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Nifty PRZ trade plan.Nifty formed a base on 9.5.2022 and has re-tested that base thrice. It gave a good bullish move after that and is trading around previous day high. The overall sentiment and trend of the market is still bearish. Also Nifty has formed a BEARISH DEEP CRAB formation and the PRZ level comes around 16450 . One can take a bearish trade once Nifty touches 16450 with a SL of 16485 on a 15 mins closing basis. The reason for the SL is that 16478 is the SL for the harmonic pattern and 16484 is the high of 6.5.2022. One can keep the the following targets according to Fibonacci :- T1 - 16404 T2 - 16375 T3 - 16352
NSE:NIFTYShort
by pareshdevnani
U turn expiry.Day to mark, when the market opens with a huge 400 point gap up, and profit booking kicks in. I have an overnight position of 16600CE and 15700PE, which is a huge premium spike that went MTM loss of 25X. It hit harder than the market moved down. When CE started to melt down, I lost 4% of my capital, but I had seen a 10% loss in my MTM, so I decided to book 4% and did not adjust any positions. I have already booked nearly 1.5% of the legs that I rolled up this week. managed to exit with a minimum loss. Let's see how it ends this week. The market is actually not in a good mood.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
Putin effect, Where we can expect expiry. Look at VIX. Where is it now. indicating the crazy movement will continue. Any news can drive the market's movement. stepping into the last week of the month with caution. Monday opened with a gap down and then started a recovery, then fell again. Today it opened with a huge 300 point gap. Think about it. Carrying over night positions is risky. As a trader, we have to look for good premiums everywhere. Make use of it and make sure you won't get stuck in volatility. Looking at the price action, it is good to see that 16850 took support and bounced back. When it comes below 17000, there is buying happening. A good sign. Also, keep an eye on that. If it breaks with strength, we can see a larger move. Above, there is a trend line. I will keep an eye on these levels. Below 16850 and above 17350. Coming to my option selling, I am already sitting on top of nearly 1.5% profit, having booked 0.8% profit. I started selling calls on Friday and I expected negativity. I took 17850 CE at a good premium at the closing time. Monday gap down opening and the CE almost melted. I held on to it, and today I booked profit. I entered into the PE side at 15850 too far with a really good premium VIX spike to help get that and the CE side at 17550. The current position is good now, one point CE side give me bit worry. My plan for the week's PE side almost melted if Tmro gapped down. I will hold my PE and adjust only the expiry day and worry about my CE side because of the VIX spike. If my SL did not meet the price, then my plan was to hold the CE till 17450–17470 and roll up the PE to 16850. Otherwise, just make adjustments. expiry day only.Let's hope we can end this week on a high.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
1
Not a calm expiry but a nifty pause Looking at the chart of 200 point intraday movement now becomes calm expiry. but it's good to see nifty in a range of 17400 to 17200. Option sellers make money, but premium spikes are crazy. Price action speaks. After a trending market, there is a consolidation. That is how the market behaves. The market is still not stable. Global clues are still confusing the market. We can see more news-driven movements. Let's keep an eye on 17450 and 17250 for the last 2 days, respected. Let's keep an eye on these levels. If any of these breaks, we can see another quick move from here. Coming to my option of selling the sitting on top of near 2% profit this week. On Wednesday, the market gapped up, so I booked profit on my 16700PE. When the market started moving down, I was able to get the same position with a good premium, and I averaged the PE side twice, which added good profit to the PE side. I roll down to my CE of 17700. At the end of the day, I rolled my PE to 16900. At the end, my 16900 showed some red, but I had already booked some good profit from 16700, so the position was all good. I hold on to it. When the day started, my position almost melted away. I booked a profit. The market moved down and took support at 17250, a good premium spike of 17900, with the same safety roll down to my CE of 17600. I was expecting a quick down move, so I entered 17500CE and it went and hit SL. After that, it moved my positions to the downside, 17200PE and 17450CE, ending the week on a high. but i was bit worried about the premium spike SL set up saved from the volatile day. 17500CE only hit SL. End the week on a high.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
weekend with green.The second expiry of the month ended on a positive note. The day started with a gap up opening but went down and took support and bounced back at the 17400-20 range. It was good support along with the 17400 range imp and there is a trend line as well. It bounced back with strength, along with the candle. It broke the day high and took resistance at 17600, a consolidation between 17500 and 17600. It tried to break 17600 but couldn't sustain it. Let's see if Nifty will continue its strength or be volatile. coming to my option selling, gap up opening. I was a bit worried about my 17700CE but not that much premium spike. My PE side almost melted. I booked profit and waited till 10AM when suddenly the bounce back came. I entered it at 17200PE. At one point, I was concerned about my CE side. 17600 was tested multiple times. At one point, it was b.k. at 17600 and I booked profit on the CE side because my plan was to exit if 17610 was b.k position give good profit of nearly 0.8%. I did not enter into any other aggressive trades and ended this week above 1%.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh
Volatile continues where we can expect expiry. Feb 2nd expiry.Many days of volatility, we can say that the year began with volatility and that it continues, I would say. This Monday, it was b.K. 17400, which was an important fib 0.5 level. Once it is taken out, it is a proper down move. We all know that the importance of the 17000 to 17080 rage is that the rage acted as a support and bounced back again, multiple times, to 17450. A roller coaster ride for option sellers. Tomorrow, the RBI's policy meeting. interest rate fear will be there. Let's see how it ends tomorrow. If it continues above 17400, the next level to watch is 17600. On the down side, if any violation below 17350 rages, today's consolidation weakness is still there. We can expect a further decline in prices. I am coming to the option of selling this week. Good for me. I have already booked a profit of nearly 1%. On Monday, nifty b.k 17400, I sold 17400 naked and gave a good profit, and on Tuesday, I entered my 17800CE position and waited to enter the PE side once it took a reversal. I entered 16550. The market moved up. profit in both PE and CE. I am coming to the option of selling this week. Good for me. I have already booked a profit of nearly 1%. On Monday, nifty b.k 17400, I sold 17400 naked and gave a good profit, and on Tuesday, I entered my 17800CE position and waited to enter the PE side once it took a reversal. I entered 16550. The market moved up. profit in both PE and CE. Today's gap is filled with consolidation. I rolled up my PE to 17050 and my CE to 17700. I am holding on to it. This week I'm going to be super conservative because of last week. If nifty, open with a gap up. If it tries to break 17600, I will roll my CE PE up. If it goes below 17200, I will roll my CE down and I will probably exit the PE side if it goes below 17150. Otherwise, I could end up with this week's above 1.5%.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manuadarsh