Putin effect, Where we can expect expiry. Look at VIX. Where is it now. indicating the crazy movement will continue. Any news can drive the market's movement. stepping into the last week of the month with caution. Monday opened with a gap down and then started a recovery, then fell again. Today it opened with a huge 300 point gap. Think about it. Carrying over night positions is risky. As a trader, we have to look for good premiums everywhere. Make use of it and make sure you won't get stuck in volatility. Looking at the price action, it is good to see that 16850 took support and bounced back. When it comes below 17000, there is buying happening. A good sign. Also, keep an eye on that. If it breaks with strength, we can see a larger move. Above, there is a trend line. I will keep an eye on these levels. Below 16850 and above 17350.
Coming to my option selling, I am already sitting on top of nearly 1.5% profit, having booked 0.8% profit. I started selling calls on Friday and I expected negativity. I took 17850 CE at a good premium at the closing time. Monday gap down opening and the CE almost melted. I held on to it, and today I booked profit. I entered into the PE side at 15850 too far with a really good premium VIX spike to help get that and the CE side at 17550. The current position is good now, one point CE side give me bit worry. My plan for the week's PE side almost melted if Tmro gapped down. I will hold my PE and adjust only the expiry day and worry about my CE side because of the VIX spike. If my SL did not meet the price, then my plan was to hold the CE till 17450–17470 and roll up the PE to 16850. Otherwise, just make adjustments. expiry day only.Let's hope we can end this week on a high.
Options
Not a calm expiry but a nifty pause Looking at the chart of 200 point intraday movement now becomes calm expiry. but it's good to see nifty in a range of 17400 to 17200. Option sellers make money, but premium spikes are crazy. Price action speaks. After a trending market, there is a consolidation. That is how the market behaves. The market is still not stable. Global clues are still confusing the market. We can see more news-driven movements. Let's keep an eye on 17450 and 17250 for the last 2 days, respected. Let's keep an eye on these levels. If any of these breaks, we can see another quick move from here.
Coming to my option of selling the sitting on top of near 2% profit this week. On Wednesday, the market gapped up, so I booked profit on my 16700PE. When the market started moving down, I was able to get the same position with a good premium, and I averaged the PE side twice, which added good profit to the PE side. I roll down to my CE of 17700. At the end of the day, I rolled my PE to 16900. At the end, my 16900 showed some red, but I had already booked some good profit from 16700, so the position was all good. I hold on to it. When the day started, my position almost melted away. I booked a profit. The market moved down and took support at 17250, a good premium spike of 17900, with the same safety roll down to my CE of 17600. I was expecting a quick down move, so I entered 17500CE and it went and hit SL. After that, it moved my positions to the downside, 17200PE and 17450CE, ending the week on a high. but i was bit worried about the premium spike SL set up saved from the volatile day. 17500CE only hit SL. End the week on a high.
weekend with green.The second expiry of the month ended on a positive note. The day started with a gap up opening but went down and took support and bounced back at the 17400-20 range. It was good support along with the 17400 range imp and there is a trend line as well. It bounced back with strength, along with the candle. It broke the day high and took resistance at 17600, a consolidation between 17500 and 17600. It tried to break 17600 but couldn't sustain it. Let's see if Nifty will continue its strength or be volatile.
coming to my option selling, gap up opening. I was a bit worried about my 17700CE but not that much premium spike. My PE side almost melted.
I booked profit and waited till 10AM when suddenly the bounce back came. I entered it at 17200PE. At one point, I was concerned about my CE side. 17600 was tested multiple times. At one point, it was b.k. at 17600 and I booked profit on the CE side because my plan was to exit if 17610 was b.k position give good profit of nearly 0.8%. I did not enter into any other aggressive trades and ended this week above 1%.
Volatile continues where we can expect expiry. Feb 2nd expiry.Many days of volatility, we can say that the year began with volatility and that it continues, I would say. This Monday, it was b.K. 17400, which was an important fib 0.5 level. Once it is taken out, it is a proper down move. We all know that the importance of the 17000 to 17080 rage is that the rage acted as a support and bounced back again, multiple times, to 17450. A roller coaster ride for option sellers. Tomorrow, the RBI's policy meeting. interest rate fear will be there. Let's see how it ends tomorrow. If it continues above 17400, the next level to watch is 17600. On the down side, if any violation below 17350 rages, today's consolidation weakness is still there. We can expect a further decline in prices.
I am coming to the option of selling this week. Good for me. I have already booked a profit of nearly 1%. On Monday, nifty b.k 17400, I sold 17400 naked and gave a good profit, and on Tuesday, I entered my 17800CE position and waited to enter the PE side once it took a reversal. I entered 16550. The market moved up. profit in both PE and CE. I am coming to the option of selling this week. Good for me. I have already booked a profit of nearly 1%. On Monday, nifty b.k 17400, I sold 17400 naked and gave a good profit, and on Tuesday, I entered my 17800CE position and waited to enter the PE side once it took a reversal. I entered 16550. The market moved up. profit in both PE and CE.
Today's gap is filled with consolidation. I rolled up my PE to 17050 and my CE to 17700. I am holding on to it. This week I'm going to be super conservative because of last week. If nifty, open with a gap up. If it tries to break 17600, I will roll my CE PE up. If it goes below 17200, I will roll my CE down and I will probably exit the PE side if it goes below 17150. Otherwise, I could end up with this week's above 1.5%.
Trade after budget I am bullish in this budget, positional tgts are really till 18000 but intraday 100-150 move is enough to earn good money, still it should give a close above 17610-15 after that it can give a straight upside move, volatile market may be there but do not trade it there is a huge gapup, then the people who have bought calls can book profits.. trade safely
Hello again here with a new idea on oil ltd.Yesterday oil india limited gave a channel breakout with a huge voloume . One more thing is that in previous three candles it is making a pattern of morning star . So I will be bullish on this stock if it gave a confirmation on monday else i will be entering in it on wednesday. This is my own research do yours as well and its my opinion and should not be taken as tip. Thanks follow for more.
Tringle pattern breakout in GRASIM . when to enter .As you can clearly see grasim gave a tringle pattern break out in daily chart . Now what further moves can be . According to me when these types of breakout comes market take a regression in upcoming candles . So on monday I will be waiting till 11:00 AM and than if market will be bearish I will not enter . But if market will be bullish i will take a swing position .
also check macd and rsi are strong .
And yu can see my targets on chart .
This is mine own analisys do yours as well its my opinion and should not be taken as tip.
NIFTY Monthly option Strategy JAN 27 Expiry*** See the effectiveness of weekly levels of last week DEC 27-31 *** See chart ********
Action Strike price 27 JAN Expiry
Sell 18000 CE 66.3
Buy 18200 CE 29.8
Sell 16800 PE 96.85
Buy 16600 PE 67.85
Reasoning : NIFTY to stay between 18000 to 16600
Max profit is Rs 3120 ie 7.8% for Rs 40000 Investment . Increase lot size based on your risk appetite.
Exit if NIFTY goes above 18030 or below 16600 by keeping an alert from broker
You can execute this on Jan 3 and the premium may vary a bit hence profit as well. This is monthly income strategy and low risk strategy(not a zero loss strategy).
I am not a SEBI registered advisor and trade based on your own investment adviser
past history :
DEC Month : 6.825 %
November month : 4.53%
Going to end this month, Crazy expiry.Look at the chart and see where we are now and how we started this month. This month started with a positive note and kept moving up and up. It is a clear up trend. It took a nifty 14 days to reach 18350. Just five days to keep the nifty dragged down. We have multiple global news sources to follow the down move. But think about the option sellers who hold long positions, vix shoot up to 20+ all eyes on US fed meeting. let's see how it is going to end this month. It is very important that where nifty is going to open on Thursday, we have important levels to watch above 17350,17500,17550 below 17200 major level 17000,16800.
I have 17650 CE and 16550PE as well. I will keep book my profit already in 16100 PE and 18050CE, with 17950CE near 0.5%. My plan for Thursday is for the nifty to move up. I will keep 17650CE till the nifty crosses 17550-17500. Keep my PUT up. If it goes down, I will bring my CE down and adjust PE as needed. if there is a gap up or gap down opening above 17550 my limit, and below 16800 I will make adjustments accordingly. If things go well, I hope to exit with a profit.
Bank Nifty 17-01-2022According to the chart analysis, Bank Nifty is quite bearish. As you can see in the chart there is a head and shoulder pattern, although it is not an ideal one, it can show its significance once it breaks the respective trend line. If Bank Nifty opens in a Bullish way then you can expect a decent volatile session as the India Vix is only 1.5% up. This market is the exactly the type of market where the sellers can eat the premium and take advantage of the decay by selling an out-of-the-money option.
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*Disclaimer*- This is just an analysis of the data on the basis of technical factors such as chart patterns, candlestick patterns, trend line , option chain data, etc,. Stock Market or Trading in any type of market is subject to high financial risk. You should see this idea as just an analysis. You are not obliged to follow my instructions. You will be responsible for all types gains or loses in the market.
NIfty 50 17-01-2022The Nifty seems to be somewhat bullish in the near time in the hourly basis time frame, The given ranges are mentioned in the analysis. The market will give a breakout once it breaks the nearest support or resistance mentioned in the analysis on either side.
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*Disclaimer*- This is just an analysis of the data on the basis of technical factors such as chart patterns, candlestick patterns, trend line, option chain data, etc. Stock Market or Trading in any type of market is subject to high financial risk. You should see this idea as just an analysis. You are not obliged to follow my instructions. You will be responsible for all types of gains or losses in the market.
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Day Open with a gap up. calm expiry.!It was expected that the Nifty would end this week with crazy movement because of the global clues and the market data, But a gap up, opening and consolidating. It actually respects the 200 to 250 range well. But what's more interesting is that tomorrow we might see some moves. Look at the D candle doji, or hanging man. The important level to watch out for next week is the upper side of 18350, which is B.K. We can expect Nifty to test its all-time high again, down side 18130.
As for my option selling, I started selling 18350CE and 18050PE. Nifty went in to consolidation i adjust my position to 18300CE and 18100PE easy week ending with profit. Let's see where the next expiry is.