India Inc Quarterly Earnings and Nifty Corelation We all know that our beloved NSE:NIFTY has shy of 1500 points in short time, falling from a cliff. Naturally people are eager to guess if the holy grail Bottom is there, or it will test the 4th of June Election Result Day low at least.
Being a price action student, it's always good to look at the history and try to take a leaf out from it. Specifically, when I can recall what happened one year back in October 2023 where there were substantial FII selloffs before Q2 results (of FY 23-24). Of course there is a slight difference in the situation. Last year the moonsoon was not that good, this year above normal.
So I took all the last 4 quarterly result and see what happened around these times in Daily timeframe.
As it's evident:
In 26/10/23 (Q2 results midway) there were a dip to 18850 level when RSI was at oversold region.
Within next two months, the Nifty gave ~15% return.
Again during 24th Jan'24 (Q3 results midway) there is a dip and then Nifty quickly recovered.
Again during 19/04/24 (Q4/annual results midway), there is a dip and then again smart recovery.
The things become even more interesting if we check the RSI beyond this point (last 6 months). Here are the obervations:
19th April'24, 9th May'24, 4th June'24, 5th Aug'24 - the RSI was at 40 level.
Price were more or less around same/similar level. (Except Aug when Nifty was at 24000).
Now the Nifty RSI was at 36. But the price is at 24800.
It's indices Hidden Bullish Divergence
My Expectation:
There can be a little more dip (lets say another 150-250 points, at max 24550).
Then Nifty starts recovering smartly and will try to reclaim the 25500 Resistance level.
We shall see what will happen next.
So essentially end of this week onwards expecting a 800/1000 points recovery, IMO.
Seems too optimistic? May be .. lets see.
Just sharing my personal views. End the day: Market is Supreme and Price Action is the King.
Oscillators
INTERGLOBE AVIATION (INDIGO)Technical:
• After reaching a fresh high of near 5,000, the stock has reversed from that level, indicating a potential change in character, a term often used in technical analysis to denote a shift in trend or momentum.
• The RSI (Relative Strength Index) has dropped below 50, signaling a potential weakness in momentum and a bearish outlook in the near term.
• Support Levels:
• Minor support is at 4,500, a level that may provide temporary relief.
• Major support lies at 4,200, a critical level to watch if the weakness continues.
Fundamental:
• The escalating conflict between Israel-Iran has driven up crude oil prices due to concerns about supply disruptions.
• As a major airline, IndiGo is sensitive to rising fuel costs, which directly impacts its operational expenses. The increase in crude oil prices might weigh heavily on the stock in the near term, adding to the existing technical weakness.
• Given the geopolitical situation and its impact on crude prices, IndiGo could face additional selling pressure if oil prices remain elevated, further amplifying its decline.
In summary, IndiGo is showing signs of technical weakness with bearish momentum indicators, coupled with fundamental risks tied to rising crude oil prices, which could lead to more downside pressure in the coming days. Keep an eye on the 4,200 level for strong support. View neglected if price breaks above 5,000 zone.
#Indigo #stocks #investing #crudeoil #usoil #war #aviation
What is Rsi Indicator What Is the Relative Strength Index (RSI)?
The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis. RSI measures the speed and magnitude of a security's recent price changes to detect overvalued or undervalued conditions in the price of that security.
The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph) on a scale of zero to 100. The indicator was developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr. and introduced in his seminal 1978 book, New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems.
In addition to identifying overbought and oversold securities, the RSI can also indicate securities that may be primed for a trend reversal or a corrective pullback in price. It can signal when to buy and sell. Traditionally, an RSI reading of 70 or above indicates an overbought condition. A reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold condition.
Crossover Swing + Breakout Trade - HINDALCO📊 Script: HINDALCO
📊 Sector: Non Ferrous Metals
📊 Industry: Aluminum and Aluminum Products
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading at upper band of BB and giving breakout of it.
📈 Script is giving Cup & handle Pattern Breakout on daily chart.
📈 Already crossover in MACD.
📈 Double Moving Averages are giving crossover.
📈 Right now RSI is around 66.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 717
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 810
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 672
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
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Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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Advanced Divergence Trading"Welcome to SkyTradingZone "
Hello Everyone 👋
Video Information -
Hello , Everyone lets start the Journey of Advanced Divergence Trading
In this video, we are going to look at divergence.
What is divergence?
Divergence is basically
when the market is creating
higher highs and higher lows, and
the RSI is creating the opposite.
(Divergence can happen in
both downtrends and uptrends.)
----------------------------------------------------------------
Q What divergence does, it's basically
telling you that the trend is weakening.
This is in a downtrend, and the RSI,
the divergence, is basically telling you
that this downtrend is weakening and
there could be a possible reversal soon.
So normally when divergence
is happening, you normally see
The market creates basically a curve.
----------------------------------------------------------------
Structure is always key
It doesn't matter the strategy
you use, structure is always key.
So what you want to see is that
breaker structure to say that the trend
is changing because structure changed.
Note- Normal Tip From our side try to learn Liquidity and order block
Union Bank of India- Weekly- Understanding RSIRelative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator. It shows overbought and oversold condition of a security or a index. Its interpretation is: 40 (oversold) and 60 (overbought) . In above weekly chart of Union Bank of India, you can see at encircled point it was in oversold zone in June 2022 and then it moved up. Presently, it is at 40 oversold zone and most likely it can take support from here. This is educational post and not any recommendation. It can be interpreted in different way also.
