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August 13, 2025 trading plan prediction for tomorrow24,728 – Above: 10m closing → Short Cover Zone. Below: 10m hold PE → Safe Zone for Puts. 24,628 – Above: 10m hold CE → Entry Level for Calls. Below: 10m hold PE → Risky Zone for Puts. 24,528 – Above: Positive trade bias. Below: Negative trade bias. 24,428 – Above Opening S1: 10m hold CE → Bullish bias. Below Opening R1: 10m hold PE → Bearish bias. 24,330 – Above: 10m hold CE → Buy Level for Calls. Below: 10m hold PE → Sell Level for Puts. 24,210 – Above: 10m hold CE → Safe Zone for Calls. Below: 10m hold → Unwinding Level. 24,173 – Day UP Fibonacci Support 0.382.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by mayuraj_820
RELIANCE – Positive Outlook Post Q1 Results with Bullish OI________________________________________________________________________________📈 RELIANCE – Positive Outlook Post Q1 Results with Bullish OI Confirmation 📅 Setup Date: 17.07.2025 | ⏱ Timeframe: Daily 📍 Strategy: Post-Earnings Momentum Setup with Defined Risk ________________________________________________________________________________ 🔍 Overall View Spot Price: ₹1476 Q1 Result Update: Profit ↑12% YoY, beat estimates — strong earnings trigger Trend: Bullish Reversal – Price holding above 1470 with fresh long build-up in CEs Volatility: IV ~23–27%, stable to slightly rising → good for directional plays Ideal Strategy Mix: Bullish directional spreads or high delta long CE ________________________________________________________________________________ 1️⃣ Bullish Trade Best CE: Buy 1480 CE @ ₹25.15 Why: • Long Build-Up (+60.38% OI) with price ↑3.5% — strong institutional buying • At-the-money with delta 0.50 → responsive to price movement • High OI (27.5 lakh) with active volumes confirms smart money activity • Matches post-result momentum — ideal CE for breakout strategy ________________________________________________________________________________ 2️⃣ Bearish Trade (Contrarian) Best PE: Sell 1450 PE @ ₹10.75 Why: • Short Covering seen (-5.57% OI) → downside hedge positions getting closed • Price ↑3.3% and IV stable (22.36%) → premium erosion favorable • Spot is comfortably above ₹1450, providing buffer • Rests below key support zone post-result → limited downside expectation ________________________________________________________________________________ 3️⃣ Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data) Strategy: Bull Call Spread → Buy 1480 CE / Sell 1520 CE             → ₹25.15 / ₹8.85      Net Debit: ₹16.30      Max Profit: ₹40 – ₹16.30 = ₹23.70      Max Loss: ₹16.30      Risk:Reward: ≈ 1 : 1.45 ✅      Lot Size: 500      Total Risk: ₹8,150      Max Profit: ₹11,850 📊 Breakeven Point: ₹1496.30 📉 Exit If: Spot closes below ₹1465 (invalidates CE strength and post-result optimism) ________________________________________________________________________________ Why: • Strong Q1 numbers + fresh long build-up on 1480 CE and 1470 CE • 1520 CE also active but minor short covering = good candidate to sell • IVs are moderate, giving clean pricing for spreads • Defined risk, R:R > 1:1, and positive delta makes this strategy safer ________________________________________________________________________________ 📘 My Trading Setup Rules Avoid Gap Plays → Check pre-open price action to avoid trades influenced by gap-ups/gap-downs. Breakout Entry Only → Enter trades only if price breaks previous day’s High (for bullish trades) or Low (for bearish trades). Watch Volume for Confirmation → Monitor volume closely. No volume = No trade. Enter on Strong Candle + Volume → Execute the trade only if a strong candle appears with increasing volume in the direction of the trade. Defined Risk:Reward Only → Take trades only if R:R is favourable (ideally ≥ 1:2). Premium Disclaimer → Option premiums shown are based on EOD prices — real-time premiums may vary during execution. Time Frame Preference → Trade with your preferred time frame — this strategy works across intraday or positional setups. ________________________________________________________________________________ ⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read): • These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice. • I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. • The information provided here is based on personal market observation. • No buy/sell recommendations are being made. • Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions. • Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management. I am not responsible for trading decisions based on this post. ________________________________________________________________________________
NSE:RELIANCELong
by simpletradewithpatience
SBIN – Bearish Bias with Heavy CE Shorts and Weak Call Structure________________________________________________________________________________📈 SBIN – Bearish Bias with Heavy CE Shorts and Weak Call Structure 📅 Setup Date: 17.07.2025 | ⏱ Timeframe: Daily 📍 Strategy: Short-Term Bearish Momentum Setup with Defined Risk ________________________________________________________________________________ 🔍 Overall View Spot Price: ₹823.35 Trend: Mildly Bearish – Spot facing resistance at 830–840 with weak CE premiums Volatility: IV ~18%–22% (stable to slightly elevated) Ideal Strategy Mix: Bearish directional trades or credit spreads near resistance ________________________________________________________________________________ 1️⃣ Bullish Trade (Contrarian Setup) Best CE: Buy 820 CE @ ₹12.65 Why: • ATM strike with highest delta (0.56) among CEs • Smallest short build-up in CE chain (OI ↑0.73%, vs ~+4%–12% on other CEs) • If spot reclaims 830+, this option will respond fastest • IV is lowest (17.73%) = cheapest in premium vs other strikes Contrarian Setup – Not ideal unless spot crosses 830 with strong volume ________________________________________________________________________________ 2️⃣ Bearish Trade Best PE: Buy 820 PE @ ₹8.65 Why: • Strong Long Build-Up (+29.5% OI), volume-led spike (+46.6%) • Solid delta (-0.44) with decent Vega → responds well to downside • IV is relatively low (19.6%), allowing room for expansion • Ideal strike as spot sits slightly above – quick delta pickup expected ________________________________________________________________________________ 3️⃣ Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data) Strategy: Bear Put Spread → Buy 820 PE / Sell 800 PE             → ₹8.65 / ₹3.00      Net Debit: ₹5.65      Max Profit: ₹20 – ₹5.65 = ₹14.35      Max Loss: ₹5.65      Risk:Reward: ≈ 1 : 2.54 ✅      Lot Size: 750      Total Risk: ₹4,237.50      Max Profit: ₹10,762.50 📊 Breakeven Point: ₹814.35 📉 Exit If: Spot closes above ₹832 (invalidates PE strength and bearish structure) ________________________________________________________________________________ Why: • Heavy CE short build-up across 820–850 strikes (Bearish Call Ladder) • 820 PE has strong long buildup + clean delta = momentum PE • 800 PE still holding OI, good strike to sell for defined risk • IVs are still in mid-range = spread cost low, R:R > 1:2.5 ________________________________________________________________________________ 📘 My Trading Setup Rules Avoid Gap Plays → Check pre-open price action to avoid trades influenced by gap-ups/gap-downs. Breakout Entry Only → Enter trades only if price breaks previous day’s High (for bullish trades) or Low (for bearish trades). Watch Volume for Confirmation → Monitor volume closely. No volume = No trade. Enter on Strong Candle + Volume → Execute the trade only if a strong candle appears with increasing volume in the direction of the trade. Defined Risk:Reward Only → Take trades only if R:R is favourable (ideally ≥ 1:2). Premium Disclaimer → Option premiums shown are based on EOD prices — real-time premiums may vary during execution. Time Frame Preference → Trade with your preferred time frame — this strategy works across intraday or positional setups. ________________________________________________________________________________ ⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read): • These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice. • I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. • The information provided here is based on personal market observation. • No buy/sell recommendations are being made. • Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions. • Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management. I am not responsible for trading decisions based on this post. ________________________________________________________________________________
NSE:SBIN
by simpletradewithpatience
12 August 2025 Nifty50 brekout and Breakdown leval1. Bullish Trade Plan (Call Side – CE) Above 24,818 → Strong upside breakout. Expect short covering rally; positional traders may hold CE. Above 24,718 → CE entry zone for swing/positional buying. Targets can be 24,818+ with trailing SL below 24,650. Above 24,650 → Market bias turns positive; intraday momentum likely to stay bullish. Can scalp CE with strict SL. Above 24,432 (Opening S1) → CE buy zone for intraday. Use for quick trades if supported by volume. Above 24,350 → CE buy trigger; minor bullish push possible. Keep SL just below level. Above 24,220 → CE safe zone; market sentiment remains positive unless price falls back below. 2. Bearish Trade Plan (Put Side – PE) Below 24,818 → First sign of weakness if rejection happens here; safe PE zone starts. Below 24,718 → Risky PE zone; may lead to quick downside movement if selling pressure builds. Below 24,600 → Intraday negative trade view; bears get control. Below 24,400 (Opening R1) → PE buy trigger for intraday shorts. Below 24,330 → Clear downside intraday setup; scalpers can enter PE with SL above level. Below 24,200 → Safe zone for PE; trend likely to continue down. Below 24,170 → Unwinding zone; fall may accelerate quickly to next supports.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by mayuraj_820
1
5th August 2025 trade plan prediction🔼 Bullish Triggers ✅ Above 24,790 = Hold CE by positive trade view ✅ Above 24,920 = Strong bullish breakout (Entry zone for CE) ✅ Above 25,028 = Shot Cover Level → Upside acceleration likely CE (Call Option) Strategy: Buy CE above 24,790 for 24,920 / 25,000 targets Add CE above 25,028 for quick upside move 🔽 Bearish Triggers 🔻 Below 24,700 = Slightly negative bias starts 🔻 Below 24,670 = Below Opening R1 → PE can be bought cautiously 🔻 Below 24,533 = Risk zone → Hold PE by level 🔻 Below 24,433 = UNWINDING zone → Strong bearish momentum 🔻 Below 25,000 = Safe Zone for PE if reversal happens from higher levels PE (Put Option) Strategy: Buy PE if breaks 24,670 for 24,533 / 24,433 targets Add below 24,423 for deeper downside move
NSE:NIFTY
by mayuraj_820
Trade Plan Description for Tomorrow August 1, 2025Bullish Zones & Strategy (Call / CE Levels) Above 24,765 (Opening S1): If price sustains above this, bias may shift positive. 🔹 Buy CE (Call) above this level with stop below S1. Key Upside Resistance Levels: 24,940 – Above this, positive trade view builds (Strong CE Hold). 25,100 - 25,150 – CE entry & momentum zone. 25,350 - 25,382 – Shot Cover Zone (Strong resistance, book profit or expect reversal). 🔻 Bearish Zones & Strategy (Put / PE Levels) Below 24,765: Stay cautious – move toward bearish bias if price sustains below. 🔸 Buy PE (Put) below this level with stop above. Key Downside Support Levels: 24,708 – R1 level; below this, PE strength increases. 24,550 - 24,500 – PE by-level zone. 24,370 – Safe Zone for PE traders. 24,173 - 24,130 – Unwinding + Fib Support.
NSE:NIFTY
by mayuraj_820
2
Trading the Dip: My Nifty Options Setup for This Gap Down MarketHello Traders! Hope you all are doing good. Today Nifty opened with a significant gap down. The reason? Fresh news about the US under Donald Trump’s policy imposing a 25% tariff on Indian goods. This triggered panic among investors, and we saw aggressive selling at the open. But I believe this reaction could be short-lived. Local DIIs have been showing strong buying interest every single day, and I expect them to support the market again today. That’s why I’m looking for a potential intraday recovery from lower levels. So instead of joining the panic, I’m planning a contra trade on Nifty. Trade Setup: Buying naked Ce with stop loss Buy Nifty 7th August 24650 CE, now at 180 Add 1 More lot around 155-160 levels if price dropss Keep stop loss around 120 Targets will be 210/246/290++ Another Trade Setup: Options writing(selling) with hedging strategy Bullish Iron Condor Setup (Neutral-to-Bullish View): For traders who prefer risk-defined strategies, I’ve also deployed a bullish iron condor with a limited risk, targeting consolidation or moderate recovery by expiry. Sell: 2x 25050 CE @ 44.45 Buy: 2x 25300 CE @ 17.30 Buy: 2x 24550 PE @ 103.60 Sell: 2x 24800 PE @ 217.95 Note:- All Strike from 7th Aug expiry Key Metrics: Max Profit: 21,225 Max Loss: 16,275 Breakeven Range: 24659 to 25191 Max RR Ratio: 1:1.3 Margin Required: ~2 lakhs Rs. The idea here is to stay profitable if Nifty consolidates or mildly recovers over the next few sessions. If there’s no deep fall or sharp rally, this setup will benefit from theta decay and defined movement. Risk Management Notes: Strict stop loss is a must. Do not hold beyond SL under any condition This is a contra trade, so avoid heavy positions Recommended quantity: 1 or 3 lots only Rahul Tip: Market reacts fast to global headlines, but strong hands don’t panic. If your view is backed by logic and risk is managed, sometimes going against the crowd gives the best opportunities. Conclusion: The dip was sharp, but the reaction might be overdone. Let’s watch for signs of intraday strength. If buyers step in, this call option trade can work out well. Trade light, and trade with discipline. Disclaimer: This idea is for educational purposes only. Do your own research before taking any trade.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by TraderRahulPal
2
Nifty 50 Intraday Trade Plan for tomorrow 28 july 2025📉 Resistance & PE Zones (For Short / PE Trades): 🔴 25,180 – Below 10M Hold PE by Safe Zone Safe shorting zone if Nifty trades below this after a 10-minute hold. 🔴 25,030 – Below 10M Hold PE by Risky Zone Entry for PE trades but more risky. Be cautious with volumes and market sentiment. 🟣 24,920 – Below 10M Hold = Negative Trade View If Nifty holds below this, bias turns negative. ⚫ 24,780 – Below Opening R1 = 10M Hold PE by Level Below this level, PE trades can be initiated with confirmation. 🟠 24,638 – Below 10M Hold PE by Level Additional downside continuation level for PE holding. 🟢 24,480 – BELOW 10M Hold = UNWINDING Level If price sustains below this, expect long unwinding and further decline. 🔵 24,173 – Day UP Trade Fib Support (0.382) Major Fibonacci support; possible bounce zone or reversal area. 📈 Support & CE Zones (For Long / CE Trades): 🔴 25,200 – Above 10M Closing Shot Cover Level Short covering possible if Nifty closes above this level. 🟠 25,030 – Above 10M Hold CE by Entry Level Entry for long trades if 10M hold is confirmed. 🟣 24,920 – Above 10M Hold = Positive Trade View Holding above this confirms bullish bias. ⚫ 24,800 – Above Opening S1 = 10M Hold CE by Level Early confirmation level for long trades post opening. 🟠 24,638 – Above 10M Hold CE by Level Intermediate support if market bounces from lower levels. 🟢 24,500 – Above 10M Hold CE by Safe Zone Level Safer zone for holding long positions above this point. ✅ Key Levels Summary: Bullish Above: 24,920 / 25,030 / 25,180 Bearish Below: 24,920 / 24,780 / 24,638 / 24,480 Major Support: 24,173 (Fib level) Neutral Zone: Between 24,780–24,920 → Wait for breakout
NSE:NIFTYLong
by mayuraj_820
BTCUSD 1D Timeframe📈 BTC/USD 1D Timeframe Overview (as of Today) Current Price: Around $116,100 Price Change: Down by approximately 2.1% from the previous close Day’s High: Around $119,436 Day’s Low: Around $115,002 📊 Chart Analysis (1-Day Candle) Each candle on the 1D chart represents one full day. Today’s candle shows: Bearish Momentum: The candle is red, indicating sellers dominated. Wick at Bottom: Suggests some buying pressure or support near the day's low. Rejection from Highs: Price tried to go higher but failed, showing resistance near $119,400. 🔍 Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Zone: $119,000 – $120,000 (recent highs) Support Zone: $115,000 – $113,500 (demand area and previous consolidation) If BTC breaks below the $115,000 support, it may test lower levels like $112,000 or $110,000. If it bounces, it could reattempt $120,000. 🧠 Technical Perspective (Daily View) Trend: BTC is currently in a short-term pullback phase after a recent rally. Structure: Higher lows are intact if it stays above $112,000, which suggests uptrend continuation. Volume: Decreasing volume on red candles could mean weak selling — possible sign of reversal soon. 🔄 Daily Timeframe Strategy Insight Swing Traders: Wait for bullish reversal candle or break above resistance to go long. Breakout Traders: Watch if price breaks and closes above $120,000 for trend continuation. Risk-averse Traders: Wait for confirmation of direction before entering (like bullish engulfing or hammer candle). 📉 Summary BTC is showing short-term weakness but remains in a larger range. $115,000 is the key short-term support, and $120,000 is the key resistance. Watch for candle patterns, volume, and reaction at support/resistance zones.
OKX:BTCUSDLong
by TechnicalExpress
1
Nifty 50 Intraday Trade Plan for 25th July 2025🔍 Trade Zones & Strategy Breakdown: 🔴 Strong Resistance Zone: 25,320 – Above 10M Closing Short Cover Level ⚠️ If price moves above this level, expect short covering. CE (Call Option) can be held with strict SL (stop loss) below 25,280. 🟠 Safe-to-Risky PE Holding Zone: 25,280 – Below 10M Hold PE by Safe Zone 25,220 – Below 10M Hold PE by Risky Zone 🟡 Between these levels is the PE (Put Option) hold zone with decreasing safety. 🟧 Entry CE Level (Low Risk Long Entry): 25,240 – Above 10M Hold CE by Entry Level 🟣 Neutral Zone / Trend View Levels : 25,118 – Above 10M → Positive Trade View 25,118 – Below 10M → Negative Trade View 👀 This is a sentiment-shifting level. Break above or below can set the trend for the day. ⚫ Opening Range Based Action: 24,990 – Above Opening S1 → Hold CE (Call Option) 24,990 – Below Opening R1 → Hold PE (Put Option) 🟨 R eversal/Entry Confirmation Area: 24,920 – Above 10M Hold CE by Level 24,880 – Below 10M Hold PE by Level 🟩 Support & Final Defense Zone: 24,800 – Above 10M Hold CE by Safe Zone 24,760 – BELOW 10M = Unwinding Level ⛔ If price falls below 24,760, aggressive unwinding or fresh PE (Put Option) entry possible.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by mayuraj_820
Institutional Objectives in Options Trading🎯 1. Hedging Large Portfolios One of the primary institutional goals is to protect investments from unfavorable market movements. Since institutions hold large quantities of stocks, they face massive risk if the market turns against them. ✅ Example: A mutual fund holding ₹100 crore worth of Nifty 50 stocks might buy Put Options on Nifty to protect against a market crash. This acts like insurance — a small premium is paid to avoid a huge loss. 🔹 This is called a protective put strategy. 📈 2. Generating Additional Income Institutions also use options to generate consistent income. Since they often hold large amounts of shares, they can write (sell) options against these positions. ✅ Example: Selling Covered Calls against stock holdings generates premium income, especially when expecting the market to remain sideways. Writing Cash-Secured Puts allows them to earn premium while preparing to buy a stock at a lower price. 🔹 This enhances portfolio returns without needing to sell the core holdings. 📉 3. Managing Volatility Exposure Volatility is a double-edged sword. Institutions analyze and trade implied volatility (IV) rather than just direction. They adjust their portfolios using options to profit from volatility changes or to reduce risk when volatility spikes. ✅ Common practices: Use straddles and strangles before major events like earnings or elections. Buy options when IV is low (expecting a spike) and sell options when IV is high (expecting it to drop). 🔹 This is called volatility arbitrage or vega trading. 🔁 4. Portfolio Adjustment and Rebalancing Institutions use options to rebalance exposure without triggering capital gains taxes or disturbing existing stock positions. ✅ Example: Instead of selling shares, an institution might: Buy puts to reduce downside risk. Sell calls to lock in profits. Use spreads or collars to control price bands of risk/reward. 🔹 This helps in making tactical moves without liquidating long-term holdings. 💡 5. Directional Bets With Limited Risk Though not their primary objective, institutions sometimes make directional bets using options for leveraged exposure, with defined risk. ✅ Example: If a fund expects a strong upside in a stock, it might buy call options instead of the stock itself. This reduces capital requirement and limits downside to the premium paid. 🔹 This is common in event-driven trading, such as earnings, mergers, or regulatory announcements. 🔄 6. Capital Efficiency Institutions are under constant pressure to manage capital efficiently. Buying or selling options allows them to control larger positions with less money, keeping more capital available for other trades. ✅ Example: Instead of buying 1,00,000 shares of a company, they might buy deep ITM call options to replicate stock movement with lower capital. 🔹 This is known as synthetic long exposure. ⚖️ 7. Risk Transfer and Insurance Options allow institutions to transfer market risk to willing counterparties. They use customized derivatives or listed options to insure specific risks, such as: Currency risk Interest rate risk Commodity price risk Equity drawdowns 🔹 Large institutions like banks and insurance firms use over-the-counter (OTC) options for complex hedging. 🛠️ 8. Complex Strategy Execution Institutions often use multi-leg strategies for market-neutral setups or for fine-tuned payoff structures. These include: Iron Condors Butterfly Spreads Calendar/Diagonal Spreads Box Spreads Delta-neutral gamma scalping 🔹 These allow fine control over expected profits and losses, based on volatility, time decay, and price movement.
NSE:BAJFINANCEEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
Nifty 50 Intraday Plan for July 23, 2025📌 For more insights & live explanations, 👉 Visit my YouTube channel – Click the icon above ☝️ 🔺 Bullish Zones (Call Side - CE): 25,138 – Positive Trade View Start If the market sustains above this level for 10 minutes, the sentiment turns positive. Possible intraday up-move. Look for CE entries. 25,260 – CE Entry Level Strong confirmation of bullish breakout. Entry point for aggressive CE buyers. 25,380 – Short Covering Zone If price closes above this, short-sellers may exit in panic. Expect a sharp up-move / breakout. 24,960 & 25,040 – CE Hold Zones If holding CE positions, monitor these levels. Supportive price areas where bulls may defend. 24,760 – Safe CE Zone A very strong support zone. If price bounces from here, good for fresh CE trades. 🔻 Bearish Zones (Put Side - PE): 25,120 – Negative Trade View If price breaks this level and stays below 10 mins, bias turns bearish. 25,018 – Opening R1 PE Hold Below this, market may gain bearish strength. Short trades may get active. 24,938 – PE Hold Level Important support zone. Break here can give aggressive PE momentum. 24,700 – Unwinding Level If price sustains below this, it can trigger long unwinding. Strong bearish continuation expected.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by mayuraj_820
Nifty 50 Intraday Plan for July 22, 2025🔼 Bullish Levels (Call Side - CE): Above 25,038 : If the market opens and sustains above this level for 10 minutes, you can consider buying CE. This is the first breakout point, indicating possible upward movement. Above 25,128: Holding above this level indicates a positive trade view. Momentum is expected to increase, and buyers may become more aggressive. Good zone to initiate or add to CE positions. Above 25,260 : This is the CE entry level where breakout confirmation happens. If price reaches and sustains this zone, it signals strong bullish strength. Above 25,380 : This is marked as the short-covering zone. If the price reaches here, it means many short traders may exit, creating a spike. Ideal for booking profits on CE trades. 🔽 Bearish Levels (Put Side - PE): Below 25,038 : If the price fails to sustain above this level and breaks down with 10-minute candle confirmation, it indicates weakness. PE trades can be considered from here. Below 24,938 : This level is a clear PE entry level. Sustained trading below this suggests downward continuation. Below 24,920 : This is the risky PE zone. If the market trades here, PE positions should be handled with caution unless strong selling pressure is seen. Below 24,800 : This is a safe PE zone. Breakdown below this signals confirmed bearish sentiment, and you can aggressively hold PE options. Below 24,780 : This is the unwinding level, meaning big players may start exiting their positions, possibly triggering sharp declines. Ideal for booking PE profits or trailing stop-loss tightly.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by mayuraj_820
HDFCBANK – Bullish Potential Post Results, But OI Shows Bearish________________________________________________________________________________📈 HDFCBANK – Bullish Potential Post Results, But OI Shows Bearish Overhang 📅 Setup Date: 17.07.2025 | ⏱ Timeframe: Daily 📍 Strategy: Post-Earnings Reaction Play with Mixed Sentiment in Options ________________________________________________________________________________ 🔍 Overall View Spot Price: ₹1957.4 Trend: Mixed – Strong Q1 results (profit ↑12%, bonus/dividend declared), but price action weak Volatility: High IVs — Calls ~23–25%, Puts ~29–32% → post-result event premium still elevated Ideal Strategy Mix: Neutral-to-bullish spreads with defined risk or post-IV crush contrarian longs ________________________________________________________________________________ 1️⃣ Bullish Trade (Contrarian Setup with Fundamental Trigger) Best CE: Buy 1980 CE @ ₹24.2 Why: • Strong earnings + corporate action (bonus/dividend) → triggers potential sentiment reversal • CE 1980 saw Short Build-Up (+144% OI), premium ↓25% → ideal for short-covering setup • Delta ~0.41 with high IV (~24.3%) → moderate leverage & gamma in case of price breakout • Use only if price breaks and sustains above ₹1975 with strong candle + volume ________________________________________________________________________________ 2️⃣ Bearish Trade (Trend Following) Best PE: Sell 1900 PE @ ₹16.65 Why: • PE 1900 saw massive Long Build-Up (+70%) but IV surged → may now face decay pressure • Selling this deep OTM PE gives ~₹57 buffer from spot (≈3% downside cushion) • Post-results, downside may be limited → good candidate to play post-IV crush • Spot stability around 1950–1960 invalidates aggressive downside ________________________________________________________________________________ 3️⃣ Strategy Trade (Defined Risk Based on Mixed Setup) Strategy: Bull Call Spread → Buy 1980 CE / Sell 2020 CE        → ₹24.2 / ₹10.7      Net Debit: ₹13.50      Max Profit: ₹40 (spread width) – ₹13.5 = ₹26.5      Max Loss: ₹13.50      Risk:Reward: ≈ 1 : 1.96 ✅      Lot Size: 550      Total Risk: ₹7,425      Max Profit: ₹14,575 📊 Breakeven Point: ₹1993.5 📉 Reversal Exit Level: Exit if Spot < ₹1940 (invalidates breakout + earnings move fade) ________________________________________________________________________________ Why: • Bullish news (Q1 beat, bonus/dividend) could trigger CE short covering if price moves above 1980 • Limited risk strategy — works well if post-result rally is moderate • High IVs favour spread over naked options (caps loss from premium crush) • CE OI from 1960–2060 mostly short → if momentum picks up, rally could be fast ________________________________________________________________________________ 📘 My Trading Setup