert from broker
You can execute this on Jan 3 and the premium may vary a bit hence profit as well. This is monthly income strategy and low risk strategy(not a zero loss strategy).
I am not a SEBI registered advisor and trade based on your own investment adviser
past history :
DEC Month : 6.825 %
November month : 4.53%
Going to end this month, Crazy expiry.Look at the chart and see where we are now and how we started this month. This month started with a positive note and kept moving up and up. It is a clear up trend. It took a nifty 14 days to reach 18350. Just five days to keep the nifty dragged down. We have multiple global news sources to follow the down move. But think about the option sellers who hold long positions, vix shoot up to 20+ all eyes on US fed meeting. let's see how it is going to end this month. It is very important that where nifty is going to open on Thursday, we have important levels to watch above 17350,17500,17550 below 17200 major level 17000,16800.
I have 17650 CE and 16550PE as well. I will keep book my profit already in 16100 PE and 18050CE, with 17950CE near 0.5%. My plan for Thursday is for the nifty to move up. I will keep 17650CE till the nifty crosses 17550-17500. Keep my PUT up. If it goes down, I will bring my CE down and adjust PE as needed. if there is a gap up or gap down opening above 17550 my limit, and below 16800 I will make adjustments accordingly. If things go well, I hope to exit with a profit.
NIfty 50 17-01-2022The Nifty seems to be somewhat bullish in the near time in the hourly basis time frame, The given ranges are mentioned in the analysis. The market will give a breakout once it breaks the nearest support or resistance mentioned in the analysis on either side.
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*Disclaimer*- This is just an analysis of the data on the basis of technical factors such as chart patterns, candlestick patterns, trend line, option chain data, etc. Stock Market or Trading in any type of market is subject to high financial risk. You should see this idea as just an analysis. You are not obliged to follow my instructions. You will be responsible for all types of gains or losses in the market.
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crazy gap down, simple expiry.What an expiry today, with interest rate fear taking nifty down. Look at the chart. There was a huge gap between the opening and the consolidation. Looking at the nifty 5 minute chart, there is a strong upward trend, supporting 50 EMA. Every time the Nifty is at the 50EMA, good buying activity. At one point, it indicated that it was about to cross the 18000 mark. But as we saw, the channel was created with respect to Nifty, and yesterday it was above the line at 18,000. Price action is at an important level, and profit booking may begin from there. I was expecting that. In the coming days as well, I will closely watch the 18000 level. If it tests again, rejects, or consolidates below the level, it might break out from there again. But with a positive global clue, it's hard to bark at the 18000 level. Keep an eye on FII DII activity. If FII starts buying and DII is still buying, but if DII starts booking their profit, the power of the nifty might slow down. Let's keep an eye on all these activities.
When it comes to my weekly option selling this week, I am in the green. But I haven't booked the loss for the 13th expiry (17300 PE). If I book the losses, my net profit and loss will be close to 2%. This 50EMA buying activity helped me to get out of huge losses this week. And I had 17650 PE and my 13th expiry (17300 PE) yesterday. I booked other positions with Profit. Because I was expecting a retest, I took this safe position. The day began with a gap down, which allowed me to exit with a good profit. On the PE side, there is a premium spike, and there is a massive spike on the 17550, 17600, and 17650.
My plan for the 13th expiry (17300 PE) is to sell anything above it with a good premium to minimize the losses. I will keep adjusting on my call side as well. I hope I can manage a 2% loss while trying to keep the net P & L green.
Entering into the Christmas Sale Weekly Expiry NIFTY50In this December month, we were blessed with five expiry dates. I would say that the last three expiry dates are like a roller coaster ride, highly volatile. We are entering our 4th week now, and it is a technically correction mode. Technically, a 10% drop from the recent high is referred to as a correction. Look at Nifty50 on Monday. It opened with a huge gap down and the panic selling happened because of the major levels where we know it was taken out. 17000 and 16700. This range is important because it is 10% from the recent high and also a fib range. After the range was broken, the NIFTY50 made a new week low near the 16400 level, then pulled back and closed above 16600.This kind of pull back kills aggressive traders.
Tuesday opened with a near 0.96% gap up. Think about it! NIFTY50 as well as a strong rebound. It closed above 16700, so it looks good. In NIFTY50, we can expect the major levels to turn into resistance like Nifty did. Today, resistance is near 17950.We can expect the 17000 level to continue as resistance for the week, so I would be confident about selling at a strike price above 17200 on the downside of 16400 for a safe trade.
Keep an eye on the daily candle as well. There is a doji candle . We can expect moments in both directions Make a decision accordingly.
Mindtree Next Week - Support & Resistance LevelThis is just for study purpose, don't blindly trade into it. Please discuss with your financial adviser before trading into stock market.
I'm learning and sharing thing what I'm doing. Feedback is more valuable for me.
NIfty Alert was given yesterday, Trade for 29 Nov 21The adjusted closing of NIfty at 17025,
H&S Neck line already broken, A fresh channel break down happened, FII watching the drama, Covid playing in the globe, Be careful.
Trade,
If Nifty start trading below 17000,
Short Nifty ,
Tgt 16850, 16700 & positional 16350
SL is very deep.
17620
Bank Nifty 1 Hr Chart with Fibonacci Retracement Target 38200Bank Nifty 1 Hr Chart with Fibonacci Retracement towards Target of 38200
Option/ Future buyers- Buy only December Month expiry
Also with a view of Monthly and weekly expiry.. Volatility will be there to eat premiums are on both Side.
Dont trade option with November Month Expiry. Still if you want to trade , go only with 1 lot of 38000 with very stick stop loss as per your Risk management.
NIfty in the hands of smart Call writersIf you observe,
Call writers writing the calls only after breaking the each level, where they can generate the fresh resistance, Bulls trapped badly,
Nifty can survive only if FII start buying, else, H&S pattern neck line broken.
Fresh Nifty Support 17000, 16700, 16365, 15965
Trade,
Sell Nifty at 17400
Tgt 17330, 17250, 117150
SL 17525
Banknifty Could be Go Down at Thursday.Banknifty could be go down at Thursday 18/11/2021, But if market open up from blue line which is i draw then we can see some upper targets. Important condition for upper targets:- Market Should be gap up open for 100 Points.
if market open down from blue line then we can see some down targets.
"Recommend:- Please watch market first 15 Minutes."
Nifty range bound but negativeNifty got failed too sustain above 18200,
FII may not continued buying, I think todays positive consolidation happened because of local traders and investors,
Tomorrow if Nifty break support of 18060,
Short nifty,
Tgt 17990, 17945, 17900
SL 18150
Long side trade can be initiate only if Nifty sustain above 18225, On 15 minutes timeline, MACD is in negative direction but, In Daily chart it is in direction of positive cross over, so, If sustain above 18265, there will be a strong bullish view.