Above 18000! Will it sustain or not?We are up to the 2nd week of expiry and the nifty is above 18000. On Monday, Nifty opened with a gap up and gave a good up move and closed just above 18,000. Today it sustained the 18000 consolidation between 100 points. It's encouraging to see that more bull runs or breaks below 18,000 are on the way. Because we know there is a lot of data on the way, we can expect a move accordingly. I do think overnight aggressive positioning is a good idea. We have an important line to watch above 18200. Well, below 17900, I kept a close look at the lines and today 18020 was respected. Let's see where it opens tomorrow.
When it comes to my weekly option selling, I have 17600 PE and 18350 PE. I entered an intraday short straddle on Monday now that it is bright and sunny. I already have my overall P & L in nearly 1% red this month, so I'm not confident about carrying it till Thursday. I hope to exit at 0.5%+Tomorrow, planning to take a fresh entry on Thursday to end up flat this week. I am excited to see where Nifty opens on Thursday.
Options
crazy gap down, simple expiry.What an expiry today, with interest rate fear taking nifty down. Look at the chart. There was a huge gap between the opening and the consolidation. Looking at the nifty 5 minute chart, there is a strong upward trend, supporting 50 EMA. Every time the Nifty is at the 50EMA, good buying activity. At one point, it indicated that it was about to cross the 18000 mark. But as we saw, the channel was created with respect to Nifty, and yesterday it was above the line at 18,000. Price action is at an important level, and profit booking may begin from there. I was expecting that. In the coming days as well, I will closely watch the 18000 level. If it tests again, rejects, or consolidates below the level, it might break out from there again. But with a positive global clue, it's hard to bark at the 18000 level. Keep an eye on FII DII activity. If FII starts buying and DII is still buying, but if DII starts booking their profit, the power of the nifty might slow down. Let's keep an eye on all these activities.
When it comes to my weekly option selling this week, I am in the green. But I haven't booked the loss for the 13th expiry (17300 PE). If I book the losses, my net profit and loss will be close to 2%. This 50EMA buying activity helped me to get out of huge losses this week. And I had 17650 PE and my 13th expiry (17300 PE) yesterday. I booked other positions with Profit. Because I was expecting a retest, I took this safe position. The day began with a gap down, which allowed me to exit with a good profit. On the PE side, there is a premium spike, and there is a massive spike on the 17550, 17600, and 17650.
My plan for the 13th expiry (17300 PE) is to sell anything above it with a good premium to minimize the losses. I will keep adjusting on my call side as well. I hope I can manage a 2% loss while trying to keep the net P & L green.
Pullback ExpectedA divergence in the volume shows chances of a pullback to continue the upwards movement! 17500 was a strong psychological resistance acc. to option chain which was broken today by good movement and there has been a heavy call OI build up qt 18000, suggesting some Call Writing in heavy quantity which indicates a psychological resistance at that level according to the option chain. Do not underestimate the pullbacks in a trend! Go for CE and hold the positions until expiry or until it reaches 18000.
Jan22-W1: Nifty can’t help but consolidate? (Jan3 to Jan7)What I said last week was ‘As the market is rising back with a vengeance after the previous 2-3 weeks of downtrend, it will be difficult for bears to stop its momentum.’ I was right as most of the week was a minor bullish trend.
This week is expected to swing both ways. I see Nifty as trapped between my red and green lines. Even if Nifty manages to break above red line, it may not be possible to maintain uptrend. At the same time, there is too much price action around 17100 levels for Nifty to fall like a knife. Thus, I expect a boring consolidation during this first week of new year.
Scenarios for the week ahead (highlighted as yellow box with red and green lines dissecting scenarios)…
Consolidation - Between 17650 and 17050
Downtrend - If breach below 17050; to drop somewhere till 16500
Uptrend - If breach above 17650; to rise somewhere till 18050
Hope year 2022 remains a boring one for all including Nifty. There has been too much volatility in previous 2 years and at least I can’t stand so many events in so little time. Let there be healing, for the world and for my P&L.
DISCLAIMER: I am not a SEBI registered adviser. All the information provided on this website is for educational / informational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice.
The calendar year comes to an end with calm expiry. NIFTY50It is a consolidation expiry. As we discussed, Nifty is in between the ranges. 17200 to 17300, still acting as a resistance. Let's see if there is any upward movement from the channel. My option selling: hey, it's a consolidation option, so sellers make money. The day started with 17050 PE and 17300 CE. I booked 17500CE and 17800 PE with profit. Finally, I sold even 17150 put as well, ending with a good profit.
I hope everyone ends this year on a high. My focus for the coming week is on the upper side of 17300 and the lower side of 17000–16900.
New Year's greeting
30 Dec 2021 How to apply Ninja Scalping to OptionsHow to apply Ninja Scalping (Pull back method) to Options
Bank Nifty intraday ninja scalping technique #Banknifty, #Charts, #market, #trading
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DABUR SHORTDabur shows head and shoulders pattern as marked on the chart above
It recently gave a breakdown from the pattern and retraced a bit till the neckline
One can look for shorting opportunities in DABUR with first target being 540 and second target being 525. SL @580
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LIKE AND COMMENT WHAT YOU THINK ABOUT THIS ANALYSIS.
Bear market expected on 29/12/2021 but still market is supremeBefore every analysis I always look after the option chain data for Banknifty. I went to sensibull and just shocked 😱😱.
Option chain data is showing almost 1544 lakhs contracts were sold in 35000-35500 call options. So a big pressure and that's the reason market can't go up or gives closing above 35500 mark.
Again a bear market 😐😐🙄🙄.
Intraday level is given in this above photo for 29/12/2021
Entering into the Christmas Sale Weekly Expiry NIFTY50In this December month, we were blessed with five expiry dates. I would say that the last three expiry dates are like a roller coaster ride, highly volatile. We are entering our 4th week now, and it is a technically correction mode. Technically, a 10% drop from the recent high is referred to as a correction. Look at Nifty50 on Monday. It opened with a huge gap down and the panic selling happened because of the major levels where we know it was taken out. 17000 and 16700. This range is important because it is 10% from the recent high and also a fib range. After the range was broken, the NIFTY50 made a new week low near the 16400 level, then pulled back and closed above 16600.This kind of pull back kills aggressive traders.
Tuesday opened with a near 0.96% gap up. Think about it! NIFTY50 as well as a strong rebound. It closed above 16700, so it looks good. In NIFTY50, we can expect the major levels to turn into resistance like Nifty did. Today, resistance is near 17950.We can expect the 17000 level to continue as resistance for the week, so I would be confident about selling at a strike price above 17200 on the downside of 16400 for a safe trade.
Keep an eye on the daily candle as well. There is a doji candle . We can expect moments in both directions Make a decision accordingly.