Rules Avoid Gap Plays → Check pre-open price action to avoid trades influenced by gap-ups/gap-downs. Breakout Entry Only → Enter trades only if price breaks previous day’s High (for bullish trades) or Low (for bearish trades). Watch Volume for Confirmation → Monitor volume closely. No volume = No trade. Enter on Strong Candle + Volume → Execute the trade only if a strong candle appears with increasing volume in the direction of the trade. Defined Risk:Reward Only → Take trades only if R:R is favourable (ideally ≥ 1:2). Premium Disclaimer → Option premiums shown are based on EOD prices — real-time premiums may vary during execution. Time Frame Preference → Trade with your preferred time frame — this strategy works across intraday or positional setups. ________________________________________________________________________________ ⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read): • These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice. • I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. • The information provided here is based on personal market observation. • No buy/sell recommendations are being made. • Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions. • Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management. I am not responsible for trading decisions based on this post. ________________________________________________________________________________
NSE:HDFCBANK
by simpletradewithpatience
Monday Trade Plan (Nifty 50) 🔼 Bullish Levels (Call Side Entry): Above 25,008 🔹 Hold CE (Call) — Positive trade view. Above 25,118 🔹 Hold CE by Entry Level 🚨 Below this: Risky Zone for PE (Put) Above 25,218 🔹 10 min Closing Short Cover Level ✅ Strong momentum expected above this zone 🔽 Bearish Levels (Put Side Entry): Below 25,000 🔻 Hold PE — Negative trade view. Below 24,888 🔻 Opening R1 10m — Hold PE by level Below 24,788 🔻 Hold PE by level Below 24,688 🔻 Hold PE by Safe Zone level Below 24,600 (Approx) 🧯 UNWINDING ZONE 🔻 Strong downward momentum expected ⚠️ Mid-Zone / Risk Areas: Between 25,000 – 25,008: No clear direction Between 25,088 – 25,118: Risky Zone for PE Between 24,788 – 24,888: Rangebound area, watch for breakout
NSE:NIFTY
by mayuraj_820
1
Trade plan for tomorrow (July 18, 2025)📈 Bullish Trade Plan (Alternative Scenario) ✅ S etup 3: Call Option Trade (CE) Trigger: Price moves above 25,218 with volume Action: Buy 25,200 CE or 25,300 CE Target 1: 25,338 Target 2: 25,470 Bearish Trade Plan (Primary Bias) ✅ Setup 1: Directional Put Option Trade (PE) Trigger: Break below 25,070 Action: Buy 25,000 PE or 24,900 PE Target 1: 25,000 Target 2: 24,916 Target 3: 24,780 Current Context: Nifty is forming a classic Elliott Wave pattern, currently likely in Wave (5) down. Trend: Bearish bias unless 25,218 is reclaimed. Key Support Zone: 25,070 – 25,000 High Probability Target for Wave (5): Around 24,780–24,760
NSE:NIFTY
by mayuraj_820
2
PATANJALI - OPTIONS TRADE SETUPPATANJALI OPTIONS TRADE SETUP – 17 JULY Spot: ₹1859.6 Trend: Bullish Volatility: Moderate IV rise (38–41%) Lot Size: 300 ________________________________________ 1. Bullish Trade (Naked options as per trend) Best CE: Buy 1860 CE @ ₹59.45 Why: Strong continuation signal with rising OI and price, heavy volume, and ideal gamma/vega mix for price moves. ________________________________________ 2. Contrarian Trade (Naked options against trend) Best PE: Buy 1800 PE @ ₹31.3 Why: Defensive Put play with unusually high activity and rising IV → could work as hedge if breakdown begins below ₹1840. ________________________________________ 3. Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data) Strategy: Bull Call Spread → Buy 1860 CE / Sell 1920 CE Net Debit: ₹59.45 - ₹35.5 = ₹23.95 Max Profit: ₹60 - ₹23.95 = ₹36.05 Max Loss: ₹23.95 Risk:Reward ≈ 1:1.5 Lot Size: 300 Total Risk: ₹7,185 Max Profit: ₹10,815 Why: • Massive Long Buildup in CE chain (1820 to 1960), with 1860 CE leading in volume and OI surge • 1860–1920 spread captures ideal move zone before resistance at 1960 • IVs rising moderately → favors debit spread entry • PE chain showing Short Buildup, especially at 1800/1840/1880 → downside bets getting squeezed • Balanced risk with great R:R (1:1.5) near breakout zone — clean bullish continuation setup ________________________________________ 📘 My Trading Setup Rules Avoid Gap Plays → Check pre-open price action to avoid trades influenced by gap-ups/gap-downs. Breakout Entry Only → Enter trades only if price breaks previous day’s High (for bullish trades) or Low (for bearish trades). Watch Volume for Confirmation → Monitor volume closely. No volume = No trade. Enter on Strong Candle + Volume → Execute the trade only if a strong candle appears with increasing volume in the direction of the trade. Defined Risk:Reward Only → Take trades only if R:R is favorable (ideally ≥ 1:2). Premium Disclaimer → Option premiums shown are based on EOD prices — real-time premiums may vary during execution. Time Frame Preference → Trade with your preferred time frame — this strategy works across intraday or positional setups. ________________________________________ ⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read): • These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice. • I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. • The information provided here is based on personal market observation. • No buy/sell recommendations are being made. • Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions. • Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management. I am not responsible for trading decisions based on this post. ________________________________________
NSE:PATANJALI
by simpletradewithpatience
2
Nifty 50 Intraday Trade Plan - 17 July 2025🔴 Bullish Scenario (CE Buy Zones): Above 25,480 → Shot Cover Level → CE BUY with strong momentum. Above 25,338 → Entry Level for CE → CE BUY possible; moderate conviction. Above 25,270 → Positive Trade View Starts → Start building CE positions cautiously. Above 25,198.55 (Opening S1 Level) → Intraday CE HOLD if already bought. Above 25,080 → CE by Buy Level → Entry-level for CE if market recovers. Above 24,978 → CE Buy Safe Zone → Safer entry for CE, if bounce observed. 🔵 Bearish Scenario (PE Buy Zones): Below 25,480 → PE by Safe Zone → PE can be added gradually. Below 25,338 → Risky Zone for PE → PE buy with risk, SL tight. Below 25,270 → Negative View Begins → Confidence increases in PE position. Below 25,172 (Opening R1 Level) → If breaks this, PE HOLD. Below 25,080 → PE by Buy Level Below 24,978 → UNWINDING Level → Expect strong selling; PE aggressive buy zone. 🎯 Key Zones to Watch: Range Bound Zone: Between 25,172 – 25,270 Trend Decider Zone: Break above 25,270: Bullish Bias Break below 25,172: Bearish Bias
NSE:NIFTYLong
by mayuraj_820
Nifty 50 – Intraday Plan for July 16, 2025📊 Intraday Key Levels & Strategy: 🔺 Upside Zones (CE Bias): 25,270 – Above 10M hold = Positive Trade View 25,390 – Above 10m hold CE by entry level 25,478 – Above 10m closing = Shot Cover Level ⚠️ Neutral to Mixed Zones: 25,120 – Above Opening S1: 10m Hold CE Buy Level 25,100 – Below Opening R1: 10m Hold PE Buy Level 25,070 – Below 10M = Negative Trade View 🔻 Downside Zones (PE Bias): 24,990 – Below 10m hold PE by level 24,920 – Below 10m hold PE = Risky Zone 24,880 – Above 10M = CE Safe Zone 24,860 – BELOW 10M = UNWINDING zone. ✅ Suggested Intraday Plan: Bullish Scenario (CE Trades): Buy CE above 25,120 (Only if 10 min candle holds). Add on breakout & hold above 25,270. Target zone: 25,390–25,478. SL: Below 25,070. Bearish Scenario (PE Trades): Sell/Buy PE below 25,100 (Only if 10 min candle sustains). Confirm further weakness if below 24,990 or 24,920. Target zone: 24,880–24,860. SL: Above 25,120.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by mayuraj_820
Nifty 50 Intraday Trade Plan July 15, 2025🔴 Upper Resistance Levels: 25,430.00 🔺 Above 10m closing: Short Cover Level 🔻 Below 10m: Hold PE (Safe Zone) 25,280.00 🔺 Above 10m: Hold CE (Entry Level) 25,240.00 🔻 Below 10m: Hold PE (Risky Zone) 25,160.00 🔺 Above 10M: Hold Positive Trade View 🔻 Below 10M: Hold Negative Trade View 🟢 Current Zone: Market is trading near 25,087.10 Watch levels: 25,030.00 – Above Opening S1: Hold CE by level 25,000.00 – Below Opening R1: Hold PE by level 🟠 Lower Support Levels: 24,960.00 🔺 Above 10m: Hold CE by level 24,920.00 🔻 Below 10m: Hold PE by level 24,800.00 🔺 Above 10M: Hold CE by Safe Zone 24,760.00 🔻 Below 10M: UNWINDING Level 🔍 Strategy Suggestions: ✅ Bullish Bias: If price sustains above 25,160, consider Call Option Buy (CE) or bullish trades. ❌ Bearish Bias: If price fails below 25,030 or 24,920, consider Put Option Buy (PE) or short positions.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by mayuraj_820
Sensex Dives Below ₹82,600 — IT Stocks Drag Index DownFrom a technical standpoint, Sensex breaking below ₹82,600 is important. This was seen as a short-term support level. Now that it's broken, ₹82,280 and ₹82,060 are the next zones to watch for. Moving Averages: Sensex has slipped below its 20-day moving average, which is often used as a trend indicator. This shows short-term weakness and signals caution for traders. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is heading lower but not yet in oversold territory. This means there could be more downside before a potential bounce. MACD: The MACD indicator is also showing bearish crossover – another sign that the market could stay weak in the near term. What Should Traders & Investors Do Now? For Traders: This is a time to stay cautious. Avoid taking aggressive long positions unless Sensex reclaims ₹83,000+ with strong volume. Focus on stock-specific opportunities in sectors like FMCG, pharma, or even PSU banks. For Long-Term Investors: Don’t panic. Corrections like these are common. Instead of trying to time the market, look for quality stocks at attractive valuations. IT stocks are fundamentally strong, so long-term investors can accumulate slowly on dips, especially if they fall further. Global Factors at Play What happens in the global economy directly affects Indian markets. Here are some international cues that are influencing Sensex: US Interest Rates: The US Federal Reserve may raise interest rates again to fight inflation. Higher rates make borrowing expensive, slow down spending, and can trigger a global slowdown. China's Economic Data: Slower growth in China has worried global investors. A slowdown in Asia’s biggest economy has ripple effects on global demand. Geopolitical Tensions: Trade issues, especially between the US and China, are creating uncertainties. Wars or unrest in regions like Ukraine or the Middle East also cause global instability. What to Watch in Coming Days Key Events: More Q1 results from major companies Global inflation data releases FII (Foreign Institutional Investors) activity – whether they continue selling or start buying Crude oil price movement – as it affects inflation and currency RBI commentary on interest rates 📢 Final Thoughts The fall in Sensex below ₹82,600 is a signal for caution, not panic. The IT sector’s weakness has triggered the fall, but the overall market is still stable when compared to global peers. For serious investors, this is a good time to review portfolios, build a watchlist, and focus on quality stocks and sectors that show relative strength. Defensive sectors like FMCG and pharma are showing signs of leadership. Market cycles are natural – after every fall, there's a recovery. The key is to stay updated, stay disciplined, and not let emotions drive your decisions.
BSE:SENSEXLong
by TechnicalExpress
CAMS – Rising Wedge in Focus ________________________________________________________________________________ 📈 CAMS – Rising Wedge in Focus 🕒 Chart Type: Daily ________________________________________________________________________________ What’s Catching Our Eye: CAMS is forming a Rising Wedge, a technical structure that often leads to strong directional moves. The price is nearing the upper boundary of the wedge, indicating possible breakout or reversal. This contraction in range is typically followed by expansion — and smart traders are watching closely. ________________________________________________________________________________ What We’re Watching For: Price holding above ₹4201.40 could trigger interest from early participants. On the flip side, a breakdown below ₹4090.50 may signal failure of the wedge structure. For more confirmation-driven entries, one may wait for a proper breakout or breakdown candle with volume. ________________________________________________________________________________ Volume Footprint Analysis: As expected in wedge formations, volume has compressed. A breakout supported by volume expansion could validate the move and offer confidence in continuation. Volume is the key trigger to watch once the wedge resolves. ________________________________________________________________________________ Option Structure Insight: For educational purposes, one could observe a neutral hedge approach using options: – Buy 4200 CE – Buy 4100 PE This can potentially help capture a sharp move in either direction. Once the move confirms, the opposite leg can be exited to ride the trend with managed risk. Price Action Logic: Rising wedge formations typically form after a directional up-move and narrow into a tightening range. This is often followed by an impulsive expansion phase. CAMS is showing that exact setup. The price is sandwiched between key resistance at ₹4200+ and demand near ₹3880. ________________________________________________________________________________ 💼 Sector Tailwinds: CAMS, operating within the mutual fund RTA space, benefits from India's rising retail participation and SIP growth. The digitalisation of mutual fund flows, compliance demand, and data-based services lend long-term support to this sector. These factors offer fundamental strength to this technical setup. ________________________________________________________________________________ ⚠️ Risks to Watch: – A close below ₹4085 could invalidate the bullish wedge setup – Current price behavior reflects compression, but indicators like Stochastic may suggest near-term overbought conditions – Avoid chasing — wait for confirmation via breakout + volume or a proper retest candle – Do not over-leverage in a low-volume wedge structure — focus on proper R:R and sizing ________________________________________________________________________________ 🔮 What to Expect Next: If the wedge breaks upward and sustains above ₹4201.40 with volume, price expansion may be observed toward ₹4330–₹4450 zone. On the downside, a breakdown below ₹4090.50 may trigger a move toward the ₹3950–₹3880 support cluster. Watch for confirmation in the next 2–3 sessions before taking directional exposure. ________________________________________________________________________________ 🧠 How to Trade CAMS (For Educational Use Only): 🔹 Breakout Trade Plan • Entry: Above ₹4201.40 • Stop Loss: Below ₹4090.50 (closing basis preferred) • Pullback Entry: If price returns to ₹4095–₹4105 zone and shows bounce confirmation • Risk-Reward: Start with 1:1, trail for 1:2+ • Position Sizing: Based on risk, never overexpose in a wedge 🔹 Options Strategy (Educational View) • Buy CAMS 4200 CE • Buy CAMS 4100 PE • Exit the losing leg once direction confirms with price + volume breakout ________________________________________________________________________________ 📍 Levels to Keep an Eye On: The first key level to observe is ₹4201.40 — a break above this may attract early interest from aggressive participants as it represents the upper boundary of the rising wedge. On the downside, ₹4090.50 acts as the breakdown level; if breached, it could suggest structural weakness and a potential shift in trend. In case of an upward breakout, we are closely monitoring the ₹4330–₹4450 zone as a possible price expansion area. If the breakdown plays out instead, the ₹3950–₹3880 zone becomes important as a potential reaction area or demand test. Historically, the ₹3880–₹3950 range has shown signs of buyer interest and may act as a demand zone if retested. On the upside, ₹4320–₹4400 has acted as supply in the past and could present resistance if the price extends higher. A close below ₹4085 would invalidate the bullish wedge structure and may require a reassessment of directional bias. ________________________________________________________________________________ ⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read): • This chart is shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice. • I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. • The information provided here is based on personal market observation. • No buy/sell recommendations are being made. • Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions. • Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management. ________________________________________________________________________________ 💬 Found this helpful? How would you prefer to approach this — breakout entry or pullback into zone? Drop your thoughts or questions in the comments below ⬇️ 🔁 Share this post with your trading community. ✅ Follow @SimpleTradeWithPatience for price-action backed technical setups. 🚀 Let’s trade with patience, logic, and clarity! Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Logic ________________________________________________________________________________
NSE:CAMS
by simpletradewithpatience
Nifty 50 Intraday Trade Plan 10 july 2025🟣 1. Trend Confirmation Zone (Level: 25,562.00) Above 25,562.00 → Positive View Active If Nifty sustains above this level for more than 10 minutes, it indicates bullish momentum. Call Option (CE) traders can stay in the trade or consider new entries. Below 25,562.00 → Negative View Active If Nifty stays below this level, bearish momentum is likely. Put Option (PE) trades are favorable. ⚫ 2. Opening Range Levels Above 25,467.10 (Opening S1) → Hold CE (Call Option) If the market holds above this after the opening 10-minute candle, you can go long (buy CE). Below 25,418.00 (Opening R1) → Hold PE (Put Option) If Nifty breaks this level on the downside, and sustains for 10 mins, it suggests weakness – PE trade is favorable. 🟠 3. Entry-Level Zone Above 25,682.00 → Entry for CE (Call Option) Bullish breakout level – good for fresh buying positions if sustained above. Below 25,682.00 → Risky PE (Put Option) Zone Aggressive traders may consider short trades, but this is a risky area. 🔴 4. Safe Zone for Positional Traders Above 25,782.00 → Closing Shot / Cover Level Indicates overbought or strong bullish continuation – exit PE positions if short. Below 25,760.00 → Safe Zone for PE A good place to hold PE (put) positions, as the market is weak below this. 🟠 5. Support Resistance Flip Zone Above 25,280.00 → CE Hold Level Support for intraday buyers. A bounce from here can give a CE opportunity. Below 25,280.00 → PE Hold Level Breaking this means more downside is likely – favorable for PE. 🟢 6. Strong Support / Breakdown Level Above 25,158.00 → CE Safe Zone Level Indicates strong buying support. If held, expect intraday recovery. Below 25,158.00 → Unwinding Level Panic selling or unwinding of long positions may start. Avoid CE, prefer PE.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by mayuraj_820