Swing Trade - GODREJIND📊 Script: GODREJIND
📊 Sector: Chemicals
📊 Industry: Chemicals
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading at upper band of BB.
📈 MACD is giving crossover .
📈 Double Moving Averages are giving crossover.
📈 Right now RSI is around 64.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 941
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 1000
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 908
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
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Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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Swing Trade - HINDPETRO📊 Script: HINDPETRO
📊 Sector: Refineries
📊 Industry: Refineries
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading at upper band of BB.
📈 MACD is giving crossover .
📈 Double Moving Averages are giving crossover.
📈 Right now RSI is around 68.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 407
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 432
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 393
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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SAMKRG Pistons & Rings - Monthly - Long Term Channel - BullishSAMKRG Pistons & Rings Ltd. (BSE: 520075) has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel, showcasing a consistent long-term uptrend. The chart highlights key support levels at the bottom of the channel, from where the price has always bounced.
The recent price action and technical indicators suggest a potential for further gains.
Key Points:
1. Ascending Channel: The stock has been moving within a clear ascending channel since 2006. The price recently rebounded from the lower boundary of the channel, indicating strong support and a continuation of the upward trend.
2. Key Support Levels: The chart shows multiple instances where the stock has found strong support at the bottom of the channel. Each bounce from this support level has led to significant upward movements, affirming the reliability of this trend.
3. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI has made higher lows and higher highs in the preceding months and looks to be on an upward trajectory.
Disclosure: Invested at ₹179
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
Laxmi Organic - Bullish Divergence and Breakout from TriangleWeekly Chart Insights:
Symmetrical Triangle Pattern: Over the past years, Laxmi Organic Industries Ltd has formed a symmetrical triangle.
Breakout Confirmation: Recently, the price broke above the upper trendline of the triangle.
Retest of Breakout: The price action is retested the breakout at the Trendline and has moved upwards now.
Bullish Divergence:
Time Period - 26 March to 12th May
Lower Low in Price - Price went from 235.2 to 228.5
Higher Low in RSI - RSI went from 37.2 to 37.6
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
Libas - Potential Bullish Divergence in Descending TriangleLibas Designs Ltd. is currently trading within a descending triangle pattern. A potential bullish divergence between the price action and the RSI could indicate an upcoming trend reversal.
Technical Analysis:
Descending Triangle Pattern: The stock has been consolidating within a descending triangle pattern, characterized by lower highs and a strong support level around ₹16.5.
Lower Low in Price: The price recently made a lower low, near the support level of the triangle.
Higher Low in RSI: Simultaneously, the RSI (14) made a higher low, creating a bullish divergence. This suggests that the selling pressure is weakening, despite the price making a new low.
Volume Analysis: Volume has been decreasing during the formation of the triangle, which is typical for this pattern and indicates a potential buildup before a breakout.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: I would wait for a breakout and retest above the top trendline. Probably somewhere above the 17.5 mark.
Stop Loss: A stop loss below ₹16.00, just under the recent support level, to manage risk effectively.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice.
Double Bottom Breakout - Crossover - ANURAS📊 Script: ANURAS
📊 Sector: Chemicals
📊 Industry: Chemicals
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading at upper band of BB.
📈 MACD and Double Moving Averages are giving crossover .
📈 Right now RSI is around 66.
📈 Script is giving Double Bottom Breakout on daily chart.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 797
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 858
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 767
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
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Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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Crossover - JKCEMENT📊 Script: JKCEMENT
📊 Sector: Cement
📊 Industry: Cement
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading at upper band of BB.
📈 MACD and Double Moving Averages are giving crossover .
📈 Right now RSI is around 60.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 4480
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 4715
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 4387
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
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Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
Indus tower near a strong demand zoneIndus tower is in continuous downtrend and now, it is on a strong weekly demand zone.
A small pull back, at least can be expected from this level. Even for a continuation of bear trend, a lower high has to be made.
However, entry can be confirmed only when there is a small breakdown from the level and subsequent strong buying is done, i.e. a bear trap.
Bottom Fishing - TATASTEEL📊 Script: TATASTEEL
📊 Sector: Steel
📊 Industry: Steel - Large
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Right now RSI is trading at 32 stock came out of oversold zone, one can go for Bottom Fishing.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 160
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 174
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 151
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
Tanla - Monthly Chart - Ascending Channel - LongTanla Platforms Ltd. has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel for almost 10 years now. The support at the bottom of the channel and the resistance at the top of the channel have been tested many times over the years, as the chart shows.
The Price has again bounced after touching the bottom of the channel last month and RSI has a strong upward trajectory.
Key Points:
Ascending Channel: The stock has maintained an ascending channel for almost a decade, with the price consistently respecting the channel's boundaries.
Support at Bottom: The lower boundary of the channel has been tested multiple times and has held strong, indicating robust support.
Resistance at Top: The upper boundary of the channel has also been tested multiple times, acting as a reliable resistance level.
Recent Bounce: The price recently hit the bottom of the channel last month and bounced off, suggesting a possible continuation towards the upper boundary.
Volume Analysis: The volume has shown significant spikes during periods of upward movement, reflecting strong buying interest.
RSI: The RSI (14) is currently at 52.98 and trending upwards, indicating growing bullish momentum. The RSI's upward trend further supports a bullish outlook.
Disclosure: Invested at 920.00
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice.